Ethan Sloan
P
West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 23
LHP
5'11" / 190 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123132vR 142
ERA5.46
FIP5.46
K%14.6%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%2.5%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 25.0% | 33.3% | -8.3% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 5.21 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 25.0% | 33.3% | -8.3% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 6.70 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 34 | 0 | 47 | 203 | 41 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 14.9% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.61 | 5.10 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 34 | 0 | 47 | 203 | 41 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 2.0% | 3.61 | 3.61 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 20 | 0 | 24 | 123 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 11.9% | 14.0% | -2.1% | 4.1% | 9.38 | 6.10 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | DET | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 32 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.6% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.46 | 5.46 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.6% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.46 | 5.46 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | DET | — | — | 76 | 344 | 51 | 42 | 11 | — | — | 14.9% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.69 | 5.66 | -0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 14.6% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.46 | 5.08 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | DET | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.5% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.25 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | DET | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 40 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 5.10 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | DET | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | DET | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.5% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.25 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | DET | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 27 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 5.10 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | DET | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 33 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 98 | 0 | 103 | 433 | 76 | 48 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 5.10 | 4.67 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 148 | 94 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 5.10 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 56 | 0 | 73 | 338 | 48 | 42 | 12 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.2% | 12.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 5.67 | 5.47 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 153 | 0 | 200 | 926 | 131 | 116 | 33 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.2% | 12.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 5.67 | 5.47 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ethan Sloan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.46 | 14.6% | 12.1% | 3.1% | — | 5.07 | 17.4% | 6.3% | 162 | -0.39 | — | — | — |
| Josh Mitchell L 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.54 | 14.6% | 11.9% | 4.0% | .325 | 2.96 | 19.0% | 11.1% | 44 | -2.58 | 2.96 | 100 | 87 |
| Chris Reed L 2028 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.08 | 4.84 | 137 | 87 |
| Jordan Mills L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 13.9% | 12.7% | 1.4% | .323 | 2.70 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 114 | -1.61 | 2.64 | 210 | 86 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.61 | 12.6% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .266 | 4.08 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 101 | -1.53 | 3.54 | 146 | 86 |
| Trevor Seidenberger L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.63 | 18.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .248 | 6.50 | 13.1% | -1.8% | 52 | +1.87 | 4.63 | 101 | 85 |
| Jaden Woods L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.49 | 18.4% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .326 | 3.15 | 28.9% | 18.6% | 37 | -1.34 | 1.50 | 174 | 85 |
| Kirby Snead L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.45 | 15.4% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .300 | 3.19 | 25.5% | 16.0% | 92 | -1.26 | 2.09 | 365 | 84 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.92 | 17.0% | 15.6% | 2.3% | .329 | 4.18 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 109 | -0.74 | 4.06 | 135 | 83 |
| Cam Alldred L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.60 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .323 | 4.25 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 132 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 332 | 83 |
| Jake Dahlberg L 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.06 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.9% | .306 | 3.11 | 13.0% | 7.4% | 47 | -1.95 | 3.11 | 226 | 83 |
| Bryan Harper L 2028 · 4.93 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.93 | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .236 | 4.35 | 17.1% | 5.3% | 92 | -0.58 | 3.97 | 133 | 83 |
| Luis Rico L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.43 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 2.6% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 199 | 83 |
| Felix Carvallo L 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.41 | 17.7% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 132 | 82 |
| Matt Minnick L 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 81 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 81 |
| Brian Moran L 2029 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 81 |
| Chris Nunn L 2027 · 5.94 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.94 | 13.9% | 16.8% | 3.4% | .350 | 3.97 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 37 | -1.97 | 3.26 | 180 | 80 |
| Frank Garces L 2028 · 5.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.88 | 16.7% | 13.3% | 4.6% | .267 | 4.13 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 114 | -1.75 | 4.13 | 306 | 80 |
| Juliandry Higuera L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.53 | 13.8% | 14.1% | 1.5% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 197 | 80 |
| Manuel Chavez L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.29 | 17.8% | 11.1% | 2.4% | .312 | 4.51 | 27.7% | 13.7% | 23 | +0.22 | 3.69 | 113 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 54 | 16.7% | 11.4% | 1.17 | 5.21 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |