Moises Valdez — OGILVIE

Moises ValdezOF ACL Padres

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 165 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION170 act + 19 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .263 / .278

PA19

HR0

K%26

BB%5

BABIP281

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	100	26	1	2	0	18	31	1	4	6	260	378	310	688	50	377	26	15	325	106	+1	-2	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	99	21	5	0	1	22	28	1	3	1	212	361	293	654	81	282	22	17	303	91	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	204	63	10	5	1	28	37	7	26	5	309	408	422	830	113	373	15	12	371	137	+11	+3	—	—	+5	2.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	107	21	1	1	0	11	45	1	4	6	196	277	224	502	28	328	38	9	230	42	-8	-2	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	108	16	3	0	1	13	42	1	3	1	148	246	204	450	56	228	33	10	214	31	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	216	50	7	4	1	17	55	7	26	5	231	308	315	623	83	290	23	7	263	64	-10	+3	—	—	+5	-0.2
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	107	21	1	1	0	11	45	1	4	6	196	277	224	502	28	339	38	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	100	26	1	2	0	18	31	1	4	6	260	378	310	688	50	377	26	15	325	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	108	16	3	0	1	13	42	1	3	1	148	246	204	450	56	227	33	10	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	99	21	5	0	1	22	28	1	3	1	212	361	293	654	81	282	22	17	303	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	216	50	7	4	1	17	55	7	26	5	231	308	315	623	83	306	23	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	204	63	10	5	1	28	37	7	26	5	309	408	422	830	113	373	15	12	371	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	106	21	1	1	0	11	45	1	4	6	198	277	226	504	28	328	38	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	111	16	3	0	1	13	42	1	3	1	144	246	198	444	54	228	33	10	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	217	50	7	4	1	17	55	7	26	5	230	308	313	622	83	290	23	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	119	106	21	1	1	0	11	45	1	4	6	198	277	226	504	28	328	38	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	126	111	16	3	0	1	13	42	1	3	1	144	246	198	444	54	228	33	10	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	243	217	50	7	4	1	17	55	7	26	5	230	308	313	622	83	290	23	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	SD	—	170	155	32	7	1	2	8	46	4	7	1	206	263	303	567	97	278	27	5	242	50	-10	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	SD	—	170	149	40	9	2	2	13	32	4	7	1	268	341	396	737	128	328	19	8	326	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	SD	0%	19	18	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	222	263	278	541	56	284	26	5	265	66	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	SD	—	189	173	36	8	1	2	9	51	4	8	1	208	263	301	564	92	281	27	5	244	52	-11	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	34%	283	258	58	11	2	4	19	67	4	6	1	225	288	329	618	105	286	24	7	277	74	-9	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	48%	389	355	81	16	3	6	26	91	5	9	2	228	290	341	631	113	287	23	7	286	80	-9	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	SD	54%	459	418	97	19	3	8	32	106	6	11	3	232	296	349	645	117	289	23	7	291	83	-9	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	SD	55%	504	457	108	21	4	10	35	116	7	12	3	236	301	365	666	129	289	23	7	295	85	-9	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	SD	56%	531	482	114	22	4	11	37	122	7	13	3	237	300	367	668	131	289	23	7	296	86	-9	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	SD	56%	545	493	116	22	4	11	39	125	8	13	3	235	302	363	665	128	289	23	7	296	87	-9	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	549	496	116	22	4	11	40	126	8	13	3	234	301	361	662	127	289	23	7	296	87	-9	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	547	494	116	22	4	11	40	126	8	13	3	235	303	362	665	128	289	23	7	295	86	-9	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	539	487	112	21	3	10	40	126	7	12	3	230	298	347	645	117	288	23	7	293	85	-10	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	SD	53%	530	479	110	21	3	10	39	125	7	12	3	230	297	349	646	119	287	24	7	291	83	-11	+1	-2	-3	+11	-0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	SD	34%	97	90	20	4	1	1	6	23	1	2	1	222	278	322	601	100	283	24	6	265	74	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	48%	188	170	38	7	1	3	13	44	3	4	1	224	290	329	620	106	284	23	7	274	80	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	SD	54%	249	227	53	10	2	5	17	58	3	6	1	233	296	361	657	128	285	23	7	280	83	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	SD	55%	279	253	59	11	2	6	20	64	4	7	2	233	300	364	663	130	286	23	7	283	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	SD	56%	297	270	63	12	2	6	21	68	4	7	2	233	298	359	658	126	286	23	7	284	86	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	SD	56%	307	278	64	12	2	6	22	70	4	7	2	230	296	353	649	122	286	23	7	285	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	304	275	64	12	2	6	22	70	4	7	2	233	299	356	655	124	286	23	7	285	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	