Joshua Francis

2B ACL Mariners

Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKSEA	156	.272/.361/.368	1	10	38	—	.191/.265/.262
2026	19	ROKSEA	126	.262/.374/.379	1	11	40	—	.183/.276/.266
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBSEA	236	.199/.265/.278	2	5	54	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBSEA	66	.202/.269/.289	1	1	60	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed97

wRC+51

ISO50

Chase%43

wOBA39

BB%21

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsAdrian Santana (age 19) · Victor Acosta (age 20) · Samuel Castro (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 106 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .263 / .275

PA106

HR1

K%29

BB%7

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	67	53	9	1	1	0	13	21	1	2	1	170	343	226	570	57	281	31	19	284	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	156	136	37	4	3	1	15	20	4	10	0	272	361	368	729	96	310	13	10	331	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	126	103	27	3	3	1	14	37	5	11	2	262	374	379	753	117	400	29	11	336	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	67	56	7	1	1	0	10	26	1	2	1	125	269	179	447	54	194	39	15	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	156	141	27	3	2	1	10	24	4	10	0	191	265	262	527	71	214	15	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	126	109	20	2	2	1	9	53	5	11	2	183	276	266	542	83	316	42	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	67	56	7	1	1	0	10	26	1	2	1	125	269	179	447	54	233	39	15	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	67	53	9	1	1	0	13	21	1	2	1	170	343	226	570	57	281	31	19	284	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	156	141	27	3	2	1	10	24	4	10	0	191	265	262	527	71	222	15	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	156	136	37	4	3	1	15	20	4	10	0	272	361	368	729	96	310	13	10	331	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	126	109	20	2	2	1	9	53	5	11	2	183	276	266	542	83	345	42	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	126	103	27	3	3	1	14	37	5	11	2	262	374	379	753	117	400	29	11	336	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	67	56	7	1	1	0	10	26	1	2	1	125	269	179	447	54	194	39	15	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	156	141	27	3	2	1	10	24	4	10	0	191	265	262	527	71	214	15	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	126	111	20	2	2	1	9	53	5	11	2	180	276	261	538	81	316	42	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	67	56	7	1	1	0	10	26	1	2	1	125	269	179	447	54	194	39	15	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	156	141	27	3	2	1	10	24	4	10	0	191	265	262	527	71	214	15	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	126	111	20	2	2	1	9	53	5	11	2	180	276	261	538	81	316	42	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	236	215	42	6	2	2	16	69	3	5	1	199	265	278	543	79	281	29	7	248	54	-13	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	191	173	35	5	2	2	13	55	3	4	1	204	271	293	564	89	283	29	7	257	60	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	66	60	13	2	1	1	5	19	1	1	0	202	269	289	558	87	280	29	8	255	60	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	66	60	13	2	1	1	5	19	1	1	0	217	288	333	621	117	300	29	8	255	46	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	129	20	10	10	49	187	10	10	0	218	289	337	626	118	302	29	8	255	46	-31	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	646	576	108	14	8	5	49	189	14	29	4	188	268	266	533	78	268	29	8	236	46	-15	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	109	14	8	5	49	190	14	29	4	188	267	266	533	78	268	29	8	236	46	-32	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joshua Francis (OGILVIE)	20	45	25	55	35	197/263/275	78	281	1	2	29%	7%	54	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adrian Santana 2024 · A	19	44→49	37→30	52→60	45	206/278/282	76	295	4	10	29%	8%	61	-1.5	217/263/276	59	271	2	32	19%	6%	53	-2.1	228/274/284	56	276	2	38	17%	5%	56	-1.3
✕Victor Acosta 2024 · A	20	43→45	38→40	51→50	44	202/287/286	84	286	4	11	28%	8%	66	-1.1	197/279/276	79	278	4	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	188/274/265	77	265	4	13	28%	7%	55	-1.1
✕Samuel Castro 2018 · A	20	45	36→40	48→50	40	213/268/284	70	297	3	9	28%	6%	57	-1.8	204/261/273	69	333	2	10	37%	6%	53	-2.1	188/247/245	57	317	1	12	38%	5%	38	-1.1
✕Adenson Chourio 2006 · A	20	41	35→30	49→60	42	192/256/248	56	284	2	18	31%	7%	45	-2.7	213/287/256	43	263	1	30	18%	8%	59	-1.7	223/301/251	28	270	0	39	16%	8%	60	-0.7
✕Estarlin De Los Santos 2007 · A	20	41→42	36→40	53→55	41	194/256/262	68	274	3	13	29%	6%	48	-2.5	211/260/281	70	297	3	17	28%	5%	53	-2.1	221/265/291	71	306	2	19	27%	4%	54	-1.0
✕Noah Miller 2023 · A	20	40→47	37→40	51→50	48	188/276/257	69	287	4	13	33%	10%	55	-1.9	205/266/280	75	274	6	8	25%	8%	56	-1.9	224/272/309	85	279	7	4	21%	6%	63	-1.2
✕Tucker Toman 2024 · A	20	39→46	37→40	50→45	42	185/261/263	78	293	4	6	36%	8%	51	-2.3	198/270/282	84	317	7	6	36%	7%	59	-1.7	201/278/287	86	317	8	5	36%	8%	60	-1.0
✕Chris Torres 2018 · A	20	43→38	36→30	51→55	46	198/270/268	70	289	2	14	30%	8%	55	-2.0	200/280/266	66	332	4	12	36%	10%	58	-1.7	182/272/238	56	306	3	15	37%	11%	47	-1.3
✕Johnny Ascanio 2023 · A	20	48	35→40	50→45	46	220/294/283	64	309	2	13	27%	8%	68	-1.0	207/274/286	79	275	6	8	25%	7%	61	-1.5	209/293/268	60	273	4	7	23%	9%	62	-0.8
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Jeff Dominguez 2006 · A	20	44→51	35→40	52→50	39	203/255/261	58	308	2	11	33%	6%	47	-2.6	223/266/281	58	298	3	12	24%	6%	55	-1.9	222/266/314	92	287	8	14	24%	5%	60	-1.0
✕Jeison Guzmán 2019 · A	20	42→43	37→45	53→50	41	199/250/268	69	276	4	14	28%	6%	47	-2.6	210/250/303	93	285	7	12	28%	4%	55	-2.0	202/251/311	109	284	10	10	31%	5%	54	-1.2
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	37	34→30	50→55	47	174/257/225	52	263	1	15	32%	10%	41	-3.0	194/259/259	65	313	2	13	36%	7%	49	-2.4	182/247/231	49	295	0	21	35%	6%	35	-0.9
✕Daniel Mateo 2012 · A	20	45→46	39→40	50→45	39	215/252/301	87	286	5	6	26%	4%	54	-2.0	216/261/311	95	280	8	3	25%	5%	61	-1.5	209/257/306	96	267	8	1	24%	5%	55	-1.7
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	37	198/261/249	51	290	2	14	30%	5%	47	-2.5	216/266/279	63	314	2	13	30%	4%	55	-1.9	200/250/260	60	280	3	7	28%	3%	41	-1.5
✕Lucius Fox 2017 · A	20	42→50	38→40	55→60	43	198/264/277	79	283	5	20	30%	7%	55	-2.0	217/285/288	71	314	4	22	30%	7%	65	-1.2	194/260/277	83	283	8	24	32%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Jhoander Saez 2018 · A	20	46	34→30	53→50	44	214/272/264	50	294	1	14	26%	7%	54	-2.0	196/247/253	57	336	2	13	39%	6%	42	-2.9	144/182/172	28	315	0	20	52%	4%	-4	-1.6
✕Anderson Feliz 2012 · A	20	40→50	39→40	49→50	39	192/247/284	92	284	6	11	33%	6%	49	-2.4	208/267/300	92	327	6	13	35%	7%	61	-1.5	208/271/296	88	336	6	16	37%	8%	59	-0.4
✕Willmer De La Cruz 2024 · A	21	42	36→30	50→55	46	191/277/255	64	298	3	15	34%	10%	55	-1.9	197/272/263	66	330	3	13	37%	9%	55	-2.0	162/255/195	33	292	0	21	40%	10%	30	-0.8
✕Robert Garcia 2014 · A	20	44	35→30	51→60	44	204/274/265	61	285	3	14	28%	7%	55	-1.9	221/279/286	65	286	3	20	23%	5%	62	-1.4	215/265/264	49	309	3	22	30%	4%	48	-1.0