Camden Johnson — OGILVIE

Camden JohnsonSS Columbia Fireflies

Age 22 L/R A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 92 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .267 / .302

PA92

HR1

K%33

BB%7

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

SPEED70

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	84	67	15	1	2	1	11	27	2	13	4	224	350	343	693	119	326	32	13	306	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	84	70	14	1	2	1	8	37	2	13	4	200	300	314	614	114	294	44	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	84	70	14	1	2	1	8	37	2	13	4	200	300	314	614	114	361	44	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	84	67	15	1	2	1	11	27	2	13	4	224	350	343	693	119	326	32	13	306	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	84	74	14	1	2	1	8	37	2	13	4	189	300	297	597	108	294	44	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	84	74	14	1	2	1	8	37	2	13	4	189	300	297	597	108	294	44	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	0%	194	175	35	5	2	3	15	64	2	7	1	199	269	304	574	106	291	33	8	260	62	-9	+1	+1	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	25%	182	164	33	5	2	3	14	59	2	6	1	202	273	312	585	110	291	32	8	265	66	-7	+1	+1	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	KC	36%	293	265	54	8	3	5	22	94	4	9	1	205	276	319	595	114	292	32	8	269	68	-11	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	KC	43%	362	327	68	10	4	7	28	114	4	11	1	208	279	324	603	117	292	31	8	272	70	-13	+2	+1	+4	+8	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	KC	47%	406	367	76	11	4	8	31	126	5	12	2	209	281	328	609	119	292	31	8	275	72	-14	+2	+1	+4	+9	0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	KC	48%	427	386	80	12	4	8	33	131	5	13	2	210	282	330	611	120	292	31	8	276	73	-14	+2	+2	+5	+9	0.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	KC	48%	437	395	81	12	4	8	34	135	5	12	2	208	280	325	605	117	291	31	8	273	71	-15	+2	+1	+5	+9	0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	KC	48%	435	393	81	12	4	8	34	136	5	12	1	206	277	319	596	113	289	31	8	270	69	-16	+2	+0	+5	+9	0.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	KC	47%	431	390	79	12	4	7	33	136	5	11	1	203	274	312	586	109	288	32	8	265	66	-18	+2	-1	+5	+9	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	25%	45	41	9	1	1	1	3	15	1	1	0	200	271	308	579	107	290	33	7	263	66	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	KC	36%	106	96	20	3	1	2	8	34	1	3	0	203	275	314	589	111	291	32	8	266	68	-4	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	KC	43%	155	140	29	4	2	3	12	49	2	5	1	206	277	319	596	113	291	32	8	269	70	-5	+1	+1	+2	+3	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	KC	47%	189	170	35	5	2	3	15	59	2	6	1	207	279	323	601	115	291	31	8	272	72	-6	+1	+1	+2	+4	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	KC	48%	203	183	38	6	2	4	16	62	2	6	1	208	280	324	604	116	290	31	8	273	73	-7	+1	+1	+2	+4	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	KC	48%	211	191	39	6	2	4	16	65	2	6	1	206	278	320	598	113	289	31	8	270	71	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	KC	48%	207	187	38	6	2	3	16	65	2	6	1	204	275	314	589	110	288	31	8	267	69	-8	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	KC	47%	203	183	37	6	2	3	16	64	2	5	1	201	272	307	579	106	286	32	8	263	66	-8	+1	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1319	1191	245	37	14	23	102	413	14	38	6	206	276	318	594	113	291	31	8	269	69	-47	+5	+3	+14	+29	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	120	18	7	11	50	204	7	19	3	204	274	315	590	111	291	31	8	269	69	-23	+3	+1	+7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3149	2841	582	85	32	56	244	999	38	102	15	205	277	316	593	112	292	32	8	270	69	-111	+13	+7	+33	+66	0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	121	18	7	12	50	206	8	21	3	206	278	323	600	116	293	32	8	270	69	-24	+3	+1	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.1	1,410	26	41	207	275	323	+15	+8	0.9	0.9
