Luis Cabrera — OGILVIE

Luis Cabrera P DSL Red Sox Blue

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 21 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%22.1%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%10.0%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	12	1	35	161	23	22	4	8%	2.9	9.7%	17.1%	-7.4%	3.5%	7.01	6.37	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	12	1	35	161	23	22	4	8%	2.9	9.7%	17.1%	-7.4%	3.5%	7.01	6.37	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	12	1	35	161	23	22	4	8%	2.9	14.3%	13.7%	0.6%	2.5%	7.01	5.18	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	7	0	10	38	8	6	0	0%	1.4	21.1%	15.8%	5.3%	0.0%	0.90	3.32	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	7	0	10	38	8	6	0	0%	1.4	21.1%	15.8%	5.3%	0.0%	0.90	3.32	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	7	0	10	38	8	6	0	0%	1.4	21.1%	15.8%	5.3%	0.0%	0.90	3.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	BOS	20	0	21	89	20	11	3	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.0%	10.0%	3.0%	4.79	4.79	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BOS	21	0	22	91	21	10	3	0%	1.0	23.1%	10.8%	12.3%	2.9%	4.60	4.51	+0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	BOS	10	0	11	46	11	5	1	0%	1.1	23.1%	10.8%	12.3%	2.9%	4.60	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	45	10	5	1	0%	1.1	23.1%	10.8%	12.3%	2.9%	4.60	4.13	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	188	94	19	0%	1.1	23.1%	10.8%	12.3%	2.9%	4.60	4.13	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		19	1	45	199	24	34	6	5%	2.4	11.9%	16.8%	-5.0%	2.8%	5.64	5.79	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	4	200	891	106	150	25	5%	2.4	11.9%	16.8%	-5.0%	2.8%	5.64	5.79	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Cabrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	22.1%	12.0%	3.0%	—	4.51	23.1%	12.3%	22	-0.28	—	—	—
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	88
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	86
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	86
Justin Meis R 2021 · 4.07 FIP	21	SU	4.07	25.6%	13.6%	2.6%	.300	5.14	18.2%	5.5%	261	+1.07	3.68	411	86
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	86
Jesus Gamez R 2024 · 3.81 FIP	21	SU	3.81	25.4%	14.0%	2.0%	.321	4.28	27.2%	2.8%	77	+0.47	3.42	105	85
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	85
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	84
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	84
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	83
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	83
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	83
Alix Hernandez R 2024 · 4.44 FIP	20	SU	4.44	21.7%	13.7%	2.6%	.300	5.16	23.0%	11.4%	78	+0.72	3.55	170	83
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	83
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	83
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	83
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	83
Reiss Knehr R 2018 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	21.3%	12.3%	2.6%	.267	4.86	18.8%	7.2%	171	+0.57	3.36	398	82
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	82
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	82