Victor Cardoza

OF Clearwater Threshers

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 181 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKPHI	174	.222/.289/.342	3	6	11	—	.148/.202/.228
2026	20	APHI	226	.262/.329/.351	1	9	46	—	.213/.266/.285
2026	20	ROKPHI	46	.350/.395/.550	2	0	108	—	.293/.326/.488
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBPHI	382	.196/.244/.278	4	7	46	-1.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBPHI	111	.203/.253/.300	2	2	54	-0.4
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBPHI	196	.208/.259/.314	3	4	59	-0.6

Next 3 projected WAR -2.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed80

Z-Con%35

Max EV33

Whiff%28

BB%23

K%17

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsImbewer Alvarez (age 21) · Victor Duarte (age 21) · Kyle Nevin (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 261 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .242 / .276

PA261

HR2

SB5

K%28

BB%5

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	112	27	4	4	1	13	34	7	7	4	241	356	375	731	134	333	26	10	332	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	162	54	12	2	7	12	44	3	16	4	333	390	562	952	228	423	25	7	414	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	174	158	35	8	1	3	13	55	2	6	2	222	289	342	631	120	317	32	7	284	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	226	202	53	13	1	1	17	71	3	9	3	262	329	351	680	89	397	31	8	305	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	46	40	14	0	1	2	3	5	0	0	1	350	395	550	945	200	333	11	7	387	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	116	16	2	2	0	9	40	7	7	4	138	242	190	432	52	206	30	7	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	166	34	7	1	3	8	54	3	16	4	205	254	313	567	108	276	30	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	174	162	24	5	1	2	9	79	2	6	2	148	202	228	431	80	250	45	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	226	207	44	10	1	1	12	97	3	9	3	213	266	285	551	72	369	43	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	46	41	12	0	1	2	2	7	0	0	1	293	326	488	813	195	267	15	4	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	116	16	2	2	0	9	40	7	7	4	138	242	190	432	52	208	30	7	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	112	27	4	4	1	13	34	7	7	4	241	356	375	731	134	333	26	10	332	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	166	34	7	1	3	8	54	3	16	4	205	254	313	567	108	284	30	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	162	54	12	2	7	12	44	3	16	4	333	390	562	952	228	423	25	7	414	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	174	162	24	5	1	2	9	79	2	6	2	148	202	228	431	80	268	45	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	174	158	35	8	1	3	13	55	2	6	2	222	289	342	631	120	317	32	7	284	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	272	248	55	10	2	2	14	104	3	9	4	222	272	302	574	81	363	38	5	252	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	272	242	67	13	2	3	20	76	3	9	4	277	340	384	724	107	383	28	7	319	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	116	16	2	2	0	9	40	7	7	4	138	242	190	432	52	206	30	7	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	165	34	7	1	3	8	54	3	16	4	206	254	315	569	109	276	30	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	174	161	24	5	1	2	9	79	2	6	2	149	202	230	432	81	250	45	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	272	253	55	10	2	2	14	104	3	9	4	217	272	296	568	79	352	38	5	252	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	165	34	7	1	3	8	54	3	16	4	206	254	315	569	109	276	30	4	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	174	161	24	5	1	2	9	79	2	6	2	149	202	230	432	81	250	45	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	272	253	55	10	2	2	14	104	3	9	4	217	272	296	568	79	352	38	5	252	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	382	356	70	14	2	4	19	106	4	7	2	196	244	278	522	82	266	28	5	236	46	-24	+1	+0	-2	+8	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	322	299	61	12	2	4	17	88	3	6	2	202	252	297	549	94	268	27	5	247	54	-18	+0	+0	-2	+7	-1.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	405	376	77	15	2	6	22	109	4	8	2	207	258	310	569	103	270	27	5	256	59	-20	+1	+0	-2	+9	-1.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	461	427	90	18	2	8	26	122	5	9	3	211	263	320	584	110	272	26	6	262	63	-20	+1	+0	-3	+10	-1.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	492	456	97	19	3	9	28	129	5	9	3	213	267	327	594	114	273	26	6	266	66	-20	+1	+0	-3	+11	-1.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	508	468	101	20	3	10	30	132	5	9	3	214	269	331	600	117	274	26	6	269	68	-19	+1	+0	-3	+11	-1.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	111	103	22	4	1	2	6	30	1	2	1	203	253	300	553	97	268	27	5	249	54	-6	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	196	181	37	7	1	3	11	53	2	4	1	208	259	314	573	106	270	27	6	258	59	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
2030	24	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	243	225	48	9	1	5	14	64	2	5	1	212	264	325	589	113	273	26	6	264	63	-11	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	269	248	52	10	1	5	16	71	3	5	1	214	268	332	600	117	274	26	6	269	66	-11	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.6
2032	26	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	283	261	56	11	1	6	17	74	3	5	2	216	271	336	607	120	274	26	6	272	68	-11	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1102	1018	215	41	5	21	64	292	11	21	6	211	265	323	589	112	273	26	6	264	56	-48	+2	+0	-7	+24	-2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	126	24	3	12	38	172	6	12	4	210	264	320	584	110	272	26	6	264	56	-28	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3206	2961	602	118	19	46	176	930	40	84	28	203	257	303	560	99	278	29	5	251	56	-113	+4	+0	-15	+53	-7.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	122	24	4	9	36	189	8	17	6	203	258	302	559	98	278	29	6	251	56	-30	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.1	1,363	22	26	209	258	314	-8	+0	-3.2	-1.6
/162	664	11	13	-4.0	+0.0	-1.6	pk7: 0
#4Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3
#5Howie Schultz'43-'48 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	24	15	233*	271*	383*	-30	-2	-3.6	-3.6
/162	664	9	6	-11.8	-0.7	-1.4	pk7: -4
#6Fritz Mollwitz'13-'19 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,904 PA	2.9	1,904	1	70	242*	287*	361*	-34	-8	-5.1	-5.1
/162	664	0	24	-11.8	-2.8	-1.8	pk7: -5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Cardoza (OGILVIE)	21	25	30	45	25	195/242/276	81	266	2	5	28%	5%	46	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	39	38→40	45→55	39	187/243/268	81	270	4	8	31%	6%	45	-2.7	194/262/265	71	270	4	15	28%	7%	51	-2.2	186/265/247	62	244	4	22	24%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	31	39→40	40→50	43	157/245/233	76	238	7	8	35%	8%	39	-3.1	186/267/280	94	282	8	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	172/284/270	98	232	9	2	27%	12%	64	-0.5
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Daniel Berg 2006 · A	21	38	37→40	44→40	40	184/249/253	69	256	5	9	29%	6%	45	-2.7	189/255/279	90	281	7	4	33%	7%	52	-2.2	188/258/276	89	278	8	2	33%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	45	179/256/239	60	261	4	7	31%	8%	44	-2.8	203/263/257	54	283	2	4	27%	7%	49	-2.4	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	174/218/258	84	255	7	7	34%	5%	32	-3.6	190/226/284	94	268	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Orlando Sandoval 2007 · A	21	37	38→40	46→50	36	181/230/261	81	267	5	9	33%	5%	38	-3.2	199/233/277	78	317	5	8	37%	3%	42	-2.9	209/253/309	99	321	7	9	35%	3%	54	-1.0
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	38	39→30	46→50	37	187/233/269	82	257	6	5	29%	4%	40	-3.0	193/240/271	78	304	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	142/192/178	36	239	0	6	38%	6%	1	-1.0
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→40	45→30	36	195/236/271	76	279	4	8	31%	4%	42	-2.9	220/267/316	96	272	9	6	22%	6%	64	-1.3	226/273/320	94	265	9	4	18%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Felix G. Santana 2015 · A	20	41	35→30	46→50	44	194/262/257	63	252	3	10	23%	6%	50	-2.3	210/261/295	85	275	6	7	25%	5%	57	-1.8	221/250/302	81	284	6	0	24%	2%	50	-0.5
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→32	41→40	49→50	45	190/258/293	104	259	8	12	29%	8%	57	-1.8	179/258/267	88	262	6	9	31%	9%	51	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Justin Twine 2017 · A	21	38→33	37→40	45→50	29	184/222/254	70	294	4	7	38%	3%	33	-3.6	200/239/281	81	297	5	9	33%	3%	46	-2.6	216/252/305	89	320	6	14	33%	3%	54	-1.1
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	175/242/244	69	268	3	6	34%	5%	40	-3.1	213/255/306	93	315	7	4	33%	4%	57	-1.8	250/279/366	116	337	11	3	28%	2%	76	-0.3
✕Carlos Torres 2014 · A	21	37	37→30	47→50	44	181/246/248	67	236	5	9	25%	7%	42	-2.9	186/227/255	69	255	5	6	28%	4%	34	-3.5	181/213/238	56	245	3	4	27%	3%	23	-1.2
✕Franklin Hernandez 2008 · A	21	39→36	36→45	47→40	38	186/238/255	69	277	4	6	33%	5%	39	-3.1	194/233/283	89	290	6	4	33%	4%	44	-2.8	183/219/273	90	269	6	2	33%	3%	33	-1.7
✕Carlos Paulino 2011 · A	21	37	36→40	48→40	34	179/211/243	64	250	3	4	29%	3%	26	-4.1	217/261/304	87	267	5	4	20%	4%	59	-1.6	236/278/293	57	293	1	0	19%	5%	60	-0.4

Victor Cardoza

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps