Yimy Tovar

IF Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ASD	23	.409/.435/.545	0	1	129	—	.364/.391/.455
2025	19	ROKSD	163	.301/.362/.384	2	4	51	—	.219/.262/.265
2026	20	ASD	196	.240/.339/.353	2	10	65	—	.218/.292/.322
2026	20	ROKSD	64	.345/.419/.527	1	9	93	—	.259/.306/.379
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBSD	411	.225/.284/.318	4	8	70	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBSD	120	.226/.286/.329	2	2	76	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBSD	206	.229/.291/.341	3	4	81	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Z-Con%58

Whiff%56

K%48

BB%32

ISO29

wOBA17

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 85%

CompsDorssys Paulino (age 21) · Jose Cordova (age 21) · Brandon Villarreal (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 294 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .282 / .315

PA294

HR3

SB6

K%21

BB%7

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	68	57	18	3	0	2	9	10	1	2	0	316	418	474	892	158	348	15	13	394	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	195	148	34	10	3	1	36	28	9	14	5	230	409	358	767	128	273	14	18	357	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	23	22	9	3	0	0	1	3	0	1	2	409	435	545	980	136	474	13	4	434	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	163	146	44	6	0	2	13	34	1	4	2	301	362	384	746	82	372	21	8	333	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	41	37	8	1	0	1	4	10	0	0	0	216	293	324	617	108	269	24	10	283	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	196	167	40	7	3	2	25	29	0	10	2	240	339	353	692	114	273	15	13	310	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	64	55	19	3	2	1	7	10	0	9	0	345	419	527	947	182	391	16	11	403	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	68	59	13	2	0	1	7	12	1	2	0	220	313	305	619	85	241	18	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	195	159	23	6	2	1	25	36	9	14	5	145	295	226	522	82	166	18	13	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	23	22	8	2	0	0	1	4	0	1	2	364	391	455	846	91	436	17	4	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	163	151	33	4	0	1	8	48	1	4	2	219	263	265	527	46	299	29	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	41	38	7	1	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	184	244	289	533	105	252	32	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	196	174	38	6	3	2	18	39	0	10	2	218	292	322	614	103	253	20	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	64	58	15	2	1	1	4	14	0	9	0	259	306	379	686	121	307	22	6	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	68	59	13	2	0	1	7	12	1	2	0	220	313	305	619	85	255	18	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	68	57	18	3	0	2	9	10	1	2	0	316	418	474	892	158	348	15	13	394	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	195	159	23	6	2	1	25	36	9	14	5	145	295	226	522	82	177	18	13	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	195	148	34	10	3	1	36	28	9	14	5	230	409	358	767	128	273	14	18	357	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	186	173	41	6	0	1	9	52	1	5	4	237	279	289	568	52	325	28	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	186	168	53	9	0	2	14	37	1	5	4	315	372	405	776	89	386	20	8	345	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	301	270	59	9	4	3	25	67	0	19	2	219	285	315	600	96	273	22	8	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	301	259	67	11	5	4	36	49	0	19	2	259	349	386	735	127	299	16	12	326	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	68	60	13	2	0	1	7	12	1	2	0	217	313	300	613	83	241	18	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	195	159	23	6	2	1	25	36	9	14	5	145	295	226	522	82	166	18	13	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	186	174	41	6	0	1	9	52	1	5	4	236	279	287	566	52	316	28	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	301	273	59	9	4	3	25	67	0	19	2	216	285	311	596	95	264	22	8	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	195	159	23	6	2	1	25	36	9	14	5	145	295	226	522	82	166	18	13	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	