Derek DatilOF Charleston RiverDogs
Age 20 L/L 6'2" / 160 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION178 act + 118 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†41
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .263 / .279
PA118
HR1
K%33
BB%8
BABIP291
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -25.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-25BATRUN: +2.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +8.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: -1.70-1.7WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.8-1.0-0.92628
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202519 ROK2 teams 244210 43511 25603 111 205298252551 48280 2510 248 48
202519 ROK2 teams 244196 51711 39413 111 260391321712 61323 1716 328 109
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ATB 178163 27511 11723 101 166232227459 61286 406 204 14 -17 +2 +0 -1 +5 -1.2
YTD20 ATB 178156 32611 18513 101 205299276575 71295 2910 269 64 -7 +2 +0 -1 +5 -0.2
ROS20 ATB 0% 118107 21411 9391 41 195263279542 84284 338 239 41 -8 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.5
ROS20 MLBTB 0% 01 0000 000 00 288 232 36 +0 -0
FULL20 ATB 178164 27511 11723 101 165232226457 61283 406 204 14 -17 +2 +0 -1 +5 -1.2
TOT20 ATB 296270 48922 201114 142 177244248492 70288 377 218 25 -25 +2 +0 -2 +8 -1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBTB 34% 333300 601124 261064 71 200273290563 90287 328 254 52 -18 +1 +0 -2 +9 -1.0
202822 MLBTB 48% 425383 771426 341315 91 201275295570 94288 318 264 60 -19 +1 +0 -3 +12 -0.8
202721 MLBTB 34% 114103 21411 9361 20 204274291566 87290 328 246 47 -7 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
202822 MLBTB 48% 206185 38713 17642 41 205279303582 97292 318 256 54 -11 +0 +0 -1 +6 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career 320289 591124 261003 61 204278298575 93294 318 253 52 -17 +1 +0 -2 +9 -1.0
/ 162G 650587 1192248 532036 122 203276295571 92292 318 253 52 -35 +2 +0 -4 +18 -2.0
Career 11201000 20134612 9433613 314 201278283561 82287 308 255 53 -59 +5 +0 -7 +32 -3.0
/ 162G 650580 1162037 551958 182 200278281559 81286 308 255 53 -34 +3 +0 -4 +18 -1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202519 ACharleston RiverDogs 4135 7000 680 00 200317200517 259 2015 257 55 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
202519 ROKFCL Rays 203161 44711 33333 111 273406348754 75336 1616 343 120 +5 +2 +6 1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA
112,352344237273341+10+211.02.7
/162664101+3.0+5.80.3pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
2571611200272284-3+0-1.6-0.8
/162664713-4.0+0.0-1.8pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Derek Datil (OGILVIE) 20 45 20 50 60 177/244/248 70288 214 37% 7% 25 -1.7
Oswal Leones
2021 · A
20 41 36→30 46→50 46 196/259/262 66262 412 25% 7% 43 -2.2 196/259/262 66296 38 32% 7% 43 -2.2 176/243/231552712933%7%25-1.1
Cesar Ortega
2021 · A
20 47 37→30 50→55 47 222/295/295 73292 48 24% 8% 67 -0.5 211/287/287 76259 313 19% 7% 62 -0.9 195/283/2626723022115%7%51-0.6
Astolfo Inciarte
2008 · A
20 46 36→30 48→40 48 216/279/282 65287 26 24% 8% 56 -1.3 220/280/282 62267 26 17% 7% 56 -1.3 226/286/271452620413%7%53-0.7
Ronny Novas
2021 · A
20 46 34→30 47→55 46 215/278/269 54295 215 26% 8% 52 -1.6 198/254/255 57287 214 29% 7% 38 -2.6 155/198/1893425502037%5%-4-1.0
T.J. Schofield-Sam
2021 · A
20 43→48 36→40 50→40 43 201/262/270 69294 47 31% 7% 46 -2.0 214/267/309 95294 75 28% 5% 58 -1.2 217/266/305892847425%3%55-1.0
Ricardo Andujar
2013 · A
20 42→45 35→30 48→50 46 195/275/255 60279 29 29% 8% 48 -1.9 209/276/266 57275 111 22% 8% 50 -1.7 224/268/2866129721224%5%48-1.0
Sam McDonnell
2016 · A
20 45→43 36→40 45 46 211/270/277 65283 310 25% 7% 50 -1.7 205/279/288 83286 48 27% 9% 58 -1.2 197/278/281842745727%9%53-0.7
Hector Hernandez
2016 · A
20 41 35→30 46→45 45 192/262/254 62262 27 26% 7% 43 -2.2 190/260/256 66301 38 35% 8% 42 -2.3 114/195/1493422701045%8%-12-1.3
Jaden Rudd
2023 · A
20 40→36 40→30 50 49 191/283/285 94262 712 28% 10% 60 -1.0 181/291/247 66292 314 35% 10% 56 -1.3 157/284/2075026621636%11%41-1.2
Darryl Collins
2022 · A
20 43 37→40 50→45 50 205/282/277 72258 511 21% 8% 57 -1.2 203/275/281 78270 411 24% 8% 55 -1.4 189/266/265762621926%9%47-1.1
Diego Hernandez
2021 · A
20 45→51 36→40 46→60 40 214/257/278 64290 410 27% 5% 45 -2.1 225/275/298 73320 526 29% 6% 58 -1.2 226/275/2997331753229%5%55-0.9
Royce Consigli
2012 · A
20 46→45 37→40 48→50 44 218/272/298 80286 49 24% 6% 56 -1.3 204/261/297 93273 78 26% 7% 52 -1.6 169/232/264952247527%8%30-1.5
Lexer Saduy
2023 · A
20 45 36→40 48→50 46 208/283/275 67301 311 30% 8% 56 -1.3 197/266/278 81311 613 36% 7% 50 -1.7 175/248/2527728361638%6%34-1.0
Jake Fox
2023 · A
20 45→42 39→40 54→50 49 212/301/304 92297 615 28% 10% 72 -0.2 195/269/291 96274 711 29% 9% 55 -1.4 181/270/2648325351328%11%47-0.9
Dionis Paulino
2015 · A
21 43 36→40 51→50 45 201/273/271 70289 315 30% 8% 51 -1.7 209/269/282 73310 412 31% 7% 52 -1.6 208/249/2948630791134%5%41-0.8
Isaiah Greene
2022 · A
20 47→41 35→40 44→55 46 212/286/273 61325 37 33% 9% 57 -1.2 187/282/264 77315 418 37% 11% 55 -1.4 165/271/2437828142338%12%42-1.0
Cody Livesay
2013 · A
20 44 35→30 48→55 41 201/265/259 58320 310 36% 8% 44 -2.1 223/280/268 45291 217 22% 7% 52 -1.6 236/293/2551929502418%7%51-0.5
Kelvin Alarcon
2019 · A
20 43 35→30 48→55 51 200/292/258 58284 38 28% 11% 57 -1.2 209/271/272 63327 38 34% 7% 50 -1.7 201/262/235343190834%7%34-0.6
Fernando Diaz
2015 · A
20 42 35→30 50→45 53 192/296/252 60254 28 22% 10% 58 -1.2 195/292/256 61260 310 24% 10% 57 -1.2 163/305/1963319941618%13%48-0.4
Esteban González
2023 · A
20 45→43 36→45 45→55 42 209/280/281 72297 310 29% 6% 57 -1.2 209/270/322 113301 923 32% 6% 63 -0.8 202/259/328125284102831%5%58-0.7