Steven Herrera — OGILVIE

Steven HerreraSS DSL Miami

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION83 act + 68 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.164 / .250 / .246

PA68

HR1

K%32

BB%9

BABIP237

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M
Totals		$14M		$28M	+$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	180	155	24	6	0	2	19	82	4	17	5	155	264	232	496	77	301	46	11	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	180	142	38	11	0	6	32	54	4	17	5	268	416	472	888	204	381	30	18	394	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	MIA	—	83	71	8	1	0	4	9	30	2	7	3	113	232	296	527	183	105	36	11	246	46	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
YTD	18	ROK	MIA	—	83	66	12	2	0	6	14	21	2	7	3	182	341	485	826	303	150	25	17	360	134	+3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.7
ROS	18	ROK	MIA	0%	68	61	10	2	0	1	6	22	1	2	1	164	250	246	496	82	250	32	9	258	56	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	MIA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		245	—	—	245	45	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	MIA	—	83	72	8	1	0	4	9	30	2	7	3	111	232	292	523	181	103	36	11	246	46	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
TOT	18	ROK	MIA	—	151	132	18	3	0	5	15	52	3	9	4	136	240	273	513	136	171	34	10	251	51	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIA	34%	237	211	40	7	1	6	21	73	3	6	2	190	272	318	590	128	258	31	9	271	65	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2028	20	MLB	MIA	48%	366	324	64	12	2	9	33	109	6	9	2	198	284	330	614	133	263	30	9	279	71	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.4
2029	21	MLB	MIA	54%	463	411	82	15	2	12	42	135	7	12	3	200	285	333	618	134	266	29	9	284	75	-13	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.6
2030	22	MLB	MIA	57%	531	470	96	18	2	14	48	154	8	13	3	204	289	340	629	136	267	29	9	287	78	-13	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.9
2031	23	MLB	MIA	58%	578	511	105	19	3	16	53	167	9	14	4	205	291	348	640	143	268	29	9	289	79	-14	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.0
2032	24	MLB	MIA	57%	608	537	111	20	3	17	56	175	10	15	4	207	294	350	644	143	269	29	9	290	80	-14	+1	+0	+7	+17	1.2
2033	25	MLB	MIA	57%	625	552	115	21	3	18	58	179	10	15	4	208	295	355	650	147	269	29	9	291	81	-14	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.2
2034	26	MLB	MIA	57%	633	560	116	21	3	18	58	182	10	16	4	207	293	352	645	145	269	29	9	291	81	-14	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.3
2035	27	MLB	MIA	60%	633	559	116	21	3	18	59	182	10	16	4	208	295	352	647	145	268	29	9	291	81	-14	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.3
2036	28	MLB	MIA	62%	629	555	115	21	3	18	59	182	10	15	4	207	295	353	648	146	268	29	9	290	80	-14	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.1
2037	29	MLB	MIA	63%	619	545	112	20	3	17	59	180	10	14	4	206	295	347	642	141	267	29	10	288	79	-15	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.9
2038	30	MLB	MIA	63%	608	536	109	20	3	16	58	178	9	14	3	203	292	341	633	138	266	29	10	286	77	-16	+2	-2	+7	+17	0.8
2027	19	MLB	MIA	34%	81	73	13	2	0	2	7	25	1	2	1	178	259	288	547	110	254	31	9	257	55	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	MIA	48%	177	156	31	6	1	4	16	53	3	4	1	199	286	327	613	128	258	30	9	263	60	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	MIA	54%	251	222	43	8	1	6	23	73	4	6	2	194	281	320	601	126	261	29	9	268	63	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2030	22	MLB	MIA	57%	301	266	53	10	1	8	27	87	5	7	2	199	285	335	620	135	262	29	9	271	66	-12	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2031	23	MLB	MIA	58%	333	295	60	11	2	9	30	96	5	8	2	203	288	346	634	142	263	29	9	273	67	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2032	24	MLB	MIA	57%	347	307	62	11	2	9	32	100	5	9	2	202	288	339	627	137	264	29	9	274	68	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2033	25	MLB	MIA	57%	354	312	65	12	2	10	33	102	6	9	2	208	296	356	652	147	264	29	9	275	69	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2034	26	MLB	MIA	57%	358	316	65	12	2	10	33	103	6	9	2	206	293	351	644	146	264	29	9	275	69	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2035	27	MLB	MIA	60%	379	335	67	12	2	10	35	109	6	9	2	200	287	337	625	137	264	29	9	275	69	-13	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.2
2036	28	MLB	MIA	62%	389	343	70	13	2	11	37	112	6	9	2	204	293	350	643	146	263	29	10	274	68	-14	+1	-0	+4	+11	0.2
2037	29	MLB	MIA	63%	389	343	68	12	2	10	37	113	6	9	2	198	288	332	620	134	263	29	10	273	67	-15	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.1
2038	30	MLB	MIA	63%	386	340	68	12	2	10	37	113	6	9	2	200	290	335	625	135	262	29	10	270	65	-15	+1	-1	+4	+11	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3745	3309	665	121	19	99	347	1086	59	90	22	201	288	339	627	138	264	29	9	272	67	-142	+9	-3	+40	+106	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	115	21	3	17	60	188	10	16	4	200	287	336	623	136	263	29	9	272	67	-25	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	6778	5987	1215	223	31	182	629	2000	107	178	47	203	290	342	632	139	269	30	9	286	77	-178	+17	-4	+73	+192	10.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	116	21	3	17	60	192	10	17	5	202	288	338	626	136	269	30	9	286	77	-17	+1	-0	+7	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	180	142	38	11	0	6	32	54	4	17	5	268	416	472	888	204	381	30	18	394	159	+12	+1	—	—	+5	1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,896	105	95	205	289	345	+42	+24	6.3	5.6
	/162	664	18	16	205	289	345	+7.1	+4.1	1.1	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Steven Herrera (OGILVIE)	18	35	45	60	60	136/240/273	136	171	5	9	34%	10%	51	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→37	45	51→55	41	205/265/332	127	282	12	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	178/230/270	92	318	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	192/243/304	112	295	12	19	37%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Jeral Perez 2023 · A	18	42→41	47→50	49→45	47	214/282/352	138	263	14	7	24%	8%	76	+0.1	208/286/358	150	281	18	7	31%	9%	80	+0.4	201/277/358	157	269	20	6	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	45→46	38→45	55→60	46	212/281/288	76	301	6	19	30%	8%	59	-1.1	193/251/266	73	311	6	18	37%	7%	40	-2.4	212/279/312	100	297	8	33	29%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	39	45→40	53→45	44	200/265/322	122	263	12	14	28%	7%	61	-1.0	204/268/306	102	270	9	10	27%	7%	58	-1.2	186/255/279	93	257	8	7	29%	7%	44	-0.7
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→41	40→55	51→50	44	201/267/302	101	282	7	12	30%	7%	56	-1.3	197/248/287	90	281	7	11	31%	5%	44	-2.1	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→39	40→45	50→55	44	204/266/298	94	269	6	13	25%	6%	55	-1.4	206/263/306	100	292	9	17	31%	6%	56	-1.3	196/248/285	89	291	8	23	34%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→46	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	63	-0.9	210/268/306	96	286	7	34	27%	7%	58	-1.2	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Yohan Matos 2015 · A	18	44	43→45	51→45	42	216/276/330	114	300	10	8	30%	7%	68	-0.5	192/252/275	83	305	6	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→49	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	54	-1.4	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	47	-1.9	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→35	40→45	55	45	230/305/328	98	330	7	18	30%	8%	80	+0.4	188/317/307	119	267	12	20	31%	11%	83	+0.6	183/337/342	159	234	19	21	28%	12%	99	+0.8