/162	664	12	19	+7.1	+3.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Camden Johnson (OGILVIE)	22	50	40	70	—	197/267/302	105	291	1	3	33%	7%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕D'Shawn Knowles 2022 · A	21	41→50	40	60→55	33	193/236/289	96	319	6	21	40%	5%	46	-2.6	215/271/294	79	337	4	19	34%	7%	60	-1.6	217/278/288	71	335	3	20	33%	7%	59	-1.1
✕Darin Mastroianni 2009 · A	23	41→51	38→40	60	41	200/252/275	76	276	5	22	29%	6%	49	-2.4	251/316/325	74	320	3	35	21%	8%	84	+0.2	261/328/336	76	325	2	38	19%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Eric Jenkins 2019 · A	22	40→42	37→40	59→55	33	192/231/264	73	307	4	23	38%	5%	38	-3.2	180/235/261	81	313	6	21	41%	6%	40	-3.1	123/188/191	68	226	6	28	46%	7%	5	-2.8
✕Duke Ellis 2022 · A	24	37→47	38→40	55→80	36	182/235/256	74	279	7	24	36%	6%	39	-3.1	208/267/293	85	315	8	43	34%	6%	59	-1.6	238/288/332	95	331	8	94	29%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Hilton Richardson 2011 · A	22	40→36	39→40	58→55	39	194/240/280	86	271	5	22	30%	5%	46	-2.6	201/251/290	89	300	7	12	33%	6%	52	-2.2	179/230/247	68	292	6	4	39%	6%	31	-1.2
✕Willie Joe Garry Jr. 2022 · A	22	39	39→45	56→55	36	175/246/264	89	324	6	19	45%	8%	45	-2.7	184/252/291	107	318	7	22	41%	7%	53	-2.1	177/248/298	121	309	7	28	42%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	38	39→45	60→55	35	183/230/277	93	286	5	18	36%	5%	41	-3.0	202/245/291	89	293	6	17	31%	5%	50	-2.3	206/229/274	68	271	5	26	26%	2%	36	-0.8
✕Nick Schnell 2022 · A	22	37→45	44→50	52→50	37	175/251/281	106	313	12	14	45%	8%	52	-2.2	187/248/305	118	326	13	8	44%	7%	56	-1.9	212/263/364	153	309	17	13	36%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Lane Adams 2011 · A	21	43→45	37→50	57→60	40	204/256/278	73	298	4	14	31%	6%	51	-2.3	212/261/312	100	298	8	14	30%	6%	61	-1.5	224/277/350	126	304	14	36	30%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Grant Witherspoon 2019 · A	22	39→46	40→50	52→50	36	192/241/285	93	289	8	9	35%	5%	47	-2.5	197/246/304	107	278	11	12	32%	6%	54	-2.0	212/271/360	149	286	18	14	32%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Jon Matthews 2014 · A	23	41	37→40	58→60	41	196/260/272	76	275	5	25	29%	6%	52	-2.2	227/293/293	66	309	3	16	25%	7%	69	-0.9	237/306/288	52	320	2	16	24%	8%	70	-0.4
✕Kenny Wilson 2011 · A	21	38→48	35→40	56→60	41	177/252/232	55	286	2	26	36%	8%	40	-3.0	200/272/272	72	297	4	28	31%	7%	57	-1.8	232/284/321	90	316	5	29	27%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	195/261/308	113	264	9	19	28%	7%	59	-1.3
✕Dalton Kelly 2016 · A	21	43→53	36→45	58→50	44	189/277/263	74	328	2	14	39%	10%	57	-1.8	237/307/343	106	333	6	12	28%	8%	86	+0.3	238/320/344	106	328	8	13	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Joe Mahoney 2010 · A	23	44→54	41→50	56→50	36	214/250/317	103	299	8	13	31%	4%	58	-1.7	246/284/379	133	320	13	10	26%	4%	85	+0.2	255/293/393	138	321	13	8	24%	4%	91	+0.5
✕Matt McPhearson 2017 · A	22	44→52	33→30	55	41	199/263/241	42	315	2	26	35%	7%	46	-2.6	223/273/282	59	325	1	22	29%	6%	58	-1.7	230/278/283	53	331	0	27	29%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Maximo Mendez 2010 · A	23	41→39	38→40	57→55	36	183/250/267	84	331	5	19	43%	7%	47	-2.5	197/257/281	84	344	7	18	41%	7%	53	-2.1	162/218/202	41	297	6	28	45%	6%	18	-1.2
✕Omar De Los Santos 2022 · A	22	40	40→45	57→65	34	196/242/289	93	299	7	17	36%	4%	49	-2.4	181/227/287	106	314	11	37	44%	4%	43	-2.8	147/191/238	91	248	11	46	44%	4%	16	-2.4
✕Aaron Whitefield 2019 · A	22	40→48	39→40	54→60	37	195/247/278	82	289	7	24	34%	6%	48	-2.5	186/235/259	73	302	5	26	38%	5%	39	-3.1	210/267/307	97	310	8	38	33%	7%	61	-0.8
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	40	37→45	55→45	39	195/234/270	75	262	4	7	27%	5%	40	-3.0	244/269/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps