Diorland Zambrano

SS ACL Reds

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 168 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKCIN	185	.270/.346/.350	2	5	24	—	.172/.231/.213
2026	19	ROKCIN	125	.269/.358/.444	3	1	61	—	.205/.276/.321
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBCIN	235	.220/.279/.308	3	3	66	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBCIN	66	.226/.285/.326	1	1	71	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBCIN	155	.229/.290/.337	3	2	75	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%93

Whiff%80

K%77

ISO76

Speed48

wOBA39

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%

CompsEmerson Landoni (age 20) · Alfredo Lopez (age 21) · Rayner Contreras (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 105 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .276 / .305

PA105

HR1

K%24

BB%6

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	117	95	27	2	0	3	16	10	2	2	3	284	398	400	798	116	286	9	14	353	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	185	163	44	7	0	2	17	11	2	5	3	270	346	350	696	80	276	6	9	314	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	125	108	29	4	3	3	11	20	4	1	2	269	358	444	802	176	302	16	9	352	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	117	100	17	1	0	1	11	13	2	2	3	170	265	210	475	40	182	11	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	185	169	29	4	0	1	11	14	2	5	3	172	231	213	444	41	176	8	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	125	112	23	3	2	2	7	29	4	1	2	205	276	321	598	116	242	23	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	117	100	17	1	0	1	11	13	2	2	3	170	265	210	475	40	182	11	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	117	95	27	2	0	3	16	10	2	2	3	284	398	400	798	116	286	9	14	353	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	185	169	29	4	0	1	11	14	2	5	3	172	231	213	444	41	179	8	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	185	163	44	7	0	2	17	11	2	5	3	270	346	350	696	80	276	6	9	314	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	125	112	23	3	2	2	7	29	4	1	2	205	276	321	598	116	256	23	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	125	108	29	4	3	3	11	20	4	1	2	269	358	444	802	176	302	16	9	352	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	117	103	17	1	0	1	11	13	2	2	3	165	265	204	469	39	182	11	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	185	170	29	4	0	1	11	14	2	5	3	171	231	212	443	41	176	8	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	125	113	23	3	2	2	7	29	4	1	2	204	276	319	595	115	242	23	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	117	103	17	1	0	1	11	13	2	2	3	165	265	204	469	39	182	11	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	185	170	29	4	0	1	11	14	2	5	3	171	231	212	443	41	176	8	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	125	113	23	3	2	2	7	29	4	1	2	204	276	319	595	115	242	23	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	235	215	49	8	2	3	15	55	3	3	1	220	279	308	586	88	281	23	6	266	66	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	191	175	39	6	1	3	12	45	2	3	1	224	284	321	605	97	283	24	6	273	71	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	319	291	66	11	2	5	21	74	4	5	2	227	288	331	619	104	284	23	7	279	75	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	406	371	85	14	3	7	27	93	5	6	2	230	291	340	631	110	285	23	7	284	78	-11	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	465	425	98	16	3	9	32	106	5	7	3	232	294	346	640	114	287	23	7	287	81	-11	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	498	454	106	17	4	10	35	114	6	8	3	233	296	350	646	117	287	23	7	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	517	470	110	18	4	10	36	118	6	8	3	232	295	350	645	118	287	23	7	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	525	477	111	18	4	10	37	121	6	8	3	231	294	348	642	116	286	23	7	288	81	-12	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	525	477	111	18	4	10	37	122	6	7	3	230	293	343	636	113	285	23	7	286	80	-13	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	519	473	108	18	3	9	36	122	5	6	4	228	290	337	627	110	284	24	7	282	77	-14	-0	-1	+6	+11	0.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	510	465	105	17	3	9	35	121	5	6	4	225	286	330	617	105	283	24	7	278	74	-16	-0	-2	+5	+11	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	66	61	14	2	1	1	4	15	1	1	0	226	285	326	611	100	284	23	6	276	71	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	155	142	33	5	1	3	10	36	2	2	1	229	290	337	626	108	285	23	6	282	75	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	220	200	46	7	2	4	15	51	3	4	1	231	293	346	638	114	286	23	7	287	78	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	258	235	55	9	2	5	18	59	3	4	2	234	296	352	648	119	288	23	7	291	81	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	279	255	60	10	2	6	19	64	3	4	2	235	297	357	654	122	288	23	7	293	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	291	266	62	10	2	6	20	66	3	5	2	234	297	357	654	122	288	23	7	293	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	290	265	62	10	2	6	20	67	3	4	2	233	296	354	650	121	287	23	7	292	81	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	288	263	61	10	2	6	20	67	3	4	2	232	294	349	644	118	286	23	7	289	80	-7	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	277	253	58	9	2	5	19	65	3	3	2	229	292	343	635	114	285	23	7	285	77	-8	-0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	268	245	56	9	2	5	18	64	3	3	2	227	288	336	624	109	284	24	7	281	74	-8	-0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2392	2185	507	81	18	47	163	554	27	34	16	232	293	350	644	118	289	23	7	288	75	-60	+0	-2	+26	+52	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	138	22	5	13	44	151	7	9	4	232	293	352	644	120	289	23	7	288	75	-16	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5007	4555	1029	164	34	87	344	1117	59	73	37	226	289	334	623	108	279	22	7	279	75	-117	+1	-4	+49	+99	2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	133	21	4	11	45	145	8	9	5	225	289	330	619	105	278	22	7	279	75	-17	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.8	2,497	44	36	230	289	342	+27	+18	3.3	3.2
/162	664	12	10	+7.1	+4.8	0.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Diorland Zambrano (OGILVIE)	20	50	25	45	35	218/276/305	87	281	1	1	24%	6%	66	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Emerson Landoni 2009 · A	20	46→56	36→40	47→45	43	215/275/280	65	286	3	7	25%	6%	59	-1.6	230/281/303	73	296	4	8	22%	6%	66	-1.1	259/302/329	70	307	3	4	16%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Alfredo Lopez 2011 · A	21	48	37→30	44→50	45	226/291/297	71	291	4	7	23%	7%	69	-0.9	239/304/300	61	304	3	13	21%	7%	74	-0.5	235/280/279	45	285	1	20	17%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Rayner Contreras 2007 · A	20	45	38→40	48→50	42	215/265/293	78	291	5	6	27%	6%	58	-1.7	233/288/323	90	303	6	10	24%	6%	74	-0.6	245/295/326	81	326	5	11	25%	5%	74	-0.2
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	75	292	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	193/262/269	76	307	6	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Dyan Jorge 2023 · A	20	44→52	37→30	45→60	49	207/271/282	75	252	4	12	19%	7%	59	-1.7	230/283/295	65	310	3	18	25%	7%	65	-1.2	228/281/280	52	313	2	22	26%	6%	59	-1.2
✕Javier Betancourt 2015 · A	20	50→54	38→40	44→45	41	237/271/313	76	281	6	6	18%	4%	64	-1.3	233/266/312	79	276	5	5	17%	4%	62	-1.4	231/264/312	81	271	5	3	16%	4%	59	-1.2
✕Jadher Areinamo 2024 · A	20	49→55	37→45	47→55	43	234/272/308	74	282	4	10	18%	4%	63	-1.3	242/282/353	111	278	11	17	17%	5%	78	-0.3	238/281/360	121	268	13	18	16%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Ozzie Martínez 2008 · A	20	46→56	36→40	47→50	47	216/268/283	66	263	4	9	19%	6%	57	-1.8	253/296/337	84	301	5	9	17%	5%	79	-0.2	269/315/355	86	313	4	10	15%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Pablo Olivares 2018 · A	20	44	36→40	49→50	43	207/279/278	72	283	3	10	26%	6%	61	-1.5	227/298/305	78	294	6	13	23%	6%	74	-0.5	220/297/294	73	283	5	14	22%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Tim Kennelly 2007 · A	20	44→52	40	48→40	45	213/275/311	98	279	7	7	25%	7%	67	-1.1	222/279/315	93	303	5	6	26%	7%	69	-0.9	239/299/330	91	299	5	4	20%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	42	205/255/273	69	279	4	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	210/260/281	71	273	2	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Anyesber Sivira 2021 · A	21	44	37→30	46→55	41	207/282/279	72	279	5	7	26%	6%	63	-1.4	218/283/318	100	309	9	7	31%	6%	72	-0.7	224/291/332	108	326	13	3	33%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Omar Luna 2008 · A	21	46→56	38→30	48→50	40	221/256/301	80	278	4	10	22%	4%	56	-1.9	212/238/271	59	264	2	11	20%	3%	41	-3.0	259/290/315	56	300	2	12	14%	3%	68	-0.6
✕Juan Fernandez 2019 · A	20	43→53	39→40	39→50	44	205/264/289	84	263	6	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	211/270/305	94	274	8	5	25%	6%	63	-1.3	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Walter Rasquin 2016 · A	20	46	36→30	48→50	48	216/284/284	68	270	3	11	20%	7%	64	-1.3	228/278/308	80	298	5	11	24%	6%	66	-1.1	173/216/233	60	229	5	10	26%	4%	22	-1.7
✕Fidel Mejia 2019 · A	20	47	35→30	43→40	43	221/269/282	62	291	2	6	24%	6%	57	-1.8	209/257/284	75	301	5	4	30%	6%	53	-2.1	187/230/250	63	273	5	0	32%	5%	32	-1.5
✕Roberto Alvarez 2019 · A	20	47→43	36→30	47→40	43	223/260/294	71	265	3	5	18%	4%	56	-1.9	218/262/283	65	285	4	4	24%	5%	54	-2.0	222/270/275	54	290	2	2	23%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2015 · A	20	48→58	34→40	50→55	44	226/277/276	51	291	2	11	23%	6%	58	-1.7	252/304/303	51	305	2	9	17%	5%	74	-0.5	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Ali Sánchez 2017 · A	20	46	35→45	45→40	44	216/269/273	57	275	3	6	22%	6%	55	-1.9	224/262/293	69	271	5	4	18%	5%	57	-1.8	247/298/343	95	318	11	1	25%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Ramon Mendoza 2021 · A	20	45→51	38→45	40→45	45	210/282/297	87	291	5	4	28%	7%	66	-1.1	196/268/274	78	282	4	5	29%	8%	56	-1.9	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1

Diorland Zambrano

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps