Javier AcevedoC FCL Pirates
Age 19 L/R 5'9" / 145 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 49 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†47
AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .264 / .271
PA49
HR1
K%30
BB%10
BABIP247
ISO90
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -12.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.20.50.70.9+$18M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 37
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT34
scouting grade only
POWER37
scouting grade only
EYE69
scouting grade only
SPEED53
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Pirates Black 9782 11100 14331 12 134268146414 12224 3414 202 13
202417 ROKDSL Pirates Black 9774 14100 22231 12 189381203584 14275 2423 300 88
202518 ROKDSL Pirates Black 11195 22211 15251 73 232342305648 74304 2314 297 85
202518 ROKDSL Pirates Black 11186 27221 24171 73 314468419887 105382 1522 408 170
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ROKPIT 7468 8201 6330 00 118189191380 74206 458 174 -9 -9 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.6
YTD19 ROKPIT 7464 12401 10230 00 188297297594 109275 3114 277 70 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
ROS19 ROKPIT 0% 4944 8101 5150 10 180264271534 90265 3010 247 47 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
ROS19 MLBPIT 0% 01 0000 000 00 263 241 43 +0 +0
FULL19 ROKPIT 7469 8201 6330 00 116189188378 72200 458 174 -9 -9 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.6
TOT19 ROKPIT 123112 16302 11480 10 142219223441 80225 399 203 14 -12 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBPIT 34% 184162 32612 18542 31 198286284570 86270 2910 260 57 -9 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.0
202821 MLBPIT 48% 320284 571025 30923 62 201284303587 102273 299 269 64 -13 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.2
202922 MLBPIT 54% 420373 751327 401194 82 201285303588 102275 2810 274 68 -15 +1 +0 +8 +12 0.5
203023 MLBPIT 57% 486432 901639 461365 103 208292322614 113277 289 278 71 -16 +1 +0 +9 +14 0.7
203124 MLBPIT 57% 520460 9617310 501455 113 209293324617 115277 2810 279 72 -16 +1 +0 +9 +15 0.9
202720 MLBPIT 34% 6356 11201 6191 10 196286286571 89269 3010 253 52 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202821 MLBPIT 48% 155138 27512 15451 31 196279290569 94272 2910 261 58 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.0
202922 MLBPIT 54% 228202 41714 22652 41 203288307595 104274 2910 266 62 -10 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
203023 MLBPIT 57% 275244 51925 26773 62 209293324617 115275 289 270 65 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.2
203124 MLBPIT 57% 294261 54926 28823 62 207291326617 119276 2810 271 66 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 1015902 18432618 9728810 206 204289313601 109277 2810 267 63 -43 +2 +0 +18 +29 0.6
/ 162G 650578 11820412 621846 134 204288315603 111275 2810 267 63 -28 +1 +0 +12 +18 0.4
Career 21871932 391661235 21861921 4716 202290303593 101276 2810 272 66 -84 +3 +0 +39 +62 2.0
/ 162G 650574 11720410 651846 145 204291305596 101279 2810 272 66 -25 +1 +0 +12 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Pirates Black 9774 14100 22231 12 189381203584 14275 2423 300 88 -1 -1 +3 0.1
202518 ROKDSL Pirates Black 11186 27221 24171 73 314468419887 105382 1522 408 170 +9 +0 +3 1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,1101921205286312+20+161.31.3
/1626641113+11.9+9.60.8pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Javier Acevedo (OGILVIE) 19 29→34 32→37 48→53 69 142/219/223 80225 21 39% 9% 14 -0.6
Daniel Vellojin
2019 · A
19 39 39→45 47→45 48 189/268/273 83260 66 28% 9% 50 -1.7 214/303/312 98272 78 22% 10% 76 +0.0 196/299/31111625812627%12%71-0.1
Omar Alfonzo
2023 · A
19 36→40 37→45 48→40 48 171/261/237 65254 53 32% 10% 39 -2.5 205/290/309 104318 114 35% 10% 69 -0.4 200/285/30710731713238%10%64-0.5
Michael De La Cruz
2015 · A
19 43 35→40 46→50 50 199/283/256 57281 210 28% 10% 52 -1.6 188/254/253 65290 39 33% 8% 38 -2.6 169/235/2275826521034%7%21-1.3
Luis Valenzuela
2013 · A
19 42 38→45 52→45 44 198/258/283 84268 46 26% 7% 47 -1.9 212/252/292 80276 58 24% 5% 46 -2.0 257/280/3581003165720%2%71-0.1
Yeremy Cabrera
2023 · A
18 37→41 38→45 53→55 48 181/263/262 81241 513 26% 8% 46 -2.0 206/287/315 109272 1017 26% 9% 69 -0.4 200/284/304104268112428%8%63-0.5
Victor Nova
2019 · A
19 39 39→40 50 51 188/280/269 81263 610 29% 11% 55 -1.4 199/275/271 72296 411 31% 9% 53 -1.5 163/242/2276425931135%9%25-1.3
Nicoll Parra
2013 · A
19 41 34→30 48→55 56 189/304/245 56267 116 26% 12% 60 -1.0 206/303/261 55271 217 22% 10% 63 -0.9 194/328/2243025103419%14%62-0.2
Oswaldo Linares
2022 · A
19 42 36→40 47→40 54 195/298/259 64275 48 28% 12% 60 -1.0 196/296/284 88277 85 29% 11% 66 -0.6 173/283/253792469230%12%51-0.6
Jose Perez
2023 · A
19 41 36→40 44→45 51 193/275/258 65253 38 24% 9% 50 -1.8 200/306/292 92270 56 25% 12% 72 -0.2 182/303/271882445524%13%64-0.3
Enmanuel Terrero
2022 · A
19 42 36→45 46→55 52 196/279/261 65256 39 23% 10% 52 -1.6 220/298/308 88314 714 29% 10% 71 -0.3 212/292/3059332591734%10%65-0.3
Yohairo Cuevas
2023 · A
19 41→40 37→40 49→50 44 189/267/264 76304 49 36% 9% 47 -1.9 195/281/283 88315 514 36% 10% 59 -1.1 194/297/2889531051635%11%65-0.4
Jefry Puente
2012 · A
20 35 37→45 55→50 47 170/258/247 77249 311 30% 9% 40 -2.4 192/268/269 77260 314 25% 8% 49 -1.8 163/244/2195620902720%7%23-0.9
Chris Suero
2023 · A
19 41→37 38→45 47→55 49 191/290/273 82290 58 32% 11% 61 -1.0 192/289/292 100287 914 33% 10% 65 -0.7 175/282/297122265132636%10%62-0.6
Jose Acosta
2019 · A
19 39 37→45 53→55 47 185/259/257 72250 414 26% 8% 42 -2.3 225/287/323 98318 619 29% 7% 70 -0.3 201/262/323122304122136%6%57-0.6
Christian Cerda
2022 · A
19 39→37 38→40 48→40 47 187/266/269 83245 48 24% 8% 49 -1.8 193/286/294 101260 96 27% 11% 63 -0.8 179/279/2769724010428%12%55-0.8
Pedro Ruiz
2011 · A
19 40 35→30 48→50 53 183/285/242 59262 29 28% 11% 50 -1.7 208/288/265 57311 211 30% 10% 56 -1.3 206/282/2585231621132%9%48-0.9
Roynier Hernandez
2023 · A
18 44 34→30 46→50 53 203/279/257 54256 28 20% 10% 50 -1.7 230/299/285 55293 19 20% 9% 65 -0.7 244/304/306623153722%8%70-0.2
Kleiber Rodriguez
2018 · A
19 37 35→30 46→40 46 175/250/234 59244 25 27% 8% 33 -2.9 219/280/288 69282 35 21% 7% 58 -1.2 240/298/301612842415%8%67-0.2
Jaden Rudd
2023 · A
20 40→36 40→30 50 49 191/283/285 94262 712 28% 10% 60 -1.0 181/291/247 66292 314 35% 10% 56 -1.3 157/284/2075026621636%11%41-1.2
Yasmil Bucce
2023 · A
18 41 40→45 49→30 44 198/265/288 89272 75 29% 7% 53 -1.5 202/288/300 98309 84 34% 10% 66 -0.6 205/306/33412832513237%11%79+0.2