Jose Zerpa
P
Inland Empire 66ers
Age 21
RHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.89
FIP4.89
K%13.9%
BB%7.7%
K-BB%6.2%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 12 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 24.1% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 0.0% | 2.70 | 2.39 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 12 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 35.4% | 8.3% | 27.1% | 0.0% | 2.70 | 1.21 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 10 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 4.22 | 4.22 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 10 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 4.22 | 4.32 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 58 | 237 | 46 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 14.6% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 3.39 | 3.94 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 58 | 237 | 46 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 19.4% | 6.3% | 13.1% | 0.8% | 3.39 | 2.74 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 10 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 2.3 | 17.4% | 4.8% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 4.70 | 3.70 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | SEA | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.89 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 59 | 249 | 44 | 16 | 6 | — | — | 17.7% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 4.81 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SEA | 36 | 0 | 38 | 158 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.71 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | SEA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 29 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 38 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 38 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 38 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 38 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 163 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | SEA | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.71 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | SEA | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 29 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 29 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 215 | 0 | 225 | 952 | 178 | 68 | 27 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.00 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 158 | 60 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 66 | 0 | 115 | 480 | 84 | 33 | 10 | 0% | 1.7 | 17.4% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 2.0% | 3.59 | 3.61 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 114 | 0 | 200 | 832 | 145 | 58 | 17 | 0% | 1.7 | 17.4% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 2.0% | 3.59 | 3.61 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Zerpa (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.89 | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.48 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 116 | -0.41 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Zombro R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.37 | 14.6% | 8.9% | 2.5% | .295 | 2.67 | 15.7% | 12.7% | 134 | -1.70 | 2.25 | 172 | 92 |
| Frainger Aranguren R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.06 | 14.6% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .305 | 4.84 | 13.1% | -1.9% | 70 | +0.78 | 3.20 | 234 | 91 |
| Joseilyn Gonzalez R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.03 | 14.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% | .321 | 5.14 | 14.5% | -3.2% | 107 | +0.11 | 5.00 | 148 | 89 |
| Josnier Parra R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.51 | 15.9% | 9.8% | 2.8% | .319 | 5.13 | 11.0% | 3.0% | 97 | +0.62 | 3.79 | 129 | 88 |
| Aaron Brooks R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 15.2% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .314 | 3.56 | 13.7% | 6.0% | 77 | -0.44 | 3.56 | 109 | 88 |
| Logan Lombana R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.63 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .315 | 3.97 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 123 | -0.66 | 3.82 | 155 | 88 |
| Mariano Rivera R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.35 | 12.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.00 | 13.5% | 5.8% | 66 | -0.35 | 3.50 | 135 | 87 |
| Dahan Batista R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.10 | 12.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | .323 | 4.23 | 9.2% | 2.6% | 36 | +0.13 | 3.57 | 100 | 87 |
| Robbie Welhaf R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.06 | 14.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .309 | 3.26 | 18.1% | 15.0% | 90 | -0.80 | 3.26 | 121 | 87 |
| Zac Reininger R 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 11.8% | 9.8% | 2.6% | .286 | 3.36 | 21.1% | 13.6% | 125 | -1.43 | 2.46 | 259 | 87 |
| Jesus Brea R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.42 | 14.1% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.41 | 16.6% | 10.5% | 20 | -1.01 | 3.41 | 134 | 87 |
| Matt Pidich R 2028 · 4.42 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.42 | 17.1% | 8.3% | 3.1% | .303 | 4.13 | 20.8% | 13.3% | 115 | -0.29 | 4.10 | 196 | 86 |
| Matt Hardy R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.36 | 13.7% | 7.9% | 4.4% | .339 | 3.65 | 18.2% | 10.8% | 129 | -1.71 | 3.12 | 242 | 86 |
| Justin Garcia R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.91 | 14.0% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .234 | 4.86 | 16.0% | 3.5% | 112 | +0.95 | 3.91 | 164 | 86 |
| Jake Newberry R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.90 | 16.5% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .262 | 4.21 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 184 | +0.31 | 3.20 | 410 | 86 |
| Saul Teran R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.33 | 13.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | .264 | 4.36 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 101 | -0.97 | 2.28 | 158 | 86 |
| Geoff Hartlieb R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.87 | 15.9% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .287 | 3.70 | 20.7% | 11.7% | 197 | -1.17 | 3.05 | 531 | 86 |
| Fabian Anguamea R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.68 | 14.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | .284 | 4.28 | 17.4% | 3.3% | 87 | -0.40 | 3.94 | 164 | 86 |
| Bryan Bonnell R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.55 | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% | .298 | 4.83 | 17.2% | 9.1% | 170 | +0.28 | 3.59 | 333 | 85 |
| Carlos Torres R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 1.8% | .315 | 4.35 | 15.0% | 8.4% | 106 | +0.41 | 3.60 | 168 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 39 | 18.0% | 7.2% | 1.11 | 4.49 |
| Nick Wittgren ('23) | 8 | 41 | 21.6% | 7.0% | 1.15 | 4.04 |
| Luis Cessa ('23) | 8 | 53 | 18.3% | 7.8% | 1.40 | 4.43 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Matt Wisler ('22) | 8 | 63 | 20.1% | 7.6% | 1.40 | 4.59 |
| Tyler Duffey ('22) | 8 | 59 | 23.0% | 6.8% | 1.25 | 4.57 |