Sung-Mun Song — OGILVIE

Sung-Mun Song3B El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 29 L/R 6'0" / 194 lbs MLB HR -7% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION208 act + 138 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .305 / .315

PA138

HR2

SB5

K%25

BB%9

BABIP293

ISO89

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT45

xwOBA

240.278

POWER34

Barrel%

315.8

Avg EV

1686.5

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED65

Sprint

4227.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$2M	+0.0	$0.2M	-$1M
2027	Ext	$4M	+0.2	$0.7M	-$3M
2028	Ext	$4M	+0.1	$0.3M	-$3M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$9M		$1M	-$7M

Options · projected decision
2030	MUTUAL OPT	$1.1M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2031	PLAYER OPT	$4.0M / $1.0M buyout	EXERCISE
2032	MUTUAL OPT	$7.0M / $1.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	SD	—	208	187	42	5	0	2	21	51	0	12	2	225	303	283	586	59	299	25	10	267	63	-9	+2	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
YTD	29	AAA	SD	—	208	184	47	6	0	2	24	43	0	12	2	255	341	321	662	65	324	21	12	307	93	-2	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.7
ROS	29	AAA	SD	100%	138	123	28	5	0	2	13	34	1	5	1	226	305	315	620	89	290	25	9	284	76	-4	+1	+0	+0	+4	0.1
ROS	29	MLB	SD	100%	139	124	28	5	0	2	13	34	1	5	1	226	304	315	619	89	286	24	9	278	71	-5	+1	+0	+0	+4	0.0
FULL	29	AAA	SD	—	347	311	70	10	0	4	34	85	1	17	3	225	303	296	599	71	296	24	10	272	66	-13	+2	+0	+1	+10	-0.0
TOT	29	AAA	SD	—	346	310	70	10	0	4	34	85	1	17	3	225	304	296	600	71	296	25	10	274	68	-12	+2	+0	+1	+10	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	SD	65%	456	407	92	16	1	7	44	111	2	15	3	226	305	322	627	96	290	24	10	286	77	-12	+2	-2	+2	+13	0.3
2028	31	MLB	SD	65%	441	394	88	15	1	7	42	108	2	13	3	223	301	320	621	96	288	24	10	285	76	-12	+1	-3	+2	+12	0.1
2027	30	MLB	SD	65%	296	264	59	10	1	4	28	72	2	10	2	223	303	314	617	91	287	24	9	279	72	-9	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.0
2028	31	MLB	SD	65%	287	256	57	10	1	4	27	70	2	8	2	223	302	316	618	94	285	24	9	278	71	-10	+1	-2	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	722	644	144	25	2	10	68	176	5	23	5	224	303	315	618	92	291	24	9	278	71	-24	+3	-3	+3	+20	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	130	23	2	9	61	158	5	21	5	224	304	317	621	93	291	24	9	278	71	-21	+2	-3	+2	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	1035	924	208	36	2	16	99	253	5	33	7	225	303	320	623	95	291	24	10	285	77	-27	+4	-5	+4	+29	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	131	23	1	10	62	159	3	21	4	226	303	321	624	95	292	24	10	285	77	-17	+3	-3	+2	+18	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	875	13	34	225	303	323	+3	+2	0.7	0.7
	/162	664	10	26	225	303	323	+2.4	+1.1	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sung-Mun Song (OGILVIE)	29	45	34	65	56	225/304/296	71	296	4	17	25%	10%	68	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ian Miller 2021 · MLB	29	46→56	43→40	58→60	43	225/276/337	112	275	10	29	22%	6%	69	-0.4	228/277/322	94	285	7	21	21%	6%	66	-0.6	230/279/303	73	289	3	25	20%	5%	59	-0.7
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	47→40	57→55	48	204/301/338	134	290	15	26	32%	10%	82	+0.5	218/311/327	109	288	9	16	25%	10%	82	+0.5	212/323/302	89	272	5	13	21%	12%	80	+0.2
✕Garrett Stubbs 2022 · MLB	29	45	43→45	53→50	53	220/304/331	110	272	10	15	22%	10%	80	+0.4	227/306/347	120	292	12	12	25%	9%	85	+0.7	217/300/315	98	284	9	12	25%	9%	73	-0.0
✕Todd Donovan 2008 · AAA	29	50→53	39→40	61→65	46	236/293/324	88	288	6	38	20%	6%	72	-0.2	233/306/311	78	304	4	35	22%	9%	75	-0.0	234/314/303	69	308	3	42	23%	10%	74	-0.1
✕Anthony Jackson 2012 · AA	28	52→56	38→40	55	48	248/306/328	80	299	6	23	19%	7%	79	+0.3	235/303/328	93	294	8	21	21%	8%	79	+0.3	217/300/283	66	272	5	31	20%	9%	64	-0.3
✕Adam Stern 2010 · AAA	30	52→56	38→40	55	45	248/292/332	84	295	5	23	17%	5%	73	-0.1	253/306/358	105	307	8	15	19%	7%	86	+0.8	274/332/382	108	334	8	11	19%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Tyler Graham 2014 · AAA	30	48→56	39→40	60→65	44	230/292/318	89	291	6	33	22%	6%	71	-0.3	230/274/310	80	286	7	28	21%	4%	61	-1.0	234/273/287	53	289	4	38	20%	4%	50	-1.3
✕Rich Thompson 2008 · AAA	29	53→61	39→45	59→65	46	249/306/346	96	300	5	26	18%	6%	84	+0.6	249/299/345	96	305	5	27	19%	6%	80	+0.4	265/314/370	105	322	4	44	18%	4%	90	+0.8
✕Brad Coon 2012 · AAA	29	47→57	37→40	52→60	49	223/289/301	78	286	4	16	22%	8%	66	-0.6	214/289/296	82	280	5	16	23%	9%	64	-0.8	199/283/258	58	262	3	18	22%	10%	50	-1.0
✕Luis Bolivar 2010 · AAA	29	45→55	42→45	60→55	39	221/261/332	111	279	9	27	24%	4%	61	-1.0	205/247/306	101	277	9	20	29%	4%	49	-1.8	184/227/266	82	259	8	18	31%	4%	27	-2.1
✕Quintin Berry 2014 · MLB	29	47→57	38→40	63→65	46	219/290/294	75	298	5	38	26%	8%	64	-0.8	227/294/295	68	305	4	33	25%	8%	66	-0.6	229/297/285	56	312	3	37	25%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Wynton Bernard 2021 · AAA	30	45→55	42→45	56→60	43	220/268/329	110	279	9	25	24%	6%	63	-0.8	222/272/341	119	283	11	29	24%	6%	69	-0.4	241/291/361	120	296	11	37	22%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Matt Angle 2014 · MLB	28	46→56	39→40	57→60	43	218/281/304	87	302	7	22	29%	7%	63	-0.9	205/265/278	73	300	5	18	31%	7%	50	-1.8	187/249/226	39	279	1	18	31%	7%	26	-1.3
✕Ben Copeland 2012 · AAA	28	50→55	43→45	54→55	46	244/296/365	121	304	9	19	22%	7%	85	+0.7	212/258/327	115	273	10	19	25%	6%	59	-1.1	156/192/240	84	201	7	28	26%	4%	4	-1.6
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	43→51	44→45	54→55	50	211/304/325	114	268	12	21	24%	9%	79	+0.3	200/298/284	84	273	7	21	27%	10%	67	-0.5	173/285/221	48	247	3	23	28%	11%	45	-1.8
✕Drew Jackson 2022 · AAA	29	43	45	57→55	47	207/296/332	126	302	13	28	33%	10%	78	+0.2	215/291/329	114	357	12	21	39%	9%	74	-0.1	187/265/256	69	364	8	20	46%	9%	41	-0.8
✕Matt Long 2015 · AAA	28	44→53	44→50	55	44	217/273/334	117	286	11	21	28%	7%	67	-0.5	200/252/305	105	265	10	14	27%	6%	51	-1.7	176/227/269	94	228	8	11	26%	6%	30	-2.6
✕Hernan Iribarren 2013 · AAA	29	49→59	37→40	54→55	46	232/283/304	72	293	5	18	22%	6%	63	-0.9	231/280/297	66	295	3	13	21%	6%	59	-1.1	268/302/341	73	327	4	3	18%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Tyler Wade 2023 · MLB	28	44→54	41→40	57→60	49	216/288/311	95	273	8	35	23%	9%	68	-0.5	227/294/306	79	301	6	35	25%	8%	69	-0.4	226/297/286	59	306	4	40	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Manuel Alfonso 2006 · AAA	29	52	43→30	53→55	45	250/308/363	114	300	10	20	20%	6%	89	+1.0	237/286/304	67	302	4	16	21%	5%	64	-0.8	243/295/292	48	309	0	19	20%	5%	60	-0.4