Trennor O'Donnell

P Greenville Drive

Age 26 RHP 6'7" / 240 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	ASalem Red Sox	20	6	63	4.00	2.47	24.7%	7.3%	—	K 18.2% · BB 8.6% · FIP 3.45
2025	24	ASalem Red Sox	7	2	23	4.70	3.27	22.6%	12.3%	—	K 16.8% · BB 14.5% · FIP 4.27
2026	25	MIX3 levels	15	4	38	6.69	5.97	21.3%	9.8%	—	K 11.5% · BB 12.7% · FIP 8.53
2027PROJ	26	MLBBOS	15	0	16	5.35	5.35	17.1%	11.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBBOS	11	0	12	5.27	5.28	17.7%	11.4%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsTyler Yates (age 26) · Colby Morris (age 25) · Cameron Foster (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.35

FIP5.35

K%17.1%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%5.5%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	20	6	63	288	71	21	3	30%	3.1	18.2%	8.6%	9.6%	1.5%	4.00	3.45	—
2024	23	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	20	6	63	288	71	21	3	30%	3.1	18.2%	8.6%	9.6%	1.5%	4.00	3.45	—
2024	23	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	20	6	63	288	71	21	3	30%	3.1	24.7%	7.3%	17.4%	1.0%	4.00	2.47	—
2025	24	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	7	2	23	106	24	13	1	29%	3.3	16.8%	14.5%	2.3%	1.4%	4.70	4.27	—
2025	24	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	7	2	23	106	24	13	1	29%	3.3	16.8%	14.5%	2.3%	1.4%	4.70	4.27	—
2025	24	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	7	2	23	106	24	13	1	29%	3.3	22.6%	12.3%	10.4%	0.9%	4.70	3.27	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	4	38	164	35	16	10	27%	2.5	11.5%	12.7%	-1.1%	8.8%	6.69	8.53	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	4	38	164	35	16	10	27%	2.5	11.5%	12.7%	-1.1%	8.8%	6.69	8.53	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	4	38	164	35	16	10	27%	2.5	21.3%	9.8%	11.6%	6.1%	6.69	5.97	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	BOS	15	0	16	68	12	8	2	0%	1.1	17.1%	11.6%	5.5%	3.4%	5.35	5.35	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	BOS	32	0	33	141	25	16	5	0%	1.0	17.7%	11.4%	6.3%	3.4%	5.27	5.28	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	BOS	11	0	12	51	9	6	2	0%	1.1	17.7%	11.4%	6.3%	3.4%	5.27	5.28	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	52	9	6	2	0%	1.0	17.7%	11.4%	6.3%	3.4%	5.27	4.90	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	147	98	33	0%	1.1	17.7%	11.4%	6.3%	3.4%	5.27	4.90	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		42	12	124	558	89	61	20	29%	2.9	16.0%	10.9%	5.1%	3.6%	4.95	5.10	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	19	200	902	144	98	32	29%	2.9	16.0%	10.9%	5.1%	3.6%	4.95	5.10	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trennor O'Donnell (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.35	17.1%	11.6%	3.4%	—	5.28	17.7%	6.3%	33	-0.07	—	—	—
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	83
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	78
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	78
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	76
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	76
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	76
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	76
Jose Campos R 2018 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	14.3%	9.1%	2.9%	.377	6.69	15.5%	4.5%	26	+2.03	3.28	241	76
Jorge Campillo R 2007 · 4.84 FIP	28	SU	4.84	14.3%	9.5%	3.2%	.348	3.93	16.3%	10.8%	159	-0.91	3.93	172	75
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	75
Jeremy Guthrie R 2006 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	15.1%	15.1%	2.1%	.349	4.57	14.8%	8.1%	566	-0.35	4.08	1,834	75
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	75
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	74
Wilton Lopez R 2009 · 5.62 FIP	26	SW	5.62	9.3%	8.2%	4.1%	.368	2.79	19.5%	16.6%	204	-2.83	2.51	299	74
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	74
John Richy R 2018 · 6.47 FIP	26	SW	6.47	12.2%	12.9%	5.1%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	313	74
Victor Santos R 2003 · 5.99 FIP	26	SP-	5.99	12.8%	12.8%	4.3%	.293	4.38	15.4%	7.7%	411	-1.61	4.09	602	74
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	74
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	74
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	73