Aaron Munson
P
New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 24
RHP
5'10" / 195 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION46 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 116
ERA5.10
FIP5.10
K%15.7%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%3.1%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20% | 1.8 | 14.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 1.00 | 2.60 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20% | 1.8 | 14.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 1.00 | 2.66 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 53 | 238 | 68 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.5% | 15.6% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 4.78 | 3.86 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 53 | 238 | 68 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.6% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 0.8% | 4.78 | 2.83 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 30 | 0 | 48 | 205 | 40 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 15.0% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 2.81 | 3.11 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 30 | 0 | 48 | 205 | 40 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 2.81 | 2.56 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 28 | 0 | 46 | 211 | 57 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 4.4% | 5.05 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TOR | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 38 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.10 | 5.10 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TOR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.7% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.10 | 5.10 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 103 | 452 | 95 | 49 | 12 | — | — | 21.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 5.08 | 5.00 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 15.7% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.10 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 42 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 4.94 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 44 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 4.85 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 4.94 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 29 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 4.85 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 62 | 0 | 65 | 275 | 48 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 4.89 | 4.47 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 147 | 98 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 4.89 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 105 | 1 | 156 | 688 | 129 | 77 | 12 | 1% | 1.5 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 4.04 | 3.89 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 135 | 1 | 200 | 882 | 166 | 99 | 15 | 1% | 1.5 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 4.04 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Aaron Munson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.10 | 15.7% | 12.7% | 2.4% | — | 4.85 | 17.5% | 5.9% | 116 | -0.25 | — | — | — |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 92 |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 90 |
| Parker Markel R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.69 | 13.6% | 12.3% | 2.1% | .313 | 3.16 | 15.9% | 6.2% | 61 | -1.53 | 3.16 | 266 | 90 |
| Darin Gillies R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.20 | 15.0% | 10.8% | 1.8% | .270 | 5.19 | 22.5% | 12.9% | 124 | +0.99 | 4.20 | 295 | 89 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.59 | 13.6% | 10.6% | 2.4% | .284 | 3.85 | 23.0% | 12.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.24 | 172 | 89 |
| Brayden Spears R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.07 | 15.7% | 10.5% | 1.8% | .337 | 4.25 | 19.9% | 9.0% | 44 | +0.18 | 4.07 | 105 | 89 |
| Dylan Simmons R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.26 | 12.8% | 11.9% | 1.4% | .306 | 6.74 | 12.6% | 0.1% | 23 | +2.48 | 3.73 | 125 | 88 |
| Billy Seidl R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.87 | 18.3% | 14.2% | 2.8% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 102 | 88 |
| Matt Lollis R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.59 | 18.5% | 12.2% | 2.8% | .237 | 5.05 | 19.2% | 4.7% | 56 | +0.46 | 4.59 | 120 | 87 |
| Ryan Moseley R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 16.9% | 11.9% | 1.8% | .282 | 5.24 | 14.1% | 1.1% | 48 | +1.08 | 4.09 | 264 | 87 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 87 |
| Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.74 | 149 | 87 |
| Ryan Ledbetter R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.63 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 124 | 87 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 87 |
| Josh Uhen R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.00 | 16.1% | 9.7% | 1.9% | .303 | 3.97 | 15.6% | 1.2% | 82 | -0.03 | 3.13 | 185 | 87 |
| Ian Villers R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.12 | 15.6% | 10.4% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 107 | 87 |
| Rob Huber R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.67 | 15.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 117 | 87 |
| Matthew Gorst R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.72 | 16.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 199 | 87 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.71 | 18.3% | 13.7% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 156 | 87 |
| Damien Magnifico R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 13.9% | 11.0% | 1.4% | .241 | 3.65 | 19.1% | 4.9% | 186 | -0.43 | 2.97 | 293 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 16.9% | 12.0% | 0.96 | 4.96 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |