Andres Garza

C DSL Padres Brown

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Padres Go…	52	.143/.294/.190	0	0	-5	—	.089/.196/.111
2025	18	ROKDSL Padres Br…	150	.205/.372/.265	1	0	29	—	.137/.277/.185
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBSD	260	.182/.266/.246	2	2	48	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBSD	42	.184/.268/.256	0	0	54	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%69

BB%67

wOBA42

wRC+34

ISO26

Whiff%23

CompsMiguel Arrendell (age 20) · Edilberto Mendoza (age 20) · Franklin Tineo (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .263 / .244

PA73

HR0

K%30

BB%9

ISO64

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	52	42	6	2	0	0	9	13	0	0	1	143	294	190	485	48	200	25	17	240	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	150	117	24	2	1	1	24	42	7	0	1	205	372	265	637	60	307	28	16	308	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	52	45	4	1	0	0	6	17	0	0	1	89	196	111	307	22	129	33	12	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	150	124	17	1	1	1	17	50	7	0	1	137	277	185	463	48	204	33	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	52	45	4	1	0	0	6	17	0	0	1	89	196	111	307	22	138	33	12	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	52	42	6	2	0	0	9	13	0	0	1	143	294	190	485	48	200	25	17	240	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	150	124	17	1	1	1	17	50	7	0	1	137	277	185	463	48	216	33	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	150	117	24	2	1	1	24	42	7	0	1	205	372	265	637	60	307	28	16	308	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	52	46	4	1	0	0	6	17	0	0	1	87	196	109	305	22	129	33	12	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	150	125	17	1	1	1	17	50	7	0	1	136	277	184	461	48	204	33	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	52	46	4	1	0	0	6	17	0	0	1	87	196	109	305	22	129	33	12	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	150	125	17	1	1	1	17	50	7	0	1	136	277	184	461	48	204	33	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SD	0%	260	231	42	6	2	2	23	78	4	2	1	182	266	246	512	64	263	30	9	240	48	-16	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SD	34%	121	107	20	3	1	1	11	36	2	1	1	187	271	261	531	74	266	30	9	247	54	-7	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	SD	34%	42	37	6	1	0	0	4	12	1	0	0	184	268	256	525	72	261	29	10	245	54	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	42	37	6	1	0	0	4	12	1	0	0	162	262	189	451	27	240	29	10	245	36	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	92	15	0	0	62	186	15	0	0	161	260	187	447	26	238	29	10	245	36	-36	+0	+0	+12	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	396	342	52	7	2	2	40	125	10	2	3	152	260	202	462	50	229	32	10	221	36	-11	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	561	84	11	3	3	66	205	16	3	5	150	258	196	454	46	226	32	10	221	36	-37	+0	+0	+12	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andres Garza (OGILVIE)	20	25	20	35	60	180/263/244	64	263	0	1	30%	9%	48	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	37	35→30	39→50	51	172/251/226	54	210	3	5	19%	8%	39	-3.1	193/291/255	62	249	3	12	21%	11%	61	-1.5	201/272/282	81	263	7	9	25%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Edilberto Mendoza 2019 · A	20	36	37→30	43→40	55	171/284/242	71	245	5	4	29%	12%	57	-1.8	184/293/263	79	246	4	5	24%	12%	64	-1.3	138/286/207	70	170	3	3	18%	15%	52	-0.7
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	36	35→40	42→50	44	171/242/229	57	249	2	8	30%	8%	36	-3.4	167/248/235	68	217	4	9	23%	9%	40	-3.0	144/237/212	69	178	5	11	21%	9%	30	-1.2
✕Raudelis Martinez 2022 · A	20	35	37→30	44→45	46	169/234/235	66	215	5	7	23%	7%	34	-3.5	180/260/257	77	220	6	8	20%	8%	49	-2.4	171/242/235	64	204	6	6	19%	8%	37	-1.6
✕Richard Paz 2021 · A	20	41	37→30	44→30	48	195/254/264	70	238	4	4	20%	7%	48	-2.5	213/288/303	90	284	7	3	26%	8%	70	-0.8	206/292/287	81	275	7	0	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Elvis Rijo 2024 · A	20	39	35→30	39→45	44	183/256/237	54	245	2	5	25%	7%	43	-2.8	185/260/245	60	268	2	6	30%	6%	47	-2.6	173/262/211	38	243	0	6	26%	4%	38	-1.1
✕Omar Martinez 2022 · A	21	38→37	40→45	40	50	183/281/271	88	263	8	4	31%	10%	61	-1.5	196/279/313	117	276	13	5	32%	9%	70	-0.9	176/253/289	113	268	15	1	38%	8%	53	-1.3
✕Yoan Bravo 2022 · A	20	35	34→30	41→50	49	163/264/214	51	257	2	9	34%	11%	42	-2.9	180/260/242	62	260	3	8	29%	9%	46	-2.6	115/215/143	28	157	2	9	26%	10%	6	-1.1
✕Edidson Rojas 2019 · A	20	38	35→30	45→55	48	180/267/238	58	254	3	11	28%	9%	48	-2.5	186/261/260	74	276	4	10	31%	8%	51	-2.3	136/219/209	74	204	5	13	34%	8%	22	-1.3
✕Victor Moscote 2014 · A	20	37	36→30	40→45	40	180/234/240	60	249	3	5	28%	6%	34	-3.5	194/250/246	52	252	2	5	22%	6%	42	-2.9	190/250/229	39	240	1	3	20%	6%	36	-1.1
✕Junior Aybar 2024 · A	18	39	35→40	37→60	46	183/260/247	63	286	2	4	34%	9%	47	-2.6	192/262/262	70	299	4	19	34%	9%	51	-2.3	187/254/262	75	300	5	31	37%	8%	45	-0.7
✕Jose Rivera 2010 · A	20	40	35→40	39→45	44	189/246/244	56	252	2	6	25%	6%	40	-3.1	189/229/246	57	244	3	5	23%	4%	33	-3.6	193/239/260	66	266	2	4	27%	4%	38	-0.9
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	36	37→30	42→40	52	171/273/237	65	238	5	5	28%	11%	51	-2.2	189/277/252	63	258	4	5	25%	10%	55	-2.0	153/253/179	26	205	2	3	23%	11%	28	-1.2
✕Luis Rubio 2022 · A	20	37	34→30	44→45	43	175/249/228	53	281	2	7	36%	9%	38	-3.2	183/251/238	55	283	2	8	33%	8%	41	-3.0	157/234/187	30	233	0	8	30%	8%	21	-1.0
✕Luis Ravelo 2024 · A	20	37→34	37→30	42→45	41	178/245/246	69	280	6	6	36%	8%	40	-3.0	186/246/259	73	290	6	4	35%	7%	44	-2.8	170/230/228	59	257	5	1	34%	6%	29	-1.6
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2024 · A	19	38	36→30	42→45	54	180/281/243	63	224	4	4	20%	10%	55	-1.9	184/265/255	71	280	4	4	32%	8%	51	-2.3	170/260/237	67	285	5	4	38%	9%	44	-0.9
✕Luis Montano 2019 · A	19	36	38→40	40	44	170/253/252	82	271	4	3	36%	9%	46	-2.6	171/234/254	83	313	4	4	43%	7%	38	-3.2	133/185/225	91	259	5	3	48%	5%	11	-1.3
✕Henrry Rosario 2013 · A	20	37	38→45	43→45	48	179/256/262	83	246	5	8	28%	9%	49	-2.4	184/245/272	88	246	5	7	26%	7%	46	-2.6	198/245/326	128	246	14	9	25%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Juan Zabala 2019 · A	20	37	34→40	43→50	51	173/260/225	52	223	1	7	22%	9%	42	-2.9	187/250/272	85	285	6	6	34%	6%	49	-2.4	205/266/287	81	283	8	16	29%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Javier Santana 2008 · A	21	34	33→30	38→45	52	160/268/200	40	246	2	7	32%	12%	41	-3.0	181/250/232	51	282	2	7	34%	7%	40	-3.1	173/223/209	36	292	2	7	39%	4%	20	-1.4