Erich Tovar

P ACL Guardians

Age 20 RHP 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL CLE Mendo…	6	8	2.35	6.62	14.0%	30.2%	—	K 14.0% · BB 30.2% · FIP 5.75
2026	19	ROKCLE	11	15	2.93	2.38	19.7%	7.6%	—	K 13.4% · BB 9.5% · FIP 3.17
2027PROJ	20	MLBCLE	9	9	4.63	4.63	20.8%	10.2%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBCLE	10	10	4.52	4.47	21.5%	9.7%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsBlake Workman (age 20) · Sandy Lugo (age 21) · Max Gieg (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.63

FIP4.63

K%20.8%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%10.6%

Proj IP9

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	11	0	15	75	10	11	0	0%	1.4	9.1%	18.3%	-9.3%	0.0%	9.00	4.66	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	11	0	15	75	10	11	0	0%	1.4	9.1%	18.3%	-9.3%	0.0%	9.00	4.66	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	11	0	15	75	10	11	0	0%	1.4	13.3%	14.7%	-1.3%	0.0%	9.00	3.97	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	6	0	8	43	6	13	0	0%	1.3	14.0%	30.2%	-16.3%	0.0%	2.35	5.75	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	6	0	8	43	6	13	0	0%	1.3	14.0%	30.2%	-16.3%	0.0%	2.35	5.75	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	6	0	8	43	6	13	0	0%	1.3	14.0%	30.2%	-16.3%	0.0%	2.35	6.62	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	11	0	15	66	13	5	0	0%	1.4	13.4%	9.5%	3.9%	0.0%	2.93	3.17	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	11	0	15	66	13	5	0	0%	1.4	13.4%	9.5%	3.9%	0.0%	2.93	3.17	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	11	0	15	66	13	5	0	0%	1.4	19.7%	7.6%	12.1%	0.0%	2.93	2.38	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	CLE	9	0	9	38	8	4	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.2%	10.6%	2.9%	4.63	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CLE	19	0	20	84	18	8	2	0%	1.1	21.5%	9.7%	11.8%	2.9%	4.52	4.47	+0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	CLE	10	0	10	42	9	4	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	9.7%	11.8%	2.9%	4.52	4.47	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	4	1	0%	1.1	21.5%	9.7%	11.8%	2.9%	4.52	4.09	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	81	20	0%	1.1	21.5%	9.7%	11.8%	2.9%	4.52	4.09	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		28	0	38	184	22	33	0	0%	1.4	11.8%	17.9%	-6.2%	0.0%	5.21	4.38	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	0	200	968	114	174	0	0%	1.4	11.8%	17.9%	-6.2%	0.0%	5.21	4.38	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Erich Tovar (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.63	20.8%	10.2%	2.9%	—	4.47	21.5%	11.8%	20	-0.16	—	—	—
Blake Workman R 2018 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.98	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.02	3.09	213	90
Sandy Lugo R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	21	SU	3.86	20.7%	9.5%	2.4%	.352	3.98	23.6%	12.5%	119	+0.12	3.48	146	88
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	87
Mason Fox R 2018 · 3.59 FIP	21	SU	3.59	21.9%	11.5%	1.6%	.260	6.72	21.3%	4.8%	30	+3.13	3.59	112	87
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	86
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	86
Enmanuel Marcano R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	20	SU	4.32	21.1%	8.4%	3.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	138	85
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	85
Andrew Bash R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	22	SU	3.87	18.0%	9.2%	2.1%	.273	4.21	14.9%	4.8%	146	+0.34	3.46	483	85
Troy Bacon R 2017 · 3.92 FIP	20	SU	3.92	19.9%	11.7%	1.9%	.222	4.06	19.7%	10.8%	102	+0.14	3.34	203	85
Kendeglys Virguez R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	20	SU	4.45	22.5%	10.8%	3.4%	.260	4.10	23.8%	8.8%	41	-0.35	4.10	142	85
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	85
Jorge Julio R 2001 · 3.48 FIP	22	SU	3.48	22.2%	9.1%	2.0%	.348	4.31	20.4%	10.1%	199	+0.83	3.48	467	84
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	84
Cam Bedrosian R 2014 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	21.5%	11.8%	2.1%	.350	2.72	26.8%	17.8%	154	-1.22	1.79	363	84
Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	20	SU	4.14	25.1%	13.3%	2.7%	.327	3.29	23.8%	13.4%	81	-0.85	3.21	104	84
Osiris German R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.6%	8.7%	3.3%	.346	3.15	26.3%	15.5%	59	-1.11	3.11	187	84
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	84
José Geraldo R 2019 · 3.57 FIP	20	SU	3.57	17.8%	9.7%	1.4%	.313	4.75	18.3%	7.4%	22	+1.18	3.50	192	84
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	84