Andres GarzaC
DSL Padres Brown
Age 19
L/R
5'11" / 165 lbs
ROK
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.7 · 2032
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .273 / .286
PA125
HR2
K%31
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
25→25
PWR
20→20
SPD
35→35
EYE
56↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.7peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.7 | $26M | +$25M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.7 | $27M | +$26M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.7 | $27M | +$26M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +2.6 | $27M | +$22M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $8M | +2.5 | $27M | +$19M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $11M | +2.2 | $24M | +$13M |
| Totals | $27M | $158M | +$131M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 52 | 46 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .087 | .176 | .109 | .285 | .022 | .154 | 40 | 10 | .150 | -27 | -7 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 150 | 126 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 1 | .151 | .277 | .206 | .483 | .056 | .265 | 39 | 10 | .215 | 23 | -13 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | SD | 125 | 112 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .205 | .282 | .312 | .595 | .107 | .280 | 31 | 9 | .259 | 57 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | SD | 211 | 186 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 61 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .210 | .297 | .323 | .619 | .113 | .288 | 29 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | SD | 342 | 300 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 96 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .217 | .307 | .347 | .653 | .130 | .290 | 28 | 10 | .296 | 85 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | SD | 435 | 381 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 45 | 118 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .226 | .317 | .367 | .685 | .142 | .290 | 27 | 10 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +12 | 1.7 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | SD | 498 | 435 | 98 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 53 | 132 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .225 | .319 | .368 | .687 | .143 | .291 | 27 | 11 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 2.2 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | SD | 520 | 451 | 103 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 57 | 136 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .228 | .324 | .375 | .699 | .146 | .291 | 26 | 11 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | SD | 520 | 450 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 58 | 135 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .231 | .328 | .384 | .713 | .153 | .292 | 26 | 11 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.7 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | SD | 520 | 449 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 59 | 135 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .232 | .330 | .385 | .715 | .154 | .292 | 26 | 11 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.7 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | SD | 520 | 448 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 60 | 135 | 7 | 5 | 1 | .232 | .332 | .386 | .718 | .154 | .292 | 26 | 12 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.7 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | SD | 520 | 448 | 103 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 60 | 136 | 7 | 5 | 0 | .230 | .330 | .384 | .714 | .154 | .292 | 26 | 12 | .319 | 103 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.6 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | SD | 520 | 448 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 60 | 138 | 7 | 5 | 0 | .228 | .328 | .375 | .703 | .147 | .291 | 27 | 12 | .317 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | SD | 520 | 448 | 100 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 60 | 140 | 7 | 4 | 0 | .223 | .324 | .368 | .693 | .145 | .290 | 27 | 12 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -2 | +9 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | SD | 504 | 434 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 58 | 137 | 7 | 3 | 0 | .221 | .323 | .362 | .684 | .141 | .288 | 27 | 12 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -3 | +9 | +14 | 1.9 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | SD | 489 | 424 | 92 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 56 | 136 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .217 | .317 | .354 | .671 | .137 | .286 | 28 | 11 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -4 | +9 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | SD | 452 | 391 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 129 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .212 | .314 | .343 | .657 | .130 | .285 | 29 | 12 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +1 | -4 | +8 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | SD | 396 | 343 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 45 | 116 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .210 | .310 | .335 | .646 | .125 | .283 | 29 | 11 | .294 | 83 | -8 | +1 | -5 | +7 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | SD | 337 | 292 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 102 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .205 | .305 | .325 | .631 | .120 | .281 | 30 | 11 | .286 | 77 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +6 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | SD | 276 | 240 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 87 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .196 | .296 | .300 | .596 | .104 | .278 | 32 | 11 | .278 | 71 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2044 | 37 | MLB | SD | 214 | 185 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 69 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .195 | .297 | .303 | .600 | .108 | .274 | 32 | 11 | .268 | 63 | -9 | +0 | -7 | +4 | +6 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8121 | 7037 | 1540 | 264 | 46 | 202 | 901 | 2256 | 112 | 77 | 10 | .219 | .317 | .356 | .673 | .137 | .289 | 28 | 11 | .304 | 91 | -86 | +11 | -38 | +145 | +230 | 26.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 563 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 16 | 72 | 181 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .218 | .317 | .355 | .672 | .137 | .289 | 28 | 11 | .304 | 91 | -7 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 2.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 52 | 42 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .143 | .294 | .190 | .485 | .048 | .200 | 25 | 17 | .240 | 42 | -3 | -0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 150 | 117 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 1 | .205 | .372 | .265 | .637 | .060 | .307 | 28 | 16 | .308 | 94 | -1 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Andres Garza (OGILVIE) | 19 | 25 | 20 | 35 | 60 | .194/.273/.286 | .092 | .280 | 2 | 2 | 31% | 9% | 57 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A |
19 | 40 | 40→45 | 46→45 | 47 | .186/.285/.282 | .096 | .298 | 8 | 6 | 36% | 11% | 61 | -1.0 | .184/.262/.261 | .077 | .294 | 6 | 6 | 36% | 9% | 44 | -2.1 | .182/.268/.267 | .085 | .274 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A |
19 | 44 | 37→40 | 47→40 | 45 | .209/.268/.279 | .070 | .271 | 5 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .224/.289/.327 | .103 | .275 | 7 | 5 | 20% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .253/.306/.321 | .068 | .288 | 2 | 0 | 12% | 6% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A |
19 | 38 | 37→45 | 41→50 | 44 | .183/.254/.250 | .067 | .263 | 4 | 7 | 30% | 8% | 38 | -2.6 | .208/.276/.312 | .104 | .287 | 9 | 10 | 29% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .212/.283/.329 | .117 | .282 | 11 | 12 | 27% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A |
19 | 38 | 39→40 | 42→40 | 47 | .184/.273/.262 | .078 | .274 | 6 | 5 | 33% | 10% | 50 | -1.7 | .198/.280/.268 | .070 | .284 | 5 | 5 | 29% | 9% | 54 | -1.4 | .176/.264/.209 | .033 | .250 | 3 | 3 | 28% | 10% | 29 | -0.9 |
|
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A |
19 | 42→40 | 41→50 | 46→40 | 44 | .207/.262/.297 | .091 | .272 | 9 | 9 | 27% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .205/.256/.301 | .096 | .278 | 8 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .210/.263/.325 | .115 | .276 | 10 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 59 | -0.6 |
|
✕Leopoldo Correa 2011 · A |
19 | 41 | 37→45 | 43→30 | 47 | .195/.261/.270 | .076 | .249 | 3 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .214/.273/.305 | .091 | .267 | 7 | 3 | 21% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .212/.269/.300 | .089 | .261 | 8 | 0 | 21% | 6% | 53 | -0.5 |
|
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A |
19 | 40 | 39→45 | 47→45 | 48 | .192/.270/.277 | .084 | .265 | 6 | 7 | 28% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .212/.301/.309 | .097 | .270 | 7 | 8 | 22% | 10% | 74 | -0.1 | .195/.299/.312 | .117 | .259 | 12 | 6 | 27% | 12% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A |
18 | 41 | 39→40 | 43→45 | 45 | .197/.269/.283 | .086 | .283 | 5 | 7 | 30% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .199/.297/.285 | .086 | .268 | 5 | 8 | 25% | 11% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.313/.283 | .092 | .254 | 5 | 7 | 23% | 13% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Victor Moscote 2013 · A |
19 | 41 | 40→30 | 42→45 | 41 | .199/.259/.288 | .089 | .281 | 8 | 4 | 31% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .204/.253/.266 | .062 | .284 | 3 | 5 | 28% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .209/.266/.252 | .043 | .268 | 2 | 3 | 21% | 6% | 40 | -0.8 |
|
✕Nicoll Parra 2012 · A |
18 | 40 | 37→30 | 44→55 | 44 | .188/.267/.260 | .072 | .282 | 4 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .196/.307/.250 | .054 | .269 | 1 | 18 | 24% | 12% | 63 | -0.9 | .186/.321/.224 | .038 | .254 | 0 | 27 | 22% | 14% | 60 | -0.3 |
|
✕Miguel Arrendell 2008 · A |
20 | 39 | 36→30 | 40→50 | 48 | .184/.258/.246 | .062 | .234 | 4 | 5 | 22% | 8% | 39 | -2.5 | .203/.295/.267 | .064 | .265 | 4 | 12 | 22% | 10% | 60 | -1.0 | .196/.289/.257 | .061 | .261 | 4 | 15 | 24% | 11% | 53 | -0.6 |
|
✕Randel Alcantara 2015 · A |
18 | 41 | 43→45 | 42→45 | 42 | .202/.270/.308 | .106 | .277 | 11 | 4 | 30% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .201/.267/.310 | .109 | .267 | 8 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.252/.305 | .119 | .241 | 8 | 6 | 25% | 5% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Freizer Pedron 2006 · A |
19 | 44 | 39→40 | 46→55 | 39 | .209/.263/.293 | .084 | .303 | 7 | 12 | 32% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .221/.282/.295 | .074 | .295 | 3 | 15 | 24% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .240/.304/.313 | .072 | .307 | 1 | 23 | 20% | 6% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A |
18 | 44→46 | 38→45 | 46→50 | 44 | .204/.277/.282 | .078 | .314 | 6 | 9 | 34% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .209/.295/.306 | .097 | .329 | 7 | 14 | 35% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.297/.335 | .116 | .314 | 10 | 18 | 31% | 8% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Jeikol Contreras 2019 · A |
19 | 32 | 38→40 | 37→40 | 43 | .159/.239/.239 | .080 | .257 | 5 | 5 | 37% | 9% | 30 | -3.1 | .180/.241/.264 | .084 | .339 | 6 | 5 | 45% | 7% | 36 | -2.7 | .140/.182/.221 | .081 | .334 | 6 | 0 | 57% | 5% | -3 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jose Quero 2018 · A |
19 | 43 | 40 | 44→30 | 44 | .212/.272/.297 | .086 | .272 | 8 | 3 | 25% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .195/.254/.291 | .096 | .250 | 9 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .196/.247/.344 | .148 | .225 | 15 | 4 | 21% | 6% | 63 | -0.2 |
|
✕Edwin Amparo 2023 · A |
18 | 43 | 38→40 | 43→60 | 43 | .203/.267/.286 | .083 | .282 | 5 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .195/.277/.282 | .087 | .283 | 6 | 22 | 30% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .178/.265/.270 | .093 | .272 | 9 | 37 | 35% | 10% | 47 | -1.0 |
|
✕Henry Pena 2010 · A |
19 | 40 | 39→45 | 45 | 44 | .188/.265/.277 | .089 | .300 | 5 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.275/.305 | .102 | .345 | 7 | 6 | 39% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .205/.278/.341 | .136 | .309 | 13 | 8 | 35% | 8% | 67 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jon Del Campo 2007 · A |
19 | 43 | 38→45 | 45→55 | 46 | .207/.270/.286 | .079 | .275 | 6 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .206/.258/.287 | .081 | .298 | 4 | 5 | 30% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .267/.300/.379 | .112 | .337 | 12 | 18 | 24% | 3% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A |
19 | 37 | 35→30 | 46→40 | 46 | .175/.250/.234 | .059 | .244 | 2 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 33 | -2.9 | .217/.278/.285 | .068 | .277 | 3 | 5 | 21% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .240/.298/.301 | .061 | .284 | 2 | 4 | 15% | 8% | 67 | -0.2 |