Harlin Naut

P FCL Orioles

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 161 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	20	ROKBAL	11	2	31	2.30	3.45	18.5%	8.5%	—	K 12.6% · BB 10.6% · FIP 4.56
2026	21	ROKBAL	3	1	12	2.31	3.44	8.0%	8.0%	—	K 5.4% · BB 10.0% · FIP 3.91
2027PROJ	22	MLBBAL	10	0	11	4.76	4.76	19.0%	10.0%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBBAL	13	0	14	4.60	4.53	20.4%	9.3%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsKyle Zurak (age 22) · Joangel Gonzalez (age 20) · Justin Lasko (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%19.0%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%9.0%

Proj IP11

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	7	0	10	41	7	4	0	0%	1.5	17.1%	9.8%	7.3%	0.0%	1.74	2.89	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	7	0	10	41	7	4	0	0%	1.5	17.1%	9.8%	7.3%	0.0%	1.74	2.89	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	7	0	10	41	7	4	0	0%	1.5	17.1%	9.8%	7.3%	0.0%	1.74	2.91	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	11	2	31	130	24	11	2	18%	2.8	12.6%	10.6%	2.0%	2.2%	2.30	4.56	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	11	2	31	130	24	11	2	18%	2.8	12.6%	10.6%	2.0%	2.2%	2.30	4.56	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	11	2	31	130	24	11	2	18%	2.8	18.5%	8.5%	10.0%	1.5%	2.30	3.45	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	3	1	12	50	4	4	0	33%	3.9	5.4%	10.0%	-4.6%	0.0%	2.31	3.91	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	3	1	12	50	4	4	0	33%	3.9	5.4%	10.0%	-4.6%	0.0%	2.31	3.91	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	3	1	12	50	4	4	0	33%	3.9	8.0%	8.0%	0.0%	0.0%	2.31	3.44	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	BAL	10	0	11	46	9	5	1	0%	1.1	19.0%	10.0%	9.0%	2.9%	4.76	4.76	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	28	0	29	124	25	12	4	0%	1.0	20.4%	9.3%	11.1%	2.9%	4.60	4.53	+0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	13	0	14	59	12	6	2	0%	1.1	20.4%	9.3%	11.1%	2.9%	4.60	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	61	12	6	2	0%	1.0	20.4%	9.3%	11.1%	2.9%	4.60	4.15	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	83	28	0%	1.1	20.4%	9.3%	11.1%	2.9%	4.60	4.15	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		21	3	53	221	26	23	3	14%	2.5	11.8%	10.3%	1.5%	1.3%	2.19	4.10	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		79	11	200	829	98	85	10	14%	2.5	11.8%	10.3%	1.5%	1.3%	2.19	4.10	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Harlin Naut (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	19.0%	10.0%	2.9%	—	4.53	20.4%	11.1%	29	-0.23	—	—	—
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	89
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	83
Justin Lasko R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	22	SU	3.66	17.1%	8.6%	1.7%	.286	4.62	15.8%	8.1%	152	+0.96	3.66	173	83
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	82
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	82
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	82
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	82
Dan Wheeler R 2000 · 3.82 FIP	22	SW	3.82	15.3%	8.1%	1.8%	.325	4.16	15.7%	9.7%	69	+0.34	2.77	641	82
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	82
Michael Bowden R 2009 · 4.96 FIP	22	SU	4.96	16.0%	8.0%	4.0%	.370	4.45	19.3%	9.7%	75	-0.51	3.21	269	81
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	81
Reece Karalus R 2016 · 4.80 FIP	22	SU	4.80	18.5%	8.6%	4.0%	.298	4.81	14.8%	4.1%	103	+0.01	4.73	149	81
Enrique De Los Rios R 2016 · 4.40 FIP	21	SU	4.40	16.4%	10.8%	2.4%	.289	3.85	13.6%	8.3%	126	-0.55	3.57	166	81
Connor Eller R 2016 · 4.35 FIP	22	SU	4.35	16.7%	7.5%	3.1%	.222	4.55	10.8%	-1.2%	136	+0.20	3.79	170	81
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	81
Brandon Beckel R 2024 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	19.4%	10.3%	1.8%	.250	4.23	19.5%	10.5%	147	+0.48	3.75	194	81
Ben Madison R 2019 · 3.72 FIP	21	SU	3.72	16.9%	10.0%	1.5%	.268	2.47	31.3%	15.4%	27	-1.25	2.47	183	80
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	80
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	80
Robbie Welhaf R 2018 · 4.06 FIP	23	SU	4.06	14.0%	7.6%	2.1%	.309	3.11	18.1%	15.0%	90	-0.95	3.11	121	80