Player 814456 — OGILVIE

Player 8144561B ACL Mariners

Age — —/— ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 94 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .276 / .308

PA94

HR1

K%32

BB%8

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	15	9	3	0	2	0	5	2	1	1	0	333	600	778	1.378	444	429	13	33	557	195	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	30	26	1	0	0	0	3	9	1	0	0	38	167	38	205		59	30	10	124	-53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	37	30	9	4	2	0	4	9	3	0	0	300	432	567	999	267	429	24	11	435	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	15	10	3	0	2	0	4	3	1	1	0	300	533	700	1.233	400	364	20	27	457	195	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	30	27	1	0	0	0	2	12	1	0	0	37	133	37	170		54	40	7	90	-53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	37	32	6	3	1	0	2	13	3	0	0	188	297	344	641	156	323	35	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	82	69	10	3	3	0	8	28	5	1	0	145	280	275	556	130	244	34	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	82	65	13	4	4	0	12	20	5	1	0	200	366	385	750	185	289	24	15	344	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	82	69	10	3	3	0	8	28	5	1	0	145	280	275	556	130	232	34	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	82	69	10	3	3	0	8	28	5	1	0	145	280	275	556	130	232	34	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	200	178	35	7	4	2	16	64	4	3	1	196	278	311	589	115	290	32	8	268	67	-8	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	162	145	29	6	3	2	13	51	3	2	1	199	281	317	598	119	290	31	8	271	70	-6	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	196	279	313	591	116	287	—	—	269	70	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	338	298	55	12	8	3	29	109	10	4	1	185	279	309	588	124	278	32	9	264	65	-9	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	106	23	15	6	56	210	19	8	2	185	279	309	588	124	279	32	9	264	65	-24	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	256	3	3	198	278	316	-3	+0	-0.5	-0.2
/162	664	7	8	-8.9	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 814456 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	194/276/308	114	290	1	1	32%	8%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Rotondo 2024 · A	25	44→40	41→45	57→50	45	204/294/311	108	309	7	12	33%	9%	75	-0.5	207/276/301	94	329	8	13	37%	7%	65	-1.2	194/256/265	71	324	7	16	40%	6%	46	-1.6
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Kevin Heller 2015 · AA	25	41→45	41→40	49→50	41	198/277/294	96	292	8	11	33%	7%	65	-1.2	214/291/318	104	318	9	11	33%	7%	75	-0.5	211/293/311	100	318	10	12	34%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Duke Sardinha 2006 · A	25	42→33	40→50	46→45	45	206/264/301	94	266	8	8	25%	7%	60	-1.6	199/246/325	126	276	14	6	32%	5%	59	-1.6	191/239/324	133	257	16	5	32%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→39	43→45	49→45	43	205/275/315	110	292	11	10	32%	8%	68	-1.0	216/270/360	144	301	17	7	33%	6%	76	-0.4	210/258/376	166	280	22	3	33%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Chris Williams 2022 · AA	25	37→31	44→55	50→40	44	177/266/294	117	304	11	6	42%	10%	61	-1.5	191/269/355	164	283	22	5	38%	9%	76	-0.4	175/259/344	169	246	24	4	38%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Jonny Butler 2023 · A	24	43→33	40→50	53→55	43	208/268/304	97	296	7	10	31%	8%	62	-1.4	191/262/306	115	264	10	17	30%	8%	61	-1.5	174/250/289	115	235	10	18	29%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Marcus Knecht 2015 · A	25	39→42	42→45	48→50	40	194/255/300	106	273	8	7	31%	6%	57	-1.8	193/261/277	84	281	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	167/243/236	69	251	2	13	31%	7%	36	-2.6
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/261/307	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	204/263/312	108	293	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/309	114	278	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Brandon Parker 2024 · AA	25	40	44→45	49→50	42	194/274/309	115	303	11	11	37%	8%	67	-1.1	198/257/323	125	322	14	12	40%	6%	63	-1.3	160/214/294	134	257	17	12	44%	4%	38	-1.4
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	195/273/300	105	283	8	8	32%	9%	63	-1.3	215/297/319	104	298	10	14	29%	8%	78	-0.3	219/303/314	95	294	10	19	27%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Ryan McCarty 2024 · A	25	41→38	43→45	47→50	43	198/274/311	113	289	9	8	33%	8%	67	-1.1	196/265/293	97	275	9	11	30%	7%	59	-1.6	187/259/272	85	258	9	12	29%	7%	50	-1.4
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	194/257/295	101	291	10	12	35%	8%	56	-1.9	208/270/316	108	304	10	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	167/227/257	90	235	8	0	31%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	188/256/297	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	196/270/312	116	292	12	14	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/266/286	104	281	10	16	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	41→38	42→50	51→45	40	203/257/316	113	290	9	7	32%	6%	61	-1.5	197/264/337	140	297	16	6	37%	8%	69	-0.9	186/256/334	148	275	18	5	38%	8%	62	-1.0
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	176/239/272	96	267	8	7	36%	7%	45	-2.7	203/269/313	110	288	10	8	31%	7%	65	-1.2	192/265/298	106	267	9	5	30%	8%	56	-0.9
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	39	44→50	51→50	46	196/271/312	116	260	11	11	28%	8%	66	-1.1	211/300/351	140	290	16	6	31%	9%	86	+0.3	202/300/344	142	280	17	3	32%	10%	81	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps