Kenny Leiner
P
Delmarva Shorebirds
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 225 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 156147vR 138
ERA6.14
FIP6.14
K%17.7%
BB%21.1%
K-BB%-3.4%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 85 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 6 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.8% | 24.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 3.24 | 3.92 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 6 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.8% | 24.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 3.24 | 4.06 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 32 | 0 | 41 | 190 | 46 | 36 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.9% | 22.4% | -4.4% | 0.0% | 4.87 | 4.42 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 32 | 0 | 41 | 190 | 46 | 36 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.2% | 18.9% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 4.87 | 3.49 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 23 | 0 | 26 | 129 | 27 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 18.3% | -2.8% | 4.0% | 7.36 | 6.32 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 45 | 53 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 21.1% | -3.4% | 2.7% | 6.14 | 6.14 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.7% | 21.1% | -3.4% | 2.7% | 6.14 | 6.14 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 85 | 380 | 72 | 73 | 11 | — | — | 18.8% | 19.2% | -0.4% | 2.8% | 6.51 | 6.19 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 46 | 50 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 19.9% | -1.4% | 2.7% | 5.94 | 5.94 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 47 | 47 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 19.1% | -0.3% | 2.8% | 5.84 | 5.85 | -0.9 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 45 | 45 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 18.8% | 0.2% | 2.9% | 5.82 | 5.86 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 20 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 19.9% | -1.4% | 2.7% | 5.94 | 5.94 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 29 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 19.1% | -0.3% | 2.8% | 5.84 | 5.85 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 34 | 34 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 18.8% | 0.2% | 2.9% | 5.82 | 5.86 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 100 | 0 | 105 | 443 | 83 | 85 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 19.2% | -0.4% | 2.8% | 5.86 | 5.50 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 158 | 162 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 19.2% | -0.4% | 2.8% | 5.86 | 5.50 | -0.2 | ||
| Career | — | 61 | 0 | 75 | 360 | 65 | 76 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.1% | 21.1% | -3.1% | 1.4% | 5.54 | 5.04 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 163 | 0 | 200 | 964 | 174 | 204 | 14 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.1% | 21.1% | -3.1% | 1.4% | 5.54 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kenny Leiner (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.14 | 17.7% | 21.1% | 2.7% | — | 5.88 | 18.8% | -0.5% | 175 | -0.26 | — | — | — |
| Josh Harlow R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 89 |
| Aroni Nina R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 16.8% | 20.5% | 1.3% | .312 | 3.06 | 18.8% | 8.7% | 64 | -1.94 | 2.68 | 115 | 89 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.06 | 18.0% | 16.1% | 2.6% | .229 | 4.27 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 142 | -0.79 | 3.89 | 272 | 85 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2027 · 6.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.27 | 16.7% | 25.2% | 2.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 103 | 85 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 3.1% | .320 | 5.49 | 17.8% | 0.5% | 40 | +0.14 | 5.17 | 116 | 85 |
| Yordy Cabrera R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.43 | 15.8% | 17.2% | 2.7% | .321 | 4.31 | 13.7% | 2.7% | 140 | -1.12 | 3.48 | 159 | 85 |
| Lukas Schiraldi R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.06 | 18.7% | 19.3% | 2.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 319 | 84 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 17.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .324 | 7.06 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 23 | +1.98 | 4.90 | 103 | 83 |
| Connor Cooke R 2025 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.36 | 17.8% | 19.9% | 2.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 103 | 82 |
| Alejandro Torres R 2026 · 6.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 6.52 | 18.3% | 20.1% | 4.4% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 103 | 82 |
| Luke Savage R 2025 · 5.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.70 | 15.0% | 17.7% | 3.0% | .358 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 117 | 82 |
| Tyler Bradt R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.09 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 2.2% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 135 | 82 |
| Leandro Linares R 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.59 | 16.2% | 22.0% | 2.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.93 | 134 | 81 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 81 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.60 | 19.9% | 17.5% | 3.6% | .214 | 4.77 | 19.0% | 3.2% | 53 | -0.83 | 3.73 | 203 | 81 |
| Jairo Beras R 2025 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.32 | 15.0% | 20.3% | 1.7% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 110 | 81 |
| Wandi Montout R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.37 | 13.4% | 18.7% | 1.9% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 103 | 81 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.04 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .270 | 3.47 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 42 | -1.57 | 3.47 | 146 | 81 |
| Jake Smith R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.60 | 18.3% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.07 | 219 | 80 |
| Yunior Thibo R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.26 | 14.3% | 15.6% | 2.5% | .231 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 110 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 59 | 18.5% | 19.7% | 1.08 | 5.94 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |