Joel Dragoo — OGILVIE

Joel DragooOF Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION278 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP244

ISO57

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	47	15	6	0	0	15	14	3	3	2	319	508	447	955	128	455	22	23	439	183	+6	-0	—	—	+1	0.8
2025	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	96	83	14	5	1	0	11	20	1	2	1	169	274	253	527	84	222	21	11	247	53	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	194	164	29	8	0	0	27	57	1	2	0	177	297	226	522	49	266	29	14	252	57	-10	+0	—	—	+4	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	50	13	6	0	0	12	20	3	3	2	260	431	380	811	120	427	31	18	361	130	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	96	87	12	4	1	0	7	27	1	2	1	138	211	207	417	69	191	28	7	181	9	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2025	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	194	170	23	7	0	0	21	76	1	2	0	135	234	176	411	41	237	39	11	198	20	-18	+0	—	—	+4	-1.4
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	50	13	6	0	0	12	20	3	3	2	260	431	380	811	120	433	31	18	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	47	15	6	0	0	15	14	3	3	2	319	508	447	955	128	455	22	23	439	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	290	258	36	11	1	0	27	103	2	4	1	140	226	190	416	50	229	36	9	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	290	247	43	13	1	0	38	77	2	4	1	174	289	235	524	61	250	27	13	250	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	50	13	6	0	0	12	20	3	3	2	260	431	380	811	120	427	31	18	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	290	259	36	11	1	0	27	103	2	4	1	139	226	189	416	50	222	36	9	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	65	50	13	6	0	0	12	20	3	3	2	260	431	380	811	120	427	31	18	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	290	259	36	11	1	0	27	103	2	4	1	139	226	189	416	50	222	36	9	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	PHI	—	278	232	33	5	1	2	34	107	5	5	3	142	266	198	464	56	240	38	12	217	33	-22	-0	+0	-2	+6	-1.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	PHI	—	278	214	38	6	1	2	52	80	5	5	3	178	351	243	594	65	261	29	19	287	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	PHI	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		242	33	11	228	41	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	23	A+ MLE	PHI	—	287	240	34	5	1	2	35	110	5	5	3	142	264	196	460	54	239	38	12	217	33	-23	-0	+0	-2	+6	-1.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	326	283	48	10	1	3	36	103	4	5	2	170	272	244	516	74	249	32	11	244	51	-19	+0	+0	-2	+7	-1.4
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	44%	385	335	59	12	1	5	42	119	5	6	2	176	277	263	540	87	253	31	11	255	59	-19	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	PHI	51%	422	368	68	13	2	7	46	128	5	6	2	185	284	288	572	103	255	30	11	261	63	-19	+0	+0	-3	+9	-1.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	439	383	71	14	2	7	48	133	5	6	3	185	284	287	572	102	256	30	11	263	64	-19	+0	+0	-3	+10	-1.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	99	87	14	3	0	1	11	31	1	1	1	161	263	230	493	69	251	31	11	238	51	-6	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	44%	170	147	26	5	1	2	19	52	2	2	1	177	280	265	545	88	255	31	11	249	59	-8	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
2029	26	MLB CTX	PHI	51%	214	186	35	7	1	4	23	65	3	3	1	188	288	301	589	113	258	30	11	256	63	-9	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2030	27	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	230	200	37	7	1	4	25	70	3	3	1	185	285	290	575	105	259	30	11	257	64	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	713	620	112	22	3	11	78	218	9	9	4	181	281	279	561	98	256	31	11	252	56	-33	+0	+0	-4	+15	-2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	102	20	3	10	71	199	8	8	4	181	281	280	561	99	256	31	11	252	56	-30	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1936	1685	296	66	7	22	212	609	24	30	12	176	277	262	539	87	258	31	11	250	56	-76	+1	+0	-9	+34	-5.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	98	22	2	7	71	204	8	10	4	173	274	256	531	83	254	31	11	250	56	-31	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.1	715	10	10	180	278	275	-4	+0	-1.7	-0.9
/162	664	10	9	-4.0	+0.0	-1.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joel Dragoo (OGILVIE)	23	20	20	40	55	154/260/209	55	242	1	5	33%	11%	41	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Nunez 2019 · A	24	40	36→30	47→55	46	190/265/263	73	271	3	9	29%	8%	52	-2.2	209/276/302	93	290	7	6	28%	8%	65	-1.2	196/275/293	97	250	9	3	24%	9%	61	-0.3
✕David Masters 2016 · A	23	38→37	35→45	38→40	43	183/243/240	57	247	3	5	26%	6%	38	-3.2	181/243/263	82	246	8	3	28%	7%	44	-2.8	192/262/321	129	263	16	1	32%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Gilbert Gomez 2015 · A	23	42→37	37→40	42→50	47	192/275/270	79	298	4	8	34%	10%	58	-1.7	183/257/264	81	279	5	9	33%	9%	49	-2.4	111/185/156	45	169	2	5	33%	8%	-3	-1.9
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	44	189/248/258	70	262	5	5	29%	7%	45	-2.7	208/274/288	80	306	4	7	31%	7%	61	-1.5	208/281/288	80	312	4	8	32%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Luis Sanchez 2010 · AA	23	41	35→30	45→40	44	194/252/250	55	266	2	4	27%	7%	43	-2.8	199/254/271	72	275	4	7	27%	6%	49	-2.4	161/208/189	28	227	0	4	27%	5%	13	-0.9
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2006 · AA	23	38	37→40	45→40	41	181/243/253	71	264	4	7	31%	7%	41	-3.0	191/243/270	79	272	5	4	30%	5%	45	-2.7	210/276/290	80	290	6	0	28%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	39→30	44→45	43	187/256/267	80	242	7	6	25%	6%	51	-2.3	209/267/290	81	272	5	4	24%	6%	59	-1.7	204/266/276	72	272	4	3	25%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	40	-3.0	198/251/261	63	306	3	10	34%	6%	46	-2.6	192/247/244	53	300	3	10	35%	6%	37	-1.7
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	40→38	38→40	46→45	45	189/272/265	76	270	5	9	30%	8%	56	-1.9	179/259/251	72	255	5	8	29%	8%	49	-2.4	164/243/223	59	238	4	6	30%	7%	34	-2.4
✕Skyler Ewing 2016 · A	23	41→39	37→45	44→30	44	194/257/270	77	267	3	3	27%	7%	51	-2.3	199/270/333	134	265	15	3	30%	7%	71	-0.8	192/269/353	161	243	20	2	29%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Bobby Wernes 2017 · A	23	40	35→45	46→40	45	191/247/249	59	252	2	6	24%	7%	41	-3.0	213/270/306	93	274	6	6	23%	6%	63	-1.4	218/284/324	106	265	7	3	19%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2017 · A	23	41	34→30	41→45	36	192/236/242	49	283	2	6	32%	5%	35	-3.4	212/258/284	72	300	4	7	29%	5%	53	-2.1	212/258/283	71	296	4	6	28%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Henrry Pedra 2017 · A	23	39	35→40	46→50	43	187/258/247	61	262	3	14	28%	7%	47	-2.6	206/279/278	72	279	4	11	26%	6%	61	-1.5	185/257/253	68	253	4	16	27%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	37	38→30	46→50	37	183/224/260	77	252	6	7	30%	5%	35	-3.4	211/251/282	71	287	4	6	26%	5%	50	-2.3	220/249/272	52	290	2	3	24%	3%	42	-1.1
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	41	36→40	48→45	47	192/261/260	67	258	2	6	25%	8%	50	-2.3	227/277/301	74	309	3	7	26%	6%	64	-1.3	246/290/315	69	329	2	7	24%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Ariel Montesino 2019 · A	23	39	37→40	47→50	41	191/239/263	72	259	4	9	27%	6%	41	-3.0	188/240/272	84	286	5	10	34%	5%	44	-2.8	134/184/200	67	218	4	13	38%	4%	8	-1.4
✕Shawn Roof 2008 · A	23	44	35→30	45→50	43	204/266/259	55	283	2	9	27%	6%	51	-2.2	226/286/279	53	297	2	10	23%	6%	63	-1.4	245/294/293	48	320	1	17	22%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Toby Gardenhire 2006 · A	23	41	35→30	47→40	40	195/251/253	59	270	3	7	28%	5%	45	-2.7	199/243/240	41	267	1	4	24%	5%	37	-3.3	232/285/261	29	283	1	3	17%	5%	54	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps