Andres Garza — OGILVIE

Andres GarzaC DSL Padres Brown

Age 19 L/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 125 proj PA

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .261 / .249

PA125

HR1

K%31

BB%8

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	52	46	4	1	0	0	5	21	0	0	1	87	176	109	285	22	154	40	10	149	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	52	42	6	2	0	0	9	13	0	0	1	143	294	190	485	48	200	25	17	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	150	126	19	2	1	1	15	57	7	0	1	151	277	206	483	56	261	38	10	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	150	117	24	2	1	1	24	42	7	0	1	205	372	265	637	60	307	28	16	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	SD	—	125	112	20	3	1	1	10	38	2	1	0	179	258	250	508	71	264	30	8	240	42	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	SD	34%	211	188	35	6	1	2	18	62	3	2	1	186	268	261	529	74	269	29	9	253	52	-12	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.2
2028	21	MLB	SD	48%	342	305	60	10	2	5	29	99	5	4	1	197	277	292	569	95	272	29	8	262	58	-16	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.0
2029	22	MLB	SD	54%	435	388	79	13	3	7	37	124	7	4	2	204	285	307	591	103	274	29	9	267	63	-18	+0	+0	+8	+12	0.2
2030	23	MLB	SD	57%	498	444	90	15	3	8	43	140	8	5	2	203	285	304	589	101	275	28	9	271	66	-19	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.4
2031	24	MLB	SD	57%	520	462	95	16	3	9	45	146	8	5	2	206	287	312	599	106	276	28	9	273	67	-19	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.5
2027	20	MLB	SD	34%	73	66	12	2	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	182	260	258	518	76	266	30	8	239	41	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	SD	48%	166	148	29	5	1	2	14	48	3	2	1	196	279	284	563	88	269	29	8	247	47	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2029	22	MLB	SD	54%	236	210	41	7	1	3	20	67	4	2	1	195	278	281	559	86	271	28	8	253	52	-13	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.2
2030	23	MLB	SD	57%	282	252	50	8	2	4	24	79	4	3	1	198	279	294	572	95	272	28	9	256	54	-15	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.1
2031	24	MLB	SD	57%	294	262	54	9	2	5	25	83	5	3	1	206	288	313	601	107	273	28	9	258	56	-15	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1051	938	186	31	6	15	89	299	17	11	4	198	280	292	572	94	272	28	8	253	52	-57	+1	+0	+19	+30	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	115	19	4	9	55	185	11	7	2	198	280	291	572	93	273	28	8	253	52	-35	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	2333	2071	402	66	14	33	202	687	40	21	10	194	278	287	566	93	271	29	9	260	57	-113	+0	+0	+42	+66	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	112	18	4	9	56	191	11	6	3	194	278	286	564	92	270	29	9	260	57	-32	+0	+0	+12	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	52	42	6	2	0	0	9	13	0	0	1	143	294	190	485	48	200	25	17	240	42	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	150	117	24	2	1	1	24	42	7	0	1	205	372	265	637	60	307	28	16	308	94	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,175	17	12	200	279	297	+21	+16	0.3	0.5
	/162	664	10	7	200	279	297	+11.9	+9.0	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andres Garza (OGILVIE)	19	25	20	35	60	180/261/249	68	264	1	1	31%	8%	42	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A	20	39	36→30	39→50	49	183/257/243	60	229	4	5	21%	8%	37	-2.6	205/297/270	65	270	4	12	23%	11%	62	-0.9	199/293/259	61	267	4	15	24%	11%	55	-0.6
