Moises Valdez

OF ACL Padres
Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 165 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Padres Go…126.212/.361/.2931324—.142/.254/.198
202519ROKDSL Padres Go…243.309/.408/.42212646—.195/.279/.265
202620ROKSD170.268/.341/.3962748—.194/.251/.265
2027PROJMLE21MLBSD280.213/.274/.2962662-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBSD46.214/.276/.3071168-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Speed81
K%63
ISO56
Whiff%50
Z-Con%49
wRC+35
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsCharcer Burks (age 21) · Frank Frias (age 21) · Terrell Alliman (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 88 proj PA
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .272 / .294
PA88
HR1
K%26
BB%6
ISO83
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT55
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 119100 26120 18311 46 260378310688 50377 2615 325 38 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 12699 21501 22281 31 212361293654 81282 2217 303 24 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 243204 631051 28377 265 309408422830 113373 1512 371 46 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Padres — 170149 40922 13324 71 268341396737 128328 198 326 48 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 119105 19110 13381 46 181277210487 29274 3211 224 38 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 126106 15301 15361 31 142254198452 57188 2912 203 24 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 243215 42631 18467 265 195279265544 70237 197 236 46 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Padres — 170155 30611 8464 71 194251265516 71267 275 239 48 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 119105 19110 13381 46 181277210487 29284 3211 224 38 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Padres Brown — 119100 26120 18311 46 260378310688 50377 2615 325 38 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 126106 15301 15361 31 142254198452 57200 2912 203 24 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Padres Gold — 12699 21501 22281 31 212361293654 81282 2217 303 24 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 243215 42631 18467 265 195279265544 70244 197 236 46 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWDSL Padres Gold — 243204 631051 28377 265 309408422830 113373 1512 371 46 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Padres — 170155 30611 8464 71 194251265516 71266 275 239 48 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWACL Padres — 170149 40922 13324 71 268341396737 128328 198 326 48 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 119104 19110 13381 46 183277212489 29274 3211 224 38 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 126109 15301 15361 31 138254193447 55188 2912 203 24 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 243216 42631 18467 265 194279264543 69237 197 236 46 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Padres — 170156 30611 8464 71 192251263514 71267 275 239 48 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 126109 15301 15361 31 138254193447 55188 2912 203 24 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 243216 42631 18467 265 194279264543 69237 197 236 46 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Padres — 170156 30611 8464 71 192251263514 71267 275 239 48 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLESD 0% 280257 541022 18733 61 213274296570 83286 266 259 62 -13 +1 +0 -2 +6 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLESD 34% 135123 27512 9352 31 218279313592 95288 267 268 68 -5 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.3
202822 MLB CTXSD 34% 4642 10201 3121 10 214276307583 93282 267 264 68 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4642 10201 3121 10 238304357661 119310 267 264 47 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 14128014 4217014 140 238303356659 118311 266 264 47 -25 +3 +0 -4 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 881785 1512476 6922416 4514 192271264535 71260 258 237 47 -9 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 1111854 5116512 3310 192271261532 69260 258 237 47 -27 +2 +0 -4 +14 -1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Padres · 170 PAwOBA .319 → .239 (−81)K% 18.8% → 27.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.82%÷1.000×1.440——27.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.65%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9854.67%
HBP% /PA2.35%—×0.720—×0.9851.67%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×0.98519.57%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×0.9855.73%
Triples /BIP1.71%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×0.9851.27%
Home runs /BIP1.71%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9851.31%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .319 → .239; ISO .128 → .093; BABIP .328 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 243 PAwOBA .362 → .236 (−127)K% 15.2% → 19.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.23%÷0.970×1.220——19.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.52%÷1.049×0.700—×0.9857.57%
HBP% /PA2.88%—×0.700—×0.9851.99%
Singles /BIP28.14%÷1.064×0.680×1.050×0.98518.61%
Doubles /BIP5.99%÷1.159×0.600×1.050×0.9853.21%
Triples /BIP2.99%÷1.049×0.600×1.050×0.9851.77%
Home runs /BIP0.60%÷0.956×0.470—×0.9850.29%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 113, 2B 132, 3B 110, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .362 → .236; ISO .113 → .065; BABIP .373 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 126 PAwOBA .299 → .203 (−95)K% 22.2% → 28.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷0.952×1.220——28.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.46%÷1.022×0.700—×0.99511.90%
HBP% /PA0.79%—×0.700—×0.9950.55%
Singles /BIP21.13%÷1.015×0.680×1.050×0.99514.79%
Doubles /BIP7.04%÷1.072×0.600×1.050×0.9954.12%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.096×0.600×1.050×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP1.41%÷0.909×0.470—×0.9950.72%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 119, K 90, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .299 → .203; ISO .081 → .047; BABIP .282 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 119 PAwOBA .317 → .224 (−93)K% 26.1% → 31.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.05%÷1.001×1.220——31.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.13%÷0.992×0.700—×1.00810.76%
HBP% /PA0.84%—×0.700—×1.0080.59%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷0.968×0.680×1.050×1.00824.77%
Doubles /BIP1.45%÷1.101×0.600×1.050×1.0080.84%
Triples /BIP2.90%÷1.029×0.600×1.050×1.0081.79%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.929×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 94, 2B 120, 3B 106, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .317 → .224; ISO .050 → .030; BABIP .377 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).