Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025
19
MIXMLE
2 levels
16
15
68
272
78
15
4
94%
4.3
20.3%
6.8%
13.6%
1.9%
3.56
3.30
—
2025
19
MIXMLE
2 levels
16
15
68
272
78
15
4
94%
4.3
20.3%
6.8%
13.6%
1.9%
3.56
3.30
—
2025
19
MIXRAW
2 levels
16
15
68
272
78
15
4
94%
4.3
28.7%
5.5%
23.2%
1.5%
3.56
2.24
—
2026
20
AMLE
Visalia Rawhide
17
14
68
313
56
21
9
82%
4.0
13.2%
7.9%
5.3%
3.7%
6.35
5.04
—
2026
20
AMLE
Visalia Rawhide
17
14
68
313
56
21
9
82%
4.0
13.2%
7.9%
5.3%
3.7%
6.35
5.04
—
2026
20
ARAW
Visalia Rawhide
17
14
68
313
56
21
9
82%
4.0
17.9%
6.7%
11.2%
2.9%
6.35
4.10
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
21
MLB
ARI
10
10
48
203
32
14
6
100%
4.8
15.7%
6.8%
8.9%
3.0%
4.69
4.69
+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
22
MLBMLE
ARI
13
13
65
273
50
18
8
100%
5.0
18.2%
6.7%
11.6%
3.0%
4.52
4.42
+0.4
2029
23
MLBMLE
ARI
13
13
67
283
56
19
8
100%
5.2
19.8%
6.5%
13.2%
2.9%
4.36
4.25
+0.5
2030
24
MLBMLE
ARI
12
12
69
290
60
19
8
100%
5.7
20.7%
6.5%
14.2%
2.9%
4.24
4.15
+0.6
2031
25
MLBMLE
ARI
12
12
70
294
62
19
9
100%
5.8
21.2%
6.4%
14.8%
2.9%
4.15
4.09
+0.7
2032
26
MLBMLE
ARI
12
12
70
294
63
19
9
100%
5.8
21.4%
6.3%
15.0%
2.9%
4.10
4.07
+0.7
2033
27
MLBMLE
ARI
11
11
69
290
62
19
9
100%
6.2
21.4%
6.4%
14.9%
2.9%
4.11
4.11
+0.6
2034
28
MLBMLE
ARI
11
11
66
281
60
18
9
100%
6.0
21.2%
6.6%
14.7%
3.0%
4.16
4.19
+0.6
2035
29
MLBMLE
ARI
11
11
64
268
56
18
9
100%
5.8
21.0%
6.8%
14.2%
3.2%
4.26
4.32
+0.4
2028
22
MLBCTX
ARI
6
6
32
135
25
9
4
100%
5.3
18.2%
6.7%
11.6%
2.8%
4.43
4.33
+0.2
2029
23
MLBCTX
ARI
9
9
49
207
41
14
6
100%
5.4
19.8%
6.5%
13.2%
2.8%
4.27
4.16
+0.4
2030
24
MLBCTX
ARI
10
10
57
241
50
16
7
100%
5.7
20.7%
6.5%
14.2%
2.8%
4.15
4.06
+0.5
2031
25
MLBCTX
ARI
10
10
61
258
55
16
7
100%
6.1
21.2%
6.4%
14.8%
2.7%
4.06
4.00
+0.6
2032
26
MLBCTX
ARI
11
11
64
270
58
17
7
100%
5.8
21.4%
6.3%
15.0%
2.7%
4.01
3.98
+0.6
2033
27
MLBCTX
ARI
11
11
64
270
58
17
8
100%
5.8
21.4%
6.4%
14.9%
2.8%
4.02
4.02
+0.6
2034
28
MLBCTX
ARI
10
10
62
262
56
17
8
100%
6.2
21.2%
6.6%
14.7%
2.9%
4.07
4.10
+0.5
2035
29
MLBCTX
ARI
10
10
60
253
53
17
8
100%
6.0
21.0%
6.8%
14.2%
3.0%
4.16
4.22
+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
78
78
449
1895
394
123
53
100%
5.8
20.8%
6.5%
14.3%
2.8%
4.12
3.72
+6.4
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
35
35
200
844
176
55
24
100%
5.8
20.8%
6.5%
14.3%
2.8%
4.12
3.72
+2.9
Career
—
MLE
33
29
136
585
97
43
17
88%
4.1
16.5%
7.4%
9.2%
2.9%
4.95
4.23
+4.5
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
48
43
200
858
142
63
25
88%
4.1
16.5%
7.4%
9.2%
2.9%
4.95
4.23
+1.7
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.