300	271	63	12	2	6	22	69	4	7	2	232	300	358	658	125	286	23	7	284	86	-5	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	288	261	60	11	2	6	21	67	4	7	2	230	297	356	654	126	285	23	7	282	85	-5	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	SD	53%	279	252	58	11	2	5	21	66	4	6	1	230	300	349	649	119	284	24	8	279	83	-6	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2588	2347	542	102	18	50	185	599	35	60	16	231	297	354	650	123	288	23	7	281	81	-48	+6	-2	-16	+56	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	137	26	5	13	46	150	9	15	4	233	298	360	658	127	289	23	7	281	81	-12	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5383	4868	1119	209	39	94	389	1277	76	148	39	230	297	347	644	117	291	24	7	288	81	-93	+12	-4	-29	+106	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	135	25	5	11	47	154	9	18	5	230	297	345	642	116	291	24	7	288	81	-12	+2	-1	-4	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	2.7	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
/162	664	16	25	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.2	2,801	51	66	233	295	353	-17	+0	1.2	1.4
/162	664	12	16	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Moises Valdez (OGILVIE)	20	55	25	60	40	216/277/302	86	284	2	6	24%	6%	66	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	49→59	38→30	56→70	48	228/294/313	86	300	4	17	24%	8%	74	-0.5	270/314/320	50	311	1	59	13%	6%	82	-0.0	303/337/348	46	336	0	63	10%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→55	37→40	56→55	45	223/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	203/262/257	54	276	1	18	25%	7%	49	-2.4	246/309/315	68	310	3	11	20%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Eury Pérez 2010 · A	20	53→63	39→40	54→65	46	252/311/333	82	307	6	19	19%	6%	84	+0.2	265/298/326	61	328	3	34	19%	4%	77	-0.3	292/329/379	87	355	3	37	18%	4%	98	+0.4
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	64	-1.3	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	70	-0.8	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	69	-0.4
✕L.J. Hoes 2010 · A	20	49→59	35→40	51→50	42	230/269/289	59	293	3	13	22%	5%	57	-1.8	249/300/327	78	313	5	13	20%	7%	79	-0.2	274/333/360	86	328	5	15	17%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Tyler Freeman 2019 · A	20	47→57	39→40	50→55	44	222/277/312	90	260	6	8	17%	5%	68	-1.0	244/295/329	85	283	4	11	15%	4%	78	-0.3	265/336/353	88	301	8	15	14%	5%	96	+0.5
✕Johan Rojas 2021 · A	20	48→58	38→45	51→65	44	226/278/313	88	285	3	11	21%	6%	68	-1.0	224/272/333	109	286	9	31	24%	5%	70	-0.8	254/296/351	97	318	7	41	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	46	36→40	54→60	39	211/270/286	75	319	3	19	33%	6%	59	-1.7	210/261/283	73	336	3	11	36%	6%	54	-2.0	184/230/216	32	334	0	4	42%	5%	24	-0.9
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2015 · A	20	47→56	34→40	50→55	44	222/273/273	50	287	2	11	23%	6%	56	-1.9	246/296/295	49	298	2	9	17%	5%	70	-0.9	262/305/349	88	305	7	19	16%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Darell Hernaiz 2022 · A	20	47→57	39→45	50	42	226/272/299	73	289	7	15	24%	5%	62	-1.4	245/292/349	104	301	10	17	21%	6%	81	-0.1	253/310/346	93	295	7	12	16%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Albertson Asigen 2023 · A	21	48	36→40	56→55	47	220/289/287	67	302	2	12	26%	8%	66	-1.1	221/299/304	83	342	6	20	34%	8%	74	-0.5	212/299/299	88	345	7	27	37%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Ryan Brett 2012 · A	20	48→57	40→45	57→60	47	227/276/330	103	266	5	18	16%	6%	70	-0.8	249/292/350	101	305	7	26	20%	5%	81	-0.1	262/302/367	105	319	8	30	20%	5%	86	+0.2
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	50→58	38→45	58→60	49	232/294/325	93	280	3	14	18%	7%	76	-0.4	234/293/308	74	292	3	19	19%	6%	72	-0.7	260/317/349	89	329	5	34	21%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Edwin Ventura 2017 · A	19	48	37→30	54→55	41	225/280/299	74	293	4	12	24%	5%	65	-1.2	192/240/242	50	258	2	14	25%	5%	36	-3.3	167/212/188	21	225	0	20	24%	4%	12	-1.5
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2018 · A	20	49→59	37→40	51→50	40	233/273/308	75	277	4	15	18%	3%	64	-1.3	233/272/305	72	284	3	16	18%	3%	63	-1.4	248/292/343	96	290	7	16	17%	3%	76	-0.3
✕Allen Córdoba 2016 · A	20	48→52	36→45	50→55	43	226/272/286	61	276	4	12	19%	5%	59	-1.7	230/282/314	84	289	5	13	21%	6%	69	-0.9	236/299/336	100	294	8	22	21%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	45→54	40→45	55→60	40	215/275/310	96	298	6	17	29%	6%	66	-1.1	221/275/319	98	295	8	26	26%	5%	68	-1.0	234/289/348	114	310	11	32	27%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/300/322	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	78	-0.3	225/271/287	62	293	2	11	23%	4%	59	-1.7	271/324/338	67	344	3	10	21%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Adanson Cruz 2021 · A	20	48	38→40	52→50	43	219/288/307	88	327	4	9	32%	8%	70	-0.8	178/248/252	74	382	5	6	50%	7%	44	-2.8	148/224/208	60	318	4	6	50%	7%	23	-1.2
✕Jahdiel Santamaria 2007 · A	20	48	37→45	52→50	45	224/278/297	72	284	4	11	22%	6%	63	-1.3	235/291/321	86	281	4	10	17%	6%	74	-0.5	247/297/328	81	293	3	9	16%	5%	75	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps