Sam Robertson — OGILVIE

Sam RobertsonSS St. Lucie Mets

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION166 act + 110 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .283 / .276

PA110

HR1

SB7

K%33

BB%10

BABIP297

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE67

scouting grade only

SPEED78

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	68	60	8	0	0	0	7	34	1	9	1	133	235	133	369		308	50	10	188	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	68	58	10	0	0	0	9	27	1	9	1	172	294	172	467		323	40	13	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	NYM	—	166	142	28	4	1	0	20	65	3	24	5	197	309	239	549	42	359	39	12	256	54	-9	+3	+0	+2	+5	0.1
YTD	22	A	NYM	—	166	135	34	5	1	0	27	46	3	24	5	252	388	304	692	52	378	28	16	328	109	+2	+3	+0	+2	+5	1.1
ROS	22	A	NYM	0%	110	97	19	3	1	1	11	37	1	7	1	195	283	276	559	82	290	33	10	253	52	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
ROS	22	MLB	NYM	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		290	—	—	244	45	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	NYM	—	166	143	28	4	1	0	20	65	3	24	5	196	309	238	547	42	354	39	12	256	54	-9	+3	+0	+2	+5	0.1
TOT	22	A	NYM	—	276	239	47	7	2	1	31	102	4	31	6	196	299	255	553	58	332	37	11	255	53	-15	+4	+0	+3	+8	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	NYM	34%	263	231	45	8	1	3	27	84	3	12	2	195	287	277	564	82	291	32	10	264	60	-12	+2	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2028	24	MLB	NYM	46%	355	312	64	11	2	5	36	111	4	16	3	205	295	301	597	96	292	31	10	271	65	-14	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2029	25	MLB	NYM	52%	403	354	72	12	2	6	41	124	5	18	3	203	295	299	594	96	292	31	10	275	69	-14	+2	+0	+4	+11	0.4
2030	26	MLB	NYM	54%	433	381	78	13	2	7	44	132	5	19	4	205	295	304	600	100	292	30	10	277	70	-14	+2	+0	+5	+12	0.5
2031	27	MLB	NYM	54%	445	390	80	14	2	7	46	136	6	20	4	205	299	305	604	100	292	31	10	277	71	-15	+2	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2032	28	MLB	NYM	54%	448	393	81	14	2	7	46	138	6	19	4	206	299	305	604	99	292	31	10	277	70	-15	+2	-1	+5	+13	0.4
2033	29	MLB	NYM	53%	442	387	79	13	2	7	46	137	6	18	3	204	298	302	601	98	291	31	10	275	69	-16	+2	-1	+5	+13	0.3
2027	23	MLB	NYM	34%	90	80	15	3	0	1	9	29	1	4	1	188	278	263	540	75	291	32	10	254	53	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	NYM	46%	164	144	29	5	1	2	17	51	2	7	1	201	294	292	586	90	292	31	10	261	58	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2029	25	MLB	NYM	52%	208	182	37	6	1	3	21	64	3	9	2	203	296	297	593	93	292	31	10	266	62	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2030	26	MLB	NYM	54%	235	206	42	7	1	4	24	72	3	11	2	204	296	306	602	102	292	31	10	268	63	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2031	27	MLB	NYM	54%	241	211	43	7	1	4	25	74	3	11	2	204	297	303	600	100	292	31	10	268	63	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2032	28	MLB	NYM	54%	243	213	43	7	1	4	25	75	3	10	2	202	295	300	595	99	292	31	10	267	63	-10	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.0
2033	29	MLB	NYM	53%	235	206	41	7	1	3	24	73	3	9	2	199	292	286	578	87	291	31	10	265	61	-10	+1	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1416	1243	250	42	6	21	145	438	18	61	12	201	294	295	589	94	290	31	10	265	61	-62	+7	-1	+15	+40	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	115	19	3	10	67	201	8	28	6	201	295	298	592	96	289	31	10	265	61	-28	+3	-1	+7	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	2967	2605	526	88	14	43	304	933	37	138	25	202	294	296	590	94	294	31	10	272	66	-114	+18	-2	+32	+84	1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	114	19	3	9	67	204	8	30	5	200	293	291	584	91	291	31	10	272	66	-25	+4	-0	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	68	58	10	0	0	0	9	27	1	9	1	172	294	172	467		323	40	13	236	39	-5	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	7	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
	/162	664	3	29	239	310	313	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,538	22	66	203	292	298	+16	+12	1.0	1.1
	/162	664	9	28	203	292	298	+7.1	+5.2	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sam Robertson (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	28→33	73→78	67	196/299/255	58	332	1	31	37%	11%	53	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→38	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	63	-0.9	207/276/283	76	320	2	18	33%	8%	55	-1.4	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Wes Rogers 2016 · A	22	47→48	38→40	65	43	223/280/308	85	293	5	35	25%	6%	63	-0.8	217/271/302	85	297	5	34	27%	6%	58	-1.2	209/263/288	80	288	5	36	28%	6%	48	-1.5
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	36→33	39→40	63→60	52	173/278/262	89	263	7	32	33%	12%	53	-1.5	178/261/269	91	271	9	28	34%	10%	46	-2.0	178/251/269	91	257	10	29	33%	9%	39	-1.5
✕Pedro Toribio 2012 · A	22	48	40	65→60	45	228/274/334	105	272	6	27	18%	6%	66	-0.6	250/279/329	79	309	3	23	19%	4%	66	-0.6	280/299/338	58	344	0	29	18%	2%	72	-0.1
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	184/272/253	69	286	2	24	33%	10%	47	-1.9	206/292/291	85	310	6	17	32%	9%	65	-0.7	198/299/263	65	296	5	23	31%	10%	59	-0.3
✕Jorge Mateo 2017 · A	22	43→46	41→50	61→65	38	207/250/308	100	288	7	34	30%	5%	50	-1.8	196/238/316	120	289	9	28	34%	5%	47	-1.9	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Carlos Willoughby 2011 · A	22	50→42	36→40	62→60	49	232/308/311	79	296	2	28	21%	8%	76	+0.0	207/277/276	69	268	2	17	21%	8%	54	-1.4	197/272/260	63	253	1	17	20%	8%	45	-1.4
●Derek Hill 2018 · A	22	42→51	37→50	61→60	39	196/251/276	80	297	4	28	34%	6%	42	-2.3	194/244/272	78	313	6	24	38%	5%	38	-2.6	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	42→45	63→65	42	210/257/316	106	264	9	35	24%	5%	56	-1.3	242/284/347	105	305	8	37	22%	5%	74	-0.1	253/294/353	100	318	7	41	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Clay Fuller 2009 · A	22	45	42→45	59→55	44	212/292/327	115	313	8	20	32%	8%	74	-0.1	209/278/327	118	293	12	18	31%	7%	68	-0.5	204/269/322	118	278	14	18	31%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Terrance Gore 2013 · A	22	48→43	33→30	61→70	46	217/295/263	46	306	1	27	27%	8%	59	-1.1	213/279/249	36	300	1	42	27%	7%	48	-1.9	190/250/239	48	271	1	52	28%	6%	29	-1.0
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→28	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	53	-1.5	213/271/338	125	320	13	13	35%	6%	68	-0.5	202/261/313	111	301	12	16	35%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Tyler Tolbert 2022 · A	24	38→46	39→45	66→65	43	177/264/263	86	294	5	37	38%	9%	46	-2.0	200/257/301	101	289	7	38	31%	6%	52	-1.6	217/276/298	80	302	7	58	29%	6%	56	-0.6
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	42→50	40→45	59→55	39	204/254/302	98	293	6	20	31%	6%	50	-1.7	223/280/337	114	302	9	18	28%	6%	71	-0.3	225/287/343	117	297	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2023 · A	21	41	38→30	62→70	39	194/261/276	82	302	5	38	35%	7%	47	-1.9	201/252/267	66	276	3	38	27%	5%	40	-2.4	195/242/247	52	259	1	51	24%	5%	28	-1.5
✕Eric Brown Jr. 2023 · A	22	45→33	43→40	58→65	45	218/293/335	117	292	10	27	28%	8%	77	+0.1	191/260/272	81	254	7	28	26%	7%	46	-2.0	158/229/228	70	213	6	17	28%	7%	19	-1.6
✕Raul Linares 2013 · A	22	40	36→45	59→55	42	187/248/257	70	259	2	22	27%	6%	37	-2.7	210/259/304	94	279	6	10	25%	6%	53	-1.5	217/260/323	106	275	7	7	23%	5%	55	-0.5
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A	23	42	41→40	58→60	40	198/267/289	91	321	9	25	38%	8%	53	-1.5	189/272/270	81	309	6	19	37%	9%	52	-1.6	97/227/121	24	177	0	28	39%	12%	-4	-1.2