Johnny Tincher
C Chesapeake Baysox| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+CLE | 216 | .176/.322/.256 | 3 | 0 | 30 | — | .140/.252/.194 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+CLE | 234 | .202/.313/.268 | 1 | 3 | 26 | — | .160/.248/.209 |
| 2026 | 24 | AA/ABAL | 58 | .212/.268/.308 | 1 | 0 | 33 | — | .206/.248/.299 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBBAL | 2 | .201/.276/.276 | 0 | 0 | 56 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 26 | MLBBAL | 46 | .205/.280/.291 | 0 | 1 | 61 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 216 | 176 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 56 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 322 | 256 | 578 | 80 | 235 | 26 | 15 | 279 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 234 | 198 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 47 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 202 | 313 | 268 | 581 | 66 | 253 | 20 | 12 | 272 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | — | 43 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 220 | 184 | 404 | 26 | 214 | 26 | 5 | 185 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 15 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 400 | 643 | 1.043 | 286 | 333 | 7 | 0 | 454 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 216 | 186 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 70 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 140 | 252 | 194 | 446 | 54 | 201 | 32 | 11 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 234 | 206 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 58 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 160 | 248 | 209 | 457 | 49 | 201 | 25 | 8 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Chesapeake Baysox | — | 43 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 195 | 179 | 375 | 26 | 204 | 30 | 2 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 15 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 400 | 643 | 1.043 | 286 | 285 | 7 | 0 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 216 | 186 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 70 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 140 | 252 | 194 | 446 | 54 | 207 | 32 | 11 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 216 | 176 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 56 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 322 | 256 | 578 | 80 | 235 | 26 | 15 | 279 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 234 | 206 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 58 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 160 | 248 | 209 | 457 | 49 | 212 | 25 | 8 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 234 | 198 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 47 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 202 | 313 | 268 | 581 | 66 | 253 | 20 | 12 | 272 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 58 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 250 | 302 | 552 | 94 | 263 | 26 | 2 | 216 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 58 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 268 | 308 | 576 | 96 | 250 | 21 | 3 | 254 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 216 | 186 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 70 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 140 | 252 | 194 | 446 | 54 | 201 | 32 | 11 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 234 | 208 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 58 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 159 | 248 | 207 | 455 | 48 | 201 | 25 | 8 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 58 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 250 | 291 | 541 | 91 | 225 | 26 | 2 | 216 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 216 | 186 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 70 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 140 | 252 | 194 | 446 | 54 | 201 | 32 | 11 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 234 | 208 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 58 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 159 | 248 | 207 | 455 | 48 | 201 | 25 | 8 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 58 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 250 | 291 | 541 | 91 | 225 | 26 | 2 | 216 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | BAL | 2% | 200 | 179 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 50 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 198 | 273 | 271 | 544 | 73 | 264 | 25 | 8 | 252 | 56 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | BAL | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 276 | 276 | 552 | 75 | 268 | 50 | 0 | 255 | 56 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | BAL | 31% | 148 | 133 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 202 | 277 | 285 | 562 | 83 | 266 | 25 | 8 | 259 | 61 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | BAL | 31% | 46 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 280 | 291 | 571 | 86 | 269 | 24 | 9 | 262 | 61 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 46 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 195 | 283 | 244 | 527 | 49 | 267 | 24 | 9 | 262 | 38 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 579 | 113 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 155 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 195 | 283 | 244 | 527 | 48 | 267 | 24 | 9 | 262 | 38 | -30 | +3 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 743 | 657 | 111 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 62 | 202 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 169 | 256 | 231 | 487 | 62 | 230 | 27 | 8 | 225 | 38 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 97 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 177 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 169 | 255 | 230 | 485 | 61 | 230 | 27 | 8 | 225 | 38 | -31 | +1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAChesapeake Baysox · 43 PAwOBA .184 → .166 (−18)K% 25.6% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.58% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.998 | 17.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 3.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .184 → .166; ISO .026 → .023; BABIP .214 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 15 PAwOBA .441 → .361 (−80)K% 6.7% → 9.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 9.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.67% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 5.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 20.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.970 | 6.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 5.97% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .441 → .361; ISO .286 → .222; BABIP .333 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Lake County Captains · 234 PAwOBA .270 → .207 (−64)K% 20.1% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.09% | ÷1.020 | ×1.270 | — | — | 25.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷0.991 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.14% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.21% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 16.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.62% | ÷1.138 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.011 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.52% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 90, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .270 → .207; ISO .066 → .046; BABIP .253 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Lake County Captains · 216 PAwOBA .275 → .212 (−63)K% 25.9% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.93% | ÷1.023 | ×1.270 | — | — | 32.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.28% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 10.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.31% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.17% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 16.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.978 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 3.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.190 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.68% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 105, K 105, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .275 → .212; ISO .080 → .056; BABIP .235 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).