Jackson Appel — OGILVIE

Jackson AppelC Winston-Salem Dash

Age 24 S/R 5'11" / 200 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP270

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	50	41	11	2	0	1	7	7	2	0	0	268	400	390	790	122	303	14	14	365	133	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	326	258	64	13	1	1	51	53	10	11	2	248	389	318	707	70	303	16	16	330	110	+4	+1	—	—	+7	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	50	43	11	2	0	1	5	10	2	0	0	256	360	372	732	116	281	20	10	304	92	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	326	276	65	12	1	1	35	74	10	11	2	236	343	297	640	62	299	23	11	287	80	-8	+1	—	—	+7	0.1
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	50	43	11	2	0	1	5	10	2	0	0	256	360	372	732	116	312	20	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	50	41	11	2	0	1	7	7	2	0	0	268	400	390	790	122	303	14	14	365	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	326	276	65	12	1	1	35	74	10	11	2	236	343	297	640	62	312	23	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	—	326	258	64	13	1	1	51	53	10	11	2	248	389	318	707	70	303	16	16	330	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	50	43	11	2	0	1	5	10	2	0	0	256	360	372	732	116	281	20	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	326	278	65	12	1	1	35	74	10	11	2	234	343	295	638	61	299	23	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	50	43	11	2	0	1	5	10	2	0	0	256	360	372	732	116	281	20	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	326	278	65	12	1	1	35	74	10	11	2	234	343	295	638	61	299	23	11	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	CWS	—	74	62	11	1	0	1	8	16	1	1	0	177	282	242	524	65	213	22	11	229	41	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ RAW	CWS	—	74	58	11	1	0	1	12	12	1	1	0	190	338	259	597	69	213	16	16	279	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	A+ MLE	CWS	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		269	27	9	272	70	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	24	A+ MLE	CWS	—	85	72	12	1	0	1	9	19	1	1	0	167	268	222	491	56	204	22	11	235	45	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CWS	38%	310	270	57	11	1	3	32	70	5	6	1	211	306	293	599	81	271	23	10	280	76	-9	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	365	319	69	13	1	5	37	83	6	7	1	216	309	310	620	94	273	23	10	286	80	-9	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	CWS	61%	392	343	75	14	2	6	40	89	6	7	2	219	311	324	635	105	274	23	10	288	81	-9	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.7
2030	28	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	407	356	77	14	2	6	42	93	6	7	2	216	309	317	627	101	274	23	10	288	81	-9	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.7
2031	29	MLB MLE	CWS	64%	408	357	77	14	2	6	42	94	6	7	2	216	309	317	625	101	273	23	10	286	80	-10	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.6
2032	30	MLB MLE	CWS	70%	406	355	76	14	1	6	42	95	6	7	2	214	308	310	618	96	272	23	10	283	78	-11	+1	-2	+7	+9	0.4
2033	31	MLB MLE	CWS	74%	384	335	70	13	1	5	40	91	6	6	1	209	304	299	603	90	269	24	10	279	75	-11	+1	-3	+7	+8	0.2
2034	32	MLB MLE	CWS	76%	357	312	64	12	1	4	37	86	5	6	1	205	299	288	588	83	266	24	10	274	72	-12	+1	-4	+6	+8	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	CWS	38%	118	103	21	4	0	1	12	27	2	2	0	204	299	272	571	68	272	23	10	269	76	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	202	176	38	7	1	3	21	46	3	4	1	216	310	318	628	102	274	23	10	275	80	-5	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	CWS	61%	241	210	47	9	1	4	25	55	4	4	1	224	318	333	651	110	275	23	10	278	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	28	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	263	230	50	9	1	4	27	60	4	5	1	217	310	317	628	100	274	23	10	278	81	-6	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2031	29	MLB CTX	CWS	64%	263	230	50	9	1	4	27	61	4	5	1	217	310	317	628	100	274	23	10	276	80	-6	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2032	30	MLB CTX	CWS	70%	284	249	53	10	1	4	29	66	4	5	1	213	305	309	614	96	272	23	10	273	78	-7	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2033	31	MLB CTX	CWS	74%	283	248	53	10	1	4	29	67	4	5	1	214	306	310	617	97	270	24	10	269	75	-8	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2034	32	MLB CTX	CWS	76%	273	239	49	9	1	3	28	66	4	4	1	205	299	289	588	84	267	24	10	264	72	-9	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1927	1685	361	67	7	27	198	448	29	34	7	214	308	310	618	96	274	23	10	273	78	-51	+4	-8	+34	+42	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	568	122	23	2	9	67	151	10	11	2	215	309	310	618	95	275	23	10	273	78	-17	+1	-3	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3416	2976	642	119	12	43	353	788	58	64	14	216	311	307	618	91	277	23	10	284	78	-80	+6	-10	+54	+66	3.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	122	23	2	8	67	150	11	12	3	216	311	306	616	90	277	23	10	284	78	-17	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	2.5	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
