Moises Valdez — OGILVIE

Moises ValdezOF ACL Padres

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 165 lbs ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION149 act + 99 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .272 / .314

PA99

HR1

K%25

BB%6

BABIP286

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.2M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	107	21	1	1	0	11	45	1	4	6	196	277	224	502	28	339	38	9	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	100	26	1	2	0	18	31	1	4	6	260	378	310	688	50	377	26	15	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	108	16	3	0	1	13	45	1	3	1	148	246	204	450	56	238	36	10	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	99	21	5	0	1	22	28	1	3	1	212	361	293	654	81	282	22	17	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	217	46	6	3	1	16	57	7	26	5	212	287	281	569	69	283	23	7	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	204	63	10	5	1	28	37	7	26	5	309	408	422	830	113	373	15	12	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	SD	—	149	134	29	6	1	2	8	40	3	7	1	216	276	321	597	104	287	27	5	258	56	-7	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
YTD	20	ROK	SD	—	149	128	36	8	2	2	13	28	3	7	1	281	359	422	780	141	340	19	9	340	118	+3	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.8
ROS	20	ROK	SD	0%	99	92	20	4	1	1	6	25	1	3	1	217	272	314	586	97	287	25	6	267	62	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
ROS	20	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	253	52	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	SD	—	149	135	29	6	1	2	8	40	3	7	1	215	276	319	594	104	284	27	5	258	56	-7	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
TOT	20	ROK	SD	—	248	226	49	10	2	3	14	65	4	10	2	216	274	318	592	102	287	26	6	262	58	-12	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	SD	34%	286	261	59	11	2	4	19	69	4	6	2	226	289	330	618	103	290	24	7	279	72	-9	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2028	22	MLB	SD	48%	392	357	83	16	3	7	27	93	5	9	2	232	296	353	649	120	291	24	7	288	78	-10	+1	+0	-2	+11	0.0
2029	23	MLB	SD	54%	460	418	96	18	3	8	33	108	6	11	3	230	295	344	640	115	292	23	7	293	82	-9	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.2
2030	24	MLB	SD	55%	506	458	108	20	4	10	36	118	7	12	3	236	301	362	664	127	293	23	7	296	85	-9	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.4
2031	25	MLB	SD	56%	531	481	114	21	4	11	38	124	7	13	3	237	302	366	668	129	293	23	7	297	86	-9	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.5
2032	26	MLB	SD	56%	545	493	117	22	4	11	40	127	7	13	3	237	304	365	669	128	292	23	7	298	86	-9	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.5
2033	27	MLB	SD	55%	549	496	117	22	4	11	41	128	7	13	3	236	303	363	666	127	292	23	7	298	86	-9	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.5
2034	28	MLB	SD	55%	547	494	116	22	4	11	41	128	7	13	3	235	303	362	665	128	292	23	7	297	85	-9	+1	-1	-3	+15	0.4
2035	29	MLB	SD	53%	539	486	113	21	4	10	41	128	7	12	3	233	301	354	655	121	291	24	8	295	84	-10	+1	-1	-3	+15	0.2
2027	21	MLB	SD	34%	98	90	20	4	1	1	7	24	1	2	1	222	286	322	608	100	286	24	7	266	62	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	22	MLB	SD	48%	190	173	38	7	1	3	13	45	2	4	1	220	282	324	606	104	287	24	7	275	68	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	23	MLB	SD	54%	249	226	52	10	2	4	18	59	3	6	1	230	296	345	641	115	288	24	7	280	72	-8	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.1
2030	24	MLB	SD	55%	280	254	59	11	2	5	20	65	4	7	2	232	299	350	649	118	289	23	7	283	75	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2031	25	MLB	SD	56%	297	269	63	12	2	6	22	69	4	7	2	234	302	361	662	126	289	23	7	284	75	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2032	26	MLB	SD	56%	307	278	64	12	2	6	22	71	4	8	2	230	296	353	649	122	289	23	7	284	76	-8	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2033	27	MLB	SD	55%	304	275	64	12	2	6	22	71	4	7	2	233	299	356	655	124	289	23	7	284	76	-8	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2034	28	MLB	SD	55%	300	271	63	12	2	6	22	70	4	7	2	232	300	358	658	125	288	23	7	283	75	-8	+1	-0	-2	+8	-0.2
2035	29	MLB	SD	53%	288	260	59	11	2	5	22	68	4	7	2	227	297	342	640	115	288	24	8	282	74	-9	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2313	2097	482	91	16	42	168	542	30	55	15	230	296	349	645	119	289	23	7	281	74	-69	+5	-1	-14	+66	-1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	136	26	4	12	47	152	8	15	4	231	296	350	646	119	290	23	7	281	74	-19	+1	-0	-4	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	4942	4468	1026	187	37	86	362	1195	67	138	38	230	297	346	643	116	293	24	7	288	78	-121	+12	-2	-30	+140	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	135	25	5	11	48	157	9	18	5	230	298	345	643	116	293	24	7	288	78	-16	+2	-0	-4	+18	-0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	100	26	1	2	0	18	31	1	4	6	260	378	310	688	50	377	26	15	325	107	+1	-2	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	99	21	5	0	1	22	28	1	3	1	212	361	293	654	81	282	22	17	303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	204	63	10	5	1	28	37	7	26	5	309	408	422	830	113	373	15	12	371	142	+12	+3	—	—	+7	2.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,529	46	60	234	296	354	-15	+0	1.0	1.3
	/162	664	12	16	234	296	354	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Moises Valdez (OGILVIE)	20	55	25	60	40	216/274/318	102	287	3	10	26%	6%	58	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	46	36→40	54→60	39	211/270/286	75	319	3	19	33%	6%	53	-1.5	210/261/283	73	336	3	11	36%	6%	48	-1.9	184/230/216	32	334	0	4	42%	5%	14	-0.9
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Albertson Asigen 2023 · A	21	48	35→40	57→55	48	221/293/288	67	304	2	12	26%	8%	63	-0.8	222/301/309	87	344	7	20	34%	9%	73	-0.1	213/301/307	94	348	8	27	37%	9%	69	-0.1
●L.J. Hoes 2010 · A	20	49→59	35→40	51→50	42	230/269/289	59	293	3	13	22%	5%	52	-1.6	250/302/331	81	314	5	13	20%	7%	78	+0.2	278/336/369	91	334	5	15	17%	7%	97	+1.5
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2015 · A	20	48→56	34→40	50→55	44	224/275/274	50	289	2	11	22%	6%	52	-1.6	243/293/292	49	296	2	9	17%	5%	64	-0.8	264/312/341	77	299	6	21	14%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Darell Hernaiz 2022 · A	20	48→57	38→45	50	42	231/275/303	72	293	7	15	24%	5%	59	-1.1	246/293/350	104	303	10	17	21%	6%	79	+0.3	252/302/359	107	305	10	17	20%	6%	82	+0.4
✕Eury Pérez 2010 · A	20	53→63	39→40	54→65	46	252/311/333	82	307	6	19	19%	6%	82	+0.5	266/299/328	62	330	3	34	19%	4%	75	-0.0	296/331/390	95	359	3	37	18%	4%	102	+0.6
✕Allen Córdoba 2016 · A	20	48→53	36→45	50→55	43	226/272/286	61	276	4	12	19%	5%	53	-1.5	231/283/317	86	291	6	13	21%	6%	66	-0.6	241/304/353	112	303	9	22	22%	5%	82	+0.3
✕Johan Rojas 2021 · A	20	48→57	38→45	51→65	44	226/278/313	88	285	3	11	21%	6%	63	-0.8	222/270/334	112	284	9	31	24%	5%	66	-0.6	253/294/353	100	318	7	41	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→54	37→40	56→55	45	223/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	66	-0.6	200/260/251	51	275	1	18	26%	7%	40	-2.4	236/301/308	72	311	3	11	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Edwin Ventura 2017 · A	19	48	37→30	54→55	41	225/280/299	74	293	4	12	24%	5%	61	-1.0	192/240/242	50	258	2	14	25%	5%	28	-3.2	167/212/188	21	225	0	20	24%	4%	1	-1.5
✕Ryan Brett 2012 · A	20	48→58	40→45	57→60	47	227/276/330	103	266	5	18	16%	6%	66	-0.6	250/293/351	101	309	7	26	20%	5%	79	+0.3	263/305/369	105	324	8	30	20%	5%	85	+0.5
✕Jahdiel Santamaria 2007 · A	20	48	37→45	52→50	45	224/278/297	72	284	4	11	22%	6%	59	-1.1	235/291/321	86	281	4	10	17%	6%	71	-0.3	247/297/328	81	293	3	9	16%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	50→58	38→45	58→60	49	232/294/325	93	280	3	14	18%	7%	73	-0.1	235/293/308	73	293	3	19	19%	6%	68	-0.5	259/317/353	94	332	5	34	22%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Tyler Freeman 2019 · A	20	47→57	39→40	50→55	44	222/277/312	90	260	6	8	17%	5%	63	-0.8	242/293/327	85	280	4	11	15%	4%	74	-0.1	270/342/362	92	306	9	15	14%	6%	101	+0.9
✕Osleivis Basabe 2021 · A	20	49→59	36→45	51→50	44	228/272/300	72	280	2	10	19%	5%	57	-1.2	259/303/352	93	319	4	15	19%	6%	83	+0.6	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Gilberto Celestino 2019 · A	20	43→53	38→45	52→55	41	206/254/285	79	277	5	12	27%	6%	46	-2.0	219/275/319	100	284	8	8	25%	7%	64	-0.8	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Adanson Cruz 2021 · A	20	48	38→40	52→50	43	219/288/307	88	327	4	9	32%	8%	66	-0.6	177/247/251	74	387	5	6	51%	7%	36	-2.7	144/220/204	60	321	4	6	52%	7%	10	-1.3
✕Felix G. Santana 2015 · A	20	46	37→40	47→50	41	215/279/288	73	293	4	10	26%	5%	58	-1.2	218/270/308	90	289	6	7	26%	5%	59	-1.1	224/254/306	82	289	7	0	24%	2%	46	-0.4