Tom GuerreroSS
DSL Padres Brown
Age 20
R/R
6'0" / 170 lbs
ROK
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.8 · 2033
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .271 / .284
PA131
HR2
K%31
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
20→20
SPD
40→40
EYE
60→60
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.8peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.7 | $16M | +$15M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.8 | $18M | +$17M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.6 | $16M | +$15M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.5 | $16M | +$13M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.2 | $13M | +$9M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +0.9 | $5M | +$0.0M |
| Totals | $15M | $84M | +$68M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 47 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .070 | .130 | .070 | .200 | .000 | .188 | 60 | 6 | .108 | -59 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 158 | 136 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .103 | .223 | .154 | .377 | .051 | .161 | 32 | 11 | .184 | -1 | -18 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | SD | 131 | 118 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .195 | .269 | .297 | .566 | .102 | .277 | 31 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | SD | 214 | 190 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 62 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .205 | .288 | .316 | .604 | .111 | .280 | 29 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | SD | 336 | 296 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 93 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .216 | .303 | .341 | .645 | .125 | .282 | 28 | 10 | .289 | 79 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | SD | 419 | 369 | 81 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 113 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .220 | .308 | .358 | .665 | .138 | .283 | 27 | 10 | .297 | 85 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | SD | 475 | 418 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 49 | 126 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .222 | .311 | .364 | .675 | .141 | .284 | 27 | 10 | .301 | 89 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | SD | 506 | 442 | 99 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 53 | 134 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .224 | .315 | .367 | .682 | .143 | .284 | 26 | 10 | .305 | 91 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | SD | 524 | 457 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 56 | 138 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .221 | .314 | .359 | .673 | .138 | .285 | 26 | 11 | .306 | 93 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +15 | 1.7 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | SD | 531 | 463 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 57 | 141 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .222 | .316 | .367 | .683 | .145 | .285 | 27 | 11 | .306 | 93 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | SD | 530 | 461 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 58 | 142 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .219 | .314 | .356 | .670 | .137 | .284 | 27 | 11 | .305 | 92 | -5 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | SD | 523 | 455 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 57 | 141 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .220 | .315 | .358 | .673 | .138 | .283 | 27 | 11 | .303 | 90 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | SD | 515 | 448 | 97 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 56 | 141 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .217 | .312 | .355 | .667 | .138 | .282 | 27 | 11 | .300 | 88 | -7 | +1 | -2 | +6 | +15 | 1.2 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | SD | 502 | 437 | 94 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 55 | 139 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .215 | .310 | .350 | .660 | .135 | .280 | 28 | 11 | .296 | 85 | -9 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | SD | 484 | 423 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 53 | 137 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .208 | .304 | .333 | .637 | .125 | .279 | 28 | 11 | .292 | 81 | -10 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +14 | 0.6 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | SD | 455 | 398 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 49 | 132 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .204 | .299 | .324 | .623 | .121 | .277 | 29 | 11 | .286 | 77 | -12 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +13 | 0.3 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | SD | 409 | 358 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 122 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .198 | .293 | .310 | .603 | .112 | .275 | 30 | 11 | .280 | 72 | -13 | +1 | -5 | +4 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | SD | 355 | 311 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 109 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .196 | .290 | .309 | .598 | .113 | .273 | 31 | 11 | .272 | 67 | -13 | +1 | -6 | +4 | +10 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7114 | 6223 | 1313 | 239 | 39 | 162 | 752 | 1988 | 78 | 85 | 11 | .211 | .304 | .340 | .644 | .129 | .280 | 28 | 11 | .292 | 81 | -150 | +13 | -25 | +76 | +202 | 11.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 569 | 121 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 69 | 182 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .213 | .306 | .344 | .650 | .132 | .282 | 28 | 11 | .292 | 81 | -14 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +18 | 1.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 47 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .146 | .239 | .171 | .410 | .024 | .250 | 38 | 11 | .198 | 10 | -5 | -0 | — | — | +1 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 158 | 125 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .152 | .325 | .224 | .549 | .072 | .211 | 23 | 18 | .272 | 67 | -6 | -1 | — | — | +4 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Tom Guerrero (OGILVIE) | 20 | 20 | 20 | 40 | 60 | .193/.271/.284 | .091 | .277 | 2 | 2 | 31% | 9% | 55 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A |
20 | 37 | 40 | 44→55 | 39 | .185/.250/.273 | .088 | .268 | 9 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.257/.289 | .089 | .277 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.256/.288 | .091 | .265 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A |
21 | 33 | 41→45 | 41→50 | 41 | .168/.252/.259 | .091 | .262 | 9 | 8 | 37% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.275/.307 | .110 | .307 | 11 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.303/.338 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A |
20 | 38 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 45 | .183/.271/.272 | .089 | .286 | 7 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 52 | -1.6 | .190/.265/.267 | .077 | .298 | 5 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 47 | -1.9 | .182/.268/.267 | .085 | .274 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A |
21 | 37 | 38→45 | 41→50 | 46 | .178/.258/.254 | .076 | .251 | 5 | 7 | 29% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .189/.262/.277 | .088 | .258 | 7 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .184/.261/.280 | .096 | .239 | 8 | 13 | 25% | 8% | 47 | -0.7 |
|
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A |
19 | 40 | 36→30 | 48→50 | 45 | .190/.258/.255 | .065 | .266 | 4 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .207/.263/.250 | .043 | .259 | 1 | 14 | 19% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .233/.291/.254 | .020 | .278 | 0 | 16 | 15% | 7% | 50 | -0.6 |
|
✕Payton Henry 2017 · A |
20 | 44→31 | 37→45 | 45→30 | 39 | .207/.266/.282 | .075 | .300 | 3 | 5 | 30% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .188/.254/.291 | .103 | .312 | 10 | 3 | 40% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .246/.293/.382 | .135 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 4% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A |
21 | 40 | 38→40 | 47→55 | 47 | .192/.263/.275 | .082 | .250 | 5 | 9 | 24% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .212/.292/.300 | .088 | .255 | 8 | 17 | 19% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .209/.299/.290 | .080 | .241 | 9 | 25 | 16% | 10% | 66 | -0.2 |
|
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A |
19 | 36 | 41→45 | 47→60 | 41 | .181/.239/.272 | .091 | .247 | 9 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .219/.271/.301 | .082 | .284 | 7 | 20 | 24% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .234/.281/.297 | .063 | .300 | 5 | 24 | 23% | 5% | 58 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A |
20 | 45 | 38→30 | 48→60 | 46 | .214/.278/.298 | .084 | .285 | 5 | 12 | 26% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .216/.302/.277 | .061 | .288 | 3 | 24 | 23% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.317/.260 | .044 | .285 | 1 | 34 | 22% | 12% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Cesar Quintas 2023 · A |
20 | 42→36 | 37→45 | 42→50 | 37 | .196/.267/.265 | .069 | .300 | 4 | 5 | 34% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .207/.290/.303 | .096 | .304 | 8 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .200/.289/.313 | .113 | .283 | 11 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A |
19 | 38 | 39→40 | 42→40 | 47 | .184/.273/.262 | .078 | .274 | 6 | 5 | 33% | 10% | 50 | -1.7 | .198/.280/.268 | .070 | .284 | 5 | 5 | 29% | 9% | 54 | -1.4 | .176/.264/.209 | .033 | .250 | 3 | 3 | 28% | 10% | 29 | -0.9 |
|
✕Victor Moscote 2014 · A |
20 | 40 | 37→30 | 40→45 | 37 | .193/.243/.264 | .072 | .282 | 5 | 5 | 32% | 5% | 36 | -2.7 | .209/.262/.266 | .057 | .279 | 3 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .209/.266/.252 | .043 | .268 | 2 | 3 | 21% | 6% | 40 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A |
20 | 41→35 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .199/.265/.295 | .096 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .204/.294/.305 | .101 | .301 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.292/.283 | .097 | .277 | 9 | 10 | 33% | 11% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A |
21 | 37 | 36→40 | 45→40 | 46 | .174/.265/.241 | .067 | .259 | 4 | 5 | 32% | 9% | 42 | -2.3 | .187/.265/.267 | .080 | .304 | 5 | 4 | 37% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .184/.258/.270 | .086 | .308 | 5 | 2 | 39% | 8% | 42 | -0.8 |
|
✕David Hernandez 2007 · A |
20 | 43 | 35→40 | 44→55 | 46 | .200/.269/.256 | .056 | .264 | 2 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .224/.283/.296 | .072 | .278 | 4 | 10 | 19% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .227/.289/.294 | .067 | .277 | 3 | 14 | 18% | 7% | 60 | -0.4 |
|
✕Luis Reynoso 2015 · A |
20 | 41 | 36→30 | 43→50 | 40 | .197/.253/.263 | .066 | .289 | 4 | 8 | 32% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .195/.250/.249 | .054 | .327 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 6% | 35 | -2.8 | .180/.238/.205 | .025 | .313 | 1 | 2 | 40% | 7% | 16 | -1.1 |
|
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A |
19 | 42→36 | 38→45 | 47→60 | 48 | .195/.289/.277 | .082 | .295 | 5 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 61 | -1.0 | .192/.285/.295 | .103 | .282 | 10 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .179/.278/.292 | .113 | .261 | 13 | 23 | 34% | 9% | 59 | -0.8 |
|
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A |
21 | 42 | 39→40 | 45→55 | 37 | .199/.254/.291 | .092 | .307 | 6 | 8 | 35% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .213/.277/.298 | .085 | .301 | 6 | 15 | 29% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .216/.288/.295 | .079 | .292 | 7 | 22 | 26% | 7% | 60 | -0.3 |
|
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A |
20 | 43 | 39→45 | 42→40 | 40 | .208/.266/.286 | .078 | .272 | 7 | 6 | 26% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .203/.254/.282 | .079 | .287 | 6 | 5 | 30% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .147/.189/.214 | .067 | .208 | 8 | 0 | 33% | 3% | -2 | -1.0 |
|
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A |
22 | 39 | 38→40 | 45 | 45 | .191/.251/.267 | .076 | .256 | 5 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .211/.266/.279 | .068 | .290 | 4 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .235/.280/.283 | .048 | .303 | 3 | 7 | 22% | 6% | 52 | -0.5 |