Eli Pitts — OGILVIE

Eli PittsOF ACL Reds

Age 20 R/R ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 138 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .270 / .324

PA138

HR2

K%27

BB%7

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	166	144	43	12	4	3	18	31	0	7	2	299	377	500	877	201	354	19	11	376	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	166	151	34	9	3	2	11	45	0	7	2	225	278	364	642	139	287	27	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	166	151	34	9	3	2	11	45	0	7	2	225	278	364	642	139	299	27	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	166	144	43	12	4	3	18	31	0	7	2	299	377	500	877	201	354	19	11	376	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	166	154	34	9	3	2	11	45	0	7	2	221	278	357	635	136	287	27	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	166	154	34	9	3	2	11	45	0	7	2	221	278	357	635	136	287	27	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	276	253	54	11	3	4	19	75	2	6	1	213	272	326	599	113	284	27	7	269	68	-11	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CIN	25%	220	201	43	9	2	3	15	59	2	5	1	217	277	336	613	119	285	27	7	275	72	-7	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	CIN	38%	341	312	69	14	4	6	24	90	2	9	2	220	281	344	625	124	287	26	7	280	75	-10	+1	-0	-2	+7	-0.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	CIN	45%	422	386	85	17	4	8	30	110	3	11	3	222	285	350	635	128	288	26	7	284	78	-11	+1	-0	-3	+9	-0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	477	435	97	19	5	9	35	123	4	13	3	225	287	356	643	131	289	26	7	287	81	-11	+1	-0	-3	+10	-0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	CIN	50%	508	462	104	21	5	10	37	130	4	14	3	226	289	359	649	133	289	26	7	290	82	-11	+2	-0	-3	+11	-0.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	CIN	50%	526	478	108	21	5	11	39	135	4	14	4	226	289	360	649	134	289	26	7	290	82	-11	+1	-0	-3	+11	-0.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	CIN	50%	532	484	109	22	5	11	39	137	4	14	4	225	288	357	645	132	288	26	7	288	81	-12	+1	-0	-3	+12	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	CIN	25%	55	51	11	2	1	1	4	15	0	1	0	218	279	341	620	123	286	27	7	277	72	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	CIN	38%	130	119	25	5	1	2	9	34	1	3	1	222	283	349	632	128	287	26	7	282	75	-4	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	CIN	45%	192	175	40	8	2	4	14	50	1	5	1	224	286	356	643	132	289	26	7	287	78	-5	+1	-0	-1	+4	-0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	229	208	47	9	2	5	17	59	2	6	2	227	289	362	651	136	290	26	7	290	81	-5	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	CIN	50%	252	229	52	10	3	5	19	64	2	7	2	228	291	366	657	138	290	25	8	293	82	-5	+1	-0	-2	+5	-0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	CIN	50%	266	242	56	11	3	6	20	68	2	7	2	228	291	366	657	138	290	26	8	293	82	-6	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	CIN	50%	266	242	56	11	3	6	20	68	2	7	2	227	290	363	653	137	289	26	8	291	81	-6	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1390	1266	287	56	15	29	103	358	10	36	10	227	290	363	653	137	292	26	7	290	79	-33	+3	-0	-8	+30	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	134	26	7	14	48	167	5	17	5	226	290	365	655	139	290	26	7	290	79	-15	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3330	3036	676	137	35	62	239	866	24	90	23	223	285	352	637	129	289	26	7	285	79	-78	+8	-1	-19	+69	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	132	27	7	12	47	169	5	18	4	223	286	352	638	130	288	26	7	285	79	-16	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.3	1,528	29	40	224	283	354	-9	+0	0.0	0.2
/162	664	12	17	-4.0	+0.0	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eli Pitts (OGILVIE)	20	45	45	65	—	212/270/324	112	284	2	3	27%	7%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Anthony Alford 2014 · A	20	44→52	40→45	55	45	209/282/305	97	298	6	12	30%	8%	68	-1.0	213/286/308	95	348	7	16	37%	9%	70	-0.8	220/302/313	92	336	7	21	33%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2009 · A	20	44→54	41→40	58→55	45	214/276/316	101	271	7	21	23%	6%	68	-1.0	239/308/317	78	289	5	20	18%	8%	80	-0.2	245/318/310	65	292	4	22	16%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	44→52	41→45	59→55	40	211/262/313	103	297	7	20	30%	6%	61	-1.5	227/284/341	114	305	9	18	27%	7%	76	-0.4	229/290/345	116	300	9	18	25%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	43→53	39→45	54→60	42	206/268/296	90	278	5	17	27%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/320	98	295	8	26	26%	5%	69	-0.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Kevin Alcántara 2022 · A	20	47→53	43→50	55→50	38	223/275/340	117	335	10	9	35%	6%	73	-0.6	232/289/360	128	341	13	11	33%	7%	83	+0.1	232/296/372	139	341	17	12	35%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	47	44→50	56→50	44	229/282/358	129	287	10	10	23%	6%	80	-0.2	230/274/338	108	308	6	9	26%	5%	72	-0.7	232/275/343	110	324	5	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Ryan Vega 2017 · A	20	44	40	54→45	41	212/260/305	93	270	8	9	24%	5%	59	-1.6	212/271/300	88	287	7	7	27%	6%	63	-1.4	190/257/269	79	268	7	6	30%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Destin Hood 2010 · A	20	45→55	42→50	53→50	41	218/269/334	116	298	7	9	28%	6%	70	-0.9	239/288/343	104	329	7	8	28%	5%	78	-0.3	239/276/379	140	314	14	10	28%	4%	80	-0.1
✕Christian Lopes 2013 · A	20	42→52	42→45	53→50	42	207/256/324	117	265	8	8	25%	5%	62	-1.4	209/263/288	79	265	4	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	233/301/343	110	279	9	15	19%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Zack Larson 2014 · A	20	46→36	41→45	53→50	41	221/279/318	97	292	8	13	26%	6%	70	-0.9	201/256/267	66	276	3	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	183/239/233	50	254	1	10	26%	5%	34	-1.9
✕Wes Rogers 2015 · A	21	45→51	41→40	57→65	42	217/270/314	97	294	8	18	28%	6%	65	-1.2	225/283/314	89	299	5	34	25%	7%	70	-0.9	229/287/320	92	301	5	42	24%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	48→55	42→45	58→70	46	229/285/342	114	291	8	18	24%	7%	77	-0.3	223/277/319	96	299	8	18	26%	6%	69	-0.9	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2019 · A	20	43→53	38→45	52→55	42	209/257/289	80	280	6	12	27%	6%	54	-2.0	226/281/328	102	291	8	8	24%	7%	72	-0.7	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Sean Henry 2006 · A	20	42→52	43→50	55	42	204/269/312	108	298	11	15	34%	8%	65	-1.2	229/283/355	126	291	11	19	24%	6%	80	-0.2	251/305/379	128	300	11	17	19%	6%	91	+0.6
✕Aidan Smith 2024 · A	20	44→45	41→50	55→60	40	204/272/307	103	324	8	13	37%	7%	65	-1.2	206/278/340	134	310	15	27	36%	8%	75	-0.5	193/265/330	136	288	17	32	37%	8%	66	-0.8
✕Jorge Alcantara 2012 · A	20	44	40→45	52→50	42	209/274/307	98	306	7	12	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/261/285	95	288	7	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	43→53	46→55	59→55	39	215/259/351	136	270	13	15	26%	4%	70	-0.9	243/280/401	158	309	17	22	26%	4%	89	+0.5	250/287/402	152	300	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Narciso Crook 2015 · A	20	42→43	42→50	55→50	35	200/246/303	103	314	9	14	38%	5%	53	-2.1	192/230/295	103	293	9	10	36%	4%	45	-2.7	211/273/363	152	309	16	14	35%	6%	75	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps