Elvis Rijo
SS Lansing Lugnuts| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | A/ROKOAK | 84 | .147/.229/.147 | 0 | 0 | -15 | — | .117/.181/.117 |
| 2024 | 20 | A/ROKOAK | 206 | .201/.319/.247 | 0 | 4 | 38 | — | .179/.284/.218 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+OAK | 43 | .081/.190/.135 | 0 | 0 | -42 | — | .051/.119/.077 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBOAK | 175 | .209/.276/.306 | 2 | 3 | 65 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBOAK | 26 | .219/.286/.329 | 0 | 0 | 70 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ45% MLB | 25 | MLBOAK | 70 | .222/.290/.338 | 1 | 1 | 73 | 0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Athletics | — | 143 | 115 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 252 | 390 | 322 | 712 | 70 | 299 | 13 | 13 | 334 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 53 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 149 | 231 | 149 | 380 | 194 | 23 | 6 | 187 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 31 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 143 | 226 | 143 | 369 | 190 | 23 | 10 | 184 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 174 | 149 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 324 | 268 | 592 | 54 | 274 | 18 | 5 | 284 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 32 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 120 | 290 | 120 | 410 | 158 | 22 | 16 | 217 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 43 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 190 | 135 | 326 | 54 | 143 | 37 | 12 | 162 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 143 | 121 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 165 | 284 | 207 | 490 | 41 | 198 | 17 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 53 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 125 | 192 | 125 | 317 | 188 | 30 | 4 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 31 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 103 | 161 | 103 | 265 | 159 | 32 | 6 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 174 | 151 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 199 | 301 | 245 | 546 | 46 | 261 | 25 | 3 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 32 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 74 | 194 | 74 | 268 | 124 | 31 | 9 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 43 | 39 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 119 | 77 | 196 | 26 | 106 | 49 | 7 | 106 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 143 | 121 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 165 | 284 | 207 | 490 | 41 | 204 | 17 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Athletics | — | 143 | 115 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 252 | 390 | 322 | 712 | 70 | 299 | 13 | 13 | 334 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 84 | 77 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 117 | 181 | 117 | 298 | 173 | 31 | 5 | 147 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 84 | 75 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 147 | 229 | 147 | 376 | 193 | 23 | 7 | 186 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 206 | 178 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 180 | 284 | 219 | 503 | 39 | 254 | 26 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 206 | 174 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 39 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 201 | 319 | 247 | 566 | 46 | 257 | 19 | 6 | 273 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 43 | 39 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 119 | 77 | 196 | 26 | 111 | 49 | 7 | 106 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 43 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 190 | 135 | 326 | 54 | 143 | 37 | 12 | 162 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Athletics | — | 143 | 122 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 164 | 284 | 205 | 489 | 41 | 198 | 17 | 8 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 84 | 78 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 115 | 181 | 115 | 296 | 177 | 31 | 5 | 147 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 206 | 178 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 180 | 284 | 219 | 503 | 39 | 240 | 26 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 43 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 119 | 75 | 194 | 25 | 106 | 49 | 7 | 106 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 206 | 178 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 180 | 284 | 219 | 503 | 39 | 240 | 26 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 43 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 119 | 75 | 194 | 25 | 106 | 49 | 7 | 106 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | OAK | 0% | 175 | 159 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 209 | 276 | 306 | 582 | 97 | 283 | 28 | 6 | 265 | 65 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | OAK | 30% | 88 | 80 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 281 | 318 | 599 | 105 | 285 | 27 | 7 | 271 | 70 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | OAK | 45% | 154 | 140 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 284 | 328 | 611 | 112 | 285 | 27 | 6 | 277 | 73 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | OAK | 54% | 212 | 191 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 58 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 286 | 335 | 621 | 117 | 286 | 27 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | OAK | 58% | 253 | 229 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 68 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 287 | 336 | 623 | 118 | 286 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | OAK | 61% | 283 | 256 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 76 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 287 | 335 | 622 | 117 | 285 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | OAK | 62% | 291 | 264 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 79 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 284 | 329 | 614 | 114 | 284 | 27 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | OAK | 30% | 26 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 286 | 329 | 615 | 110 | 294 | 27 | 8 | 278 | 70 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | OAK | 45% | 70 | 64 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 290 | 338 | 628 | 116 | 295 | 27 | 7 | 283 | 73 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | OAK | 54% | 115 | 104 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 224 | 292 | 345 | 637 | 121 | 295 | 27 | 7 | 287 | 76 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | OAK | 58% | 148 | 134 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 293 | 346 | 639 | 122 | 295 | 27 | 7 | 288 | 76 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | OAK | 61% | 172 | 155 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 293 | 346 | 638 | 121 | 295 | 27 | 7 | 287 | 76 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | OAK | 62% | 181 | 163 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 222 | 290 | 340 | 630 | 118 | 294 | 27 | 7 | 284 | 74 | -6 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 712 | 643 | 143 | 29 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 192 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 222 | 292 | 336 | 628 | 114 | 296 | 27 | 7 | 286 | 61 | -21 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +15 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 587 | 130 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 175 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 221 | 292 | 336 | 628 | 114 | 294 | 27 | 7 | 286 | 61 | -19 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1798 | 1612 | 320 | 62 | 5 | 25 | 120 | 483 | 51 | 20 | 12 | 199 | 275 | 290 | 565 | 91 | 265 | 27 | 7 | 258 | 61 | -40 | +1 | -2 | +14 | +29 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 115 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 175 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 197 | 273 | 288 | 561 | 91 | 264 | 27 | 7 | 258 | 61 | -20 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 43 PAwOBA .159 → .106 (−53)K% 37.2% → 48.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.21% | ÷0.969 | ×1.270 | — | — | 48.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.63% | ÷1.048 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.078 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 4.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.199 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 6.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 116, 2B 140, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .159 → .106; ISO .054 → .033; BABIP .143 → .106. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AStockton Ports · 174 PAwOBA .277 → .238 (−39)K% 18.4% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.39% | ÷1.015 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.60% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 9.20% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 7.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.51% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×1.044 | ×1.015 | 19.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.84% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×1.015 | 6.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.044 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.164 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 101, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .277 → .238; ISO .054 → .047; BABIP .274 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Athletics · 32 PAwOBA .220 → .153 (−67)K% 21.9% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.88% | ÷0.998 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.62% | ÷0.986 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 9.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 2.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.027 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 13.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.852 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 125, 3B 81, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .220 → .153; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .158 → .124. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AStockton Ports · 53 PAwOBA .186 → .158 (−28)K% 22.6% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.64% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.66% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.77% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 3.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 19.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.945 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.945 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 89, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .186 → .158; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .194 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Athletics · 31 PAwOBA .180 → .127 (−53)K% 22.6% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.58% | ÷1.018 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷1.030 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷0.974 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 15.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.051 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.149 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .180 → .127; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .190 → .159. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Athletics · 143 PAwOBA .328 → .227 (−102)K% 13.3% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.29% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.59% | ÷1.020 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 8.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.59% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 3.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.88% | ÷1.004 | ×0.680 | ×1.000 | ×0.995 | 14.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.952 | ×0.600 | ×1.000 | ×0.995 | 5.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.600 | ×1.000 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.902 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 97, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .328 → .227; ISO .070 → .046; BABIP .299 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).