Elvis Rijo — OGILVIE

Elvis RijoSS Lansing Lugnuts

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A+ HR -6%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.3 · 2030

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .276 / .309

PA75

HR1

K%29

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.3peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.3	$12M	+$11M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.3	$12M	+$11M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.3	$12M	+$11M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+1.1	$11M	+$9M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.9	$5M	+$2M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.7	$4M	+$0.2M
Totals		$11M		$55M	+$44M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	143	122	23	6	0	0	11	29	8	1	3	.189	.298	.238	.536	.049	.245	20	8	.245	46	-9	-1	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
2023	19	A	2 teams	84	77	9	0	0	0	4	26	2	0	2	.117	.181	.117	.298	.000	.173	31	5	.145	-30	-12	-1	+0	+1	+2	-1.0
2024	20	A	2 teams	206	178	31	7	0	0	9	53	17	4	2	.174	.279	.213	.493	.039	.246	26	4	.222	28	-17	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.9
2025	21	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	43	39	2	1	0	0	3	21	0	0	0	.051	.119	.077	.196	.026	.111	49	7	.103	-63	-8	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	OAK	75	69	14	3	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	.203	.267	.290	.557	.087	.284	28	7	.268	63	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	OAK	163	147	32	6	1	3	12	45	3	3	1	.218	.290	.333	.623	.116	.287	28	7	.284	76	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2028	24	MLB 26%	OAK	279	250	56	10	2	7	22	75	5	5	1	.224	.300	.364	.664	.140	.288	27	8	.294	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.6
2029	25	MLB 44%	OAK	352	315	71	13	2	9	28	93	6	6	1	.225	.301	.365	.666	.140	.290	26	8	.301	89	-5	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.0
2030	26	MLB 59%	OAK	400	357	82	15	2	11	33	105	7	7	2	.230	.307	.375	.683	.146	.290	26	8	.305	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.3
2031	27	MLB 76%	OAK	423	378	85	16	2	11	35	112	7	7	2	.225	.302	.365	.667	.140	.290	26	8	.305	91	-4	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.3
2032	28	MLB 84%	OAK	434	388	88	16	2	12	36	116	7	7	1	.227	.304	.371	.675	.144	.290	27	8	.304	90	-5	+1	-1	+5	+12	1.3
2033	29	MLB 90%	OAK	433	386	86	16	2	11	37	117	7	6	1	.223	.302	.360	.662	.137	.289	27	9	.301	89	-5	+1	-1	+5	+12	1.1
2034	30	MLB	OAK	430	384	85	16	2	11	36	117	7	5	1	.221	.300	.359	.659	.138	.288	27	8	.298	86	-7	+1	-2	+5	+12	0.9
2035	31	MLB	OAK	419	374	82	15	2	10	35	116	7	3	0	.219	.298	.350	.648	.131	.286	28	8	.295	84	-8	+1	-3	+4	+12	0.7
2036	32	MLB	OAK	403	359	78	14	2	10	34	114	7	1	0	.217	.297	.351	.648	.134	.285	28	8	.290	80	-9	+0	-4	+4	+11	0.3
2037	33	MLB	OAK	375	335	72	13	2	9	31	108	6	0	0	.215	.293	.346	.639	.131	.283	29	8	.284	76	-10	+0	-4	+4	+11	0.0
2038	34	MLB	OAK	331	296	61	11	1	7	27	98	5	0	0	.206	.284	.321	.604	.115	.281	30	8	.278	71	-11	+0	-5	+4	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4993	4454	957	178	22	112	398	1366	102	56	17	.215	.294	.340	.634	.125	.282	27	8	.287	78	-126	+4	-20	+53	+141	5.5
/ 162G	—			650	580	125	23	3	15	52	178	13	7	2	.216	.295	.343	.638	.128	.282	27	8	.287	78	-16	+1	-3	+7	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	143	115	29	8	18	19	8	1	3	.252	.390	.322	.712	.070	.299	13	13	.334	114	+2	-1	—	—	+4	0.5
2023	19	A	Stockton Ports	53	47	7	0	3	12	2	0	1	.149	.231	.149	.380	.000	.194	23	6	.187	1	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2023	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	31	28	4	0	3	7	0	0	1	.143	.226	.143	.369	.000	.190	23	10	.184	-1	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	20	A	Stockton Ports	174	149	32	8	8	32	16	2	1	.215	.324	.268	.592	.054	.274	18	5	.284	75	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2024	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	32	25	3	0	5	7	1	2	1	.120	.290	.120	.410	.000	.158	22	16	.217	24	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	21	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	43	37	3	2	5	16	0	0	0	.081	.190	.135	.326	.054	.143	37	12	.162	-18	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elvis Rijo (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	.207/.276/.309	.102	.284	1	1	29%	7%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●James McCann 2012 · A	22	41→51	42→50	49→45	39	.203/.260/.306	.103	.288	9	7	32%	6%	55	-1.4	.223/.261/.310	.087	.291	6	6	24%	4%	55	-1.4	.254/.315/.415	.161	.331	20	4	28%	7%	104	+1.1
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	40	42→45	47→50	40	.200/.259/.300	.100	.270	10	10	29%	6%	53	-1.5	.216/.274/.342	.126	.277	14	9	26%	6%	70	-0.3	.207/.266/.330	.122	.258	15	7	25%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Eric Fryer 2008 · A	22	39→49	40→45	45→50	42	.195/.249/.284	.089	.258	7	7	27%	6%	44	-2.1	.241/.298/.354	.113	.308	9	10	24%	6%	82	+0.5	.247/.311/.365	.118	.317	10	11	23%	7%	87	+0.6
●Alonzo Harris 2011 · A	22	39→49	42→55	51→60	36	.196/.232/.300	.103	.263	10	13	30%	4%	40	-2.4	.219/.261/.311	.092	.282	7	18	24%	5%	56	-1.3	.240/.296/.401	.161	.286	19	35	22%	7%	92	+0.9
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	44	40→45	50	40	.212/.268/.307	.095	.307	8	8	32%	6%	58	-1.2	.203/.290/.313	.110	.295	11	12	32%	9%	70	-0.3	.212/.315/.318	.105	.301	9	14	29%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Adam Abraham 2009 · A	22	39→47	44→50	49→40	43	.199/.261/.312	.112	.263	11	5	28%	7%	57	-1.2	.215/.270/.328	.113	.270	10	4	23%	6%	65	-0.7	.222/.283/.344	.122	.281	12	2	24%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A	22	39→49	40→50	50	43	.189/.254/.283	.094	.277	7	6	33%	8%	46	-2.0	.211/.272/.298	.087	.290	7	8	28%	7%	57	-1.2	.226/.305/.377	.151	.297	15	13	28%	10%	89	+0.7
✕Parker Meadows 2022 · A	22	37→47	41→55	44→55	41	.185/.244/.280	.095	.257	9	9	31%	7%	41	-2.3	.218/.280/.374	.156	.279	17	16	27%	7%	82	+0.5	.225/.292/.400	.175	.278	20	21	26%	8%	91	+1.1
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2022 · A	22	41→51	41→45	48→50	38	.204/.251/.304	.100	.277	9	9	29%	5%	50	-1.7	.233/.286/.332	.099	.320	10	11	29%	6%	72	-0.2	.231/.292/.316	.084	.322	9	12	29%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→50	51→50	43	.218/.284/.328	.110	.300	9	11	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.204/.275/.332	.128	.317	14	12	38%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Mark Mathias 2017 · AA	22	46	40→50	50	42	.220/.280/.319	.099	.299	6	8	27%	6%	66	-0.6	.214/.284/.325	.111	.289	8	10	27%	7%	70	-0.3	.243/.319/.380	.137	.317	15	17	26%	9%	97	+0.9
✕Anderson Gomes 2007 · A	22	41→38	43→45	47→50	39	.205/.252/.313	.108	.275	10	9	29%	5%	53	-1.5	.220/.270/.333	.113	.292	11	7	27%	6%	66	-0.6	.223/.275/.335	.112	.290	12	5	26%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Jordy Mercer 2009 · A	22	43→53	42→50	45	38	.212/.252/.308	.097	.281	10	8	28%	4%	51	-1.7	.225/.268/.333	.108	.276	9	7	21%	5%	65	-0.7	.250/.320/.384	.135	.284	13	1	16%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→45	43→55	52→40	41	.184/.246/.294	.110	.257	10	7	32%	7%	46	-2.0	.210/.280/.351	.141	.289	15	4	31%	8%	76	+0.0	.218/.292/.382	.164	.293	19	1	31%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	40	.203/.258/.301	.098	.286	8	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	.200/.266/.289	.089	.294	8	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	.183/.256/.260	.077	.269	7	8	32%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Eguy Rosario 2021 · A	21	43→49	42→55	48→55	39	.213/.259/.322	.109	.292	9	12	30%	5%	58	-1.2	.227/.286/.366	.139	.304	14	20	28%	7%	82	+0.5	.223/.285/.369	.146	.292	15	21	28%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Christian Villanueva 2013 · A	22	44→45	44→55	48→50	39	.218/.271/.331	.113	.279	11	13	26%	4%	66	-0.6	.211/.259/.351	.140	.267	15	6	27%	5%	66	-0.6	.222/.280/.396	.173	.255	23	3	23%	6%	86	+0.6
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	39→40	49→40	40	.198/.263/.282	.084	.277	6	7	29%	6%	50	-1.7	.218/.296/.304	.086	.283	8	4	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.219/.302/.289	.070	.280	7	1	22%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Ezequiel Duran 2021 · A	22	38→48	39→55	52→50	33	.186/.233/.270	.084	.294	7	8	38%	4%	33	-2.9	.226/.276/.390	.164	.313	19	14	33%	6%	84	+0.6	.235/.283/.404	.168	.313	19	14	30%	5%	88	+0.7
✕Charles Leblanc 2018 · A	22	44→53	42→50	50→45	44	.217/.264/.313	.096	.262	10	7	22%	6%	57	-1.2	.216/.265/.303	.087	.304	7	5	29%	6%	55	-1.4	.220/.306/.364	.144	.310	17	7	32%	10%	86	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)