Sung-Mun Song — OGILVIE

Sung-Mun Song3B San Diego Padres

Age 29 L/R 6'0" / 194 lbs MLB HR +5% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION269 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP272

ISO96

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 47 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT47

xAVG

100.182

POWER41

Barrel%

174.0

Avg EV

2987.5

EYE80

scouting grade only

SPEED52

Sprint

4327.2

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%23%·24% over 46 PA (60d) · proj 23%

BB%11%·11% over 46 PA (60d) · proj 11%

ISO.083▼.027 over 37 AB (60d) · proj .096

BABIP.278·.185 over 27 BIP (60d) · proj .281

SLASH.215/.303/.298▼proj .221/.309/.317

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Ext	$4M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$-1M	-$5M

Options · projected decision
2030	MUTUAL OPT	$1.1M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2031	PLAYER OPT	$4.0M / $1.0M buyout	EXERCISE
2032	MUTUAL OPT	$7.0M / $1.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	29	MLB MLE	SD	—	269	239	49	6	0	2	26	64	0	14	5	205	283	255	538	50	270	24	10	242	50	-16	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	SD	—	144	122	23	4	0	1	18	27	0	13	4	189	293	246	539	57	232	19	12	250	50	-9	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
YTD	29	AAA RAW	SD	—	125	113	30	3	0	1	12	29	0	1	1	265	336	319	655	53	349	23	10	303	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	MLB RAW	SD	—	144	122	23	4	0	1	18	27	0	13	4	189	293	246	539	57	232	19	12	250	56	-8	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
ROS	29	MLB MLE	SD	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		275	20	10	273	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	SD	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		272	20	10	269	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	29	MLB A+C	SD	—	154	131	24	4	0	1	19	29	0	13	4	183	287	237	523	53	225	19	12	252	51	-9	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
TOT	29	MLB MLE	SD	—	279	248	50	6	0	2	27	66	0	14	5	202	280	250	530	48	265	24	10	243	51	-16	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	SD	65%	454	402	87	15	1	6	47	106	2	16	5	216	302	303	605	87	277	23	10	276	73	-14	+1	-2	+2	+10	-0.4
2027	30	MLB CTX	SD	65%	295	262	56	9	1	4	30	69	1	10	3	214	297	302	598	88	274	23	10	272	73	-9	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	305	271	57	9	1	4	31	71	1	10	3	210	294	295	589	85	269	23	10	272	73	-10	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	122	19	2	9	66	151	2	21	6	211	294	298	592	87	269	23	10	272	73	-21	+2	-3	+2	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	464	411	88	15	1	6	48	108	2	16	5	214	299	299	599	85	274	23	10	276	73	-15	+1	-2	+2	+10	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	122	21	1	8	67	151	3	22	7	212	297	293	591	82	271	23	10	276	73	-21	+2	-3	+2	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	2.6	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
/162	664	3	29	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	0.9	627	7	29	211	298	293	+2	+2	0.0	0.0
/162	664	8	30	+2.4	+1.6	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sung-Mun Song (OGILVIE)	29	47	41	52	80	213/297/290	78	275	2	7	23%	10%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Flavio Romero 2009 · AAA	29	48→56	39→45	50→60	56	226/316/316	90	277	6	24	19%	11%	84	+0.1	245/333/311	66	302	4	20	18%	11%	88	+0.5	257/350/302	45	319	1	22	17%	12%	92	+0.4
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2011 · MLB	28	51→57	38→40	56→60	56	238/314/315	78	277	5	24	15%	10%	82	-0.0	244/305/330	86	298	4	26	18%	8%	81	-0.1	250/306/325	75	309	2	27	18%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Brad Coon 2012 · AAA	29	49→57	37→40	52→60	49	230/296/309	79	291	4	16	21%	8%	74	-0.6	220/293/302	82	283	5	16	22%	9%	72	-0.7	206/287/265	59	266	3	18	21%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Garrett Stubbs 2022 · MLB	29	45	42→45	53→50	53	218/303/322	104	272	9	15	22%	10%	80	-0.1	228/308/344	116	295	11	12	25%	10%	86	+0.3	217/300/314	97	286	9	12	25%	9%	76	-0.1
✕Jonathan Johnson 2016 · A	27	50→52	40	52→50	57	234/322/327	93	264	6	15	14%	10%	88	+0.5	228/311/316	88	279	6	14	19%	9%	82	-0.0	220/315/284	64	279	2	18	20%	10%	74	-0.3
✕Sherman Johnson 2018 · AAA	28	43→50	40→45	52→50	51	206/285/301	95	261	8	15	23%	9%	69	-0.9	207/277/309	102	286	8	11	28%	9%	67	-1.1	178/263/274	95	256	7	6	31%	9%	51	-0.9
✕Delino DeShields 2022 · MLB	29	48→55	40→45	57→65	52	226/310/319	94	300	7	25	25%	10%	82	-0.0	209/301/279	70	304	5	29	29%	11%	70	-0.8	199/301/238	40	317	1	35	33%	12%	59	-0.8
✕Travis Jankowski 2020 · MLB	29	53→63	37→40	53→65	50	249/317/318	69	320	5	26	22%	9%	83	+0.1	238/323/317	79	307	5	24	22%	11%	86	+0.3	242/344/305	63	304	2	35	18%	13%	86	+0.1
✕Brian Bogusevic 2013 · MLB	29	47→55	43→45	56→55	49	227/304/342	115	290	10	22	24%	9%	85	+0.2	248/314/377	129	313	13	18	23%	8%	96	+1.0	257/316/382	124	324	13	19	23%	7%	95	+0.7
✕Jace Peterson 2019 · MLB	29	46→56	42→50	53→55	57	221/315/332	111	274	8	17	21%	12%	86	+0.3	236/316/376	140	291	13	18	22%	10%	97	+1.1	238/316/380	142	295	14	19	23%	10%	95	+0.6
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	44→51	42→40	54→55	52	215/312/321	106	274	10	21	24%	10%	84	+0.2	203/304/283	80	278	6	21	27%	10%	73	-0.6	177/289/221	44	253	3	23	27%	11%	53	-1.8
✕Sam Fuld 2011 · MLB	29	52→58	40→45	56→60	57	241/311/343	102	265	5	21	11%	9%	86	+0.3	228/298/328	100	261	6	25	14%	9%	78	-0.3	224/300/314	89	259	6	28	15%	10%	73	-0.3
✕Jermaine Clark 2006 · MLB	29	45→43	42→45	51→60	54	215/290/324	109	243	9	20	16%	9%	76	-0.4	216/279/309	93	267	8	28	21%	8%	68	-1.0	204/266/270	66	258	5	39	22%	8%	53	-1.5
✕Tyler Wade 2023 · MLB	28	45→55	40	57→60	50	216/290/307	92	275	8	35	23%	9%	72	-0.7	227/296/306	79	302	6	35	25%	8%	73	-0.6	227/298/287	61	307	4	40	25%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Anthony Jackson 2012 · AA	28	52→55	38→40	55	49	245/304/325	80	291	5	23	18%	7%	80	-0.2	235/303/329	94	290	8	21	20%	8%	81	-0.1	219/302/289	70	270	5	31	19%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Josh Johnson 2015 · AAA	29	50→49	38→45	47→50	54	237/306/318	81	278	6	12	16%	9%	79	-0.2	228/296/308	80	277	6	10	18%	9%	73	-0.6	225/296/269	43	273	2	7	17%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Alden Carrithers 2014 · AAA	29	54→60	37→30	53→55	55	254/321/328	73	287	4	20	13%	8%	87	+0.4	247/318/316	69	284	4	16	14%	9%	83	+0.1	253/329/303	50	291	2	15	12%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Mitch Canham 2014 · AAA	29	48→50	38→45	49→45	49	225/289/316	91	287	4	12	22%	8%	73	-0.6	221/277/318	97	280	7	13	22%	7%	68	-1.0	183/225/230	47	224	4	12	20%	5%	27	-0.8
✕Tyler Saladino 2018 · MLB	29	47	41→45	51→55	46	226/283/322	96	280	8	18	22%	6%	72	-0.7	218/287/358	140	282	16	15	27%	8%	82	+0.0	207/280/360	153	265	19	17	29%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Evan Frey 2014 · AAA	28	49→58	35→40	55	51	227/290/283	57	282	2	25	19%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/296	81	276	6	15	22%	8%	63	-1.3	177/241/238	61	230	3	6	22%	8%	34	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps