Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 9 | 0 | 17 | 69 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 11.8% | 19.9% | -8.1% | 1.4% | 3.24 | 5.39 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 9 | 0 | 17 | 69 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 17.4% | 15.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.24 | 4.42 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 15 | 3 | 36 | 163 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 20% | 2.4 | 10.0% | 10.7% | -0.7% | 0.9% | 3.79 | 4.10 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 15 | 3 | 36 | 163 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 20% | 2.4 | 14.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 3.79 | 3.66 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 11 | 56 | 229 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 73% | 3.7 | 13.9% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 2.41 | 3.53 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 11 | 56 | 229 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 73% | 3.7 | 19.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 0.9% | 2.41 | 3.12 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 10 | 6 | 33 | 157 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 60% | 3.3 | 9.5% | 11.1% | -1.6% | 6.2% | 7.29 | 7.13 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CWS | 6 | 6 | 36 | 151 | 19 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 12.7% | 12.0% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.48 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.7% | 12.0% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.48 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 69 | 308 | 41 | 32 | 11 | — | — | 13.4% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.35 | 6.28 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CWS | 36 | 0 | 38 | 158 | 24 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.22 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CWS | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.22 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 18 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.22 | 4.74 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 130 | 98 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.22 | 4.74 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 49 | 20 | 142 | 618 | 71 | 72 | 14 | 41% | 2.9 | 11.5% | 11.7% | -0.1% | 2.2% | 4.00 | 4.80 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 28 | 200 | 872 | 101 | 102 | 19 | 41% | 2.9 | 11.5% | 11.7% | -0.1% | 2.2% | 4.00 | 4.80 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Fabian Ysalla (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.48 | 12.7% | 12.0% | 2.8% | — | 5.12 | 15.4% | 4.3% | 38 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| Jheyson Caraballo R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.25 | 11.9% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 101 | 88 |
| Trent Fennell R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.48 | 14.5% | 12.5% | 1.9% | .317 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 7.5% | 89 | -0.24 | 3.88 | 163 | 87 |
| Juan Perez R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.28 | 15.4% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .321 | 4.63 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 56 | -0.65 | 4.63 | 113 | 86 |
| David Rodriguez R 2027 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.41 | 13.5% | 11.7% | 1.8% | .316 | 3.77 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 102 | -0.64 | 3.66 | 161 | 86 |
| Juan Gomez R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.39 | 10.9% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .345 | 3.58 | 11.2% | -0.1% | 61 | -1.81 | 3.58 | 113 | 86 |
| Sasagi Sanchez R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.42 | 11.4% | 9.4% | 2.0% | .289 | 4.54 | 12.7% | 4.0% | 108 | +0.12 | 3.48 | 180 | 85 |
| Darwin Ramos R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.47 | 11.2% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .341 | 3.44 | 17.0% | 7.8% | 137 | -1.03 | 3.35 | 262 | 84 |
| Jhon Vergara R 2024 · 5.75 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.75 | 11.1% | 13.1% | 3.5% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 106 | 82 |
| Ramon Santos R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.00 | 12.7% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .323 | 4.24 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 199 | -0.76 | 3.84 | 355 | 82 |
| Nolberto Henriquez R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.75 | 16.0% | 13.4% | 2.4% | .305 | 5.43 | 11.3% | -3.1% | 52 | +0.68 | 4.75 | 108 | 82 |
| Axel Rios R 2028 · 4.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.57 | 13.1% | 13.5% | 1.6% | .333 | 4.01 | 15.2% | 3.2% | 97 | -0.56 | 3.45 | 153 | 82 |
| Carlos Romero R 2027 · 5.22 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.22 | 13.1% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.55 | 21.7% | 7.4% | 188 | -0.67 | 3.49 | 370 | 82 |
| Jose Castillo R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.34 | 11.5% | 12.6% | 1.1% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 138 | 81 |
| Ben Ethridge R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.48 | 14.4% | 13.2% | 1.7% | .250 | 6.15 | 13.0% | 2.0% | 66 | +1.67 | 4.48 | 144 | 81 |
| Nate Griep R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.44 | 11.5% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .383 | 3.93 | 17.2% | 4.5% | 163 | -1.51 | 2.73 | 275 | 81 |
| Reid Anderson R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.68 | 12.2% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .306 | 3.68 | 15.5% | 5.0% | 244 | -1.00 | 2.92 | 332 | 81 |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2029 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 81 |
| Ulices Campos R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.93 | 12.7% | 11.4% | 2.7% | .401 | 5.83 | 10.1% | 0.0% | 16 | +0.90 | 4.13 | 153 | 80 |
| David McKay R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.37 | 15.2% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .282 | 4.56 | 22.9% | 12.4% | 211 | +0.19 | 3.29 | 288 | 80 |
| Dawson Netz R 2029 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 37 | 14.1% | 11.6% | 1.08 | 5.35 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |