Player 822239 — OGILVIE

Player 822239— DSL LAD Bautista

Age — —/— ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION76 act + 82 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .293 / .301

PA82

HR1

K%28

BB%11

BABIP286

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	LAD	—	76	64	12	2	1	1	11	19	0	5	4	188	307	297	604	109	244	25	14	260	57	-4	-1	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
YTD	—	ROK	LAD	—	76	57	13	2	1	1	18	13	0	5	4	228	413	351	764	123	273	17	24	355	130	+3	-1	+0	-1	+2	0.3
ROS	—	ROK	LAD	0%	82	73	15	2	1	1	9	23	0	2	1	205	293	301	594	96	283	28	11	270	65	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
ROS	—	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	264	60	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	LAD	—	76	65	12	2	1	1	11	19	0	5	4	185	307	292	599	108	239	25	14	260	57	-4	-1	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
TOT	—	ROK	LAD	—	158	137	27	4	2	2	20	42	0	7	5	197	299	299	599	102	266	27	13	265	61	-7	-1	+0	-3	+4	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	LAD	0%	160	141	29	5	1	2	17	45	1	3	1	206	296	298	593	92	282	28	11	274	68	-6	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.4
2027	25	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	267	63	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	242	214	44	7	2	3	26	68	1	5	2	206	295	299	594	93	285	28	11	273	67	-9	+0	+0	-4	+7	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	118	19	5	8	70	183	3	13	5	205	295	297	593	92	284	28	11	273	67	-24	+1	+0	-12	+18	-1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	318	4	6	207	289	301	-5	+0	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	8	13	207	289	301	-9.5	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 822239 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	197/299/299	102	266	2	7	27%	13%	61	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Dwanya Williams-Sutton 2021 · A	24	41	41→45	50	45	190/309/282	92	303	8	10	35%	10%	72	-0.2	207/308/334	127	335	14	13	39%	9%	85	+0.7	165/295/298	133	275	17	18	41%	11%	70	-0.1
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	200/275/283	83	276	7	13	29%	8%	56	-1.3	207/278/312	105	288	10	11	30%	8%	64	-0.8	165/242/293	128	222	16	8	33%	8%	42	-0.6
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	39→45	40→45	48→55	48	189/266/279	90	247	8	14	26%	8%	51	-1.7	208/286/327	119	270	12	18	26%	9%	72	-0.2	212/289/340	128	261	15	24	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→40	43→45	50→45	43	208/278/319	111	295	11	10	32%	8%	66	-0.6	219/274/365	146	305	17	7	33%	6%	76	+0.1	215/264/384	170	287	22	3	33%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Travis Becktel 2008 · A	25	43→37	41→45	49→50	42	208/269/307	99	296	7	15	31%	7%	59	-1.1	207/260/315	108	303	8	15	32%	6%	56	-1.3	194/236/310	116	288	7	19	34%	4%	40	-0.9
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Duke Sardinha 2006 · A	25	42→34	40→55	46→45	45	207/265/301	95	267	8	8	25%	7%	55	-1.4	204/253/336	132	284	15	6	33%	5%	59	-1.1	198/248/340	142	268	17	5	32%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Marty Gantt 2015 · A	25	46→45	40→45	51→50	42	218/282/319	100	311	7	11	30%	7%	67	-0.5	220/289/331	111	296	9	11	27%	8%	73	-0.1	208/283/321	112	268	11	12	25%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	39	44→45	53→60	44	192/275/311	119	295	12	16	36%	9%	64	-0.8	197/281/310	113	291	12	26	34%	9%	66	-0.6	177/270/280	103	254	13	39	33%	10%	53	-0.5
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	42→43	43→45	50	42	207/270/323	116	273	10	12	27%	6%	63	-0.8	226/283/329	103	310	8	9	28%	6%	70	-0.3	228/286/321	93	317	7	7	29%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Tyler Stubblefield 2013 · A	25	42	38→45	51→50	47	200/279/278	78	260	5	12	24%	8%	56	-1.3	214/270/318	104	261	9	9	21%	6%	62	-0.9	211/252/327	117	243	9	5	17%	5%	52	-0.7
✕Wagner Lagrange 2021 · A	25	44→43	41→45	49→40	40	214/257/316	102	281	7	5	26%	5%	55	-1.4	222/265/338	116	285	12	7	26%	5%	65	-0.7	218/256/333	115	272	14	5	25%	4%	57	-0.6
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→36	40→45	48→45	45	201/279/294	93	296	8	12	32%	9%	60	-1.0	209/277/348	139	270	16	8	28%	8%	73	-0.1	196/269/342	145	244	18	6	27%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→50	55→60	44	195/262/286	91	267	7	19	29%	7%	50	-1.7	218/272/351	133	286	15	28	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2