Juan Brown — OGILVIE

Juan Brown3B ACL Reds

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 185 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION217 act + 21 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .286 / .222

PA21

HR0

K%33

BB%10

BABIP262

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	39	33	12	1	1	0	4	12	2	4	0	364	462	455	916	91	571	31	10	416	167	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	161	136	35	7	0	3	17	49	7	0	2	257	369	375	744	118	376	30	11	341	117	+3	-1	—	—	+3	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	39	35	9	1	1	0	2	18	2	4	0	257	333	343	676	86	458	46	5	265	65	-2	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	161	143	23	4	0	2	10	71	7	0	2	161	250	231	481	70	281	44	6	215	32	-13	-1	—	—	+3	-1.1
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	39	35	9	1	1	0	2	18	2	4	0	257	333	343	676	86	529	46	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	39	33	12	1	1	0	4	12	2	4	0	364	462	455	916	91	571	31	10	416	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	161	143	23	4	0	2	10	71	7	0	2	161	250	231	481	70	296	44	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	161	136	35	7	0	3	17	49	7	0	2	257	369	375	744	118	376	30	11	341	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	39	35	9	1	1	0	2	18	2	4	0	257	333	343	676	86	458	46	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	161	143	23	4	0	2	10	71	7	0	2	161	250	231	481	70	281	44	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	39	35	9	1	1	0	2	18	2	4	0	257	333	343	676	86	458	46	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	161	143	23	4	0	2	10	71	7	0	2	161	250	231	481	70	281	44	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	CIN	—	217	183	27	3	1	3	20	84	9	2	3	148	264	224	488	77	240	39	9	220	35	-17	-1	+0	+1	+5	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	CIN	—	217	171	36	5	1	4	32	58	9	2	3	211	363	322	685	111	283	27	15	317	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	CIN	0%	21	18	3	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	167	286	222	508	56	260	33	10	243	51	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	19	ROK MLE	CIN	—	238	201	30	4	1	3	22	91	10	2	3	149	266	224	490	75	243	38	9	222	36	-18	-1	+0	+1	+5	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	264	235	43	7	1	4	21	83	6	3	1	183	267	272	540	89	264	31	8	254	58	-13	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
2027	20	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	91	82	16	3	0	2	7	29	2	1	0	195	275	305	580	110	267	32	8	242	58	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	91	82	16	3	0	2	7	29	2	1	0	195	275	305	580	110	275	32	8	242	50	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	114	21	0	14	50	207	14	7	0	195	274	302	576	108	274	32	8	242	50	-32	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	485	431	78	13	2	6	35	179	16	7	3	181	268	262	530	81	290	37	7	242	50	-14	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	104	17	3	8	47	240	21	9	4	180	266	261	527	81	288	37	7	242	50	-33	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	252	3	3	192	263	283	+1	+0	-0.5	-0.2
/162	664	9	7	+2.4	+1.3	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Brown (OGILVIE)	19	30	30	35	40	175/260/257	82	260	2	2	33%	8%	51	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Maurizo Buda 2011 · A	19	37	36→40	36→40	41	175/252/237	62	278	3	4	36%	8%	42	-2.9	197/274/271	74	281	5	4	29%	8%	58	-1.7	192/275/260	68	269	5	2	28%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Victor Moscote 2013 · A	19	41	40→30	41→45	41	200/260/288	88	281	8	4	31%	6%	55	-1.9	204/254/265	61	283	3	5	27%	5%	47	-2.5	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Samuel Ortiz 2010 · A	19	40	37→40	42→50	43	190/271/256	66	271	4	5	30%	7%	54	-2.0	205/275/274	69	274	3	8	24%	7%	59	-1.7	203/273/268	65	267	1	10	22%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2016 · A	20	37	38→40	39→45	37	182/244/264	82	270	6	3	33%	5%	45	-2.7	171/254/244	73	261	5	5	34%	8%	45	-2.7	138/240/198	60	210	5	4	33%	9%	28	-1.5
✕Luis De La Cruz 2007 · A	19	40	39→30	42→40	40	194/250/277	84	255	6	5	26%	5%	50	-2.3	201/288/264	63	257	3	6	21%	10%	61	-1.5	178/300/202	24	220	0	4	16%	13%	53	-0.7
✕Miguel Moreno 2009 · A	19	38	39→40	42→40	48	184/276/263	79	271	7	5	32%	10%	57	-1.8	200/281/271	71	286	5	5	29%	9%	61	-1.5	176/264/209	33	250	3	3	28%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Jose Sanabria 2022 · A	19	39	36→30	44→50	42	183/260/245	62	273	3	10	32%	7%	47	-2.5	202/275/260	58	305	3	10	31%	8%	55	-1.9	194/267/240	47	293	2	11	32%	9%	46	-1.2
✕Carlos Duran 2013 · A	18	38	36→40	37→50	40	185/241/252	67	267	4	4	31%	6%	40	-3.1	214/276/294	80	286	4	14	25%	7%	63	-1.4	221/271/294	72	293	3	16	24%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Juan Montes 2015 · A	20	41	36→30	38→55	44	192/267/259	67	272	4	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	191/270/266	75	250	6	12	25%	6%	55	-1.9	185/271/239	53	243	4	21	23%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2013 · A	19	39	41→40	41→45	41	195/267/292	97	275	10	7	31%	7%	60	-1.6	201/269/280	79	261	5	6	24%	7%	58	-1.7	190/261/256	66	238	4	6	20%	7%	47	-0.8
✕William Lugo 2021 · A	19	37→39	37→45	41→45	40	176/247/244	68	281	4	5	36%	7%	41	-3.0	189/256/300	111	285	12	5	36%	7%	58	-1.7	183/249/299	115	260	13	4	33%	7%	53	-1.3
✕Roger Lasso 2023 · A	19	36	41→30	42→45	45	178/254/277	99	249	8	5	30%	8%	52	-2.2	204/291/282	78	289	4	4	28%	9%	67	-1.1	200/289/258	59	287	2	2	28%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Luis Joseph 2015 · A	18	40	35→30	36→50	39	191/231/252	62	259	2	6	26%	5%	35	-3.4	216/248/272	56	269	2	9	20%	4%	45	-2.7	223/244/272	49	266	2	11	16%	2%	41	-1.0
✕Hamlet Marte 2013 · A	19	38	35→45	40→45	43	180/244/243	63	255	2	5	29%	7%	39	-3.1	219/280/325	106	281	10	8	24%	6%	72	-0.7	205/253/311	106	286	10	8	31%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Jose Cabello 2016 · A	19	38	34→30	44→45	43	180/243/231	51	244	2	4	26%	6%	36	-3.3	203/281/264	61	261	3	6	21%	8%	59	-1.7	205/287/242	38	250	0	5	16%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Jose Gualdron 2006 · A	19	41	38→40	39→45	41	197/256/280	83	290	5	5	32%	7%	52	-2.2	208/250/300	92	265	7	7	23%	5%	54	-2.0	206/244/300	93	254	7	6	21%	4%	49	-0.9
✕Darwin Rivera 2012 · A	20	40	40	40→30	35	195/235/283	88	285	8	3	34%	4%	45	-2.7	202/248/286	84	285	7	3	30%	5%	51	-2.3	192/240/269	77	263	7	0	28%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Ariel Baez 2010 · A	19	39	41→40	45	44	192/263/291	99	255	9	4	27%	7%	58	-1.7	194/265/286	92	266	7	5	28%	7%	57	-1.8	180/250/265	85	248	6	5	28%	7%	45	-0.9
✕Arnaldo Calero 2013 · A	19	41	38→45	41→50	35	198/237/274	75	290	6	9	33%	4%	42	-2.9	214/259/310	96	305	7	10	31%	4%	60	-1.6	218/258/325	107	305	9	13	30%	2%	61	-0.6
✕Luis Reynoso 2015 · A	20	41	37→30	43→50	39	194/249/260	66	291	4	7	33%	6%	45	-2.7	193/248/247	54	331	3	5	40%	6%	41	-3.0	176/233/201	25	312	1	2	41%	6%	23	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps