Logan Clayton — OGILVIE

Logan Clayton P Hillsboro Hops

Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 188 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.35

FIP5.35

K%14.2%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%2.9%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	1	50	236	52	27	3	3%	1.5	16.7%	13.2%	3.5%	1.7%	4.71	4.28	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	1	50	236	52	27	3	3%	1.5	16.7%	13.2%	3.5%	1.7%	4.71	4.28	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	1	50	236	52	27	3	3%	1.5	22.0%	11.4%	10.6%	1.3%	4.71	3.42	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	20	109	474	88	36	14	77%	4.2	14.4%	8.7%	5.7%	3.6%	4.80	4.93	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	20	109	474	88	36	14	77%	4.2	14.4%	8.7%	5.7%	3.6%	4.80	4.93	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	20	109	474	88	36	14	77%	4.2	18.6%	7.6%	11.0%	3.0%	4.80	4.15	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	11	48	239	34	30	5	79%	3.4	11.2%	14.1%	-2.8%	2.0%	9.00	5.06	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	11	48	239	34	30	5	79%	3.4	11.2%	14.1%	-2.8%	2.0%	9.00	5.06	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	11	48	239	34	30	5	79%	3.4	14.2%	12.6%	1.7%	2.1%	9.00	4.91	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	ARI	3	0	3	13	2	1	0	0%	1.0	14.2%	11.3%	2.9%	3.0%	5.35	5.35	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	ARI	92	0	96	407	61	45	12	0%	1.0	15.0%	11.1%	3.9%	3.0%	5.26	5.28	-0.8
2028	28	MLB MLE	ARI	89	0	93	394	61	43	12	0%	1.0	15.4%	10.9%	4.4%	3.1%	5.24	5.28	-0.8
2029	29	MLB MLE	ARI	85	0	89	377	58	41	12	0%	1.0	15.5%	11.0%	4.5%	3.3%	5.30	5.36	-0.8
2030	30	MLB MLE	ARI	80	0	84	354	54	40	12	0%	1.0	15.3%	11.2%	4.1%	3.5%	5.42	5.51	-0.9
2027	27	MLB CTX	ARI	33	0	35	148	22	16	4	0%	1.1	15.0%	11.1%	3.9%	3.0%	5.26	5.28	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	ARI	52	0	55	232	36	25	7	0%	1.1	15.4%	10.9%	4.4%	3.1%	5.24	5.28	-0.4
2029	29	MLB CTX	ARI	60	0	63	266	41	29	9	0%	1.1	15.5%	11.0%	4.5%	3.3%	5.30	5.36	-0.6
2030	30	MLB CTX	ARI	62	0	65	274	42	31	10	0%	1.0	15.3%	11.2%	4.1%	3.5%	5.42	5.51	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		208	0	219	923	141	102	30	0%	1.1	15.3%	11.1%	4.3%	3.3%	5.31	5.00	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	129	93	27	0%	1.1	15.3%	11.1%	4.3%	3.3%	5.31	5.00	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		74	32	206	949	135	106	26	43%	2.8	14.2%	11.2%	3.0%	2.7%	5.76	4.80	-3.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	31	200	920	131	103	25	43%	2.8	14.2%	11.2%	3.0%	2.7%	5.76	4.80	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Logan Clayton (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.35	14.2%	11.3%	3.0%	—	5.31	15.3%	4.3%	279	-0.04	—	—	—
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	87
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	86
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	82
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	81
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	81
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	80
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	80
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	79
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	79
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	78
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	77
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	76
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	76
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	76
Alex Sanabia R 2015 · 4.44 FIP	26	SP-	4.44	11.4%	7.9%	2.4%	.358	3.66	11.1%	6.2%	161	-0.78	3.42	378	76
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	75
Joe Record R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	16.6%	15.3%	2.2%	.236	3.59	20.3%	8.6%	172	-1.23	2.64	280	75
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.85	13.9%	4.7%	81	+1.14	4.43	239	75
Tyler Santana R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	25	SW	4.43	15.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.306	4.90	15.1%	4.9%	191	+0.47	3.37	399	75
André Rienzo R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	27	SW	4.22	15.7%	11.1%	1.9%	.264	4.02	19.8%	5.1%	74	-0.20	3.53	200	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	80	15.2%	11.1%	1.24	5.31
Chi Chi González ('22)	1.3	64	13.3%	9.0%	1.41	5.44
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25