Kenny Leiner — OGILVIE

Kenny Leiner P Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 225 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151143vR 135

ERA6.20

FIP6.20

K%16.6%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-3.4%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	6	0	8	41	11	10	0	0%	1.4	26.8%	24.4%	2.4%	0.0%	3.24	3.92	—
2024	23	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	6	0	8	41	11	10	0	0%	1.4	26.8%	24.4%	2.4%	0.0%	3.24	3.92	—
2024	23	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	6	0	8	41	11	10	0	0%	1.4	26.8%	24.4%	2.4%	0.0%	3.24	4.06	—
2025	24	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	32	0	41	190	46	36	0	0%	1.3	17.9%	22.4%	-4.4%	0.0%	4.87	4.42	—
2025	24	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	32	0	41	190	46	36	0	0%	1.3	17.9%	22.4%	-4.4%	0.0%	4.87	4.42	—
2025	24	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	32	0	41	190	46	36	0	0%	1.3	24.2%	18.9%	5.3%	0.0%	4.87	3.49	—
2026	25	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	28	0	30	153	33	24	4	0%	1.1	16.0%	18.5%	-2.5%	3.4%	7.42	5.96	—
2026	25	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	28	0	30	153	33	24	4	0%	1.1	16.0%	18.5%	-2.5%	3.4%	7.42	5.96	—
2026	25	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	28	0	30	153	33	24	4	0%	1.1	21.6%	15.7%	5.9%	2.6%	7.42	5.01	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	BAL	57	0	60	253	42	51	7	0%	1.1	16.6%	20.0%	-3.4%	2.9%	6.20	6.20	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	BAL	56	0	59	247	43	47	7	0%	1.0	17.2%	19.0%	-1.8%	2.9%	6.03	6.05	-0.9
2029	28	MLB MLE	BAL	54	0	57	240	42	44	7	0%	1.1	17.6%	18.4%	-0.9%	3.1%	5.96	6.00	-0.9
2028	27	MLB CTX	BAL	20	0	21	89	15	17	3	0%	1.1	17.2%	19.0%	-1.8%	2.9%	6.03	6.05	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	BAL	31	0	33	139	24	26	4	0%	1.1	17.6%	18.4%	-0.9%	3.1%	5.96	6.00	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	0	55	231	40	43	7	0%	1.1	17.4%	18.6%	-1.2%	3.0%	5.99	5.64	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	146	157	26	0%	1.1	17.4%	18.6%	-1.2%	3.0%	5.99	5.64	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		66	0	79	384	69	81	5	0%	1.2	18.1%	21.0%	-3.0%	1.4%	5.67	4.98	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		166	0	200	968	175	204	13	0%	1.2	18.1%	21.0%	-3.0%	1.4%	5.67	4.98	-3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kenny Leiner (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.20	16.6%	20.0%	2.9%	—	6.03	17.4%	-1.3%	115	-0.17	—	—	—
Mike Hepple R 2016 · 5.75 FIP	26	SU	5.75	11.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	116	84
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	83
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	82
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	81
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	81
Jake Gozzo R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	26	SU	5.04	16.2%	17.6%	2.0%	.227	4.32	15.6%	-1.3%	32	-0.72	4.32	162	81
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	81
Jake Haberer R 2021 · 6.54 FIP	26	SU	6.54	13.4%	17.5%	4.3%	.287	5.15	19.6%	4.0%	106	-1.39	3.46	183	80
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	79
Kevin Gryboski R 2002 · 5.02 FIP	28	SU	5.02	13.9%	13.4%	2.5%	.263	3.83	12.0%	2.9%	126	-1.19	3.67	178	79
Yunior Thibo R 2023 · 5.32 FIP	25	SU	5.32	14.3%	15.6%	2.7%	.231	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	110	79
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	79
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	79
Mitchell Osnowitz R 2017 · 5.30 FIP	26	SU	5.30	16.5%	18.7%	2.2%	.366	5.43	19.2%	7.7%	42	+0.13	4.54	132	78
Hunter Breault R 2024 · 5.98 FIP	25	SU	5.98	17.1%	17.6%	3.8%	.336	5.59	7.6%	-3.2%	45	-0.39	2.90	186	78
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	78
Harrison Cooney R 2018 · 6.60 FIP	26	SU	6.60	18.8%	21.9%	4.2%	.237	—	—	—	—	—	4.65	186	78
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	78
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	78
Eli Villalobos R 2023 · 5.67 FIP	26	SU	5.67	17.7%	16.4%	3.6%	.316	5.72	19.5%	8.4%	36	+0.05	3.75	214	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	17.1%	19.2%	1.15	6.07
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68