Adrian Valdez — OGILVIE

Adrian ValdezOF DSL Red Sox Red

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 204 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 92 proj PA

wRC+43

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .248 / .247

PA92

HR1

K%33

BB%8

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	101	85	17	7	0	0	13	30	3	1	0	200	327	282	609	82	309	30	13	290	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	107	89	17	1	1	3	16	41	2	1	0	191	327	326	653	135	311	38	15	305	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	101	90	11	4	0	0	8	38	3	1	0	122	218	167	384	44	202	38	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	107	94	11	1	1	1	11	50	2	1	0	117	224	181	405	64	205	47	10	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	101	90	11	4	0	0	8	38	3	1	0	122	218	167	384	44	212	38	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	101	85	17	7	0	0	13	30	3	1	0	200	327	282	609	82	309	30	13	290	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	107	94	11	1	1	1	11	50	2	1	0	117	224	181	405	64	233	47	10	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	107	89	17	1	1	3	16	41	2	1	0	191	327	326	653	135	311	38	15	305	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	101	89	11	4	0	0	8	38	3	1	0	124	218	169	386	45	202	38	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	107	93	11	1	1	1	11	50	2	1	0	118	224	183	407	65	205	47	10	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	101	89	11	4	0	0	8	38	3	1	0	124	218	169	386	45	202	38	8	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	107	93	11	1	1	1	11	50	2	1	0	118	224	183	407	65	205	47	10	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	217	195	34	6	1	2	17	72	3	3	1	176	250	249	499	74	264	33	8	232	43	-15	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	182	164	29	5	1	2	14	59	2	3	1	181	257	263	520	82	267	32	8	240	49	-11	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.8
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	63	57	10	2	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	181	257	263	520	82	267	33	8	240	49	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	63	57	10	2	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	175	254	263	517	88	257	33	8	240	31	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	103	21	0	10	52	217	10	10	0	175	254	262	516	87	258	33	8	240	31	-40	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.8
Career	—	MLE		—	482	432	67	13	3	4	40	178	8	6	1	155	240	227	466	72	251	37	8	214	31	-17	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	90	18	4	5	54	240	11	8	1	154	239	225	464	70	251	37	8	214	31	-41	+1	+0	-4	+14	-3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Valdez (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	32→37	44→49	59	174/248/247	73	264	1	1	33%	8%	43	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Romer Cuadrado 2017 · A	19	37→36	38→40	45	43	180/251/257	77	267	6	8	33%	8%	46	-2.6	202/259/294	92	320	8	7	37%	6%	57	-1.8	197/253/289	92	311	8	5	37%	6%	51	-1.5
✕Hector Martinez 2017 · A	19	36	37→40	49→50	45	175/256/245	70	256	5	11	31%	8%	46	-2.6	175/256/244	69	314	5	8	42%	8%	45	-2.7	139/228/191	53	278	5	7	47%	8%	22	-1.2
✕Abdias De La Cruz 2024 · A	19	36	39→40	44→45	46	174/260/258	84	272	7	9	36%	10%	50	-2.3	187/258/271	84	285	5	10	33%	8%	51	-2.2	179/252/275	96	262	7	9	32%	8%	48	-1.5
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	43	179/253/258	79	261	5	10	32%	8%	47	-2.6	184/236/265	81	288	6	7	36%	5%	41	-3.0	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	15	-1.2
✕Miguel Alfonzo 2007 · A	19	35	35→40	46→50	44	169/241/227	58	243	3	9	30%	8%	35	-3.4	198/272/274	76	309	6	10	35%	7%	58	-1.7	196/275/270	74	322	7	9	38%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Dennys Riera 2024 · A	19	31	36→40	48→50	42	157/222/222	65	212	4	6	27%	6%	27	-4.0	171/249/237	66	229	3	7	25%	6%	41	-3.0	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	36	36→40	48→40	38	174/232/240	66	253	3	8	31%	5%	34	-3.5	184/249/254	70	260	3	5	28%	6%	44	-2.8	164/227/230	66	246	3	2	33%	6%	29	-1.3
✕Simon Juan 2024 · A	19	35	37→45	50	38	171/231/239	68	259	4	10	34%	6%	34	-3.5	191/240/292	101	298	10	9	37%	5%	49	-2.4	180/226/285	105	283	12	10	39%	5%	39	-1.5
✕Jhonny Piron 2023 · A	19	35	39→40	47→55	46	174/261/252	78	255	7	11	32%	9%	49	-2.4	183/251/253	70	290	4	9	35%	7%	45	-2.7	124/191/158	34	207	0	12	37%	6%	-1	-1.3
✕Bryan Gonzalez 2021 · A	19	37→36	40→45	48→50	41	182/247/274	92	262	8	7	32%	7%	48	-2.5	180/239/271	91	318	9	11	43%	7%	44	-2.8	180/230/300	120	302	15	14	44%	5%	44	-1.5
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	37	37→40	52→55	39	182/236/252	70	264	4	14	31%	6%	38	-3.2	194/241/254	60	283	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.1	183/218/203	20	254	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.3
✕Enger Jimenez 2014 · A	19	33	38→40	47→50	38	166/215/247	82	232	6	9	30%	5%	29	-3.8	187/243/266	79	241	4	10	23%	6%	44	-2.8	184/243/261	77	228	3	12	20%	6%	40	-1.2
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2018 · A	19	34	36→40	46→50	47	161/270/226	66	236	3	9	30%	9%	49	-2.4	173/260/265	92	271	7	9	36%	7%	52	-2.2	147/225/230	82	281	8	19	47%	6%	29	-1.2
✕Alejandro Marte 2019 · A	19	36	39→40	49→40	41	178/240/262	84	257	7	7	32%	7%	42	-2.9	190/253/285	95	303	9	5	38%	6%	53	-2.1	158/227/252	94	258	11	2	41%	6%	35	-1.3
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	33	39→45	46→50	43	168/240/251	83	236	7	10	31%	7%	41	-3.0	191/266/296	105	275	9	11	32%	7%	61	-1.5	185/266/298	114	262	10	13	31%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Robinson Medrano 2015 · A	19	38	35→40	47→45	43	183/246/244	60	251	3	7	27%	7%	40	-3.0	192/251/269	77	251	4	7	24%	7%	48	-2.5	179/238/256	77	224	5	6	22%	7%	37	-1.0
✕Sandy Brito 2012 · A	19	35	38→40	51→45	51	162/278/245	83	275	4	5	37%	13%	55	-1.9	165/264/248	83	286	4	8	39%	12%	49	-2.4	128/238/210	82	221	4	10	39%	13%	29	-1.3
✕Roberto Perez 2008 · A	19	34	37→40	48→30	42	168/240/236	68	248	5	4	32%	7%	37	-3.3	168/239/242	74	220	6	3	25%	7%	38	-3.2	140/217/207	68	172	7	1	23%	8%	22	-1.6
✕Richgelon Juliana 2019 · A	19	38	37→40	50	45	182/260/261	80	274	4	9	33%	9%	50	-2.3	186/264/253	67	327	3	8	39%	9%	50	-2.3	142/244/174	32	282	0	7	44%	12%	24	-0.8
✕Jean Joseph 2024 · A	19	37	35→45	43→45	46	177/255/231	54	249	3	10	28%	8%	41	-3.0	196/263/289	93	270	8	6	29%	6%	57	-1.8	190/257/293	103	252	10	4	27%	6%	56	-0.8