Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 80% | 2.2 | 11.5% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 6.55 | 3.67 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 80% | 2.2 | 11.5% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 6.55 | 3.74 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 31 | 0 | 73 | 297 | 69 | 11 | 6 | 0% | 2.3 | 17.2% | 4.4% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 3.34 | 3.72 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 31 | 0 | 73 | 297 | 69 | 11 | 6 | 0% | 2.3 | 23.2% | 3.7% | 19.5% | 2.0% | 3.34 | 2.73 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 6 | 78 | 305 | 64 | 13 | 9 | 19% | 2.4 | 16.7% | 4.8% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 2.43 | 4.99 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 6 | 78 | 305 | 64 | 13 | 9 | 19% | 2.4 | 21.0% | 4.3% | 16.7% | 3.0% | 2.43 | 3.46 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | 26 | 14 | 108 | 439 | 105 | 21 | 14 | 54% | 4.1 | 19.4% | 5.3% | 14.1% | 4.4% | 3.59 | 4.55 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | 26 | 14 | 108 | 439 | 105 | 21 | 14 | 54% | 4.1 | 23.9% | 4.8% | 19.1% | 3.2% | 3.59 | 3.43 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 54 | 13 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 4.3% | 14.0% | 3.6% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 56 | 14 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 4.8% | 14.2% | 3.5% | 4.44 | 4.43 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 56 | 15 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 5.2% | 14.1% | 3.6% | 4.45 | 4.46 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 55 | 16 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 5.5% | 13.9% | 3.6% | 4.50 | 4.53 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 4.8% | 14.2% | 3.5% | 4.44 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 36 | 10 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 5.2% | 14.1% | 3.6% | 4.45 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 42 | 12 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 5.5% | 13.9% | 3.6% | 4.50 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 119 | 0 | 125 | 528 | 102 | 27 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 5.2% | 14.0% | 3.6% | 4.47 | 4.10 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 163 | 43 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 5.2% | 14.0% | 3.6% | 4.47 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 94 | 24 | 269 | 1093 | 193 | 53 | 43 | 26% | 2.9 | 17.7% | 4.8% | 12.8% | 4.0% | 3.31 | 4.40 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 18 | 200 | 813 | 143 | 39 | 32 | 26% | 2.9 | 17.7% | 4.8% | 12.8% | 4.0% | 3.31 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Landon Harper (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 18.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | — | 4.47 | 19.2% | 14.1% | 206 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 19.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | .283 | 3.86 | 19.3% | 11.7% | 124 | -0.19 | 3.47 | 171 | 85 |
| Kolton Mahoney R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.44 | 17.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | .312 | 3.72 | 16.9% | 9.5% | 198 | +0.28 | 3.44 | 302 | 80 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 80 |
| Alex Colomé R 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.37 | 19.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | .309 | 2.98 | 25.5% | 19.3% | 191 | -0.39 | 2.72 | 530 | 79 |
| Miller Hogan R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.58 | 20.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | .245 | 6.64 | 14.0% | 2.1% | 18 | +2.06 | 3.14 | 168 | 78 |
| Steven Bruce R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.70 | 14.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | .300 | 3.62 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 94 | -0.08 | 3.62 | 148 | 77 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 76 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2029 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 76 |
| Jack Labosky R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.62 | 19.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 145 | 75 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2029 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 75 |
| Logan Verrett R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.75 | 18.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .277 | 5.30 | 15.8% | 6.3% | 164 | +1.55 | 3.73 | 550 | 75 |
| Casey Cobb R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.73 | 21.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | .261 | 5.72 | 17.2% | 8.3% | 118 | +1.99 | 3.73 | 191 | 75 |
| Trevor Foss R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.43 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .308 | 3.47 | 17.3% | 13.8% | 42 | -0.96 | 3.47 | 120 | 75 |
| Jack Anderson R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.90 | 22.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | .336 | 5.12 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 58 | +1.22 | 2.99 | 325 | 74 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 73 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 73 |
| C.J. Eldred R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 13.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | .372 | 5.01 | 17.3% | 11.4% | 48 | +0.80 | 2.99 | 199 | 73 |
| Wendolyn Bautista R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.73 | 17.8% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .347 | 4.12 | 18.3% | 12.8% | 100 | +0.39 | 3.48 | 468 | 73 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2028 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 72 |
| Kurt Heyer R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.03 | 14.1% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 178 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 19.0% | 4.9% | 1.39 | 4.46 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Eli Morgan ('24) | 4 | 66 | 23.8% | 6.4% | 1.46 | 3.97 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |
| Dan Otero ('19) | 5 | 53 | 16.7% | 3.0% | 1.12 | 3.93 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |