Kevin Vaupel
P
Jupiter Hammerheads
+0.2
WAR
Age 24
LHP
6'1" / 210 lbs
A
peak 0.4 · 2027
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.3%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%12.6%
IP53
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2027
STUF4040
CTRL4040
CMD4545
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 30 | 1 | 53 | 244 | 62 | 23 | 5 | 18.8% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 3.71 | 4.33 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | MIA | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 47 | 24 | 7 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.66 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 49 | 23 | 7 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.54 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 50 | 23 | 7 | 22.0% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.50 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 54 | — | 54 | 226 | 50 | 23 | 7 | 22.1% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.50 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 49 | 22 | 7 | 22.1% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 52 | — | 52 | 218 | 48 | 22 | 7 | 21.9% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.57 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 21.8% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.63 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 44 | 21 | 6 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 46 | — | 46 | 196 | 42 | 20 | 6 | 21.2% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.74 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 39 | 20 | 6 | 20.9% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 42 | — | 42 | 178 | 37 | 19 | 6 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 40 | — | 40 | 168 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 20.2% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 5.05 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 3.7% | 5.17 | 5.26 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 31 | 1 | 54 | 247 | 47 | 27 | 6 | 19.0% | 11.0% | 2.5% | 3.64 | 4.28 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 114 | 4 | 200 | 909 | 173 | 99 | 22 | 19.0% | 11.0% | 2.5% | 3.64 | 4.28 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kevin Vaupel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.66 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.51 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 162 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.01 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 101 | 92 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.26 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 2.6% | .268 | 3.50 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.76 | 1.84 | 238 | 91 |
| Garrett Irvin L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.43 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 3.3% | .283 | 4.34 | 17.7% | 2.9% | 39 | -0.09 | 4.34 | 110 | 91 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.91 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .326 | 4.61 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.70 | 1.71 | 206 | 91 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .260 | 4.75 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.88 | 256 | 91 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.86 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.86 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.86 | 176 | 90 |
| Colton Johnson L 2028 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .309 | 4.53 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.62 | 3.91 | 106 | 89 |
| Thomas Burrows L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.04 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.7% | .276 | 3.93 | 26.5% | 12.9% | 82 | -0.11 | 2.69 | 271 | 89 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.55 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.9% | .298 | 4.50 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.05 | 3.50 | 300 | 89 |
| Andrew Walling L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.07 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 2.3% | .281 | 3.14 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 42 | -0.93 | 3.14 | 151 | 88 |
| Shane McCain L 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.38 | 18.3% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .261 | 5.05 | 14.2% | 10.7% | 51 | +0.67 | 4.31 | 201 | 87 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2024 · 4.24 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.24 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.3% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 161 | 87 |
| Michael Theofanopoulos L 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.60 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 1.9% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 201 | 87 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.57 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .275 | 4.89 | 19.5% | 3.9% | 45 | +1.32 | 3.57 | 146 | 87 |
| Diego Barrera L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.2% | 1.8% | .310 | 3.67 | 18.5% | 9.7% | 44 | -0.05 | 3.67 | 111 | 87 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.77 | 19.2% | 11.2% | 1.6% | .335 | 4.51 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 80 | +0.74 | 3.58 | 206 | 86 |
| Haylen Green L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.98 | 16.9% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .291 | 4.09 | 18.6% | 7.8% | 49 | +0.11 | 3.98 | 104 | 86 |
| Billy Strode L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.68 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .306 | 2.85 | 16.0% | 7.3% | 47 | -0.83 | 2.51 | 155 | 85 |
| James Paxton L 2028 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.31 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .288 | 2.87 | 27.7% | 21.7% | 468 | -1.44 | 2.40 | 924 | 85 |
| Cam Alldred L 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.61 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .323 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 132 | -0.37 | 3.70 | 332 | 85 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.