Juan Brown
3B ACL Reds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Rojos | 39 | .364/.462/.455 | 0 | 4 | 65 | — | .265/.359/.353 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKCIN | 161 | .257/.369/.375 | 3 | 0 | 25 | — | .149/.250/.199 |
| 2026 | 19 | ROKCIN | 217 | .211/.363/.322 | 4 | 2 | 36 | — | .148/.264/.224 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBCIN | 327 | .190/.263/.274 | 4 | 4 | 53 | -0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBCIN | 55 | .197/.271/.293 | 1 | 1 | 59 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rojos | — | 39 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 364 | 462 | 455 | 916 | 91 | 571 | 31 | 10 | 416 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Reds | — | 161 | 136 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 257 | 369 | 375 | 744 | 118 | 376 | 30 | 11 | 341 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL Reds | — | 217 | 171 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 58 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 211 | 363 | 322 | 685 | 111 | 283 | 27 | 15 | 317 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rojos | — | 39 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 265 | 359 | 353 | 712 | 88 | 389 | 38 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 161 | 141 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 149 | 250 | 199 | 449 | 50 | 233 | 37 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 217 | 183 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 148 | 264 | 224 | 488 | 77 | 221 | 39 | 9 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rojos | — | 39 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 265 | 359 | 353 | 712 | 88 | 474 | 38 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rojos | — | 39 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 364 | 462 | 455 | 916 | 91 | 571 | 31 | 10 | 416 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 161 | 141 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 149 | 250 | 199 | 449 | 50 | 247 | 37 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Reds | — | 161 | 136 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 257 | 369 | 375 | 744 | 118 | 376 | 30 | 11 | 341 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 217 | 183 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 148 | 264 | 224 | 488 | 77 | 240 | 39 | 9 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Reds | — | 217 | 171 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 58 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 211 | 363 | 322 | 685 | 111 | 283 | 27 | 15 | 317 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rojos | — | 39 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 265 | 359 | 353 | 712 | 88 | 389 | 38 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 161 | 141 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 149 | 250 | 199 | 449 | 50 | 233 | 37 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 217 | 186 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 145 | 264 | 220 | 485 | 75 | 221 | 39 | 9 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rojos | — | 39 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 265 | 359 | 353 | 712 | 88 | 389 | 38 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 161 | 141 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 149 | 250 | 199 | 449 | 50 | 233 | 37 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 217 | 186 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 145 | 264 | 220 | 485 | 75 | 221 | 39 | 9 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | CIN | 0% | 327 | 295 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 98 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 190 | 263 | 274 | 537 | 84 | 267 | 30 | 7 | 247 | 53 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | CIN | 34% | 161 | 145 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 195 | 270 | 289 | 558 | 93 | 270 | 29 | 7 | 256 | 59 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | CIN | 34% | 55 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 271 | 293 | 564 | 97 | 270 | 29 | 7 | 258 | 59 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 55 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 273 | 300 | 573 | 100 | 273 | 29 | 7 | 258 | 43 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 119 | 24 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 189 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 201 | 274 | 303 | 577 | 102 | 274 | 29 | 7 | 258 | 43 | -32 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 693 | 607 | 104 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 55 | 241 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 171 | 266 | 245 | 511 | 74 | 265 | 35 | 8 | 232 | 43 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 569 | 98 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 226 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 172 | 268 | 250 | 517 | 77 | 265 | 35 | 8 | 232 | 43 | -33 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKACL Reds · 217 PAwOBA .316 → .221 (−95)K% 26.7% → 38.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 9.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.15% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.974 | ×1.008 | 18.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.974 | ×1.008 | 3.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.974 | ×1.008 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 2.78% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .316 → .221; ISO .111 → .080; BABIP .283 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Reds · 161 PAwOBA .334 → .205 (−129)K% 30.4% → 37.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.43% | ÷0.993 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.56% | ÷1.038 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 7.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.35% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.74% | ÷0.994 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 18.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.05% | ÷1.065 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 4.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.994 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.64% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 99, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .334 → .205; ISO .118 → .057; BABIP .376 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Rojos · 39 PAwOBA .406 → .264 (−142)K% 30.8% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.77% | ÷0.972 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.26% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 7.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.13% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 3.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 47.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.022 | 33.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.022 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 2.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.007 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 2.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 100, 2B 104, 3B 101, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .406 → .264; ISO .091 → .052; BABIP .571 → .389. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).