Joel Dragoo — OGILVIE

Joel DragooOF Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION261 act + 174 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .273 / .233

PA174

HR1

K%32

BB%11

BABIP255

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	50	13	6	0	0	12	21	3	3	2	260	431	380	811	120	448	32	18	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	47	15	6	0	0	15	14	3	3	2	319	508	447	955	128	455	22	23	439	194	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	290	258	36	11	1	0	27	98	2	4	1	140	226	190	416	50	222	34	9	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	290	247	43	13	1	0	38	77	2	4	1	174	289	235	524	61	250	27	13	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	PHI	—	261	217	33	5	1	2	32	98	5	5	3	152	276	212	488	60	252	38	12	227	32	-20	-0	+0	-2	+7	-1.5
YTD	23	A+	PHI	—	261	200	38	6	1	2	49	73	5	5	3	190	362	260	622	70	275	28	19	297	86	-4	-0	+0	-2	+7	0.1
ROS	23	A+	PHI	0%	174	150	25	5	1	1	19	56	3	3	1	167	273	233	507	67	246	32	11	232	36	-13	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
ROS	23	MLB	PHI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						247	0	0	223	29	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	PHI	—	262	218	33	5	1	2	32	98	5	5	3	151	275	211	486	60	250	37	12	227	32	-20	-0	+0	-2	+7	-1.5
TOT	23	A+	PHI	—	435	367	58	10	2	3	51	154	8	8	4	158	275	221	495	63	253	35	12	229	34	-33	+0	+0	-3	+12	-2.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	PHI	30%	393	342	60	12	2	4	43	122	5	6	2	175	277	257	534	82	253	31	11	248	48	-23	+0	+0	-2	+11	-1.4
2028	25	MLB	PHI	44%	430	375	68	13	2	6	47	130	5	6	3	181	281	275	556	93	257	30	11	259	56	-21	+0	+0	-3	+12	-1.2
2029	26	MLB	PHI	51%	452	394	73	14	2	7	49	135	6	7	3	185	285	284	569	99	259	30	11	265	61	-20	+0	+0	-3	+13	-1.0
2030	27	MLB	PHI	52%	458	399	75	15	2	7	50	136	6	7	3	188	288	288	576	100	260	30	11	266	62	-20	+0	+0	-3	+13	-0.9
2031	28	MLB	PHI	57%	458	399	74	14	2	7	50	137	6	6	3	185	286	283	569	98	259	30	11	265	61	-20	+0	-1	-3	+13	-1.1
2032	29	MLB	PHI	55%	450	391	73	14	2	7	50	135	6	6	2	187	289	286	575	100	258	30	11	264	60	-20	+0	-1	-3	+13	-1.2
2027	24	MLB	PHI	30%	119	103	18	4	0	1	13	37	2	2	1	175	280	243	522	68	255	31	11	240	42	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
2028	25	MLB	PHI	44%	190	165	31	6	1	3	21	57	2	3	1	188	287	291	578	103	259	30	11	251	50	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2029	26	MLB	PHI	51%	229	199	38	7	1	4	25	68	3	3	1	191	291	296	587	106	261	30	11	257	55	-12	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.6
2030	27	MLB	PHI	52%	240	209	40	8	1	4	26	71	3	4	1	191	290	297	587	105	262	30	11	259	56	-12	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.6
2031	28	MLB	PHI	57%	262	228	42	8	1	4	29	78	3	4	1	184	285	281	565	96	261	30	11	258	55	-13	+0	-0	-2	+7	-0.7
2032	29	MLB	PHI	55%	247	215	40	8	1	4	27	74	3	3	1	186	286	288	574	102	260	30	11	256	54	-13	+0	-1	-1	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1288	1120	209	41	5	20	141	385	16	19	6	187	287	286	572	99	262	30	11	255	53	-68	+1	-1	-8	+36	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	106	21	3	10	71	194	8	10	3	188	287	288	576	101	264	30	11	255	53	-34	+1	-1	-4	+18	-2.0
Career	—			—	3170	2758	497	104	14	39	347	970	42	48	20	180	282	270	552	90	260	31	11	256	54	-164	+2	-2	-19	+90	-9.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	102	21	3	8	71	199	9	10	4	180	282	270	552	90	260	31	11	256	54	-34	+0	-0	-4	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	47	15	6	0	15	14	3	3	2	319	508	447	955	128	455	22	23	439	194	+7	-0	—	—	+2	0.9
2025	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	96	83	14	5	1	11	20	1	2	1	169	274	253	527	84	222	21	11	247	47	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	194	164	29	8	0	27	57	1	2	0	177	297	226	522	49	266	29	14	252	51	-11	+0	—	—	+5	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,289	19	18	185	282	281	-8	+0	-3.1	-1.6
	/162	664	10	9	185	282	281	-4.0	+0.0	-1.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joel Dragoo (OGILVIE)	23	20	20	40	55	158/275/221	63	253	3	8	35%	12%	34	-2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bobby Wernes 2017 · A	23	39	35→40	46→40	44	185/239/240	55	245	2	6	24%	6%	28	-3.2	206/264/294	88	265	5	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	206/274/302	95	250	6	3	19%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Richard Nunez 2019 · A	24	40	36→30	47→55	46	190/265/263	73	271	3	9	29%	8%	46	-2.0	209/276/302	93	290	7	6	28%	8%	60	-1.0	196/275/293	97	250	9	3	24%	9%	56	-0.2
✕Gilbert Gomez 2015 · A	23	42→35	37→40	42→50	46	192/272/273	81	300	4	8	34%	10%	52	-1.6	182/255/263	81	285	5	9	34%	9%	42	-2.3	104/179/148	44	165	2	5	36%	8%	-20	-2.0
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	44	189/248/258	70	262	5	5	29%	7%	37	-2.6	210/276/290	80	306	5	7	30%	7%	57	-1.2	212/285/293	81	313	4	8	31%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	41	36→40	48→45	47	192/261/260	67	258	2	6	25%	8%	43	-2.2	223/272/296	73	306	3	7	26%	6%	56	-1.3	239/281/303	65	323	1	7	25%	5%	59	-0.5
✕David Masters 2016 · A	23	37→36	35→45	38→40	42	179/237/235	56	243	3	5	27%	6%	27	-3.3	177/239/255	78	244	7	3	29%	6%	33	-2.9	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Luis Sanchez 2010 · AA	23	41	35→30	45→40	44	193/251/249	55	267	2	4	27%	7%	35	-2.8	197/252/269	72	277	4	7	29%	6%	41	-2.3	153/201/183	29	222	0	4	29%	5%	-3	-1.0
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	33	-2.9	197/249/259	62	309	3	10	35%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/241	50	305	2	10	36%	6%	27	-1.8
✕Henrry Pedra 2017 · A	23	39	35→40	46→50	43	187/258/247	61	262	3	14	28%	7%	40	-2.4	206/279/278	72	279	4	11	26%	6%	56	-1.3	185/257/253	68	253	4	16	27%	5%	38	-0.9
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	37	38→30	46→50	37	183/224/260	77	252	6	7	30%	5%	27	-3.3	211/252/282	71	285	4	6	26%	5%	43	-2.2	222/252/273	52	290	2	3	23%	3%	37	-1.0
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	205/266/285	80	275	6	9	27%	7%	52	-1.6	212/262/306	94	320	8	4	34%	6%	55	-1.4	201/249/291	90	304	8	0	35%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Shawn Roof 2008 · A	23	44	35→30	45→50	43	204/266/259	55	283	2	9	27%	6%	45	-2.1	224/284/276	52	298	2	10	23%	6%	56	-1.3	237/288/285	47	315	1	17	23%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	41→37	38→40	46→45	45	193/275/270	77	281	5	9	31%	8%	53	-1.5	176/256/248	72	256	5	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	158/238/217	59	235	4	6	32%	7%	21	-2.5
✕Paul Cruz 2009 · A	23	39	37→40	46→45	49	187/250/260	73	233	4	7	21%	8%	38	-2.6	218/274/301	83	263	6	7	19%	7%	59	-1.1	235/289/314	79	269	7	6	15%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Skyler Ewing 2016 · A	23	40→39	37→50	43→30	44	193/257/267	74	266	3	3	28%	7%	43	-2.2	203/274/356	153	266	18	3	30%	7%	75	-0.0	199/275/390	191	244	25	2	30%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Alexis Bastardo 2017 · A	23	41	35→40	50→55	39	192/249/248	56	277	2	10	30%	6%	34	-2.8	199/246/273	74	279	5	13	29%	5%	40	-2.4	187/224/252	66	252	7	20	28%	3%	21	-1.4
✕Ariel Montesino 2019 · A	23	39	37→40	47→50	41	190/239/260	71	258	4	9	28%	6%	33	-2.9	188/239/271	83	286	6	10	34%	5%	37	-2.7	131/183/198	67	212	4	13	38%	4%	-6	-1.5
✕Jimmy Rider 2013 · A	23	44→43	36→30	47→45	45	205/269/277	72	275	3	7	25%	7%	51	-1.7	211/279/297	86	278	6	6	24%	8%	60	-1.0	199/279/263	65	269	3	5	25%	9%	50	-1.2