Andres Garza

C DSL Padres Brown
Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Padres Go…52.143/.294/.19000-5—.089/.196/.111
202518ROKDSL Padres Br…150.205/.372/.2651029—.137/.277/.185
2027PROJMLE20MLBSD260.182/.266/.2462248-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBSD26.184/.268/.2560054-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Chase%69
BB%67
wOBA42
wRC+34
ISO26
Whiff%23
CompsMiguel Arrendell (age 20) · Edilberto Mendoza (age 20) · Franklin Tineo (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA
wRC+†48
AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .263 / .244
PA45
HR0
K%30
BB%9
ISO64
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.10.02728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED35
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 5242 6200 9130 01 143294190485 48200 2517 240 -5 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 150117 24211 24427 01 205372265637 60307 2816 308 29 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 5245 4100 6170 01 89196111307 22129 3312 161 -5 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 150124 17111 17507 01 137277185463 48204 3311 211 29 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 5245 4100 6170 01 89196111307 22138 3312 161 -5 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Padres Gold — 5242 6200 9130 01 143294190485 48200 2517 240 -5 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 150124 17111 17507 01 137277185463 48216 3311 211 29 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Padres Brown — 150117 24211 24427 01 205372265637 60307 2816 308 29 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 5246 4100 6170 01 87196109305 22129 3312 161 -5 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 150125 17111 17507 01 136277184461 48204 3311 211 29 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 5246 4100 6170 01 87196109305 22129 3312 161 -5 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 150125 17111 17507 01 136277184461 48204 3311 211 29 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLESD 0% 260231 42622 23784 21 182266246512 64263 309 240 48 -16 +0 +0 +5 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLESD 34% 7567 12201 7221 10 187271261531 74266 299 247 54 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202821 MLB CTXSD 34% 2624 4100 280 00 184268256525 72261 318 245 54 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2624 4100 280 00 167231208439 42250 318 245 32 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650600 1002500 502000 00 167231208439 42250 318 245 32 -36 +0 +0 +12 +14 -1.0
Career— MLE — 322276 40512 341039 12 145260192452 47220 3211 215 32 -7 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650557 811024 6920818 24 145261192453 47221 3211 215 32 -37 +1 +0 +12 +14 -1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 150 PAwOBA .304 → .211 (−93)K% 28.0% → 33.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.00%÷1.026×1.220——33.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.00%÷1.000×0.700—×1.00811.29%
HBP% /PA4.67%—×0.700—×1.0083.29%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷1.050×0.680×1.028×1.00817.88%
Doubles /BIP2.67%÷0.959×0.600×1.028×1.0081.73%
Triples /BIP1.33%÷0.948×0.600×1.028×1.0080.87%
Home runs /BIP1.33%÷0.880×0.470—×1.0080.72%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 110, 2B 92, 3B 90, K 105, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .304 → .211; ISO .060 → .038; BABIP .307 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 52 PAwOBA .240 → .161 (−79)K% 25.0% → 32.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷0.952×1.220——32.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.31%÷1.022×0.700—×1.02212.12%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP13.79%÷1.015×0.680—×1.0229.45%
Doubles /BIP6.90%÷1.072×0.600—×1.0223.95%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.096×0.600—×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.909×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 119, K 90, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .240 → .161; ISO .048 → .027; BABIP .200 → .129. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).