Carter Frederick

Carter FrederickOF Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 25 R/R 6'4" / 235 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .261 / .268

PA1

HR0

K%31

BB%8

BABIP273

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	75	64	17	5	0	0	11	21	0	5	0	266	373	344	717	78	395	28	15	333	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	405	354	79	25	4	3	43	132	6	16	3	223	318	342	659	119	344	33	11	301	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	75	68	13	4	0	0	7	30	0	5	0	191	267	250	517	59	351	40	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	405	366	62	18	3	2	31	166	6	16	3	169	246	251	497	82	293	41	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	75	68	13	4	0	0	7	30	0	5	0	191	267	250	517	59	342	40	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	75	64	17	5	0	0	11	21	0	5	0	266	373	344	717	78	395	28	15	333	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	405	366	62	18	3	2	31	166	6	16	3	169	246	251	497	82	300	41	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	405	354	79	25	4	3	43	132	6	16	3	223	318	342	659	119	344	33	11	301	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	75	68	13	4	0	0	7	30	0	5	0	191	267	250	517	59	351	40	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	405	365	62	18	3	2	31	166	6	16	3	170	246	252	498	82	293	41	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	75	68	13	4	0	0	7	30	0	5	0	191	267	250	517	59	351	40	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	405	365	62	18	3	2	31	166	6	16	3	170	246	252	498	82	293	41	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	KC	0%	380	343	65	15	2	3	30	117	4	8	2	189	262	270	533	81	274	31	8	245	52	-22	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	KC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	188	261	268	529	80	273	0	0	243	52	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	KC	30%	158	143	28	6	1	2	12	48	2	3	1	194	266	283	550	90	275	30	8	252	57	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	KC	42%	251	226	44	10	1	3	20	75	3	5	1	195	268	287	555	92	275	30	8	254	58	-13	+1	+0	-2	+5	-0.8
2028	26	MLB CTX	KC	30%	48	43	8	2	0	0	4	15	1	1	0	192	265	280	545	88	273	31	8	250	57	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	KC	42%	105	95	19	4	1	1	8	32	1	2	0	193	267	283	550	90	274	30	8	252	58	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	153	138	27	6	1	1	12	47	2	3	0	196	270	275	545	80	286	31	8	251	48	-8	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	114	25	4	4	51	200	8	13	0	195	268	271	539	77	285	31	8	251	48	-33	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1033	933	172	44	6	8	81	363	13	32	6	184	259	270	529	86	289	35	8	240	48	-29	+1	+0	-3	+12	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	109	28	4	5	51	228	8	20	4	186	260	273	533	87	291	35	8	240	48	-34	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Frederick (OGILVIE)	25	30	35	50	45	188/260/268	80	274	1	3	31%	8%	52	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	40	39→45	53→55	40	192/250/279	87	274	5	16	31%	6%	50	-2.3	189/266/297	108	285	10	16	35%	8%	61	-1.5	173/257/287	114	273	12	16	38%	8%	54	-1.2
✕Travis Becktel 2008 · A	25	43→36	40	49→50	42	206/268/304	98	294	7	15	31%	7%	62	-1.4	205/257/312	107	300	8	15	32%	6%	60	-1.6	190/230/303	113	281	7	19	34%	4%	44	-1.0
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Justin Twine 2021 · AA	25	46→33	38→40	48→50	37	218/259/301	83	300	5	10	29%	4%	57	-1.8	210/252/315	105	363	9	17	42%	4%	59	-1.7	191/223/297	106	362	9	25	48%	2%	42	-1.2
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→37	38→40	52→50	46	189/263/263	75	259	5	15	28%	8%	52	-2.2	193/256/274	81	275	8	10	31%	7%	51	-2.2	172/233/253	81	229	10	8	29%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	199/272/283	84	272	8	13	28%	8%	59	-1.6	209/279/316	107	283	11	11	28%	8%	70	-0.9	174/252/307	134	221	17	8	29%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	39	39→45	49→45	40	188/257/278	90	253	6	7	27%	5%	53	-2.1	195/250/270	75	280	3	6	30%	5%	48	-2.5	165/211/221	56	238	0	2	29%	3%	19	-1.1
✕Lucas Dunn 2024 · AAA	25	40→39	40	50	44	191/274/286	94	288	8	13	34%	9%	61	-1.5	191/261/280	89	295	8	11	35%	8%	55	-2.0	147/217/217	70	238	6	10	38%	7%	23	-1.8
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	44→40	37→40	53→55	41	200/269/277	76	312	4	13	34%	7%	57	-1.8	197/277/296	99	311	9	20	36%	8%	65	-1.2	187/271/285	97	288	9	24	35%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Jack Winkler 2024 · AA	25	43→41	39→40	50→55	44	208/271/297	89	274	7	14	26%	7%	61	-1.5	188/250/281	93	257	9	22	29%	6%	51	-2.3	172/236/263	91	235	10	24	30%	6%	39	-2.2
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Ryan Metzler 2018 · AA	25	38	36→40	50	34	176/233/243	67	309	4	12	42%	6%	35	-3.4	200/254/286	86	297	8	13	33%	6%	53	-2.1	189/243/265	77	275	8	15	33%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	40	181/259/253	72	263	5	5	31%	6%	49	-2.4	196/275/282	86	273	7	6	29%	7%	61	-1.5	149/252/214	66	204	4	0	27%	8%	36	-0.7
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	37	40→45	45→50	44	180/271/269	89	284	8	7	36%	9%	57	-1.8	194/276/296	102	294	9	11	34%	8%	64	-1.3	166/256/268	102	246	9	13	34%	9%	49	-1.2
✕Wyatt Hendrie 2024 · A	25	38	40	51→50	39	184/253/275	91	288	8	9	37%	7%	51	-2.3	193/268/288	95	284	9	12	33%	8%	59	-1.6	167/254/245	78	237	10	16	32%	8%	44	-0.6