Jackson Appel — OGILVIE

Jackson AppelC Winston-Salem Dash

Age 24 S/R 5'11" / 200 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 279 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .301 / .278

PA279

HR2

SB5

K%26

BB%11

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$5M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	50	43	10	1	0	1	5	10	2	0	0	233	340	326	666	93	281	20	10	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	50	41	11	2	0	1	7	7	2	0	0	268	400	390	790	122	303	14	14	365	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	326	274	66	11	1	1	37	78	10	11	2	241	352	299	651	58	327	24	11	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	326	258	64	13	1	1	51	53	10	11	2	248	389	318	707	70	303	16	16	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	CWS	—	279	242	50	10	1	2	30	72	5	5	1	207	307	281	588	74	282	26	11	273	67	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CWS	38%	310	270	56	11	1	3	32	79	5	6	1	207	303	289	592	81	283	25	10	282	74	-9	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.6
2028	26	MLB	CWS	55%	365	318	69	13	2	5	38	92	6	7	2	217	312	318	630	101	284	25	10	287	78	-9	+1	+0	+7	+10	0.8
2029	27	MLB	CWS	61%	392	342	74	14	2	6	41	99	6	7	2	216	311	322	633	105	284	25	10	289	79	-9	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.0
2030	28	MLB	CWS	65%	407	356	77	15	2	6	42	103	6	8	2	216	309	320	630	104	284	25	10	289	79	-10	+1	-1	+7	+12	0.9
2031	29	MLB	CWS	64%	408	356	77	15	2	6	43	104	6	7	2	216	311	320	631	104	283	25	11	287	78	-10	+1	-1	+7	+12	0.8
2027	25	MLB	CWS	38%	118	103	22	4	1	1	12	30	2	2	1	214	308	301	609	87	284	25	10	271	65	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	26	MLB	CWS	55%	202	176	38	7	1	3	21	51	3	4	1	216	310	318	628	102	285	25	10	276	70	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2029	27	MLB	CWS	61%	241	210	45	9	1	3	25	61	4	5	1	214	310	310	619	95	285	25	10	278	71	-8	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2030	28	MLB	CWS	65%	263	230	50	10	1	4	27	66	4	5	1	217	310	322	632	104	285	25	10	278	71	-9	+1	-0	+5	+7	0.4
2031	29	MLB	CWS	64%	263	229	50	10	1	4	28	67	4	5	1	218	314	323	637	105	284	25	11	277	70	-9	+1	-1	+5	+7	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1087	948	205	40	5	15	113	275	17	21	5	216	311	316	627	100	287	25	10	277	70	-37	+2	-1	+19	+31	1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	123	24	3	9	68	164	10	13	3	217	312	317	629	101	287	25	10	277	70	-22	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	2537	2201	479	90	11	30	268	637	46	51	12	218	315	309	625	92	290	25	11	287	78	-64	+5	-2	+45	+72	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	123	23	3	8	69	163	12	13	3	218	317	312	629	94	290	25	11	287	78	-16	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	50	41	11	2	0	1	7	7	2	0	0	268	400	390	790	122	303	14	14	365	137	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	326	258	64	13	1	1	51	53	10	11	2	248	389	318	707	70	303	16	16	330	111	+4	+1	—	—	+9	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	8	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
	/162	664	14	9	225	325	344	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	9	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
	/162	664	4	15	234	295	315	+6.9	+19.7	2.5	pk7: 11
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,088	15	20	216	307	316	+19	+12	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	9	12	216	307	316	+11.9	+7.3	1.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jackson Appel (OGILVIE)	24	45	25	50	60	204/301/278	74	282	2	5	26%	11%	67	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2013 · A	24	43	36→30	46→40	53	198/292/268	70	276	3	7	27%	11%	59	-1.1	195/288/272	77	280	6	7	29%	11%	59	-1.1	161/272/222	60	234	6	4	30%	12%	39	-0.7
✕Joe Sclafani 2014 · A	24	46→45	40	52→50	51	218/297/316	98	272	6	14	21%	9%	73	-0.1	252/313/328	76	307	4	11	18%	8%	82	+0.5	279/336/340	61	333	2	10	16%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A	23	43	38→30	48→40	51	205/292/282	77	270	6	7	25%	10%	63	-0.8	226/312/290	64	313	3	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	233/324/284	51	328	2	2	26%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Drew Millas 2022 · A	24	48	38→45	51→50	53	226/305/311	85	282	5	14	21%	10%	75	-0.0	227/300/334	107	297	9	12	25%	9%	79	+0.3	249/306/373	124	288	12	17	18%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Matt Matulia 2008 · A	24	47	37→40	50	47	219/289/300	82	290	4	11	24%	8%	65	-0.7	213/285/294	81	284	5	10	25%	8%	63	-0.9	211/294/267	56	278	5	9	24%	9%	59	-0.7
✕Louis Ott 2009 · AA	24	48	37→30	42→45	47	224/293/292	68	313	4	6	28%	8%	65	-0.7	230/305/304	74	330	5	8	29%	9%	73	-0.1	242/329/293	51	350	4	7	28%	11%	77	+0.1
✕Ripken Reyes 2021 · A	24	48→47	38→40	53→50	46	224/299/310	86	267	5	12	17%	6%	73	-0.1	225/329/305	80	286	4	13	21%	8%	86	+0.8	220/340/304	84	275	6	18	20%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Leo Rivas 2022 · AA	24	47→54	38→40	50→65	50	219/300/300	81	306	5	13	28%	10%	70	-0.3	222/306/314	92	301	8	30	26%	10%	77	+0.1	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Elih Marrero 2021 · A	24	43	39→40	49→55	44	209/265/293	84	274	6	7	25%	7%	53	-1.5	210/281/284	74	303	4	21	29%	8%	58	-1.2	201/279/263	62	296	3	27	30%	9%	50	-0.6
✕Matty Johnson 2012 · A	24	48→53	37→40	46→55	45	225/286/298	73	303	5	11	26%	7%	63	-0.9	228/281/301	73	286	3	17	20%	6%	61	-1.0	237/292/310	73	295	2	23	19%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Gabe Holt 2022 · AA	24	52→54	35→30	52→50	55	240/320/297	56	290	3	12	17%	10%	78	+0.2	210/264/271	61	245	3	12	15%	6%	46	-2.0	178/215/214	36	201	0	14	11%	4%	7	-2.4
✕Carlos Alvarez 2010 · A	24	47	39→40	48→45	54	222/303/314	92	259	5	7	16%	9%	76	+0.0	225/314/311	86	276	4	9	18%	10%	79	+0.3	234/338/322	88	280	4	12	16%	11%	94	+0.5
✕Dan Nelson 2008 · A	24	47→51	38→45	48→50	51	223/299/299	76	292	5	14	24%	9%	69	-0.4	221/291/318	97	285	8	12	23%	9%	71	-0.3	241/300/355	114	292	10	8	20%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Jeremy Arocho 2021 · A	22	48→46	36→30	48→60	47	224/285/296	72	288	3	10	22%	7%	62	-0.9	224/322/278	54	314	2	26	25%	12%	75	-0.0	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Chad Zurcher 2013 · A	24	48	36→30	47→45	50	222/288/291	69	266	3	9	17%	7%	62	-0.9	227/311/289	62	295	2	7	21%	10%	72	-0.2	235/337/268	33	301	0	6	19%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Frainyer Chavez 2023 · AAA	24	46→47	36→40	50	46	213/280/277	64	294	3	14	27%	8%	56	-1.3	209/271/287	78	291	7	12	28%	7%	54	-1.4	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Bryce Windham 2021 · A	24	49	37→40	49→50	53	227/306/304	76	293	3	7	22%	10%	73	-0.1	220/294/307	87	275	6	6	21%	9%	69	-0.4	217/295/299	82	269	6	6	20%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Anthony Prato 2022 · A	24	47→48	36→45	49→55	49	213/306/279	66	310	3	11	29%	10%	69	-0.4	214/304/326	112	305	9	15	30%	10%	79	+0.3	206/303/321	115	290	9	16	29%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Barry Gunther 2006 · A	24	46	37→30	49→30	43	215/275/291	76	292	4	6	26%	7%	57	-1.2	218/273/286	68	282	4	3	22%	6%	54	-1.4	220/276/277	57	281	3	1	22%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Kyle Haines 2006 · A	24	54	37→30	48→45	48	254/305/328	75	299	5	13	17%	6%	79	+0.3	234/310/303	69	286	4	7	18%	9%	75	-0.0	232/315/291	59	285	3	4	18%	10%	71	-0.1