Sam Robertson

SS St. Lucie Mets
Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202521ANYM68.172/.294/.172097—.133/.235/.133
202622ANYM166.252/.388/.30402458—.203/.309/.245
2027PROJMLE23MLBNYM276.167/.254/.2352942-0.3
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBNYM42.168/.255/.2420147-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed92
BB%68
Z-Con%67
Chase%56
Whiff%42
Max EV41
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsMax Ferguson (age 23) · Terrance Gore (age 23) · Tyler Tolbert (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 97 proj PA
wRC+†42
AVG/OBP/SLG.165 / .252 / .233
PA97
HR1
K%31
BB%9
ISO68
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 33
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER33
scouting grade only
EYE64
scouting grade only
SPEED78
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202521 ASt. Lucie Mets — 6858 10000 9271 91 172294172467 323 4013 236 7 — — — — — —
202622 ASt. Lucie Mets — 166135 34510 27463 245 252388304692 52378 2816 328 58 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202521 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 6860 8000 7351 91 133235133369 308 5110 179 7 — — — — — —
202622 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 166143 29410 19633 245 203309245554 42345 3811 254 58 — — — — — —
202521 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 6860 8000 7351 91 133235133369 320 5110 179 7 — — — — — —
202521 A RAWSt. Lucie Mets — 6858 10000 9271 91 172294172467 323 4013 236 7 — — — — — —
202622 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 166143 29410 19633 245 203309245554 42358 3811 254 58 — — — — — —
202622 A RAWSt. Lucie Mets — 166135 34510 27463 245 252388304692 52378 2816 328 58 — — — — — —
202521 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 6860 8000 7351 91 133235133369 308 5110 179 7 — — — — — —
202622 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 166143 29410 19633 245 203309245554 42345 3811 254 58 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202521 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 6860 8000 7351 91 133235133369 308 5110 179 7 — — — — — —
202622 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 166143 29410 19633 245 203309245554 42345 3811 254 58 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLENYM 0% 276245 40712 26863 92 167254235489 68243 319 230 42 -19 +1 +0 +3 +6 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLENYM 30% 140125 23412 13431 51 173259249509 76247 319 238 47 -9 +1 +0 +2 +3 -0.4
202824 MLB CTXNYM 30% 4238 6100 4130 10 168255242497 74239 3110 233 47 -3 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4238 6100 4130 10 158238184422 26240 3110 233 44 -3 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 921500 622010 150 156237182419 26238 3110 233 44 -41 +3 +0 +7 +14 -1.7
Career— MLE — 471415 741023 481716 418 178273234507 55292 3610 233 44 -16 +1 +0 +3 +5 -0.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650573 1021434 662368 5711 178272234506 56292 3610 233 44 -43 +2 +0 +7 +14 -2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ASt. Lucie Mets · 166 PAwOBA .323 → .254 (−69)K% 27.7% → 37.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.71%÷1.000×1.360——37.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.27%÷1.000×0.690——11.22%
HBP% /PA1.81%—×0.780——1.41%
Singles /BIP31.46%÷1.000×0.920×1.008—29.18%
Doubles /BIP5.62%÷1.000×0.830×1.008—4.70%
Triples /BIP1.12%÷1.000×0.910×1.008—1.03%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .323 → .254; ISO .052 → .041; BABIP .378 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASt. Lucie Mets · 68 PAwOBA .231 → .179 (−52)K% 39.7% → 50.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA39.71%÷1.060×1.360——50.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.24%÷0.953×0.690—×1.0159.72%
HBP% /PA1.47%—×0.780—×1.0151.16%
Singles /BIP32.26%÷0.977×0.920—×1.01530.84%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.903×0.830—×1.0150.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.855×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 95, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 112, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .231 → .179; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .323 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).