Dauwin Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Dauwin GonzalezOF DSL Arizona Red

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+65

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .276 / .299

PA6

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	138	113	25	4	0	2	21	34	1	6	2	221	348	310	658	88	291	25	15	303	92	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	152	124	28	1	1	3	23	29	2	5	2	226	356	323	678	97	263	19	15	312	98	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	138	121	18	3	0	2	13	49	1	6	2	149	237	223	460	74	211	36	9	206	26	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	152	132	21	1	1	2	15	43	2	5	2	159	255	227	482	68	192	28	10	214	31	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	138	121	18	3	0	2	13	49	1	6	2	149	237	223	460	74	222	36	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	138	113	25	4	0	2	21	34	1	6	2	221	348	310	658	88	291	25	15	303	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	152	132	21	1	1	2	15	43	2	5	2	159	255	227	482	68	211	28	10	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	152	124	28	1	1	3	23	29	2	5	2	226	356	323	678	97	263	19	15	312	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	138	123	18	3	0	2	13	49	1	6	2	146	237	220	457	73	211	36	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	152	134	21	1	1	2	15	43	2	5	2	157	255	224	479	67	192	28	10	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	138	123	18	3	0	2	13	49	1	6	2	146	237	220	457	73	211	36	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	152	134	21	1	1	2	15	43	2	5	2	157	255	224	479	67	192	28	10	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	—	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		285	33	0	264	65	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	—	34%	122	110	24	4	1	2	10	33	1	2	0	218	289	327	617	109	287	27	8	275	73	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	—	34%	42	39	8	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	205	262	308	570	103	287	26	7	275	73	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	42	39	8	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	205	262	308	570	103	259	26	7	275	42	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	123	15	0	15	46	170	0	15	0	204	260	303	563	99	258	26	7	275	42	-21	+3	+0	-4	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	418	369	64	8	2	6	38	127	4	13	4	173	258	255	513	81	240	30	9	230	42	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	99	12	3	9	59	197	6	20	6	172	257	251	508	78	239	30	9	230	42	-22	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dauwin Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	208/276/299	91	285	1	1	28%	8%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	43	40	53→55	44	206/261/303	97	274	6	6	27%	7%	59	-1.7	224/297/299	75	327	4	17	30%	8%	72	-0.7	212/299/299	88	345	7	27	37%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→41	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	59	-1.7	214/277/357	143	320	16	4	36%	7%	78	-0.3	203/271/348	146	303	18	4	37%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	40→42	45→50	49→50	41	200/269/322	122	272	12	8	30%	6%	68	-1.0	213/273/348	135	267	17	5	26%	6%	75	-0.5	208/267/338	130	255	17	5	26%	6%	68	-0.8
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	55	-2.0	224/279/352	128	280	13	10	24%	6%	78	-0.3	225/276/353	127	282	14	8	25%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Robinson Medrano 2016 · A	20	44	39→45	47→45	44	214/270/300	86	276	6	7	24%	6%	61	-1.5	205/260/294	89	290	6	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	149/198/231	82	232	4	4	36%	5%	17	-0.9
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	44→55	39	190/253/289	99	277	10	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	206/263/300	94	283	6	11	28%	6%	59	-1.6	204/262/298	94	272	5	15	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	58	-1.7	202/252/288	86	301	6	4	33%	4%	53	-2.1	211/249/305	94	308	7	2	33%	3%	52	-1.1
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	42	38→45	48→50	41	200/273/277	77	292	5	6	31%	7%	59	-1.7	211/296/309	98	281	8	11	26%	7%	75	-0.5	199/298/306	107	253	9	15	23%	7%	75	-0.1
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2021 · A	20	41→40	44→55	47→45	41	205/267/321	116	274	12	7	29%	6%	66	-1.1	215/264/381	166	280	22	5	31%	5%	80	-0.2	195/249/365	169	248	24	1	32%	5%	68	-0.6
✕Ryan Vega 2017 · A	20	44	40	54→45	41	212/260/305	93	270	8	9	24%	5%	59	-1.6	214/273/302	88	290	7	7	27%	6%	64	-1.3	192/260/272	79	271	7	6	30%	7%	52	-1.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	72	-0.7	202/299/283	81	274	6	17	26%	10%	71	-0.8	180/307/230	50	224	5	30	19%	12%	61	-0.5
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	46→50	50	46	194/272/327	133	266	12	8	31%	9%	70	-0.8	183/267/307	124	271	12	8	34%	10%	64	-1.3	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Garrett Whitley 2017 · A	20	40→37	42→50	47→55	44	197/267/302	105	280	9	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	191/271/310	119	332	11	13	42%	9%	65	-1.2	167/259/302	135	291	13	18	43%	10%	57	-1.1
✕Franklin Paz 2011 · A	20	42	40→50	53→50	44	204/270/305	101	280	7	12	28%	7%	63	-1.3	209/265/324	115	278	11	11	28%	6%	66	-1.1	193/244/323	130	242	15	12	27%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Wendell Rijo 2016 · A	20	43	41→50	49→50	40	208/261/311	103	288	8	12	30%	6%	61	-1.5	196/250/277	81	270	6	10	28%	6%	49	-2.4	208/265/349	141	264	16	14	28%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Zack Larson 2014 · A	20	46→36	41→45	53→50	41	222/281/319	97	293	8	13	26%	6%	71	-0.8	201/256/267	66	276	3	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	183/239/232	49	254	1	10	26%	5%	34	-1.9
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→40	43→50	47→55	47	208/276/316	107	257	11	9	23%	7%	68	-1.0	211/277/351	140	270	15	17	27%	7%	78	-0.3	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	191/260/268	77	304	6	15	36%	7%	51	-2.2	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9