Logan Samuels — OGILVIE

Logan Samuels P Rome Emperors

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 170 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.90

FIP5.90

K%12.9%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%0.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	1	1	1	5	1	0	0	100%	1.0	20.0%	0.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.41	—
2024	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	1	1	1	5	1	0	0	100%	1.0	20.0%	0.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.41	—
2024	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	1	1	1	5	1	0	0	100%	1.0	20.0%	0.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	6	71	305	60	27	11	21%	2.5	14.9%	10.2%	4.7%	5.3%	4.71	6.07	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	6	71	305	60	27	11	21%	2.5	14.9%	10.2%	4.7%	5.3%	4.71	6.07	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	6	71	305	60	27	11	21%	2.5	19.7%	8.9%	10.8%	3.6%	4.71	4.57	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	35	0	47	212	49	15	4	0%	1.4	17.8%	8.1%	9.7%	2.4%	6.08	3.92	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	35	0	47	212	49	15	4	0%	1.4	17.8%	8.1%	9.7%	2.4%	6.08	3.92	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	ATL	35	0	47	212	49	15	4	0%	1.4	23.1%	7.1%	16.0%	1.9%	6.08	3.08	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	ATL	5	0	6	24	3	3	1	0%	1.1	12.9%	12.4%	0.5%	3.5%	5.90	5.90	-0.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	53	236	52	18	5	—	—	22.1%	7.6%	14.5%	2.1%	6.06	4.13	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ATL	65	0	68	287	43	34	10	0%	1.0	15.1%	11.8%	3.2%	3.5%	5.66	5.61	-0.8
2028	26	MLB MLE	ATL	65	0	68	287	47	33	10	0%	1.0	16.3%	11.6%	4.7%	3.4%	5.50	5.46	-0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	ATL	64	0	67	283	47	33	10	0%	1.0	16.6%	11.6%	5.1%	3.5%	5.44	5.44	-0.7
2030	28	MLB MLE	ATL	62	0	65	274	46	32	10	0%	1.0	16.7%	11.7%	5.0%	3.5%	5.46	5.49	-0.7
2027	25	MLB CTX	ATL	28	0	29	122	18	15	4	0%	1.0	15.1%	11.8%	3.2%	3.5%	5.66	5.61	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	ATL	43	0	45	190	31	22	7	0%	1.0	16.3%	11.6%	4.7%	3.4%	5.50	5.46	-0.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	ATL	50	0	52	220	37	25	8	0%	1.0	16.6%	11.6%	5.1%	3.5%	5.44	5.44	-0.5
2030	28	MLB CTX	ATL	52	0	55	232	39	27	8	0%	1.1	16.7%	11.7%	5.0%	3.5%	5.46	5.49	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	764	125	89	27	0%	1.1	16.3%	11.6%	4.7%	3.5%	5.50	5.11	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	138	98	30	0%	1.1	16.3%	11.6%	4.7%	3.5%	5.50	5.11	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		64	7	119	522	84	48	21	11%	1.9	16.1%	9.3%	6.9%	4.1%	5.22	5.15	-3.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	12	200	877	142	81	36	11%	1.9	16.1%	9.3%	6.9%	4.1%	5.22	5.15	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Logan Samuels (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.90	12.9%	12.4%	3.5%	—	5.50	16.0%	4.3%	203	-0.40	—	—	—
Johendí Jiminian R 2017 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	11.5%	14.0%	3.3%	.300	4.77	13.9%	3.6%	164	-0.93	4.01	419	88
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	88
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	86
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	85
Aaron Cohn R 2023 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	11.1%	10.7%	4.1%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	5.72	106	85
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	85
Mark Peterson R 2015 · 4.89 FIP	24	SU	4.89	11.5%	8.5%	3.1%	.277	4.71	15.9%	5.6%	112	-0.18	4.65	185	85
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	85
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	84
John Kuchno R 2015 · 5.44 FIP	24	SU	5.44	8.9%	8.7%	3.6%	.247	5.14	10.2%	1.6%	84	-0.30	2.43	162	83
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	83
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	83
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	83
Taylor Lewis R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	15.4%	11.7%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	2.47	142	83
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	83
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	83
J.B. Olson R 2019 · 4.98 FIP	24	SU	4.98	15.0%	11.1%	3.2%	.328	4.29	15.1%	7.5%	109	-0.69	3.90	212	83
Jack Jasiak R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	12.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.288	3.81	19.8%	12.1%	193	-1.22	3.24	262	82
Tyler Ras R 2022 · 6.07 FIP	22	SU	6.07	15.7%	13.3%	4.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	119	82
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	15.5%	11.8%	1.35	5.59
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86