Logan Samuels
P
Rome Emperors
Age 24
RHP
6'4" / 170 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 155146vR 137
ERA6.10
FIP6.10
K%12.9%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%0.2%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 97 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.41 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 6 | 71 | 305 | 60 | 27 | 11 | 21% | 2.5 | 14.9% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.71 | 6.81 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 6 | 71 | 305 | 60 | 27 | 11 | 21% | 2.5 | 19.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 4.71 | 4.57 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 22 | 0 | 30 | 128 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.2% | 4.5% | 14.8% | 2.0% | 5.46 | 3.12 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | ATL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 37 | 36 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.9% | 12.7% | 0.2% | 3.8% | 6.10 | 6.10 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.9% | 12.7% | 0.2% | 3.8% | 6.10 | 6.10 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 97 | 412 | 69 | 41 | 13 | — | — | 16.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 5.90 | 5.19 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 12.9% | 12.7% | 0.2% | 3.8% | 6.10 | 5.72 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 43 | 35 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.84 | 5.78 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 47 | 34 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.3% | 11.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.66 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 47 | 33 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.59 | 5.59 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 18 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.84 | 5.78 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 31 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.3% | 11.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.66 | 5.61 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.59 | 5.59 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 121 | 0 | 127 | 534 | 86 | 63 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.67 | 5.26 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 136 | 100 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.1% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.67 | 5.26 | +0.3 | ||
| Career | — | 51 | 7 | 101 | 438 | 71 | 37 | 23 | 14% | 2.0 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.88 | 5.67 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 101 | 14 | 200 | 864 | 140 | 73 | 45 | 14% | 2.0 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.88 | 5.67 | -0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Logan Samuels (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.10 | 12.9% | 12.7% | 3.8% | — | 5.66 | 16.0% | 4.1% | 203 | -0.44 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.40 | 15.1% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .229 | 4.26 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 150 | -1.14 | 3.63 | 239 | 87 |
| Conner O'Neil R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.58 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .340 | 7.24 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 26 | +1.66 | 2.90 | 115 | 86 |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.45 | 11.5% | 14.0% | 2.8% | .300 | 4.85 | 13.9% | 3.6% | 164 | -0.60 | 3.93 | 419 | 86 |
| Luke Bell R 2026 · 6.00 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.00 | 14.2% | 11.7% | 4.8% | .284 | 5.40 | 9.9% | -2.2% | 16 | -0.60 | 3.89 | 110 | 86 |
| Jake Johansen R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.59 | 15.8% | 12.8% | 4.0% | .351 | 4.21 | 13.6% | 3.0% | 114 | -1.38 | 3.69 | 162 | 85 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 85 |
| Zach Nuding R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.09 | 12.5% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .236 | 4.99 | 12.6% | 3.3% | 106 | -0.10 | 4.99 | 146 | 84 |
| Mark Peterson R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.15 | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .277 | 4.72 | 15.9% | 5.6% | 112 | -0.43 | 4.62 | 185 | 84 |
| Aaron Cohn R 2026 · 5.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.87 | 11.1% | 10.7% | 4.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.72 | 106 | 84 |
| Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.23 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.74 | 13.6% | 0.2% | 52 | -0.49 | 2.08 | 205 | 83 |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 83 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2027 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 83 |
| Jack Carey R 2026 · 5.79 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.79 | 15.6% | 11.3% | 4.7% | .305 | 4.24 | 19.6% | 5.3% | 88 | -1.55 | 3.71 | 250 | 83 |
| Brody Jessee R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.9% | 3.9% | .297 | 6.14 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 30 | +0.43 | 3.59 | 170 | 82 |
| Cade Denton R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.96 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 3.3% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 127 | 82 |
| James Pugliese R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.90 | 12.5% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .226 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 218 | 82 |
| Will Geerdes R 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.81 | 16.3% | 12.2% | 4.6% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 121 | 82 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.93 | 13.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .287 | 4.60 | 19.7% | 11.7% | 135 | -0.33 | 3.84 | 199 | 82 |
| John Kuchno R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.66 | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | .247 | 5.21 | 10.2% | 1.6% | 84 | -0.45 | 2.43 | 162 | 82 |
| Daniel Concepcion R 2024 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.38 | 13.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 110 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 15.2% | 12.1% | 1.44 | 5.80 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |