Frainger Aranguren
P
Daytona Tortugas
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%23.0%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | DSL Reds | 15 | 0 | 38 | 169 | 33 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 2.5 | 13.3% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 2.15 | 3.20 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | DSL Reds | 15 | 0 | 38 | 169 | 33 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 2.5 | 19.5% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 2.15 | 2.38 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Reds | 16 | 0 | 34 | 135 | 29 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 14.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 4.01 | 4.06 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Reds | 16 | 0 | 34 | 135 | 29 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 21.5% | 6.7% | 14.8% | 1.5% | 4.01 | 2.95 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 26 | 2 | 70 | 323 | 57 | 41 | 4 | 8% | 2.7 | 13.1% | 15.0% | -1.9% | 1.7% | 4.63 | 4.84 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 26 | 2 | 70 | 323 | 57 | 41 | 4 | 8% | 2.7 | 17.6% | 12.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 4.63 | 3.97 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 0 | 47 | 210 | 34 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 2.0 | 12.6% | 12.2% | 0.4% | 2.8% | 3.64 | 5.11 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 0 | 47 | 210 | 34 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 2.0 | 16.2% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 3.64 | 4.10 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 2 | 55 | 228 | 46 | 24 | 4 | 8% | 2.2 | 15.5% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.13 | 4.51 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 2 | 55 | 228 | 46 | 24 | 4 | 8% | 2.2 | 20.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 1.8% | 3.13 | 3.69 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 34 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 32 | 0 | 33 | 141 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.46 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 4.61 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 27 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 4.79 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.46 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 4.61 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 4.79 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 42 | 0 | 44 | 187 | 42 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 4.65 | 4.38 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 86 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 4.65 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 105 | 4 | 243 | 1065 | 146 | 129 | 19 | 4% | 2.3 | 13.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.63 | 4.46 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 86 | 3 | 200 | 877 | 120 | 106 | 16 | 4% | 2.3 | 13.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.63 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Frainger Aranguren (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 23.0% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.71 | 22.4% | 12.4% | 93 | +0.36 | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 84 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 83 |
| Blake Smith R 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 78 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 78 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 78 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 78 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 77 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2029 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 76 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 76 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 75 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 75 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 75 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 75 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 75 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.42 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | .328 | 4.58 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 136 | +0.16 | 2.32 | 676 | 74 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 74 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 74 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .299 | 3.95 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.50 | 3.53 | 134 | 74 |
| Peyton Gray R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 4.0% | .358 | 2.87 | 25.2% | 19.1% | 34 | -1.69 | 2.87 | 138 | 74 |
| Alex Powers R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.01 | 25.0% | 10.3% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 264 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 32 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 1.27 | 4.54 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |