Fabian Ysalla — OGILVIE

Fabian Ysalla P ACL White Sox

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 161 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 121

ERA5.50

FIP5.50

K%12.7%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%0.5%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	9	0	17	69	12	11	1	0%	1.9	11.8%	19.9%	-8.1%	1.6%	3.24	5.53	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	9	0	17	69	12	11	1	0%	1.9	11.8%	19.9%	-8.1%	1.6%	3.24	5.53	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	9	0	17	69	12	11	1	0%	1.9	17.4%	15.9%	1.4%	1.4%	3.24	4.42	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	15	3	36	163	24	14	2	20%	2.4	10.0%	10.7%	-0.7%	1.2%	3.79	4.26	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	15	3	36	163	24	14	2	20%	2.4	10.0%	10.7%	-0.7%	1.2%	3.79	4.26	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	15	3	36	163	24	14	2	20%	2.4	14.7%	8.6%	6.1%	1.2%	3.79	3.66	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	56	229	44	21	2	73%	3.7	13.9%	10.2%	3.7%	0.6%	2.41	3.57	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	56	229	44	21	2	73%	3.7	13.9%	10.2%	3.7%	0.6%	2.41	3.57	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	11	56	229	44	21	2	73%	3.7	19.2%	9.2%	10.0%	0.9%	2.41	3.12	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	18	13	69	322	41	25	9	72%	3.8	9.0%	9.5%	-0.5%	3.9%	6.16	5.66	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	18	13	69	322	41	25	9	72%	3.8	9.0%	9.5%	-0.5%	3.9%	6.16	5.66	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	CWS	11	6	36	175	25	14	7	55%	3.3	14.3%	8.0%	6.3%	4.0%	8.00	5.10	—
2026	21	A RAW	CWS	7	7	33	147	16	11	2	100%	4.7	10.9%	7.5%	3.4%	1.4%	4.13	3.88	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CWS	12	12	71	298	46	34	8	100%	5.9	15.4%	11.3%	4.2%	2.8%	5.23	5.14	-0.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	CWS	12	12	73	309	53	33	9	100%	6.1	17.1%	10.7%	6.4%	2.8%	5.01	4.91	-0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	CWS	13	13	75	317	57	33	9	100%	5.8	18.1%	10.4%	7.6%	2.7%	4.86	4.78	+0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	CWS	13	13	76	320	60	33	9	100%	5.8	18.6%	10.3%	8.3%	2.7%	4.77	4.71	+0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	CWS	13	13	76	320	60	33	9	100%	5.8	18.8%	10.2%	8.5%	2.7%	4.72	4.69	+0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	CWS	12	12	75	316	59	33	9	100%	6.2	18.8%	10.3%	8.5%	2.8%	4.73	4.73	+0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	CWS	12	12	73	307	57	32	9	100%	6.0	18.6%	10.5%	8.2%	2.9%	4.78	4.81	+0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	CWS	12	12	69	293	54	31	9	100%	5.8	18.4%	10.7%	7.7%	3.0%	4.88	4.94	-0.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	CWS	11	11	65	275	50	30	9	100%	5.9	18.1%	11.0%	7.1%	3.2%	5.03	5.12	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	CWS	6	6	35	148	23	17	4	100%	5.8	15.4%	11.3%	4.2%	2.8%	5.23	5.14	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	CWS	9	9	53	224	38	24	6	100%	5.9	17.1%	10.7%	6.4%	2.8%	5.01	4.91	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	CWS	11	11	62	262	47	27	7	100%	5.6	18.1%	10.4%	7.6%	2.7%	4.86	4.78	+0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	CWS	11	11	67	283	53	29	8	100%	6.1	18.6%	10.3%	8.3%	2.7%	4.77	4.71	+0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	CWS	12	12	69	291	55	30	8	100%	5.8	18.8%	10.2%	8.5%	2.7%	4.72	4.69	+0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	CWS	12	12	69	291	55	30	8	100%	5.8	18.8%	10.3%	8.5%	2.8%	4.73	4.73	+0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	CWS	11	11	68	287	54	30	8	100%	6.2	18.6%	10.5%	8.2%	2.9%	4.78	4.81	+0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	CWS	11	11	66	279	51	30	8	100%	6.0	18.4%	10.7%	7.7%	3.0%	4.88	4.94	-0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	CWS	10	10	62	262	47	29	8	100%	6.2	18.1%	11.0%	7.1%	3.2%	5.03	5.12	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		93	93	552	2329	423	246	67	100%	5.9	18.2%	10.5%	7.6%	2.9%	4.86	4.47	+2.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	153	89	24	100%	6.0	18.2%	10.5%	7.6%	2.9%	4.86	4.47	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		57	27	177	783	85	85	17	47%	3.1	10.9%	10.9%	0.0%	2.2%	4.22	4.74	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	31	200	885	96	96	19	47%	3.1	10.9%	10.9%	0.0%	2.2%	4.22	4.74	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Fabian Ysalla (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.50	12.7%	12.2%	2.8%	—	4.94	16.9%	6.1%	219	-0.56	—	—	—
Juan Gomez R 2017 · 5.39 FIP	20	SP-	5.39	10.9%	12.6%	2.9%	.345	3.58	11.2%	-0.1%	61	-1.81	3.58	113	88
Ramon Santos R 2016 · 5.00 FIP	21	SP-	5.00	12.7%	10.6%	3.0%	.323	4.18	15.6%	5.5%	199	-0.82	3.74	355	87
Nolberto Henriquez R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	21	SP-	4.99	16.0%	13.4%	2.8%	.305	5.60	11.3%	-3.1%	52	+0.61	4.99	108	86
Jheyson Caraballo R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	21	SW	5.25	11.9%	10.6%	3.3%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	101	86
Abel Brito R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	21	SP-	4.79	15.7%	12.6%	2.6%	.310	5.66	13.2%	-8.6%	70	+0.87	4.13	147	85
Yondrei Rojas R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	20	SP-	4.59	14.0%	11.2%	2.3%	.312	4.10	20.9%	10.2%	123	-0.49	2.60	240	85
Will Childers R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	22	SP-	5.41	11.8%	12.1%	3.2%	.305	4.45	19.3%	8.7%	150	-0.96	3.60	209	85
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	84
Alain Pena R 2023 · 5.48 FIP	20	SP-	5.48	14.2%	13.9%	3.3%	.222	5.68	15.6%	3.5%	191	+0.20	3.66	266	84
Miguel Rondon R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	21	SP-	5.27	15.5%	11.4%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	179	82
Darwin Ramos R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	21	SW	4.46	11.2%	11.9%	1.5%	.341	3.43	17.0%	7.8%	137	-1.03	3.34	262	82
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	82
Tyler Mark R 2016 · 4.52 FIP	21	SP-	4.52	15.5%	11.9%	2.2%	.400	4.74	17.5%	3.9%	170	+0.22	2.94	194	82
Abel Duarte R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	21	SP-	4.84	12.5%	10.3%	2.7%	.306	3.93	13.9%	6.7%	79	-0.91	3.19	127	81
Jose Castillo R 2017 · 4.34 FIP	21	SP-	4.34	11.5%	12.6%	1.1%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	138	81
Sal Biasi R 2017 · 4.68 FIP	21	SP-	4.68	16.0%	12.6%	2.5%	.230	5.59	18.5%	5.0%	109	+0.91	4.68	188	81
Tyler McKay R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	21	SP-	5.32	15.1%	10.2%	4.0%	.262	4.64	13.2%	2.2%	106	-0.68	3.14	275	81
Luis Mateo R 2015 · 5.17 FIP	22	SP-	5.17	11.4%	14.7%	2.1%	.315	5.67	15.0%	-1.3%	55	+0.50	4.52	112	81
Jhon Vergara R 2019 · 5.75 FIP	19	SW	5.75	11.1%	13.1%	3.5%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	106	81
Ben Ethridge R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	22	SP-	4.45	14.4%	13.2%	1.7%	.250	6.04	13.0%	2.0%	66	+1.59	4.45	144	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.4	69	17.7%	10.7%	1.10	4.92
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70