/162	664	14	9	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.9	1,928	26	34	214	305	309	+34	+20	3.8	3.7
/162	664	9	12	+11.9	+6.9	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jackson Appel (OGILVIE)	24	45	25	50	60	205/301/275	70	269	2	5	23%	10%	70	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2013 · A	24	43	36→30	46→40	55	198/298/270	72	275	3	7	26%	12%	67	-1.1	197/293/273	76	284	5	7	29%	11%	65	-1.2	163/278/221	58	239	5	4	30%	13%	48	-0.7
✕Drew Millas 2022 · A	24	48	38→45	51→50	53	224/302/304	80	277	5	14	20%	10%	76	-0.4	228/300/332	104	295	9	12	24%	9%	81	-0.1	250/306/369	119	290	10	17	17%	7%	88	+0.2
✕Ripken Reyes 2021 · A	24	48	38→40	53→50	46	226/300/312	87	268	5	12	17%	6%	77	-0.3	224/328/302	78	283	4	13	21%	7%	86	+0.3	219/336/295	76	273	4	18	19%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Gabe Holt 2022 · AA	24	52→54	35→30	52→50	55	242/323/301	59	292	3	12	17%	10%	82	+0.0	214/268/276	62	249	3	12	14%	6%	55	-1.9	187/225/223	35	209	0	14	10%	4%	23	-2.2
✕Carlos Alvarez 2010 · A	24	47	39→40	48→45	54	222/303/314	92	259	5	7	16%	9%	78	-0.3	225/314/312	87	276	4	9	18%	10%	82	-0.0	234/338/322	88	280	4	12	16%	11%	95	+0.4
✕Shane McGuire 2023 · A	24	49	37→40	49→45	53	228/320/302	73	298	4	7	23%	10%	82	-0.0	212/296/290	78	285	6	7	25%	10%	70	-0.8	210/296/292	82	276	8	9	25%	10%	68	-0.4
✕Kyle Haines 2006 · A	24	54→55	37→30	48→45	48	254/305/328	75	299	5	13	17%	6%	81	-0.1	235/310/303	68	286	4	7	18%	9%	78	-0.3	233/317/292	59	285	3	4	17%	10%	76	-0.2
✕Matt Matulia 2008 · A	24	47	37→40	50	47	219/289/300	82	290	4	11	24%	8%	69	-0.9	213/286/293	80	282	5	10	24%	8%	67	-1.1	214/297/268	54	278	4	9	22%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Joe Sclafani 2014 · A	24	48	41→40	52→50	53	229/308/335	106	280	7	14	20%	9%	85	+0.2	254/315/331	77	307	4	11	17%	8%	85	+0.2	278/333/337	59	331	2	10	16%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Chad Zurcher 2013 · A	24	48	36→30	47→45	50	222/288/291	69	266	3	9	17%	7%	66	-1.1	228/309/290	62	295	2	7	21%	10%	75	-0.5	238/336/271	32	303	0	6	19%	12%	78	-0.1
✕Elih Marrero 2022 · A	25	48	38→40	53→55	47	227/293/314	88	303	5	19	25%	8%	74	-0.6	211/282/293	82	303	6	22	30%	9%	65	-1.2	210/267/320	110	294	8	22	29%	6%	62	-0.4
✕John Jones 2019 · A	23	51	37→30	51→40	57	234/326/311	77	297	3	8	20%	11%	86	+0.3	207/290/286	79	304	7	5	31%	10%	67	-1.1	183/275/246	63	271	8	2	32%	10%	51	-1.4
✕Robby Price 2012 · A	24	49	39→30	48→45	57	230/332/325	95	274	5	10	17%	11%	92	+0.7	217/298/287	70	245	5	5	13%	8%	70	-0.8	208/284/262	54	230	4	3	11%	7%	57	-1.2
✕Louis Ott 2009 · AA	24	48	37→30	42→45	47	224/293/293	68	313	4	6	28%	8%	69	-0.9	230/305/304	74	330	5	8	29%	9%	76	-0.4	242/329/293	51	350	4	7	28%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2021 · A	22	48→45	36→30	48→60	47	224/285/296	72	288	3	10	22%	7%	66	-1.1	229/326/283	54	319	2	26	25%	12%	80	-0.2	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Dan Nelson 2008 · A	24	47→49	38→45	48→50	51	223/299/299	76	292	5	14	24%	9%	73	-0.6	220/290/316	96	284	8	12	23%	9%	73	-0.6	239/298/348	109	288	10	8	20%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Matty Johnson 2012 · A	24	49→53	37→40	46→55	46	230/291/304	73	307	5	11	25%	7%	70	-0.8	233/286/306	73	292	3	17	20%	6%	69	-0.9	240/297/312	72	299	2	23	19%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Josh Johnson 2010 · AA	24	47→49	36→45	44→50	54	219/302/284	65	283	3	10	22%	10%	71	-0.8	238/308/337	99	293	7	13	20%	9%	84	+0.2	244/312/343	100	289	8	16	17%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Adam Ricks 2006 · A	23	50→46	36→30	47→30	55	231/314/299	68	282	3	4	18%	10%	78	-0.3	217/286/290	73	276	5	4	21%	9%	65	-1.2	204/273/277	73	259	4	4	21%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Matt Shepherd 2006 · A	23	54→57	36→30	49→50	54	251/323/323	71	306	2	11	18%	9%	86	+0.3	225/287/300	75	294	4	10	23%	8%	68	-1.0	188/244/232	44	258	0	6	25%	7%	35	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps