Roberto Perez

P ACL Mariners

Age 23 RHP 5'9" / 145 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ROKSEA	17	3	38	2.84	1.89	29.5%	7.1%	—	K 20.1% · BB 8.8% · FIP 3.01
2025	21	MIX2 levels	18	0	26	3.42	2.38	33.3%	11.8%	—	K 24.4% · BB 10.9% · FIP 2.42
2026	22	ROKSEA	13	8	46	2.56	1.92	23.1%	5.5%	—	K 15.7% · BB 6.9% · FIP 2.64
2027PROJ	23	MLBSEA	22	0	23	4.30	4.30	20.5%	8.0%	0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBSEA	17	0	18	4.25	4.21	21.4%	7.9%	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsClark Beeker (age 23) · Kyle Zimmer (age 23) · Jonathan Papelbon (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.30

FIP4.30

K%20.5%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%12.5%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	17	3	38	156	46	11	1	18%	2.2	20.1%	8.8%	11.2%	0.9%	2.84	3.01	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	17	3	38	156	46	11	1	18%	2.2	20.1%	8.8%	11.2%	0.9%	2.84	3.01	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	17	3	38	156	46	11	1	18%	2.2	29.5%	7.1%	22.4%	0.6%	2.84	1.89	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	26	102	34	12	1	0%	1.5	24.4%	10.9%	13.5%	0.0%	3.42	2.42	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	26	102	34	12	1	0%	1.5	24.4%	10.9%	13.5%	0.0%	3.42	2.42	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	26	102	34	12	1	0%	1.5	33.3%	11.8%	21.6%	1.0%	3.42	2.38	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	13	8	46	182	42	10	0	62%	3.5	15.7%	6.9%	8.8%	0.0%	2.56	2.64	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	13	8	46	182	42	10	0	62%	3.5	15.7%	6.9%	8.8%	0.0%	2.56	2.64	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	13	8	46	182	42	10	0	62%	3.5	23.1%	5.5%	17.6%	0.0%	2.56	1.92	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	SEA	22	0	23	97	20	8	3	0%	1.0	20.5%	8.0%	12.5%	2.8%	4.30	4.30	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	40	0	42	178	38	14	5	0%	1.1	21.4%	7.9%	13.5%	2.8%	4.25	4.21	+0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	17	0	18	76	16	6	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	7.9%	13.5%	2.8%	4.25	4.21	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	76	16	6	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	7.9%	13.5%	2.8%	4.25	3.83	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	67	22	0%	1.1	21.4%	7.9%	13.5%	2.8%	4.25	3.83	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		48	11	110	440	85	37	1	23%	2.3	19.3%	8.5%	10.8%	0.3%	2.86	2.72	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	20	200	800	154	68	3	23%	2.3	19.3%	8.5%	10.8%	0.3%	2.86	2.72	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Roberto Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.30	20.5%	8.0%	2.8%	—	4.21	21.4%	13.5%	42	-0.09	—	—	—
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	87
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	86
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	83
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	83
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	83
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	82
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	82
Chris Powell R 2016 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	16.9%	7.8%	2.0%	.266	3.53	18.8%	15.1%	28	-0.23	3.31	102	81
Clayton McGinness R 2019 · 3.85 FIP	22	SW	3.85	19.4%	4.5%	3.3%	.291	4.63	18.7%	7.8%	84	+0.78	3.85	106	80
Parker Curry R 2017 · 3.73 FIP	23	SU	3.73	22.5%	8.2%	2.7%	.341	4.62	18.6%	11.6%	193	+0.89	3.73	256	80
Jake Westbrook R 2001 · 3.62 FIP	23	SW	3.62	16.6%	6.2%	2.1%	.335	4.18	11.7%	4.3%	390	+0.56	3.62	1,741	80
Yunior Montero R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	23	SW	3.65	21.9%	11.9%	1.6%	.239	5.21	21.3%	3.7%	54	+1.56	3.65	127	80
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	80
Fred Villarreal R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	23	SU	3.93	17.6%	6.8%	2.6%	.331	3.64	14.1%	3.5%	63	-0.29	3.64	114	79
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	79
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	79
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	79
Ryan Watson R 2021 · 3.11 FIP	23	SW	3.11	21.9%	6.8%	1.8%	.324	4.48	19.6%	10.9%	229	+1.37	3.11	416	78
Justin Lasko R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	22	SU	3.66	17.1%	8.6%	1.7%	.286	4.62	15.8%	8.1%	152	+0.96	3.66	173	78
Adam Bernero R 2000 · 4.15 FIP	23	SW	4.15	14.2%	8.5%	2.1%	.283	4.88	14.2%	6.3%	247	+0.73	3.45	376	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	21.1%	7.9%	1.08	4.27
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Ed Vosberg ('86-'02, 1 WAR*)	1.2	47	21.0%*	9.6%*	0.86*	4.06*
Gary Wayne ('89-'94, 2 WAR*)	1.2	62	19.9%*	9.4%*	1.05*	3.88*