Diorland Zambrano

SS ACL Reds
Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 168 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1543ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKCIN117.284/.398/.4003244—.170/.265/.210
202518ROKCIN185.270/.346/.3502524—.172/.231/.213
202619ROKCIN125.269/.358/.4443161—.205/.276/.321
2027PROJMLE20MLBCIN235.220/.279/.30833660.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBCIN41.226/.285/.32611710.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBCIN101.229/.290/.33722750.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Z-Con%93
Whiff%80
K%77
ISO76
Speed48
wOBA39
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%
CompsMichael Almanzar (age 20) · Brandol Mezquita (age 20) · Jon Gilmore (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 65 proj PA
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .276 / .305
PA65
HR1
K%24
BB%6
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.30.30.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-1$0.8M———
2037Arb-2$0.7M———
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $1M +$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Reds — 11795 27203 16102 23 284398400798 116286 914 353 44 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Reds — 185163 44702 17112 53 270346350696 80276 69 314 24 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Reds — 125108 29433 11204 12 269358444802 176302 169 352 61 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 117100 17101 11132 23 170265210475 40182 119 233 44 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 185169 29401 11142 53 172231213444 41176 86 203 24 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Reds — 125112 23322 7294 12 205276321598 116242 236 258 61 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 117100 17101 11132 23 170265210475 40182 119 233 44 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Reds — 11795 27203 16102 23 284398400798 116286 914 353 44 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 185169 29401 11142 53 172231213444 41179 86 203 24 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Reds — 185163 44702 17112 53 270346350696 80276 69 314 24 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Reds — 125112 23322 7294 12 205276321598 116256 236 258 61 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWACL Reds — 125108 29433 11204 12 269358444802 176302 169 352 61 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 117103 17101 11132 23 165265204469 39182 119 233 44 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 185170 29401 11142 53 171231212443 41176 86 203 24 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Reds — 125113 23322 7294 12 204276319595 115242 236 258 61 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 117103 17101 11132 23 165265204469 39182 119 233 44 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 185170 29401 11142 53 171231212443 41176 86 203 24 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Reds — 125113 23322 7294 12 204276319595 115242 236 258 61 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLECIN 0% 235215 49823 15553 31 220279308586 88281 236 266 66 -10 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLECIN 34% 118108 25412 8271 21 224284321605 97283 237 273 71 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
202922 MLB MLECIN 48% 209191 44723 14482 31 227288331619 104284 237 279 75 -6 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203023 MLB MLECIN 54% 303275 631025 21704 52 230291340631 110285 237 284 78 -8 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.2
203124 MLB MLECIN 55% 377344 801337 26864 62 232294346640 114287 237 287 81 -9 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.4
203225 MLB MLECIN 56% 418381 891538 29955 73 233296350646 117287 237 290 82 -9 +0 +0 +4 +9 0.5
203326 MLB MLECIN 56% 441402 931539 311015 73 232295350645 118287 237 290 82 -9 +0 +0 +5 +10 0.5
203427 MLB MLECIN 55% 451411 961639 321045 73 231294348642 116286 237 288 81 -10 +0 +0 +5 +10 0.5
203528 MLB MLECIN 55% 451411 941538 321055 63 230293343636 113285 237 286 80 -11 +0 -1 +5 +10 0.3
203629 MLB MLECIN 58% 444405 921538 311045 63 228290337627 110284 237 282 77 -12 +0 -1 +5 +10 0.1
203730 MLB MLECIN 60% 434397 891437 301034 53 225286330617 105283 247 278 74 -13 -0 -2 +5 +9 -0.2
202821 MLB CTXCIN 34% 4138 8101 3100 10 226285326611 100284 247 276 71 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202922 MLB CTXCIN 48% 10192 21312 7231 21 229290337626 108285 237 282 75 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
203023 MLB CTXCIN 54% 164150 34513 11382 31 231293346638 114286 237 287 78 -4 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
203124 MLB CTXCIN 55% 209191 45724 14482 31 234296352648 119288 237 291 81 -5 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.2
203225 MLB CTXCIN 56% 234213 50825 16533 41 235297357654 122288 237 293 82 -5 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.3
203326 MLB CTXCIN 56% 248226 53825 17573 42 234297357654 122288 237 293 82 -5 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.3
203427 MLB CTXCIN 55% 249227 53825 17573 42 233296354650 121287 237 292 81 -6 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.3
203528 MLB CTXCIN 55% 247225 52825 17573 32 232294349644 118286 237 289 80 -6 -0 -0 +3 +5 0.1
203629 MLB CTXCIN 58% 258235 55925 18613 32 229292343635 114285 247 285 77 -7 -0 -1 +3 +6 0.0
203730 MLB CTXCIN 60% 261238 55925 18623 32 227288336624 109284 247 281 74 -8 -0 -1 +3 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 20121835 426661640 13846623 3014 232294351645 119288 237 288 75 -50 +0 -2 +22 +44 1.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 13721513 451517 105 231293349642 118287 237 288 75 -16 +0 -1 +7 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 41383766 8471342871 28791449 6332 225288332620 107277 227 279 75 -94 +1 -4 +40 +80 2.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650592 13221411 451448 105 223287328615 105274 227 279 75 -16 +0 -1 +7 +14 0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Reds · 125 PAwOBA .346 → .258 (−88)K% 16.0% → 23.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.00%÷1.000×1.440——23.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.80%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9955.43%
HBP% /PA3.20%—×0.720—×0.9952.29%
Singles /BIP21.59%÷1.000×0.820×1.023×0.99518.02%
Doubles /BIP4.55%÷1.000×0.720×1.023×0.9953.33%
Triples /BIP3.41%÷1.000×0.720×1.023×0.9952.50%
Home runs /BIP3.41%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9952.65%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .346 → .258; ISO .176 → .130; BABIP .302 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Reds · 185 PAwOBA .310 → .203 (−107)K% 5.9% → 7.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA5.95%÷0.993×1.220——7.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.19%÷1.038×0.700—×0.9956.17%
HBP% /PA1.08%—×0.700—×0.9950.75%
Singles /BIP23.03%÷0.994×0.680×0.972×0.99515.25%
Doubles /BIP4.61%÷1.065×0.600×0.972×0.9952.51%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.972×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP1.32%÷0.994×0.470—×0.9950.62%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 99, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .310 → .203; ISO .080 → .043; BABIP .276 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Reds · 117 PAwOBA .351 → .233 (−118)K% 8.5% → 10.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.55%÷0.957×1.220——10.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.68%÷0.994×0.700—×1.0089.70%
HBP% /PA1.71%—×0.700—×1.0081.21%
Singles /BIP25.88%÷1.068×0.680×1.012×1.00816.80%
Doubles /BIP2.35%÷0.960×0.600×1.012×1.0081.50%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.901×0.600×1.012×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP3.53%÷1.136×0.470—×1.0081.47%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .351 → .233; ISO .116 → .057; BABIP .286 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).