Nolan McCarthy

OF West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 196 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	24	A+DET	91	.256/.341/.385	2	2	67	—	.222/.284/.333
2026	24	ADET	50	.243/.440/.324	0	5	76	—	.195/.340/.244
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBDET	1	.207/.278/.312	0	0	70	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBDET	61	.209/.280/.318	1	1	72	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

K%61

Chase%50

wRC+40

ISO40

Speed38

wOBA35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsKevin Heller (age 25) · Nick Podkul (age 25) · Cory Vaughn (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .278 / .312

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%8

BABIP285

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	91	78	20	4	0	2	9	20	1	2	0	256	341	385	726	128	305	22	10	318	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	50	37	9	3	0	0	13	10	0	5	0	243	440	324	764	81	333	20	26	367	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	36	32	7	1	0	3	4	11	0	3	0	219	306	531	837	312	222	31	11	362	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	91	81	18	3	0	2	6	25	1	2	0	222	284	333	617	111	269	27	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	50	41	8	2	0	0	9	14	0	5	0	195	340	244	584	49	291	28	18	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	36	34	5	1	0	2	2	16	0	3	0	147	194	353	547	206	162	44	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	177	156	29	6	0	3	17	55	1	10	0	186	270	282	552	96	257	31	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	177	147	36	8	0	5	26	41	1	10	0	245	362	401	763	156	298	23	15	341	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	177	157	29	6	0	3	17	55	1	10	0	185	270	280	550	96	253	31	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	177	157	29	6	0	3	17	55	1	10	0	185	270	280	550	96	253	31	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	DET	0%	227	205	43	8	1	4	18	67	2	5	1	211	281	319	600	108	289	30	8	272	70	-8	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	DET	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	207	278	312	589	104	285	0	0	267	70	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	DET	30%	200	180	39	7	1	4	16	58	2	4	1	213	283	325	609	112	289	29	8	275	72	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	DET	30%	61	55	11	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	209	280	318	598	109	285	30	8	271	72	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	61	55	11	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	200	279	291	570	91	278	30	8	271	68	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	117	21	0	11	53	192	11	11	0	200	278	292	570	92	277	30	8	271	68	-21	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	508	455	93	18	2	9	43	152	4	17	2	204	279	312	591	108	281	30	8	269	68	-11	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	120	23	3	12	55	194	5	22	3	206	280	318	598	112	283	30	8	269	68	-22	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nolan McCarthy (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	209/279/316	107	289	2	3	30%	8%	70	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Heller 2015 · AA	25	41→45	41→40	49→50	41	198/277/294	96	292	8	11	33%	7%	65	-1.2	214/291/318	104	318	9	11	33%	7%	75	-0.5	211/293/311	100	318	10	12	34%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	39	44→50	51→50	46	196/271/312	116	260	11	11	28%	8%	66	-1.1	211/300/351	140	290	16	6	31%	9%	86	+0.3	202/300/344	142	280	17	3	32%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Cory Vaughn 2014 · AA	25	42	45	53→50	43	207/283/331	124	287	13	14	31%	8%	75	-0.5	191/260/300	109	276	11	13	33%	7%	59	-1.6	165/237/264	99	239	10	12	34%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Chris Rotondo 2024 · A	25	44→40	41→45	57→50	45	204/294/311	108	309	7	12	33%	9%	75	-0.5	207/276/301	94	329	8	13	37%	7%	65	-1.2	194/256/265	71	324	7	16	40%	6%	46	-1.6
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2015 · A	25	42→40	47→45	51→50	44	214/281/349	135	275	15	14	27%	7%	78	-0.3	203/258/328	125	275	13	9	30%	6%	64	-1.3	159/208/266	107	210	12	5	31%	5%	28	-1.7
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→39	43→45	49→45	43	205/275/315	110	292	11	10	32%	8%	68	-1.0	216/270/360	144	301	17	7	33%	6%	76	-0.4	210/258/376	166	280	22	3	33%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	40	44→45	53→60	44	195/276/310	114	290	11	16	34%	9%	68	-1.0	200/282/313	113	289	12	26	32%	9%	71	-0.8	182/274/287	105	255	13	39	32%	9%	61	-0.5
✕Riley Tirotta 2024 · AA	25	41→46	44→45	50	42	198/273/317	118	311	11	14	37%	9%	68	-1.0	209/290/331	122	316	13	13	35%	9%	78	-0.3	199/285/314	115	298	13	12	34%	9%	69	-0.6
✕J.E. Cruz 2006 · A	25	38→47	42→45	52→45	43	191/259/289	98	263	10	12	30%	7%	56	-1.9	208/278/306	98	280	7	8	26%	8%	67	-1.1	205/279/304	99	274	6	6	25%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	41→40	46→50	53→55	45	203/286/334	131	286	13	16	32%	8%	77	-0.3	201/278/310	109	271	10	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	161/249/251	90	216	7	20	27%	8%	42	-1.3
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	43→44	43→45	50	44	210/276/328	118	277	10	12	27%	7%	71	-0.8	229/287/331	102	310	8	9	27%	6%	76	-0.4	232/290/322	90	317	6	7	27%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Kyle Gaedele 2015 · AA	25	40→43	44→45	54→50	40	200/260/322	122	286	11	16	33%	7%	64	-1.3	202/270/336	134	333	15	10	41%	8%	71	-0.8	174/253/317	143	303	17	7	45%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Colin Davis 2024 · A	25	39	45	51→50	41	199/255/320	121	267	12	12	30%	6%	61	-1.5	183/248/293	110	260	12	11	33%	6%	53	-2.1	154/229/257	103	218	14	11	35%	6%	36	-1.0
✕Mike Ahmed 2017 · A	25	43→44	45→50	47→50	44	213/281/336	123	294	13	11	31%	8%	75	-0.5	208/270/323	115	312	12	9	35%	7%	68	-1.0	194/252/293	99	303	10	7	37%	6%	52	-0.8
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	42→43	47→50	52→55	42	210/279/353	142	282	14	15	30%	7%	78	-0.3	210/288/346	136	286	16	22	31%	8%	81	-0.1	204/288/337	133	275	16	27	30%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Kyler Fedko 2024 · A	24	42	43→50	50→55	52	208/295/320	112	268	10	10	25%	10%	77	-0.3	203/283/334	131	259	15	18	26%	9%	76	-0.4	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Tanner O'Tremba 2024 · A	24	43	43→45	54→50	40	205/296/322	116	309	10	13	34%	7%	78	-0.3	193/277/297	104	309	9	14	38%	7%	65	-1.2	132/229/210	78	232	8	17	42%	7%	27	-1.5
✕Tony Bullard 2024 · A	24	40	44→40	52→50	43	202/263/315	113	267	12	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	214/271/319	105	285	9	12	27%	6%	68	-1.0	210/267/311	102	278	9	13	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	43→41	42→40	47→50	47	208/298/311	103	280	9	10	27%	8%	77	-0.3	209/295/297	88	297	7	10	29%	9%	72	-0.7	165/280/182	17	263	0	6	32%	12%	40	-0.6