✕Nicoll Parra 2012 · A	18	39	36→30	44→55	45	183/264/252	70	275	4	8	32%	8%	43	-2.2	197/307/251	54	268	1	18	24%	12%	63	-0.9	186/321/224	38	254	0	27	22%	14%	60	-0.3
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A	19	37	36→45	41→50	44	179/250/243	64	257	4	7	30%	8%	35	-2.8	210/278/316	106	287	9	10	28%	7%	66	-0.6	212/283/329	117	282	11	12	27%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Branden Becker 2016 · A	19	42	34→40	39→30	46	197/250/246	49	243	2	5	19%	6%	33	-2.9	207/249/265	58	275	3	4	25%	4%	38	-2.6	228/263/287	59	312	5	1	27%	3%	46	-0.8
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	33	-2.9	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	58	-1.2	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→39	37→45	43→45	46	171/257/239	68	251	4	7	31%	9%	37	-2.6	189/260/297	108	280	9	5	33%	7%	53	-1.5	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Luis Cruz 2012 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	42	186/235/238	52	254	2	5	27%	6%	25	-3.5	220/272/314	94	275	9	5	22%	5%	61	-1.0	227/272/301	75	302	6	3	26%	4%	56	-0.5
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	38	39→40	42→40	48	184/276/263	79	271	7	5	32%	10%	52	-1.6	200/281/271	71	286	5	5	29%	9%	56	-1.3	176/264/209	33	250	3	3	28%	10%	29	-0.9
✕Luis Joseph 2015 · A	18	40	35→30	36→50	39	191/231/252	62	259	2	6	26%	5%	27	-3.3	216/248/272	56	269	2	9	20%	4%	38	-2.6	223/244/272	49	266	2	11	16%	2%	33	-1.0
✕Terry Serrano 2006 · A	19	41	35→30	42→55	43	189/254/246	57	294	2	9	34%	8%	37	-2.7	190/261/247	57	266	3	15	27%	8%	40	-2.4	193/272/251	58	274	2	17	28%	9%	44	-0.9
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	171/261/237	65	254	5	3	32%	10%	39	-2.5	205/290/309	104	318	11	4	35%	10%	69	-0.4	200/285/307	107	317	13	2	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Kleininger Teran 2008 · A	19	45	35→30	42→45	51	208/278/269	61	261	3	5	20%	8%	53	-1.5	221/282/284	63	271	2	4	18%	7%	57	-1.2	243/286/311	68	291	1	2	16%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	40	174/248/241	67	275	4	6	36%	7%	33	-2.9	194/254/283	89	295	8	4	34%	7%	46	-2.0	181/244/265	84	271	8	3	34%	7%	35	-1.0
✕Clayton Campbell 2023 · A	19	37	37→45	41→45	43	173/266/248	74	287	4	4	38%	9%	44	-2.1	176/261/264	88	268	7	6	34%	8%	46	-2.0	156/245/237	81	228	8	5	32%	8%	32	-1.2
✕Jeikol Contreras 2019 · A	19	31	38→40	36→40	43	157/237/237	80	254	5	5	38%	9%	28	-3.2	184/243/269	85	346	6	5	45%	7%	38	-2.6	140/182/221	81	334	6	0	57%	5%	-3	-1.0
✕Dahiandy Johnson 2019 · A	19	38	39→40	43→45	42	187/245/267	80	253	6	4	28%	6%	38	-2.6	201/263/294	93	259	8	6	25%	7%	53	-1.5	189/256/282	93	230	10	5	22%	7%	45	-0.9
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Samuel Ortiz 2010 · A	19	40	37→40	42→50	43	190/271/256	66	271	4	5	30%	7%	48	-1.9	205/275/274	69	274	3	8	24%	7%	53	-1.5	203/273/268	65	267	1	10	22%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Jose Cabello 2016 · A	19	38	34→30	44→45	43	180/243/231	51	244	2	4	26%	6%	28	-3.2	203/281/264	61	261	3	6	21%	8%	53	-1.5	205/287/242	38	250	0	5	16%	8%	50	-0.6
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	51	193/275/258	65	253	3	8	24%	9%	50	-1.8	200/306/292	92	270	5	6	25%	12%	72	-0.2	182/303/271	88	244	5	5	24%	13%	64	-0.3