Danny Contreras
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROKDSL Mariners 1 | 259 | .240/.360/.323 | 0 | 11 | 29 | — | .153/.248/.201 |
| 2017 | 19 | ROKSEA | 91 | .151/.319/.219 | 1 | 1 | 7 | — | .090/.220/.103 |
| 2018 | 20 | ROKAZL Mariners | 129 | .265/.323/.385 | 4 | 1 | 39 | — | .190/.228/.273 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners 2 | — | 266 | 238 | 51 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 54 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 214 | 289 | 340 | 629 | 126 | 258 | 20 | 8 | 283 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners 1 | — | 259 | 217 | 52 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 40 | 54 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 240 | 360 | 323 | 683 | 83 | 317 | 21 | 15 | 318 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 91 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 151 | 319 | 219 | 538 | 68 | 182 | 19 | 20 | 269 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Mariners | — | 129 | 117 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 265 | 323 | 385 | 707 | 120 | 307 | 21 | 8 | 314 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners 2 | — | 266 | 244 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 66 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 131 | 194 | 197 | 391 | 66 | 169 | 25 | 6 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners 1 | — | 259 | 229 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 66 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 153 | 248 | 201 | 449 | 48 | 210 | 25 | 11 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 91 | 78 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 220 | 103 | 322 | 13 | 121 | 23 | 14 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 129 | 121 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 228 | 273 | 501 | 83 | 249 | 30 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners 2 | — | 266 | 244 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 66 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 131 | 194 | 197 | 391 | 66 | 169 | 25 | 6 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners 2 | — | 266 | 238 | 51 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 54 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 214 | 289 | 340 | 629 | 126 | 258 | 20 | 8 | 283 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners 1 | — | 259 | 229 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 66 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 153 | 248 | 201 | 449 | 48 | 213 | 25 | 11 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners 1 | — | 259 | 217 | 52 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 40 | 54 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 240 | 360 | 323 | 683 | 83 | 317 | 21 | 15 | 318 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 91 | 78 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 220 | 103 | 322 | 13 | 123 | 23 | 14 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 91 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 151 | 319 | 219 | 538 | 68 | 182 | 19 | 20 | 269 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 129 | 121 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 228 | 273 | 501 | 83 | 247 | 30 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Mariners | — | 129 | 117 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 265 | 323 | 385 | 707 | 120 | 307 | 21 | 8 | 314 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners 2 | — | 266 | 245 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 66 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 131 | 194 | 196 | 390 | 65 | 169 | 25 | 6 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners 1 | — | 259 | 228 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 66 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 154 | 248 | 202 | 450 | 48 | 210 | 25 | 11 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 91 | 78 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 220 | 103 | 322 | 13 | 121 | 23 | 14 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Mariners | — | 129 | 122 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 189 | 228 | 270 | 499 | 82 | 249 | 30 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 745 | 672 | 97 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 192 | 5 | 17 | 6 | 144 | 222 | 201 | 423 | 57 | 192 | 26 | 8 | 198 | 20 | -71 | +1 | +0 | -13 | +16 | -6.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 85 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 54 | 168 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 145 | 222 | 201 | 423 | 56 | 194 | 26 | 8 | 198 | 20 | -62 | +1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -5.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 ROKAZL Mariners · 129 PAwOBA .310 → .226 (−84)K% 20.9% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.93% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 4.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.016 | ×0.995 | 23.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.016 | ×0.995 | 1.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.016 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 3.45% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .310 → .226; ISO .120 → .086; BABIP .307 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 DSLDSL Mariners · 91 PAwOBA .263 → .178 (−86)K% 18.7% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 13.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.015 | ×0.995 | 9.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.015 | ×0.995 | 2.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.015 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.84% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .263 → .178; ISO .068 → .037; BABIP .182 → .121. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 DSLDSL Mariners 1 · 259 PAwOBA .312 → .211 (−101)K% 20.8% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 10.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.002 | ×1.008 | 15.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.002 | ×1.008 | 5.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.002 | ×1.008 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .312 → .211; ISO .083 → .051; BABIP .317 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 DSLDSL Mariners 2 · 266 PAwOBA .277 → .179 (−99)K% 20.3% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.30% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 5.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.990 | ×1.022 | 11.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×1.022 | 4.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×1.022 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 1.04% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .277 → .179; ISO .126 → .070; BABIP .258 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).