Player 822268 — OGILVIE

Player 8222681B DSL Nationals

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .267 / .237

PA62

HR0

K%33

BB%9

ISO47

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	22	18	5	0	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	278	409	278	687		417	27	18	333	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	22	19	3	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	158	273	158	431		283	32	14	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	22	19	3	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	158	273	158	431		250	32	14	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	22	18	5	0	0	0	4	6	0	0	0	278	409	278	687		417	27	18	333	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	22	19	3	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	158	273	158	431		283	32	14	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	22	19	3	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	158	273	158	431		283	32	14	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	200	179	34	3	1	1	18	66	1	2	1	191	269	239	508	47	291	33	9	238	47	-13	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	106	95	18	2	0	1	9	34	1	1	0	194	271	247	518	53	290	32	8	242	50	-6	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	193	271	245	516	52	290	—	—	241	50	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	190	170	31	3	0	1	18	61	1	1	0	182	265	218	482	35	275	32	9	238	48	-10	+0	+0	-3	+4	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	105	10	0	3	62	209	3	3	0	180	263	213	476	33	273	32	10	238	48	-39	+1	+0	-12	+14	-3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 822268 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	190/267/237	47	291	0	0	33%	9%	47	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Richard Nunez 2019 · A	24	39	36→30	47→55	47	182/259/252	69	257	2	9	28%	9%	47	-2.5	206/271/297	91	286	6	6	28%	8%	62	-1.4	188/264/281	93	239	9	3	24%	9%	54	-0.3
✕Tanner Vavra 2014 · A	25	44	35→30	44→45	43	201/270/256	55	301	2	5	32%	8%	52	-2.2	211/275/264	53	302	2	7	29%	6%	56	-1.9	210/275/254	44	300	1	7	28%	5%	50	-1.2
✕Andy Leer 2013 · A	25	34	37→30	39→45	39	166/235/230	64	269	5	5	38%	7%	34	-3.5	177/237/262	85	293	7	8	39%	7%	41	-3.0	136/185/219	82	223	8	7	41%	5%	10	-2.0
✕Cristopher Navarro 2024 · AA	25	38	35→30	47→45	38	181/228/241	59	266	3	5	32%	6%	32	-3.6	208/268/297	89	286	7	8	28%	7%	61	-1.5	203/272/274	71	272	7	4	26%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Jorge Saez 2016 · A	25	38	39→45	46→30	45	183/253/268	85	261	6	3	31%	8%	49	-2.4	205/267/329	124	289	15	4	32%	7%	68	-1.0	206/268/336	130	281	18	3	33%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Matt McLaughlin 2021 · A	25	45→43	36→30	44→45	44	209/273/276	67	289	3	10	27%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/280	78	269	6	7	25%	6%	55	-1.9	180/243/240	60	234	4	3	24%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Chris Paul 2017 · A	24	40→37	38→40	52→40	36	194/241/271	78	282	5	5	32%	4%	44	-2.8	218/260/314	96	295	7	4	27%	4%	61	-1.5	228/265/331	103	298	8	2	26%	3%	65	-0.7
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	40	36→40	43→45	47	191/268/254	63	265	4	6	28%	8%	52	-2.2	215/279/298	83	267	6	8	20%	7%	65	-1.2	220/283/302	82	265	6	8	18%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Ben Verlander 2017 · A	25	39→34	38→40	47→40	39	191/235/271	80	262	6	5	29%	5%	42	-2.9	205/256/286	81	285	5	6	28%	6%	53	-2.1	188/237/235	47	264	2	0	28%	6%	33	-1.1
✕Beau Seabury 2010 · A	25	40	36→30	42→45	36	191/243/254	63	297	4	6	35%	5%	41	-3.0	204/252/280	76	301	5	5	32%	5%	51	-2.3	194/236/260	67	285	4	1	32%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	36	38→45	45→40	43	171/258/251	80	290	5	5	39%	9%	48	-2.5	183/264/299	116	287	12	6	37%	9%	61	-1.5	172/257/295	123	249	14	4	35%	9%	55	-0.9
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	35	38→30	44→40	38	173/241/247	74	265	6	5	35%	6%	40	-3.0	190/250/278	88	303	8	7	37%	6%	50	-2.3	142/198/221	78	234	8	3	41%	6%	14	-1.0
✕CJ Rodriguez 2024 · A	24	39	37→30	44→30	45	190/254/259	69	258	5	3	27%	7%	47	-2.5	184/259/237	53	249	3	3	25%	9%	44	-2.8	172/256/197	26	229	1	0	23%	9%	33	-1.1
✕Devin Ortiz 2024 · A	25	46→47	36→30	46→50	44	208/284/268	61	318	3	7	33%	8%	61	-1.5	210/275/278	68	277	6	10	25%	7%	59	-1.6	201/266/262	61	259	7	12	24%	7%	49	-1.6
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2018 · A	24	42	37→30	43→45	38	202/247/268	67	288	5	8	31%	5%	45	-2.7	213/260/289	76	299	4	7	29%	5%	55	-1.9	209/264/268	59	287	2	4	26%	5%	50	-1.1
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37	38→40	43→45	43	178/254/252	74	250	5	8	29%	7%	46	-2.6	193/256/269	76	288	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	166/232/216	50	256	3	3	33%	6%	27	-2.1