186	174	41	6	0	1	9	52	1	5	4	236	279	287	566	52	316	28	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	301	273	59	9	4	3	25	67	0	19	2	216	285	311	596	95	264	22	8	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	0%	411	377	85	17	3	4	28	86	3	8	2	225	284	318	602	93	277	21	7	272	70	-15	+1	+0	+0	+9	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	34%	349	319	74	15	2	5	25	72	2	7	2	230	290	335	625	106	279	21	7	281	76	-10	+1	+0	+0	+8	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	SD	48%	426	389	91	18	3	7	31	87	3	8	2	233	294	347	641	114	280	20	7	288	81	-10	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	SD	53%	477	436	103	20	3	9	35	98	3	8	2	235	297	355	653	120	282	21	7	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+0	+10	0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	SD	55%	504	458	108	21	3	10	37	103	4	8	2	236	299	360	659	123	282	20	7	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+0	+11	0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	SD	56%	519	471	111	22	3	10	39	107	4	8	2	237	300	362	662	125	283	21	8	296	87	-8	+1	+0	+0	+11	0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	524	476	112	22	3	10	39	109	4	8	2	236	299	359	658	124	282	21	7	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+0	+11	0.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	522	474	111	22	3	10	39	110	4	7	2	234	297	355	652	121	281	21	7	292	84	-10	+1	-1	+0	+11	0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	SD	58%	515	469	108	21	3	9	38	110	3	6	2	231	294	348	642	117	280	21	7	288	81	-11	+0	-1	+0	+11	-0.1
2036	30	MLB MLE	SD	60%	505	460	105	20	3	9	37	109	3	5	2	228	291	340	631	112	278	22	7	284	78	-13	+0	-2	+0	+11	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	34%	120	109	26	5	1	2	9	25	1	2	1	226	286	329	615	103	274	21	8	277	76	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	SD	48%	206	188	42	8	1	3	15	42	1	4	1	229	291	341	632	112	275	20	7	284	81	-5	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	SD	53%	252	230	54	10	2	5	18	52	2	4	1	231	294	349	643	118	276	21	7	289	84	-5	+0	+0	+0	+5	0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	SD	55%	276	251	58	11	2	5	21	57	2	5	1	233	296	354	650	122	277	21	8	291	86	-5	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	SD	56%	289	263	61	11	2	6	22	60	2	5	1	233	297	356	653	124	277	21	8	293	87	-5	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	288	262	61	11	2	6	22	60	2	4	1	232	296	354	649	122	277	21	8	291	86	-5	+0	+0	+0	+6	0.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	285	260	60	11	2	6	21	60	2	4	1	230	294	349	643	119	276	21	7	288	84	-5	+0	-0	+0	+6	0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	SD	58%	298	272	62	11	2	6	22	63	2	4	1	227	291	343	634	115	274	21	7	285	81	-7	+0	-1	+0	+6	-0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	SD	60%	304	277	62	11	2	5	22	66	2	3	1	224	287	335	622	111	272	22	7	280	78	-8	+0	-1	+0	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2318	2112	486	89	16	44	172	485	16	35	9	230	293	350	643	120	277	21	7	287	79	-47	+3	-2	+0	+50	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	135	25	4	12	48	136	4	10	3	228	290	345	635	117	275	21	7	287	79	-13	+1	-1	+0	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5385	4883	1119	216	34	88	406	1133	43	111	30	229	294	341	635	112	279	21	8	285	79	-99	+7	-4	+0	+100	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	135	26	4	11	49	137	5	13	4	229	293	343	636	114	279	21	8	285	79	-14	+1	-1	+0	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ray Mack'38-'47 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,016 PA	4.5	3,016	34	35	223*	288*	357*	+11	-7	1.7	2.7
/162	664	7	8	+2.4	-1.5	0.4	pk7: 4
#4Jimmy Burke'01-'05 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,093 PA	3.2	2,093	1	86	236*	296*	348*	+7	+4	2.7	2.7
/162	664	0	27	+2.3	+1.4	0.9	pk7: 3
#5Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.9	2,612	45	40	234	292	350	+0	+0	1.8	1.9
/162	664	12	10	+0.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Bobby Young'48-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,719 PA	4.1	2,719	15	18	243*	294*	341*	+10	-0	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	4	4	+2.4	-0.1	-0.2	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yimy Tovar (OGILVIE)	21	45	25	45	30	223/282/315	93	277	3	6	21%	7%	70	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dorssys Paulino 2016 · A	21	47→50	40→45	48→45	40	226/272/327	101	297	6	8	26%	5%	68	-1.0	234/291/341	107	313	9	7	27%	7%	79	-0.2	232/297/335	103	310	10	5	27%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Jose Cordova 2021 · A	21	45	36→40	50	43	214/272/279	65	268	3	13	21%	5%	58	-1.7	209/262/276	67	302	3	9	30%	5%	53	-2.1	237/299/326	89	314	5	11	24%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Brandon Villarreal 2016 · AAA	21	48	42→40	48→45	46	233/294/339	106	293	9	12	23%	7%	80	-0.2	238/292/330	92	291	8	9	20%	6%	77	-0.3	263/313/330	67	323	7	5	20%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Albert Laboy 2008 · A	21	47→38	41→40	47→45	43	230/269/324	94	266	10	9	18%	5%	67	-1.1	212/263/306	94	258	9	7	21%	6%	61	-1.5	188/244/270	82	226	9	5	20%	6%	44	-1.9
✕Jose Bernardo Lopez 2011 · AAA	21	49	39→30	47→50	43	238/278/322	84	294	7	18	21%	5%	69	-0.9	252/285/311	59	310	3	11	19%	4%	69	-0.9	280/319/333	53	338	1	12	17%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Tim Kennelly 2008 · A	21	43→52	40	49→40	42	208/262/303	94	284	7	7	28%	6%	59	-1.6	232/290/325	93	303	5	5	23%	7%	75	-0.5	239/299/330	91	299	5	4	20%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2014 · A	21	44	38→45	49→50	42	206/267/296	90	262	4	11	22%	5%	60	-1.6	203/250/294	91	297	7	8	33%	5%	53	-2.1	197/239/284	87	289	10	7	34%	4%	44	-0.9
✕Francisco Lugo 2013 · AAA	21	47→57	39→30	48→45	48	221/269/309	88	249	6	10	14%	6%	63	-1.4	221/248/302	81	267	5	9	19%	3%	53	-2.1	287/316/348	62	336	5	9	16%	3%	85	+0.2
✕D'Marcus Ingram 2009 · A	21	47→54	37→40	45→50	46	222/283/289	67	276	6	13	21%	6%	64	-1.3	229/291/313	84	295	5	16	22%	7%	73	-0.6	236/300/325	89	308	4	20	23%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Imeldo Diaz 2019 · A	21	44	41→40	46→45	41	215/264/307	91	269	9	5	23%	5%	61	-1.5	231/265/311	80	306	5	5	25%	4%	61	-1.5	238/261/300	62	316	3	2	25%	2%	55	-0.6
✕Jose Cordoba 2024 · A	21	43	40	47→55	41	208/265/304	96	287	7	9	29%	6%	61	-1.5	202/256/294	92	268	6	14	26%	5%	55	-1.9	190/244/281	91	247	7	18	25%	5%	45	-1.2
✕Carlos Tocci 2017 · A	21	53→60	37→40	45	42	250/291/324	74	314	3	9	21%	4%	74	-0.5	247/293/319	72	313	3	7	21%	5%	74	-0.6	243/292/306	63	308	3	5	21%	5%	68	-0.6
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	44→54	39→45	50	42	209/270/300	91	293	6	11	29%	7%	62	-1.4	235/286/340	105	319	10	10	28%	6%	77	-0.3	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Ramon Mendoza 2022 · A	21	42→51	37→45	43→45	44	198/270/273	75	281	3	5	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/272/284	83	288	5	5	29%	8%	59	-1.6	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Alfredo Lopez 2011 · A	21	48	37→30	44→50	45	226/291/297	71	291	4	7	23%	7%	69	-0.9	239/304/300	61	304	3	13	21%	7%	74	-0.5	235/280/279	45	285	1	20	17%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Teodoro Martinez 2013 · A	21	49	39→40	46→55	41	235/271/316	81	283	6	15	19%	4%	65	-1.2	233/265/320	87	279	9	13	19%	3%	64	-1.3	240/269/325	85	284	10	13	19%	3%	64	-0.9
✕Terrell Alliman 2010 · A	21	49	36→30	50	44	230/277/308	79	300	2	11	23%	6%	65	-1.2	206/256/284	78	295	6	8	30%	6%	53	-2.1	188/232/262	75	275	10	3	34%	4%	36	-1.1
✕Pablo Olivares 2019 · A	21	50→44	41→40	48→50	42	240/300/332	92	315	8	11	26%	6%	81	-0.1	216/293/291	75	280	5	14	23%	7%	70	-0.9	196/284/258	61	257	2	15	22%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Brallan Perez 2017 · A	21	49	36→30	46→50	51	227/290/289	62	260	3	11	14%	7%	67	-1.1	243/297/301	58	298	4	8	19%	6%	72	-0.7	240/298/284	44	299	2	7	19%	6%	65	-0.7
✕Rayner Contreras 2008 · A	21	47	41→40	45→50	42	228/274/327	99	295	9	7	25%	6%	69	-0.9	230/288/312	82	303	5	11	24%	6%	72	-0.7	252/307/308	55	348	0	13	26%	6%	72	-0.2

Yimy Tovar

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps