Colin SummerhillC Inland Empire 66ers
Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 205 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .271 / .286
PA320
HR4
K%27
BB%9
ISO92
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -16.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-16BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.40.50.40.30.1+$13M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $1M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202523 A2 teams 435386 581705 391394 32 150235233469 83215 329 213 21
202523 A2 teams 435369 802506 561054 32 217326333660 117282 2413 301 89
▸ 2026 Season
202624 MLBSEA 320286 561214 28883 41 196274287561 91266 289 257 55 -16 +0 +0 +6 +9 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBSEA 30% 363326 661425 31973 52 202278304581 101269 279 267 63 -15 +0 +0 +6 +10 0.2
202826 MLBSEA 44% 402360 751627 351074 52 208286322608 114271 279 273 67 -15 +0 +0 +7 +11 0.4
202927 MLBSEA 49% 416372 771627 371104 62 207286317603 110272 269 275 69 -15 +0 +0 +7 +12 0.5
203028 MLBSEA 51% 423378 791727 381124 52 209288320608 111272 269 276 69 -15 +0 -1 +8 +12 0.4
203129 MLBSEA 51% 419375 771627 371124 52 205284315598 109271 279 274 68 -15 +0 -1 +7 +12 0.3
203230 MLBSEA 51% 413369 761627 371114 52 206285317602 111270 279 271 66 -16 +0 -2 +7 +12 0.1
202725 MLBSEA 30% 10998 19402 9291 10 194269296564 102267 278 258 56 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
202826 MLBSEA 44% 177158 33713 15472 21 209286323608 114268 278 264 60 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
202927 MLBSEA 49% 204182 37813 18542 31 203282308590 104269 269 266 62 -9 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
203028 MLBSEA 51% 218195 40814 19582 31 205282318600 113269 279 267 62 -9 +0 -0 +4 +6 0.1
203129 MLBSEA 51% 216193 40814 19572 31 207285321606 114268 269 265 61 -10 +0 -1 +4 +6 -0.0
203230 MLBSEA 51% 213190 38813 19572 31 200280300580 100267 279 262 59 -10 +0 -1 +4 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 11371016 20743519 9930211 155 204282312594 108268 279 264 60 -51 +1 -2 +20 +32 0.0
/ 162G 650581 11925311 571736 93 205283315598 110270 279 264 60 -29 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.0
Career 31912852 5641241349 28287630 3815 198277302579 104265 279 263 59 -146 +2 -4 +57 +90 -0.1
/ 162G 650581 11525310 571786 83 198276303579 105264 279 263 59 -30 +0 -1 +12 +18 -0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202523 A+Tri-City Dust Devils 9885 19602 13220 01 224327365691 141279 2213 315 99 -0 -0 +3 0.2
202523 AInland Empire 66ers 337284 611904 43834 31 215326324650 109284 2513 297 85 -6 +0 +10 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,4562319205280312+26+160.91.0
/162664109+11.9+7.30.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Colin Summerhill (OGILVIE) 24 30 30 40 50 195/271/286 91266 44 27% 9% 55 -0.7
Connor Justus
2019 · AA
24 40→37 38→40 42→45 45 190/273/269 79271 68 30% 8% 52 -1.6 172/246/239 67256 58 32% 7% 33 -2.9 143/216/191472223634%7%5-2.9
Adam Weisenburger
2013 · AA
24 42 36→40 43→30 45 197/271/262 65269 35 26% 7% 49 -1.8 214/294/304 90284 74 25% 8% 69 -0.4 213/299/301872766223%8%69-0.2
Stephen McGee
2015 · A
24 42 37→40 44→30 48 197/281/263 66269 44 27% 9% 53 -1.5 202/281/291 89289 74 30% 9% 61 -1.0 196/283/29710128110131%10%60-0.4
Eric Yang
2022 · A
24 38 39→40 44→40 46 180/279/266 85267 66 32% 9% 55 -1.4 189/266/268 79289 66 34% 8% 48 -1.9 178/263/236572845135%8%36-0.6
Brian Ward
2011 · A
25 40 36→40 43→45 48 192/273/255 63265 46 27% 9% 48 -1.9 220/287/306 86274 68 20% 8% 66 -0.6 227/292/315882756819%7%68-0.2
Dylan Neuse
2023 · A
24 36 40 49→50 44 178/256/260 82272 814 35% 9% 42 -2.3 211/287/303 92304 712 30% 9% 66 -0.6 219/303/3139430951328%10%75-0.0
D.K. Carey
2016 · A
24 39→36 41→40 42→45 46 194/261/287 93252 97 26% 8% 51 -1.7 187/262/276 89273 86 32% 9% 48 -1.9 166/250/246802507434%9%34-1.5
Brian Serven
2019 · A
24 40 40→45 41→30 40 197/248/295 98262 74 27% 5% 46 -2.0 185/239/301 116243 134 29% 5% 45 -2.1 224/307/3331093279131%9%79+0.1
Chadd Krist
2014 · A
24 42 41→40 43→45 47 206/276/307 101264 86 24% 8% 63 -0.9 188/244/286 98272 96 33% 6% 43 -2.2 156/204/2479123210336%5%12-1.5
Caleb Hamilton
2019 · A
24 34 41→45 45 46 172/252/271 98253 76 33% 9% 43 -2.2 186/255/287 101275 108 33% 8% 48 -1.9 145/239/28213720521340%10%39-0.8
Chris Clare
2019 · A
24 42→45 37→30 46→40 49 198/278/268 70258 45 24% 8% 53 -1.5 194/266/265 71270 47 28% 7% 47 -1.9 146/222/176302210331%6%3-1.5
Jay Schuyler
2021 · A
24 43→40 38→40 43→45 43 206/262/282 76269 66 25% 6% 49 -1.8 198/260/285 87318 76 37% 6% 49 -1.8 136/208/187502464043%6%1-1.2
Quincy McAfee
2023 · AA
25 38 43→45 42→45 46 189/279/295 106260 116 30% 9% 62 -0.9 198/275/331 133251 1510 27% 7% 69 -0.4 185/264/327142224171225%7%61-0.5
Chase Pinder
2021 · AA
25 40 40→45 40→45 44 192/269/276 84279 85 32% 8% 51 -1.7 218/306/353 135287 148 27% 10% 88 +0.9 224/323/376152290161126%12%98+0.8
Ronnie Richardson
2014 · A
24 43 41→40 47→50 45 211/275/316 105277 88 26% 7% 63 -0.8 210/302/302 92286 510 26% 9% 72 -0.2 196/303/2838727041026%10%67-0.3
Austin Rei
2018 · A
24 37 39→40 37→40 38 179/253/269 90275 64 35% 6% 43 -2.2 188/261/280 92285 75 34% 7% 50 -1.8 171/249/254842528233%7%36-1.0
Bubba Hollins
2019 · A
23 38 40→30 44→45 43 189/258/273 84244 86 25% 6% 46 -2.0 208/266/289 81270 54 23% 6% 53 -1.5 200/262/272722704326%5%45-1.0
Richard Mercado
2007 · A
24 40 37→45 45→30 41 195/242/273 78270 45 29% 6% 37 -2.6 211/263/296 85276 64 24% 6% 53 -1.5 210/263/287772676023%6%49-0.7
Rocky Gale
2012 · AA
24 37→45 37→40 41→30 40 184/232/251 67245 55 27% 5% 27 -3.3 204/235/262 58251 44 20% 4% 30 -3.1 251/279/300493062118%3%57-0.6
Joseph Odom
2015 · A
23 38 40→45 40→30 44 189/261/275 87276 85 33% 8% 48 -1.9 206/252/313 107279 103 29% 5% 53 -1.5 199/254/31811933012241%6%52-0.6