Harold GonzalezSS DSL LAD Mega
Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 148 proj PA
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .295 / .284
PA148
HR1
K%24
BB%10
ISO77
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.01.12.30.30.71.11.41.61.71.81.81.71.51.2+$101M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.7$9M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.8$8M+$8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.8$8M+$7M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.7$7M+$6M
2036Arb-2$5M+1.5$6M+$4M
2037Arb-3$6M+1.2$4M+$2M
Totals $18M $42M +$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202316 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 162137 24300 22292 93 175298197495 22222 1814 239 41
202316 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 162125 30400 34202 93 240410272682 32286 1221 332 113
202417 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 131109 20401 14346 84 183310248558 64253 2611 248 48
202417 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 13198 23501 25236 84 235419316735 82293 1819 349 125
202518 ROKDSL LAD Mega 177150 28312 23441 112 187299260559 73243 2513 252 51
202518 ROKDSL LAD Mega 177136 35512 37281 112 257420353772 96303 1621 357 131
▸ 2026 Season
202619 MLBLAD 148130 27511 15362 31 208299285584 77275 2410 270 65 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBLAD 34% 232204 44813 23553 51 216304309613 93279 2410 283 75 -7 +1 +0 +2 +7 0.3
202821 MLBLAD 48% 357314 701226 35835 82 223311331642 108281 2310 291 81 -8 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.7
202922 MLBLAD 54% 447394 881628 441036 102 223311335646 112282 2310 297 85 -8 +1 +0 +5 +13 1.1
203023 MLBLAD 57% 506444 10218310 501167 113 230317351669 122283 2310 300 88 -7 +1 +0 +5 +14 1.4
203124 MLBLAD 57% 545479 11120311 541247 123 232319355673 123284 2310 302 89 -7 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.6
203225 MLBLAD 60% 568499 11420311 571297 123 228316347663 118284 2310 303 90 -6 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.7
203326 MLBLAD 62% 580509 11721312 581328 133 230318354672 124284 2310 303 90 -6 +1 +0 +6 +16 1.8
203427 MLBLAD 63% 583511 11821312 591338 133 231320354674 123284 2310 303 90 -6 +1 +0 +6 +17 1.8
203528 MLBLAD 65% 580508 11621311 591338 123 228318346665 118284 2310 302 90 -7 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.7
203629 MLBLAD 65% 571500 11320311 591327 123 226316344660 118283 2310 301 88 -8 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.5
203730 MLBLAD 65% 561491 11120310 581317 113 226317340657 114282 2310 298 86 -9 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.2
203831 MLBLAD 65% 548480 10719310 561307 103 223313338651 115280 2410 294 83 -10 +1 -3 +6 +16 0.9
203932 MLBLAD 65% 530464 1011829 541287 103 218309323632 106277 2410 289 79 -12 +1 -4 +6 +15 0.6
202720 MLBLAD 34% 8071 15301 8191 20 211300296596 85275 2410 271 65 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202821 MLBLAD 48% 173152 34613 17402 41 224310336645 112277 2310 279 71 -6 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.2
202922 MLBLAD 54% 242213 46814 24563 51 216304319623 103279 2310 284 75 -7 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.3
203023 MLBLAD 57% 286252 571025 28654 62 226313341655 115280 2310 287 78 -7 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.4
203124 MLBLAD 57% 308270 621126 31704 72 230318352670 122280 2310 289 79 -7 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.6
203225 MLBLAD 60% 343302 691227 34784 72 228315351666 123280 2310 290 80 -8 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.6
203326 MLBLAD 62% 362318 721327 36825 82 226315346661 119280 2310 290 80 -8 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.7
203427 MLBLAD 63% 370324 731327 38845 82 225316343659 117280 2310 290 80 -8 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.7
203528 MLBLAD 65% 377330 741327 39865 82 224316339655 115280 2310 289 80 -9 +1 -0 +4 +11 0.7
203629 MLBLAD 65% 371325 731327 38865 82 225315342657 117279 2310 288 78 -9 +1 -1 +4 +11 0.5
203730 MLBLAD 65% 365319 711227 38855 72 223315339653 116278 2310 285 77 -10 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.4
203831 MLBLAD 65% 356312 681226 37844 72 218309327636 109276 2410 282 74 -11 +1 -2 +4 +10 0.2
203932 MLBLAD 65% 344302 651126 35834 62 215305325629 109273 2410 277 70 -12 +0 -2 +4 +10 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 39773490 7791372273 40391851 8322 223313338650 115280 2310 286 77 -104 +8 -7 +43 +113 5.4
/ 162G 650570 12722412 661508 144 223312339650 116280 2310 286 77 -17 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.9
Career 72266323 141124936128 740167298 17045 223314335649 111281 2310 294 84 -135 +16 -10 +77 +205 15.6
/ 162G 650569 12722312 671509 154 223315336651 112280 2310 294 84 -12 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202316 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 162125 30400 34202 93 240410272682 32286 1221 332 113 +2 +1 +5 0.8
202417 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 13198 23501 25236 84 235419316735 82293 1819 349 125 +4 +0 +4 0.8
202518 ROKDSL LAD Mega 177136 35512 37281 112 257420353772 96303 1621 357 131 +6 +1 +5 1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
94,1267685226312341+44+2710.18.6
/1626641214+7.1+4.31.6pk7: 7
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Harold Gonzalez (OGILVIE) 19 40 25 55 60 207/295/284 77275 13 24% 10% 65 -0.2
Jose Astudillo
2023 · A
19 44 37→30 54→50 47 207/264/281 74251 314 19% 6% 50 -1.8 245/295/318 73283 314 14% 5% 72 -0.2 293/336/3909732081910%4%104+0.6
Jenner Emeterio
2013 · A
20 45 38→30 48→60 46 214/278/297 83284 513 26% 8% 59 -1.1 217/304/278 61289 324 23% 10% 66 -0.6 216/317/2604428513422%12%65-0.3
Dubal Baez
2012 · A
19 46 34→30 52→60 47 210/307/262 52296 216 27% 8% 65 -0.7 218/295/268 50299 119 25% 7% 60 -1.0 222/294/2573530102624%7%53-0.4
Victor Rodrigues
2023 · A
18 41 38→30 49→50 44 197/261/279 83254 57 24% 6% 49 -1.8 211/290/283 72267 59 21% 9% 62 -0.9 219/316/2715227241019%11%68-0.2
Jorge Minyety
2010 · A
19 46 35→30 50 55 208/299/269 61275 114 22% 11% 63 -0.9 216/285/281 65304 29 27% 9% 59 -1.1 227/294/263363220427%9%53-0.3
Deiber Olivera
2012 · A
19 44 38→40 50→45 44 210/259/296 86269 48 23% 6% 50 -1.7 236/277/312 76275 37 15% 4% 63 -0.9 255/291/322672892712%3%69-0.1
Oswaldo Linares
2022 · A
19 42 36→40 47→40 54 195/298/259 64275 48 28% 12% 60 -1.0 196/296/284 88277 85 29% 11% 66 -0.6 173/283/253792469230%12%51-0.6
Enmanuel Tejeda
2023 · A
18 44 38→40 51→60 58 207/313/298 91265 412 22% 12% 76 +0.1 218/305/301 83307 623 28% 10% 73 -0.1 216/305/2927730173228%10%68-0.2
Jesus Castillo
2022 · A
19 41→44 34→30 51→55 42 194/257/244 49275 216 28% 6% 37 -2.6 213/312/258 45291 119 24% 11% 66 -0.6 202/327/2323028312424%14%65-0.3
Enmanuel Zabala
2014 · A
19 44 37→30 51→50 47 207/275/284 76262 311 21% 7% 55 -1.4 222/272/285 63281 212 21% 5% 53 -1.5 215/261/2523729911327%4%38-0.9
Shaydron Buckridge
2007 · A
19 46 35→30 48→50 45 214/275/271 58272 35 22% 6% 52 -1.6 219/291/274 55280 27 21% 7% 60 -1.0 259/340/295363060914%9%82+0.2
Juan Mora
2019 · A
19 45 38→45 46→55 49 211/291/293 83275 48 23% 9% 65 -0.7 213/293/327 114268 1014 23% 8% 75 -0.0 214/280/327113274111225%6%67-0.2
Rafael P Valera
2014 · A
19 44 34→30 49→55 53 201/292/250 49261 116 22% 10% 55 -1.4 210/286/272 62285 111 24% 8% 57 -1.2 212/285/276642960726%8%54-0.4
Albert Hernandez
2008 · A
19 43 39→40 49→45 46 207/270/299 92260 67 22% 7% 57 -1.2 226/286/317 91285 67 22% 6% 68 -0.5 230/289/314842916622%6%66-0.2
Carlos Arroyo
2019 · A
18 50 35→30 50 51 231/310/281 51284 313 19% 8% 70 -0.3 221/279/288 67257 415 15% 6% 58 -1.2 184/235/2496524351925%4%28-1.1
Mikey Edie
2016 · A
19 48 35→30 49→50 42 224/295/281 56296 313 24% 5% 64 -0.8 212/267/270 58314 215 31% 4% 48 -1.9 187/236/2405228121032%3%22-1.4
Adrian Abreu
2011 · A
20 43 37→40 52→55 44 204/258/281 77261 310 22% 6% 46 -2.0 205/283/290 85253 715 20% 9% 61 -1.0 194/284/2748023182019%10%56-0.4
Edward Duran
2023 · A
19 43→45 35→40 48→50 47 200/268/269 69262 27 23% 7% 49 -1.8 224/299/299 75294 48 23% 8% 69 -0.4 225/304/305793045825%8%70-0.2
William Castillo
2011 · A
19 48 35→30 52→50 50 223/285/280 57275 211 19% 8% 57 -1.2 211/262/264 53274 212 22% 6% 43 -2.2 241/285/2834230102219%5%53-0.4
Emmanuel Morel
2016 · A
19 45 35→30 53→55 49 207/286/270 62293 217 28% 9% 56 -1.3 187/257/246 59306 215 36% 8% 38 -2.6 139/207/1733425101741%7%-4-1.2