Fabian Ysalla

P ACL White Sox

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 161 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2031

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKCWS	15	3	36	3.79	3.66	14.7%	8.6%	—	K 10.0% · BB 10.7% · FIP 4.26
2025	20	MIX2 levels	15	11	56	2.41	3.12	19.2%	9.2%	—	K 13.9% · BB 10.2% · FIP 3.57
2026	21	MIX2 levels	18	13	69	6.16	4.70	12.7%	7.8%	—	K 9.0% · BB 9.5% · FIP 5.66
2027PROJ	22	MLBCWS	8	8	52	5.68	5.68	10.0%	11.2%	-0.4
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBCWS	5	5	32	5.40	5.31	13.3%	10.7%	-0.1
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBCWS	7	7	46	5.18	5.08	15.3%	10.3%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control45Command35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJheyson Caraballo (age 21) · David Rodriguez (age 22) · Nattino Diplan (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.68

FIP5.68

K%10.0%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%-1.2%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	9	0	17	69	12	11	1	0%	1.9	11.8%	19.9%	-8.1%	1.6%	3.24	5.53	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	9	0	17	69	12	11	1	0%	1.9	17.4%	15.9%	1.4%	1.4%	3.24	4.42	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	15	3	36	163	24	14	2	20%	2.4	10.0%	10.7%	-0.7%	1.2%	3.79	4.26	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	15	3	36	163	24	14	2	20%	2.4	10.0%	10.7%	-0.7%	1.2%	3.79	4.26	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	15	3	36	163	24	14	2	20%	2.4	14.7%	8.6%	6.1%	1.2%	3.79	3.66	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	56	229	44	21	2	73%	3.7	13.9%	10.2%	3.7%	0.6%	2.41	3.57	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	56	229	44	21	2	73%	3.7	13.9%	10.2%	3.7%	0.6%	2.41	3.57	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	11	56	229	44	21	2	73%	3.7	19.2%	9.2%	10.0%	0.9%	2.41	3.12	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	13	69	322	41	25	9	72%	3.8	9.0%	9.5%	-0.5%	3.9%	6.16	5.66	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	13	69	322	41	25	9	72%	3.8	9.0%	9.5%	-0.5%	3.9%	6.16	5.66	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	13	69	322	41	25	9	72%	3.8	12.7%	7.8%	5.0%	2.8%	6.16	4.70	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	CWS	8	8	52	220	22	25	6	100%	6.5	10.0%	11.2%	-1.2%	3.0%	5.68	5.68	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CWS	10	10	64	271	36	29	8	100%	6.4	13.3%	10.7%	2.6%	2.9%	5.40	5.31	-0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	CWS	11	11	66	277	42	29	8	100%	6.0	15.3%	10.3%	5.0%	2.9%	5.18	5.08	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	CWS	11	11	66	281	46	28	8	100%	6.0	16.5%	10.1%	6.4%	2.9%	5.03	4.95	-0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	CWS	11	11	66	281	48	28	8	100%	6.0	17.1%	10.1%	7.0%	2.9%	4.94	4.89	+0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	CWS	11	11	66	277	47	28	8	100%	6.0	17.1%	10.1%	6.9%	2.9%	4.94	4.93	-0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	CWS	10	10	64	268	45	28	8	100%	6.3	17.0%	10.3%	6.7%	3.0%	4.99	5.02	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	CWS	5	5	32	135	18	14	4	100%	6.4	13.3%	10.7%	2.6%	2.9%	5.40	5.31	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	CWS	7	7	46	194	30	20	6	100%	6.6	15.3%	10.3%	5.0%	2.9%	5.18	5.08	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	CWS	9	9	54	228	38	23	7	100%	6.0	16.5%	10.1%	6.4%	2.9%	5.03	4.95	-0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	CWS	9	9	58	245	42	25	7	100%	6.4	17.1%	10.1%	7.0%	2.9%	4.94	4.89	+0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	CWS	9	9	59	249	43	25	7	100%	6.6	17.1%	10.1%	6.9%	2.9%	4.94	4.93	-0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	CWS	9	9	58	245	42	25	7	100%	6.4	17.0%	10.3%	6.7%	3.0%	4.99	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	49	307	1296	211	133	38	100%	6.3	16.3%	10.2%	6.1%	2.9%	5.05	4.63	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		32	32	200	844	137	87	25	100%	6.2	16.3%	10.2%	6.1%	2.9%	5.05	4.63	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		57	27	177	783	85	85	17	47%	3.1	10.9%	10.9%	0.0%	2.2%	4.22	4.74	-2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	31	200	885	96	96	19	47%	3.1	10.9%	10.9%	0.0%	2.2%	4.22	4.74	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Fabian Ysalla (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.68	10.0%	11.2%	3.0%	—	5.11	15.0%	4.7%	196	-0.57	—	—	—
Jheyson Caraballo R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	21	SW	5.25	11.9%	10.6%	3.3%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	101	86
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	86
Nattino Diplan R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	22	SW	4.98	8.9%	10.3%	2.4%	.366	4.38	15.4%	1.8%	175	-0.60	4.09	295	85
Aaron Cook R 2002 · 4.83 FIP	23	SP-	4.83	9.1%	8.4%	2.6%	.301	4.27	7.8%	0.7%	304	-0.56	3.65	1,406	84
Xavier Altamirano R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	22	SP-	4.72	11.3%	11.0%	2.1%	.333	4.51	14.7%	7.7%	388	-0.21	3.91	451	84
Will Childers R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	22	SP-	5.41	11.8%	12.1%	3.2%	.305	4.43	19.5%	8.9%	150	-0.98	3.60	209	84
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	83
Jonathan Hughes R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SP-	4.60	12.9%	12.5%	1.8%	.351	3.79	16.5%	6.2%	146	-0.81	3.44	219	82
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2021 · 4.98 FIP	23	SP-	4.98	12.7%	9.1%	3.3%	.348	3.92	16.5%	8.0%	135	-1.06	3.30	218	82
Axel Rios R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	23	SW	4.70	13.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.06	15.2%	3.2%	97	-0.64	3.50	153	81
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	81
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	81
Gavin Floyd R 2005 · 5.53 FIP	22	SP-	5.53	13.4%	11.0%	3.9%	.275	5.01	15.7%	8.1%	331	-0.52	2.95	1,250	80
Zach Mort R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	22	SW	5.01	10.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.240	5.35	17.0%	8.8%	176	+0.34	4.95	237	80
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	80
Marco Camarena R 2016 · 4.49 FIP	25	SW	4.49	11.0%	9.3%	2.1%	.365	3.75	8.4%	0.9%	73	-0.74	3.75	142	80
Logan Sawyer R 2015 · 4.64 FIP	22	SW	4.64	10.8%	13.0%	1.5%	.331	4.12	7.5%	-5.5%	12	-0.52	3.39	107	79
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	79
Charlie Ruegger R 2019 · 5.43 FIP	22	SW	5.43	10.6%	7.9%	4.0%	.325	4.60	16.2%	4.3%	72	-0.83	4.17	117	79
Luke Prokopec R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	22	SP-	4.49	13.6%	10.2%	2.3%	.262	5.44	14.2%	7.6%	210	+0.95	4.49	231	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.2	63	15.3%	10.4%	1.13	5.15
Tom Martin ('07)	1.6	53	15.8%	10.1%	1.02	4.92
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Dennis Powell ('85-'93, -2 WAR*)	1.7	49	17.6%*	10.1%*	1.18*	5.31*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Paul Mirabella ('78-'90, -0 WAR*)	2.5	71	17.2%*	10.7%*	0.95*	4.64*