Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 21 | 120 | 22 | 40 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 13.9% | 43.0% | -29.1% | 0.0% | 8.86 | 7.38 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 21 | 120 | 22 | 40 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.3% | 33.3% | -15.0% | 0.0% | 8.86 | 6.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 18 | 0 | 15 | 103 | 28 | 38 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.1% | 43.5% | -23.4% | 0.0% | 11.15 | 6.92 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | 9 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 4.84 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 25 | 143 | 37 | 43 | 1 | — | — | 25.8% | 30.3% | -4.5% | 0.8% | 8.74 | 6.12 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.69 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.69 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.69 | 4.25 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 94 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.69 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 0 | 37 | 223 | 37 | 96 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 16.8% | 43.3% | -26.5% | 0.0% | 9.82 | 7.16 | -1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 229 | 0 | 200 | 1216 | 204 | 526 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 16.8% | 43.3% | -26.5% | 0.0% | 9.82 | 7.16 | -4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Will Gervase (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 22.3% | 13.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.63 | 22.8% | 10.8% | 20 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.25 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% | .269 | 4.20 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.05 | 3.46 | 145 | 84 |
| Andrew Walling L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.10 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .281 | 3.81 | 20.9% | 6.8% | 52 | -0.29 | 3.12 | 161 | 84 |
| Gabriel Sequeira L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.92 | 19.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | .294 | 3.70 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 63 | -1.22 | 2.65 | 160 | 84 |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.74 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 2.9% | .305 | 3.95 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 87 | -0.79 | 3.67 | 165 | 84 |
| Ty Damron L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 24.3% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .358 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 10.3% | 134 | +0.37 | 3.22 | 346 | 82 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 82 |
| John Beller L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.00 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 170 | 81 |
| Fred Schlichtholz L 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .368 | 4.36 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 80 | -0.05 | 3.76 | 175 | 81 |
| Brian Moran L 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 80 |
| Jared Tobey L 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.11 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 2.3% | .320 | 5.97 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 73 | +1.86 | 4.11 | 158 | 80 |
| Zac Curtis L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.45 | 23.0% | 12.5% | 3.1% | .291 | 4.52 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 149 | +0.07 | 2.61 | 236 | 80 |
| Colton Johnson L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 79 |
| Cy Nielson L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.57 | 20.9% | 12.7% | 2.9% | .361 | 4.55 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 40 | -0.02 | 3.01 | 201 | 79 |
| Kade Bragg L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.40 | 23.3% | 13.0% | 3.0% | .255 | 4.15 | 23.7% | 2.3% | 45 | -0.25 | 4.15 | 112 | 79 |
| Manuel Chavez L 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.29 | 17.8% | 11.1% | 2.4% | .312 | 4.51 | 27.7% | 13.7% | 23 | +0.22 | 3.69 | 113 | 78 |
| Thomas Burrows L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .276 | 3.94 | 26.5% | 12.9% | 82 | -0.23 | 2.83 | 271 | 78 |
| José Manuel Fernández L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.05 | 18.1% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .345 | 4.96 | 17.5% | 6.6% | 121 | +0.91 | 3.35 | 263 | 78 |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 18.9% | 17.6% | 2.4% | .315 | 4.92 | 19.3% | 7.1% | 107 | -0.13 | 4.28 | 127 | 78 |
| Kelly Secrest L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.46 | 18.6% | 13.7% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.30 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 38 | -1.16 | 3.11 | 151 | 78 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.69 | 24.7% | 15.6% | 3.1% | .320 | 4.57 | 22.5% | 10.5% | 163 | -0.12 | 4.13 | 265 | 77 |