Aaron Munson — OGILVIE

Aaron Munson P Vancouver Canadians

+0.1 WAR

Age 24 RHP 5'10" / 195 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2026

ERA4.36

FIP4.36

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.0%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%10.6%

IP42

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2026

STUF3535

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†4550

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2023	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	5	1	9	34	5	2	0	—	—	—	1.00	—	—
2024	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	42	0	53	238	68	32	2	21.5%	15.6%	1.1%	4.78	3.86	+0.6
2025	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	30	0	48	205	40	18	0	15.0%	10.1%	0.0%	2.81	3.11	+1.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	A+	Vancouver Canadians	3	0	5	27	9	5	0	—	—	—	8.44	—	—
ROS	24	MLB	TOR	42	—	42	178	34	20	4	19.2%	11.4%	2.4%	4.64	4.64	+0.1
2026 Total	24	MLB	TOR	—	—	47	205	43	25	4	21.0%	12.3%	2.1%	5.07	4.12	+0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	25	MLB	TOR	43	—	43	180	36	19	4	20.0%	10.8%	2.5%	4.56	4.53	+0.2
2028	26	MLB	TOR	43	—	43	180	37	19	5	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	4.51	4.49	+0.2
2029	27	MLB	TOR	42	—	42	179	37	19	5	20.6%	10.6%	2.6%	4.49	4.49	+0.2
2030	28	MLB	TOR	42	—	42	176	36	19	5	20.6%	10.6%	2.6%	4.50	4.51	+0.2
2031	29	MLB	TOR	41	—	41	172	35	18	5	20.5%	10.7%	2.6%	4.53	4.56	+0.2
2032	30	MLB	TOR	40	—	40	167	34	18	5	20.3%	10.8%	2.7%	4.58	4.62	+0.1
2033	31	MLB	TOR	38	—	38	161	32	18	4	20.1%	10.9%	2.8%	4.65	4.69	+0.1
2034	32	MLB	TOR	37	—	37	155	31	17	4	19.8%	11.1%	2.9%	4.73	4.78	+0.1
2035	33	MLB	TOR	35	—	35	148	29	17	4	19.5%	11.3%	2.9%	4.82	4.88	+0.0
2036	34	MLB	TOR	33	—	33	140	27	16	4	19.1%	11.5%	3.0%	4.92	4.99	-0.0
2037	35	MLB	TOR	31	—	31	132	25	15	4	18.7%	11.7%	3.2%	5.03	5.11	-0.1
2038	36	MLB	TOR	29	—	29	124	23	15	4	18.3%	11.9%	3.3%	5.16	5.24	-0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			80	1	115	504	96	65	3	19.0%	12.9%	0.5%	3.83	3.41	+2.5
/ 200 IP	—			139	2	200	877	167	113	5	19.0%	12.9%	0.5%	3.83	3.41	+4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aaron Munson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	19.2%	11.4%	2.4%	—	4.50	20.3%	9.6%	128	-0.14	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.48 FIP	25	SU	4.48	17.1%	9.6%	2.9%	.289	3.53	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.95	1.94	131	90
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2027 · 3.83 FIP	25	SU	3.83	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.38	3.83	181	90
Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.63	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.36	4.27	328	90
Dylan Hall R 2026 · 3.48 FIP	24	SU	3.48	19.0%	9.6%	1.4%	.305	5.78	17.8%	4.9%	107	+2.30	3.48	153	90
Armando Ruiz R 2026 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	18.4%	11.4%	2.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	113	90
Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.71 FIP	24	SU	4.71	19.5%	14.1%	2.7%	.319	4.82	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.11	4.56	132	89
Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	21.4%	12.4%	2.4%	.296	5.37	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.16	3.60	146	89
Hunter Stanley R 2026 · 3.87 FIP	24	SU	3.87	18.9%	10.1%	2.0%	.270	5.33	17.4%	7.1%	148	+1.46	3.87	162	89
Kyle Whitten R 2026 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	18.0%	9.5%	2.8%	.296	5.22	18.2%	7.4%	37	+0.88	4.33	143	89
Josh Uhen R 2026 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	16.1%	9.7%	2.1%	.303	4.01	15.6%	1.2%	82	-0.09	3.16	185	89
Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	3.00	24.2%	12.6%	70	-1.56	2.12	117	89
Reid Schaller R 2026 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	20.2%	13.1%	2.9%	.298	3.90	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.72	3.63	186	88
Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.86 FIP	24	SU	4.86	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.51	18.6%	4.7%	123	-0.35	4.05	164	88
Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.72 FIP	24	SU	3.72	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.28	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.56	3.72	105	88
Ryan Shreve R 2026 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	18.9%	10.1%	1.6%	.260	4.77	15.8%	6.2%	203	+1.08	3.15	290	87
Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.10 FIP	23	SU	4.10	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.09	4.10	112	87
Roberto Espinosa R 2026 · 4.32 FIP	24	SU	4.32	15.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.312	4.58	14.5%	-1.1%	35	+0.26	4.32	117	87
Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.74	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.64	4.10	105	87
Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.53	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.08	3.01	214	87
Marc Brakeman R 2026 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	87

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.