Reed Harper
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | A+/A2 orgs | 304 | .223/.287/.272 | 1 | 1 | 22 | — | .193/.235/.233 |
| 2016 | 25 | AA/A+2 orgs | 315 | .219/.275/.279 | 1 | 0 | 20 | — | .186/.223/.237 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAMississippi B… | 69 | .121/.215/.138 | 0 | 0 | -18 | — | .117/.185/.133 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | ROK | GCL Braves | — | 218 | 189 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 296 | 384 | 392 | 776 | 95 | 322 | 8 | 10 | 351 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A | Rome Braves | — | 187 | 166 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 193 | 272 | 223 | 495 | 30 | 216 | 10 | 9 | 232 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 271 | 234 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 285 | 269 | 554 | 51 | 240 | 11 | 7 | 244 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A | Rome Braves | — | 33 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 303 | 290 | 593 | 32 | 320 | 18 | 6 | 273 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 235 | 513 | 308 | 22 | 6 | 240 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 297 | 266 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 218 | 275 | 282 | 557 | 64 | 253 | 15 | 7 | 248 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 69 | 58 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 121 | 215 | 138 | 353 | 17 | 179 | 30 | 9 | 169 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 218 | 198 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 217 | 282 | 288 | 570 | 71 | 234 | 12 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 187 | 172 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 169 | 223 | 192 | 415 | 23 | 193 | 14 | 6 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 271 | 242 | 46 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 234 | 231 | 466 | 41 | 206 | 15 | 4 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 33 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 242 | 250 | 492 | 31 | 278 | 27 | 3 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 176 | 399 | 276 | 28 | 6 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 297 | 274 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 186 | 223 | 241 | 464 | 55 | 218 | 21 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 69 | 60 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 117 | 185 | 133 | 318 | 17 | 164 | 38 | 6 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 218 | 198 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 217 | 282 | 288 | 570 | 71 | 244 | 12 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK RAW | GCL Braves | — | 218 | 189 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 296 | 384 | 392 | 776 | 95 | 322 | 8 | 10 | 351 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 187 | 172 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 169 | 223 | 192 | 415 | 23 | 197 | 14 | 6 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A RAW | Rome Braves | — | 187 | 166 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 193 | 272 | 223 | 495 | 30 | 216 | 10 | 9 | 232 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 304 | 274 | 53 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 193 | 235 | 234 | 469 | 40 | 229 | 17 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 304 | 265 | 59 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 223 | 287 | 272 | 559 | 49 | 249 | 12 | 7 | 247 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 315 | 291 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 189 | 226 | 241 | 467 | 52 | 237 | 21 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 315 | 283 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 219 | 275 | 279 | 555 | 60 | 256 | 16 | 7 | 247 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 69 | 60 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 117 | 185 | 133 | 318 | 17 | 194 | 38 | 6 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 69 | 58 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 121 | 215 | 138 | 353 | 17 | 179 | 30 | 9 | 169 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 218 | 198 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 217 | 282 | 288 | 570 | 71 | 234 | 12 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 187 | 173 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 168 | 223 | 191 | 414 | 23 | 193 | 14 | 6 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 304 | 286 | 53 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 235 | 224 | 459 | 38 | 214 | 17 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 315 | 298 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 185 | 226 | 235 | 461 | 50 | 221 | 21 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 69 | 64 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 109 | 185 | 125 | 310 | 16 | 164 | 38 | 6 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1093 | 995 | 187 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 55 | 196 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 188 | 237 | 233 | 470 | 45 | 227 | 18 | 5 | 203 | 24 | -99 | -1 | +0 | +4 | +24 | -7.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 111 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 117 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 188 | 237 | 233 | 470 | 46 | 227 | 18 | 5 | 203 | 24 | -59 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -4.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAMississippi Braves · 69 PAwOBA .170 → .141 (−29)K% 30.4% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.43% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷0.989 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 5.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.22% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×0.978 | 14.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.951 | ×0.910 | ×1.028 | ×0.978 | 2.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.146 | ×0.880 | ×1.028 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 129, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .170 → .141; ISO .017 → .017; BABIP .179 → .164. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Carolina Mudcats · 297 PAwOBA .246 → .198 (−47)K% 15.2% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.15% | ÷1.030 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.07% | ÷0.970 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 4.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.91% | ÷1.018 | ×0.940 | ×0.990 | ×0.968 | 17.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×0.968 | 4.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷0.987 | ×0.800 | ×0.990 | ×0.968 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.362 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 0.29% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 97, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .246 → .198; ISO .064 → .049; BABIP .253 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAMississippi Braves · 18 PAwOBA .234 → .196 (−38)K% 22.2% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.043 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.997 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 3.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 27.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.104 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.084 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 103, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 109, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .234 → .196; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .308 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Carolina Mudcats · 271 PAwOBA .243 → .201 (−42)K% 11.1% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.07% | ÷1.012 | ×1.420 | — | — | 15.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.38% | ÷1.042 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 4.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.10% | ÷1.014 | ×0.940 | ×0.975 | ×0.978 | 17.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.41% | ÷1.083 | ×0.830 | ×0.975 | ×0.978 | 3.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.800 | ×0.975 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.039 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 0.42% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 103, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .243 → .201; ISO .051 → .041; BABIP .240 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ARome Braves · 33 PAwOBA .266 → .206 (−60)K% 18.2% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.932 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.06% | ÷1.077 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.970 | 3.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.00% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 24.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.915 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 3.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.097 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 105, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 86, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .266 → .206; ISO .032 → .026; BABIP .320 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ARome Braves · 187 PAwOBA .228 → .190 (−39)K% 10.2% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.16% | ÷0.966 | ×1.340 | — | — | 14.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.972 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 6.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.37% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×0.980 | 16.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.40% | ÷0.965 | ×0.820 | ×1.011 | ×0.980 | 2.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.066 | ×0.940 | ×1.011 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.873 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 113, K 93, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .228 → .190; ISO .030 → .026; BABIP .216 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKGCL Braves · 218 PAwOBA .342 → .244 (−98)K% 8.3% → 11.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.26% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 11.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.29% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.951 | ×0.965 | 18.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.951 | ×0.965 | 5.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.951 | ×0.965 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.44% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .342 → .244; ISO .095 → .066; BABIP .322 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).