Juan Brown — OGILVIE

Juan Brown3B ACL Reds

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 185 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION196 act + 130 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .262 / .274

PA130

HR2

K%32

BB%8

BABIP258

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	39	35	9	1	1	0	2	18	2	4	0	257	333	343	676	86	529	46	5	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	39	33	12	1	1	0	4	12	2	4	0	364	462	455	916	91	571	31	10	416	176	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	161	143	23	4	0	2	10	71	7	0	2	161	250	231	481	70	296	44	6	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	161	136	35	7	0	3	17	49	7	0	2	257	369	375	744	118	376	30	11	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	CIN	—	196	164	25	3	1	3	19	74	8	2	3	152	272	238	510	85	242	38	10	231	35	-14	-1	+0	+1	+6	-0.9
YTD	19	ROK	CIN	—	196	153	34	5	1	4	30	51	8	2	3	222	377	346	723	124	294	26	15	331	112	+3	-1	+0	+1	+6	0.8
ROS	19	ROK	CIN	0%	130	116	21	3	1	2	10	42	3	1	1	180	262	274	536	94	261	32	8	246	46	-8	-0	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
ROS	19	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		263	—	—	230	34	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	CIN	—	196	165	25	3	1	3	19	74	8	2	3	152	272	236	509	85	239	38	10	231	35	-14	-1	+0	+1	+6	-0.9
TOT	19	ROK	CIN	—	326	280	46	6	2	5	29	116	11	3	4	164	268	253	521	89	249	36	9	237	40	-22	-1	+0	+1	+9	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CIN	34%	318	283	54	9	2	5	25	98	7	3	2	191	273	290	563	99	266	31	8	257	55	-16	-0	+0	+1	+9	-0.6
2028	21	MLB	CIN	48%	422	376	73	12	2	8	34	127	9	4	2	194	277	301	577	106	270	30	8	266	62	-18	+0	+0	+2	+12	-0.5
2027	20	MLB	CIN	34%	109	97	19	3	1	2	9	34	2	1	1	196	278	309	587	113	269	31	8	245	45	-7	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2028	21	MLB	CIN	48%	204	182	36	6	1	4	16	61	4	2	1	198	277	308	585	110	272	30	8	254	52	-11	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	313	280	55	9	2	6	25	95	6	3	2	196	277	307	585	111	271	30	8	251	50	-18	-0	+0	+1	+9	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	114	19	4	12	52	197	12	6	4	196	276	305	581	108	271	30	8	251	50	-37	-0	+0	+2	+18	-1.7
Career	—			—	1070	953	180	29	6	17	81	356	28	12	7	189	272	285	557	96	278	33	8	253	52	-59	-0	+0	+4	+30	-2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	110	18	4	10	49	216	17	7	4	190	273	287	560	97	280	33	8	253	52	-36	-0	+0	+2	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	39	33	12	1	1	0	4	12	2	4	0	364	462	455	916	91	571	31	10	416	176	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	161	136	35	7	0	3	17	49	7	0	2	257	369	375	744	118	376	30	11	341	119	+3	-1	—	—	+5	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	508	8	5	195	268	293	+2	+1	-0.9	-0.5
	/162	664	11	7	195	268	293	+2.4	+1.3	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Brown (OGILVIE)	19	30	30	35	40	164/268/253	89	249	5	3	36%	9%	40	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Maurizo Buda 2011 · A	19	37	36→40	36→40	41	175/252/237	62	278	3	4	36%	8%	34	-2.8	197/274/271	74	281	5	4	29%	8%	53	-1.5	192/275/260	68	269	5	2	28%	8%	49	-0.7
✕Victor Moscote 2013 · A	19	41	40→30	41→45	41	200/260/288	88	281	8	4	31%	6%	50	-1.8	204/254/265	61	283	3	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Eduardo Urbina 2007 · A	19	38	35→40	42→50	39	184/237/242	57	259	4	7	29%	5%	27	-3.3	204/271/275	71	283	5	8	28%	7%	51	-1.7	202/277/268	66	276	5	9	26%	7%	53	-0.6
✕Samuel Ortiz 2010 · A	19	40	37→40	42→50	43	190/271/256	66	271	4	5	30%	7%	48	-1.9	205/275/274	69	274	3	8	24%	7%	53	-1.5	203/273/268	65	267	1	10	22%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	38	39→40	42→40	48	184/276/263	79	271	7	5	32%	10%	52	-1.6	200/281/271	71	286	5	5	29%	9%	56	-1.3	176/264/209	33	250	3	3	28%	10%	29	-0.9
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2016 · A	20	37	38→40	39→45	37	182/244/264	82	270	6	3	33%	5%	37	-2.6	171/254/244	73	261	5	5	34%	8%	37	-2.6	138/240/198	60	210	5	4	33%	9%	18	-1.5
✕Luis De La Cruz 2007 · A	19	40	39→30	42→40	40	194/250/277	84	255	6	5	26%	5%	43	-2.2	201/288/264	63	257	3	6	21%	10%	56	-1.3	178/300/202	24	220	0	4	16%	13%	47	-0.6
✕Carlos Duran 2013 · A	18	38	36→40	37→50	40	185/241/252	67	267	4	4	31%	6%	32	-3.0	214/276/294	80	287	4	14	25%	7%	58	-1.2	224/273/299	75	294	4	16	24%	6%	54	-0.6
✕Luis Joseph 2015 · A	18	40	35→30	36→50	39	191/231/252	62	259	2	6	26%	5%	27	-3.3	216/248/272	56	269	2	9	20%	4%	38	-2.6	223/244/272	49	266	2	11	16%	2%	33	-1.0
✕Angel Ferreiras 2008 · A	19	38	37→40	42→50	36	184/230/261	77	274	4	4	33%	5%	29	-3.2	200/258/280	80	282	5	7	29%	6%	46	-2.0	193/257/270	77	265	4	7	27%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Jose Sanabria 2022 · A	19	39	35→30	44→50	41	183/258/245	61	277	3	10	32%	7%	39	-2.5	200/274/259	59	305	3	10	32%	8%	49	-1.8	190/266/236	46	290	2	11	32%	9%	37	-1.2
✕Clayton Campbell 2023 · A	19	37	37→45	41→45	43	173/266/248	74	287	4	4	38%	9%	44	-2.1	176/261/264	88	268	7	6	34%	8%	46	-2.0	156/245/237	81	228	8	5	32%	8%	32	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2013 · A	19	39	41→40	41→45	41	195/267/292	97	275	10	7	31%	7%	55	-1.4	201/269/280	79	261	5	6	24%	7%	53	-1.5	190/261/256	66	238	4	6	20%	7%	40	-0.8
✕Juan Montes 2015 · A	20	41	36→30	38→55	44	192/267/259	67	272	4	5	29%	8%	46	-2.0	191/270/266	75	250	6	12	25%	6%	50	-1.8	185/271/239	53	243	4	21	23%	5%	42	-0.7
✕William Lugo 2021 · A	19	37	37→45	41→45	40	176/247/244	68	281	4	5	36%	7%	33	-2.9	187/254/299	112	283	12	5	36%	7%	51	-1.7	180/246/295	115	256	13	4	34%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Arnaldo Calero 2013 · A	19	41	38→45	41→50	35	198/237/274	75	290	6	9	33%	4%	35	-2.8	214/259/310	96	305	7	10	31%	4%	55	-1.4	218/258/325	107	305	9	13	30%	2%	56	-0.6
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2012 · A	19	39	38→45	43→40	37	190/243/264	74	264	6	4	30%	5%	37	-2.7	197/253/287	90	287	7	4	32%	6%	46	-2.0	189/250/284	95	283	8	2	34%	6%	42	-0.7
✕Roger Lasso 2023 · A	19	35	41→30	42→45	45	177/254/276	98	248	8	5	30%	8%	45	-2.1	203/290/281	78	287	4	4	28%	9%	62	-0.9	197/287/255	58	285	2	2	28%	9%	53	-0.4
✕Darwin Rivera 2012 · A	20	40	40	40→30	35	195/235/283	88	285	8	3	34%	4%	37	-2.6	202/248/286	84	285	7	3	30%	5%	44	-2.1	192/240/269	77	263	7	0	28%	5%	34	-0.9
✕Jose Cabello 2016 · A	19	38	34→30	44→45	43	180/243/231	51	244	2	4	26%	6%	28	-3.2	203/281/264	61	261	3	6	21%	8%	53	-1.5	205/287/242	38	250	0	5	16%	8%	50	-0.6