Derek Datil — OGILVIE

Derek DatilOF Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 L/L 6'2" / 160 lbs A HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION178 act + 21 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .286 / .263

PA21

HR0

K%33

BB%10

BABIP293

ISO53

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	41	35	7	0	0	0	6	8	0	0	0	200	317	200	517		259	20	15	257	60	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	203	161	44	7	1	1	33	33	3	11	1	273	406	348	754	75	336	16	16	343	118	+4	+2	—	—	+4	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	41	37	6	0	0	0	4	11	0	0	0	162	244	162	406		241	27	10	198	20	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	203	173	38	5	1	1	21	48	3	11	1	220	315	277	592	58	277	24	10	259	61	-9	+2	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	244	210	44	5	1	1	25	60	3	11	1	210	303	257	560	48	287	25	10	249	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	244	196	51	7	1	1	39	41	3	11	1	260	391	321	712	61	323	17	16	328	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	244	214	44	5	1	1	25	60	3	11	1	206	303	252	555	47	271	25	10	249	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	244	214	44	5	1	1	25	60	3	11	1	206	303	252	555	47	271	25	10	249	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	TB	—	178	163	27	5	1	1	11	72	3	10	1	166	232	227	459	61	286	40	6	204	24	-16	+2	+0	-1	+4	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	TB	—	178	156	32	6	1	1	18	51	3	10	1	205	299	276	575	71	295	29	10	269	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	TB	0%	21	19	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	211	286	263	549	53	284	33	10	239	48	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	20	A MLE	TB	—	199	182	31	6	1	1	13	79	3	11	1	170	237	231	468	60	291	40	7	208	27	-17	+2	+0	-1	+4	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	34%	305	274	54	10	2	3	24	97	4	6	1	197	272	281	553	84	286	32	8	253	58	-15	+1	+0	-2	+7	-1.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	TB	34%	105	95	20	4	1	1	8	33	1	2	0	211	279	305	584	95	295	31	8	251	58	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	105	95	20	4	1	1	8	33	1	2	0	211	279	305	584	95	306	31	8	251	56	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	124	25	6	6	50	204	6	12	0	211	280	304	584	94	307	31	8	251	56	-33	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	570	503	102	16	3	4	51	164	7	18	2	203	285	270	556	68	290	29	9	251	56	-17	+1	+0	-2	+7	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	116	18	3	5	58	187	8	21	2	202	284	270	554	68	288	29	9	251	56	-33	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	335	3	6	198	270	273	-2	+0	-1.0	-0.5
/162	664	5	13	-4.0	+0.0	-1.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Derek Datil (OGILVIE)	20	45	20	50	60	186/258/253	67	284	1	7	33%	8%	48	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	49	-2.4	198/260/265	67	297	3	8	31%	7%	50	-2.3	180/247/237	57	275	2	9	33%	7%	36	-1.1
✕Ronny Novas 2021 · A	20	46	34→30	47→55	46	215/278/269	54	295	2	15	26%	8%	57	-1.8	198/255/256	58	289	2	14	30%	7%	46	-2.6	153/198/188	36	252	0	20	37%	5%	8	-1.0
✕Ricardo Andujar 2013 · A	20	42→45	35→30	48→50	46	195/275/255	60	279	2	9	29%	8%	54	-2.0	209/276/266	57	275	1	11	22%	8%	56	-1.9	225/269/285	60	297	2	12	24%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Astolfo Inciarte 2008 · A	20	46	36→30	48→40	48	216/279/282	65	287	2	6	24%	8%	61	-1.5	220/280/282	62	267	2	6	17%	7%	61	-1.5	226/286/271	45	262	0	4	13%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	188/279/278	90	259	6	12	28%	10%	62	-1.4	179/292/246	67	290	3	14	35%	11%	61	-1.5	155/286/207	52	265	2	16	36%	11%	49	-1.2
✕Hector Hernandez 2016 · A	20	41	35→30	46→45	45	192/262/254	62	262	2	7	26%	7%	49	-2.4	190/260/256	66	301	3	8	35%	8%	49	-2.4	114/195/149	34	227	0	10	45%	8%	1	-1.3
✕T.J. Schofield-Sam 2021 · A	20	43→47	36→40	50→40	43	201/262/270	69	294	4	7	31%	7%	52	-2.2	211/264/306	95	291	7	5	29%	5%	61	-1.5	215/266/305	89	282	7	4	25%	3%	60	-1.2
✕Darryl Collins 2022 · A	20	44	38→40	50→45	50	208/286/283	75	260	5	11	21%	8%	65	-1.2	205/279/283	78	270	4	11	24%	9%	62	-1.4	191/274/265	74	263	1	9	25%	10%	57	-1.1
✕Cesar Ortega 2021 · A	20	47	37→40	50→55	47	222/295/295	73	292	4	8	24%	8%	71	-0.8	212/288/291	79	259	4	13	18%	7%	67	-1.1	198/285/270	72	233	2	21	14%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Sam McDonnell 2016 · A	20	45→42	36→40	45	46	211/270/277	65	283	3	10	25%	7%	56	-1.9	204/274/289	85	283	4	8	27%	8%	61	-1.5	195/269/282	87	268	5	7	27%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Fernando Diaz 2015 · A	20	42	35→30	50→45	53	192/296/252	60	254	2	8	22%	10%	63	-1.4	195/292/256	61	260	3	10	24%	10%	62	-1.4	163/305/196	33	199	4	16	18%	13%	54	-0.4
✕Dionis Paulino 2015 · A	21	43	36→40	51→50	45	201/273/271	70	289	3	15	30%	8%	57	-1.8	209/269/282	73	310	4	12	31%	7%	57	-1.8	212/254/298	86	310	9	11	33%	5%	51	-0.7
✕Cody Livesay 2013 · A	20	44	35→30	48→55	41	201/265/259	58	320	3	10	36%	8%	51	-2.3	224/280/268	44	291	2	17	22%	7%	58	-1.7	238/294/256	19	296	0	24	18%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Lexer Saduy 2023 · A	20	45	36→40	48→50	45	207/282/272	65	302	3	11	30%	8%	61	-1.5	197/267/275	78	309	6	13	35%	7%	56	-1.9	176/250/248	72	282	6	16	37%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	45→41	39→40	54→50	49	210/298/303	92	292	6	15	28%	10%	74	-0.5	194/266/289	95	271	7	11	29%	9%	59	-1.7	192/278/283	91	261	5	13	26%	10%	60	-0.8
✕Jose Dilone 2021 · A	20	44	35→30	49→55	45	205/273/263	58	285	3	14	28%	8%	55	-2.0	184/259/250	66	307	4	12	38%	8%	47	-2.5	166/266/237	71	306	7	17	43%	11%	45	-0.6
✕Isaiah Greene 2022 · A	20	46→41	36→40	44→55	47	210/287/274	64	319	3	7	32%	9%	63	-1.4	186/280/264	78	312	4	18	37%	11%	59	-1.7	164/268/244	79	279	5	23	38%	12%	47	-1.1
✕Theo Bowe 2011 · A	20	46→56	35→30	49→60	44	216/276/274	58	293	3	18	26%	7%	57	-1.8	226/283/288	62	306	3	28	25%	7%	63	-1.3	226/283/286	60	301	3	36	24%	7%	60	-1.0
✕Rayneldy Rosario 2018 · A	20	46	34→30	48→55	40	217/262/264	47	287	2	17	24%	5%	49	-2.4	189/225/241	52	252	2	9	25%	4%	30	-3.8	161/188/192	30	211	1	7	24%	3%	1	-1.5
✕Cord Sandberg 2015 · A	20	40→45	37→40	46→45	44	195/257/266	71	266	5	7	28%	7%	49	-2.4	210/254/294	84	287	6	5	28%	4%	54	-2.0	203/248/296	92	298	8	5	33%	4%	50	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps