Logan Clayton
P
Hillsboro Hops
Age 26
RHP
6'5" / 188 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.93
FIP4.93
K%17.7%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%7.1%
ROS IP40
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 1 | 50 | 236 | 52 | 27 | 3 | 3% | 1.5 | 16.7% | 13.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 4.71 | 4.33 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 1 | 50 | 236 | 52 | 27 | 3 | 3% | 1.5 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 1.3% | 4.71 | 3.42 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 20 | 109 | 474 | 88 | 36 | 14 | 77% | 4.2 | 14.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.80 | 5.00 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 20 | 109 | 474 | 88 | 36 | 14 | 77% | 4.2 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.15 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 11 | 48 | 239 | 34 | 30 | 5 | 79% | 3.4 | 11.2% | 14.1% | -2.8% | 1.8% | 9.00 | 4.90 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 11 | 48 | 239 | 34 | 30 | 5 | 79% | 3.4 | 14.2% | 12.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 9.00 | 4.91 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 38 | 0 | 40 | 167 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 4.93 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 14 | 60 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.53 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 154 | 84 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 74 | 32 | 206 | 949 | 135 | 106 | 26 | 43% | 2.8 | 14.2% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.76 | 4.81 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 31 | 200 | 920 | 131 | 103 | 25 | 43% | 2.8 | 14.2% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.76 | 4.81 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Logan Clayton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 17.7% | 10.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.91 | 18.3% | 7.7% | 39 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 81 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 81 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 80 |
| Paul Clemens R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 80 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 80 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 79 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 79 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 77 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 77 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 77 |
| Jake Dunning R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 77 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 2.7% | .285 | 4.61 | 16.4% | 5.3% | 48 | +0.01 | 4.60 | 529 | 77 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 77 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 76 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 76 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 76 |
| Brad Allen R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 14.0% | 12.6% | 1.3% | .315 | 6.07 | 14.7% | 1.5% | 87 | +1.85 | 4.22 | 149 | 76 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.41 | 16.7% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .323 | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 48 | -0.98 | 2.10 | 224 | 75 |
| Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.48 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.76 | 8.4% | -0.2% | 16 | +0.28 | 3.84 | 420 | 75 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 39 | 18.0% | 10.6% | 1.14 | 4.91 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |